ð

[img]http://community.cdnbf.net/community.betfair.com/user/thebetterbettor/tbb/48986d3ed987fed2630701b4d4e6a7ac.jpg?v=137900[/img[   This image is no longer available.   ][   This image is no longer available.   ]

HORSE

COMMENTS

BOOKS

BETF

                               

LINDORO

7/2

4.0

                               

MATA HARI BLUE

9/1

11.5

                               

SATWA LAIRD

10/1

8.8

                               

PERFECT CH'I

9/1

9.4

                               

GHOSTWING

16/1

18.0

                               

BEST TRIP

4/1

4.9

                               

PRINCE OF PASSION

22/1

23.0

                               

RED MISCHIEF

NON-RUNNER

N/A

N/A

                               

TAHNEE MARA

10/1

9.6

                               

LIGHT BURST

7/1

8.4

                               

NORWOOD LANE

20/1

27.0

HORSE	COMMENTS	BOOKS	BETF
LINDORO		7/2	4.0
MATA HARI BLUE		9/1	11.5
SATWA LAIRD		10/1	8.8
PERFECT CH'I		9/1	9.4
GHOSTWING		16/1	18.0
BEST TRIP		4/1	4.9
PRINCE OF PASSION		22/1	23.0
RED MISCHIEF	NON-RUNNER	N/A	N/A
TAHNEE MARA		10/1	9.6
LIGHT BURST		7/1	8.4
NORWOOD LANE		20/1	27.0

HORSE	COMMENTS	BOOKS	BETF
LINDORO	In good form hence no value in current price. Beat last twice but down a grade here, but that entails +2 on the OR and lumping 10 stone as opposed to lower 8st odd last twice	7/2	4.0
MATA HARI BLUE		9/1	11.5
SATWA LAIRD		10/1	8.8
PERFECT CH'I		9/1	9.4
GHOSTWING		16/1	18.0
BEST TRIP	Best Trip?, possibly not as all wins at 6f or less and on AW or G/F, 7f on soft here possibly a step too far	4/1	4.9
PRINCE OF PASSION		22/1	23.0
RED MISCHIEF	NON-RUNNER	N/A	N/A
TAHNEE MARA		10/1	9.6
LIGHT BURST		7/1	8.4
NORWOOD LANE		20/1	27.0

HORSE	BOOKS	BETF
LINDORO	7/2	4.0
MATA HARI BLUE	9/1	11.5
SATWA LAIRD	10/1	8.8
PERFECT CH'I	9/1	9.4
GHOSTWING	16/1	18.0
BEST TRIP	4/1	4.9
PRINCE OF PASSION	22/1	23.0
RED MISCHIEF	N/A	N/A
TAHNEE MARA	10/1	9.6
LIGHT BURST	7/1	8.4
NORWOOD LANE	20/1	27.0

HORSE
LINDORO	In good form hence no value in current price. Beat last twice but down a grade here, but that entails +2 on the OR and lumping 10 stone as opposed to lower 8st odd last twice
MATA HARI BLUE
SATWA LAIRD
PERFECT CH'I
GHOSTWING
BEST TRIP
PRINCE OF PASSION	Best Trip?, possibly not as all wins at 6f or less and on AW or G/F, 7f on soft here possibly a step too far
RED MISCHIEF
TAHNEE MARA
LIGHT BURST
NORWOOD LANE

HORSE	VIEW
LINDORO	In good form hence no value in current price. Beat last twice but down a grade here, but that entails +2 on the OR and lumping 10 stone as opposed to lower 8st odd last twice, a different task.
MATA HARI BLUE	5 wins to date but none beyond the 6th furlong, the extend 7f 26y here an unknown
SATWA LAIRD
PERFECT CH'I
GHOSTWING	impressive in a Southwell win at the turn of the year [course record] but that over 5f and best form at 6f or less to date - also high head carriage become a concern
BEST TRIP
PRINCE OF PASSION	Best Trip?, possibly not as all wins at 6f or less and on AW or G/F, 7f on soft here possibly a step too far
RED MISCHIEF
TAHNEE MARA
LIGHT BURST
NORWOOD LANE

HORSE	VIEW
LINDORO	In good form hence no value in current price. Beat last twice but down a grade here, but that entails +2 on the OR and lumping 10 stone as opposed to lower 8st odd last twice, a different task.
MATA HARI BLUE	5 wins to date but none beyond the 6th furlong, the extend 7f 26y here an unknown
SATWA LAIRD	One of the few proven to stay here, ran ok 3 days ago, whilst stable and horse could be in better form, chance here
PERFECT CH'I	19 out of last 20 runs been on AW, visored LTO [1st time] didn’t help, previously blinkered and cheek pieced - not inspiring
GHOSTWING	impressive in a Southwell win at the turn of the year [course record] but that over 5f and best form at 6f or less to date - also high head carriage become a concern
BEST TRIP	Best Trip?, possibly not as all wins at 6f or less and on AW or G/F, 7f on soft here possibly a step too far
PRINCE OF PASSION	glimpses of form, glimpses over the distance and a glimpse on the ground, so maybe a glimpse here
RED MISCHIEF	Non- Runner
TAHNEE MARA	Acts on the soft but three tries at 5f and 1 at 6f so far this year means the 7f here is an unknown
LIGHT BURST	ex Godolphin and new trainer 0/19 in first season here, potential to be his first winner as some distance and ground form, but the 7f on soft for this USA bred still concerns me
NORWOOD LANE	Owner home bred pet. Handicapper has guessed at OR58 and I'll guess he is right.

HORSE	BOOKS	BETF
LINDORO	7/2	4.0
MATA HARI BLUE	9/1	11.5
SATWA LAIRD	10/1	8.8
PERFECT CH'I	9/1	9.4
GHOSTWING	16/1	18.0
BEST TRIP	4/1	4.9
PRINCE OF PASSION	22/1	23.0
RED MISCHIEF	N/A	N/A
TAHNEE MARA	10/1	9.6
LIGHT BURST	7/1	8.4
NORWOOD LANE	20/1	27.0

HORSE	VIEW
LINDORO	In good form hence no value in current price. Beat last twice but down a grade here, but that entails +2 on the OR and lumping 10 stone as opposed to lower 8st odd last twice, a different task.
MATA HARI BLUE	5 wins to date but none beyond the 6th furlong, the extend 7f 26y here an unknown
SATWA LAIRD	One of the few proven to stay here, ran ok 3 days ago, whilst stable and horse could be in better form, chance here
PERFECT CH'I	19 out of last 20 runs been on AW, visored LTO [1st time] didn’t help, previously blinkered and cheek pieced - not inspiring
GHOSTWING	Impressive in a Southwell win at the turn of the year [course record] but that over 5f and best form at 6f or less to date - also high head carriage become a concern
BEST TRIP	Best Trip?, possibly not as all wins at 6f or less and on AW or G/F, 7f on soft here possibly a step too far
PRINCE OF PASSION	glimpses of form, glimpses over the distance and a glimpse on the ground, so maybe a glimpse here
RED MISCHIEF	Non- Runner
TAHNEE MARA	Acts on the soft but three tries at 5f and 1 at 6f so far this year means the 7f here is an unknown
LIGHT BURST	ex Godolphin and new trainer 0/19 in first season here, potential to be his first winner as some distance and ground form, but the 7f on soft for this USA bred still concerns me
NORWOOD LANE	Owner home bred pet. Handicapper has guessed at OR58 and I'll guess he is right.

SUMMARY

        ||    Looked at the race due to the fact that the Ellison pair where taking such a big % out at the top of the market and they had a few holes in. However looking at all the runners it highlights the lack of depth to the race and hence they are rightly 1st/2nd favourites. Being a value hunter the only angle I could see was the fact that so many in this race are unproven over the extended 7f 26y here on soft ground. [more rain possible], hence a chance is taken that there is early pace in the race to sap the stamina and that the closers/stayers triumph, to that end a DUTCH of SATWA  LAIRD and PRINCE of PASSION is the punt.    ||

SUMMARY

            Looked at the race due to the fact that the Ellison pair where taking such a big % out at the top of the market and they had a few holes in. However looking at all the runners it highlights the lack of depth to the race and hence they are rightly 1st/2nd favourites. Being a value hunter the only angle I could see was the fact that so many in this race are unproven over the extended 7f 26y here on soft ground. [more rain possible], hence a chance is taken that there is early pace in the race to sap the stamina and that the closers/stayers triumph, to that end a DUTCH of SATWA  LAIRD and PRINCE of PASSION is the punt.