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Contrarian Handicapping

Newmarket 3.50 Thoughts

01 May 11 10:19
Good morning.

A 26 runner 6f handicap to solve today !

I did have the good fortune to pick Off The Record in this race a few years ago so am hoping to find a similar priced winner today.With such a big field I'm going to try 3 selections today all at big prices.

The first selection is previously selected Wildcat Wizard who ran a fair race last time at Pontefract in the first time blinkers which are left off today. That was a decent effort last time and he has form in big fields on a straight track. His 3rd to Joseph Henry last year at Goodwood with Tiddliwinks back in 4th reads very well along with a few other placed efforts at this level.This will be his 4th run of the year already so he will have a fitness advantage over plenty of the field and with some proven efforts looks to have a fair e/w chance.
Despite the big field there does look to be a lack of a strong pace overall but Jack My Boy should take them along down the stands side and could go well for a long way. He had some decent pieces of form last year on g/f ground over 6f and could well get the run of the race today. He showed up well last time at Warwick over 7f
and I like the booking of Jimmy Fortune. He had Horseradish back in 3rd last year over the C/D and was a good 2nd to Victoire De Lyphar at Doncaster.G/F ground and 6f look his ideal and he has placed in big fields as well.
If he can build a decent lead he could be hard to catch.
Finally Baldemar who is drawn close to Jack My Boy and who normally races up with the pace could also go well off a mark of 85 today. He pulled hard on his reappearance around the outside at Kempton but should have benefitted from that run. He is a class 2 winner at the trip, won a 24 runner race and looks well handicapped. He didn't win last year but ran a number of decent races off higher marks and feel he could go close today.

BALDEMAR 1 POINT E/W AT 28/1 (BOG FIRST 5)

WILDCAT WIZARD 1 POINT E/W AT 20/1 (BOG FIRST 5)

JACK MY BOY 1 POINT E/W AT 25/1 (BOG FIRST 5)

TOTAL STAKES 6 POINTS
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