mr moloko

Good morning.

A great race to look forward to and the one to me who looks to have an outstanding chance at 33/1 the first 5 is High Standing or 40/1 the first 4.
Either I'm missing something or the odds compilers have got this one very wrong. His 6f form overall reads 111111340232010 (7/15).
Looking at his form OVER 5-6.5F on g/s or worse depending on whose going reports you follow it roughly reads 131(5F)2320 with wins at Group 3 level and placed at Group 1 level and arguably slightly unlucky not to have done even better. That 0 was of course in this years Wokingham off 109 carrying 9.10 but tommorow he will arrive running off 100 and carrying just 9.01.
He showed his wellbeing with a good 3rd over 7f at Goodwood at Group 3 level on his latest start in first time cheekpieces travelling really well and looking to be quite tight for room in the closing stages.
Perhaps it was a blessing he didn't win that race !
7f form has nearly always been important in this race with five of the last ten winners having won at that distance and three placing.
Obviously this big field will hold no problems being a former Wokingham winner and with Group form to go with it I feel he's been really overlooked at the prices. He fits plenty of trends/stats of recent winners and the stable are in incredible form of late.
There's not much not to like.

More of a speculative one is Brave Prospector at 40/1 the first 5 or 50/1 the first 4.
He is now with Richard Fahey and ran with promise for new connections at Hamilton keeping on well to Quest For Success and Colonel Mak.
He never got going in the Stewards Cup on quick ground but didn't do to badly over 7f at Goodwood last time. Sometimes you have to forgive a few runs leading up to this race and Brave Prospector is well enough handicapped to run a decent race and feel he could outrun his odds.

HIGH STANDING 1 POINT E/W AT 33/1 BOG THE FIRST 5

BRAVE PROSPECTOR 1 POINT E/W AT 40/1 BOG THE FIRST 5