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Cupwinkcook
14 Feb 21 16:05
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Date Joined: 23 Feb 05
| Topic/replies: 1,414 | Blogger: Cupwinkcook's blog
only just noticed this, bumper on now

anyone know if there will other meetings covered in the near future
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Report cloone river February 15, 2021 9:45 AM GMT
Didnt even know they were covering the meeting.
Report punchestown March 7, 2021 12:55 PM GMT
Leopardstown on TG4 live today at 2.30.
Report Cupwinkcook March 7, 2021 7:08 PM GMT
only found out about Leopardstown when talking to a family member just now

would have liked to have see the 2.45 on the tv coz my internet was iffy all weekend

had a nice position on French Dynamite as it looked like a bot gone wrong was laying him at 1.34 to 1.45 late last night

i used up my bank at 1.35 and was surprised to see it go even higher

was back to 1.20 this morning

as it happened it had a few sketchy jumps but won it well in the end
Report Cupwinkcook March 7, 2021 8:19 PM GMT
televising Naas next Sunday apparently
Report lapsy pa March 8, 2021 12:16 PM GMT
They are televising the next 6 Sundays, think there is a double meeting or two in that also.
Report workrider March 8, 2021 2:28 PM GMT
Fair play to them..
Report cloone river March 8, 2021 4:13 PM GMT
Good coverage.
Report frank60 March 9, 2021 2:04 PM GMT
Nice to know , ty lads
Report punchestown March 9, 2021 3:36 PM GMT
French Dynamite wasn't straightforward considering its SP alright,there were a few moments just before turning in when it had a race on its hands.
Report workrider March 10, 2021 11:54 AM GMT
I'd have been worried if I'd took the 1/7 alright..
Report punchestown March 11, 2021 6:21 PM GMT
Puppy had to get serious for a few strides Laugh
Report workrider March 12, 2021 9:35 PM GMT
Punchestown , Robcour their horses are not progressing as much as I thought , you got an opinion..?
Report punchestown March 13, 2021 12:58 PM GMT
Naas on TG4 tomorrow,who are you talking about workrider?
Report workrider March 14, 2021 12:32 PM GMT
Plenty of young horses last year that I thought would come on and bring them right up to the next level , only F.Dynamite seems to have progressed to the level I expected so far , for the amount of money he's put in not really showing it worthwhile just yet..
Report punchestown March 14, 2021 1:12 PM GMT
They're not exactly setting the world on fire alright.
Report Cupwinkcook March 28, 2021 3:33 PM BST
great coverage today Naas and Limerick

pics on my phone well ahead of TG4 though

some lads need to gin up on their maths
offering better odds on 4TBP comparing to 3TBP on Yukon Lil

not that it mattered much
Report Cupwinkcook March 30, 2021 10:09 PM BST
Fairyhouse
Saturday TG4
Sunday RTE
Monday RTE
Report Cupwinkcook April 3, 2021 11:31 AM BST
2.20 Fairyhouse Mares Chase
I think Elimay will have too much toe for Mount Ida

Been weak all morning but i think that is JP trying to get a price for later on

rest of the card isn't appealing but tomorrow is much better as expected
Report irish_guy_13 April 5, 2021 12:48 AM BST
WD

jessies are in form, and she always targets the spring, could she win the big one tomorrow 33/1?
also 2 more darts at 14/1.

Prob all worth a ew extra flutter.
Report Cupwinkcook April 5, 2021 11:16 AM BST
good luck all with the national
will be throwing small stakes at a few outsiders and laying Sempo

4.20 is a conundrum
fakir d has the form but tough race at Cheltenham and trainer form a worry
i can't have battleoverdoyen at this time of year, on this ground and again trainer aint great

i wouldn't normally want Easy Game but 5s when his market rivals could flop will do for me

Willie's are running well eventhough the's had a lot of fallers
Report Cupwinkcook April 5, 2021 11:22 AM BST
3.50
stormy Ireland has returned to Mullins
i doubt she will run well but won't be laying her

French Dynamite- small stakes
Report workrider April 5, 2021 7:58 PM BST
Cupwinkcook, you dodged a bullet there..
Report Cupwinkcook April 5, 2021 8:23 PM BST
had more sense than to lay Stormy Ireland, Workrider

Deffo dodged a bullet in Sempo
small place lay (just about)
bit more on the win lay, Sempo kept creeping into it, looked ominous until about 2 out

made my money on Easy Game
pity about the nrs, ruined any plans for place laying Battleoverdoyen
Report Cupwinkcook April 5, 2021 8:52 PM BST
on the subject of the Stormy Ireland switch
thought she benefitted from a very good ride from Danny Mullins today

some of the defeats in England could have been turned into wins with the right pilot on board

shows the gulf at Cheltenham is partly down to assistance in the saddle
Report workrider April 6, 2021 9:47 AM BST
I got her wrong yesterday as well, I thought she needed it softer. Training methods rather than jockey ship is how I see it, many of those English lads talk a good game but when the money is down its our lads who win time after time..
Report Cupwinkcook April 7, 2021 7:57 PM BST
Aintree on UTV and Virgin Media1 Thurs Fri Sat
Opening show itv4 9.30 each morning

no meeting last year so less course form(good and bad) on offer

2m4f hurdle is particularly intriguing

good luck all, will post my twaddle at some stage
Report Cupwinkcook April 8, 2021 12:24 PM BST
1.45
a good open race, lack of track form doesn't give enough to go on
place lay Umbrigado
was handed the race the last day and lacks a touch of class

2.20
top 2 very admirable, hard to split
John Locke has the profile to pinch 3rd

2.50
clan, waiting, mr fisher all too short
tiger roll form all on other types of obstacles - lay
native river - diddled here before Christmas with the obstacles omitted, ground ok, always runs well here, jonjo ok but not ideal - Back

dunno what to make of Real Steel

3.25
another good open race
i can't have Abracadras or Song for someone
Jason Brewinupastorm and McFabulous positives

skipping the foxhunters

4.40
Moon over Germany small stakes

5.15
Been watching Eileendover all season
she gets weight as a 4yo and could hack up
i am on at evens and i will take my chances
elle est belle respected especially with course form
Report workrider April 8, 2021 1:16 PM BST
Smashing write up Cup, its always nice when someone takes the time to do their homework , a right tricky card as far as I can see, only bet I'm having right now is Willies in the F/Hunters. Good luck today...
Report JayTrumpOldTomDubbl April 8, 2021 6:41 PM BST
Arthur Moore ...........what a great trainer and proves the old saying class is permanent. Must have really fancied it taking on COVID19 and Brexit to travel. Great memories of Arthur and Tom Taaffe........... big hurdles gambles and many landed...............great trainer
Report Cupwinkcook April 8, 2021 8:18 PM BST
A mixed day, more bad than good.
I got Abracadras wrong, think it would have won handy regardless of the Jason the Militant fall but it did help
Abracadras cruised throughout

Clan Des Obeaux is frustrating
Having opposed him at Haydock, I backed him at Kempton and Ascot
the latter in particular was disappointing
He was devastating today having ran ok previously at Aintree

tough card tomorrow but will put down a few thoughts on the Grade 1s
Report Cupwinkcook April 8, 2021 8:36 PM BST
2.20
Third Time Lucki is too short at 4.8
for me
If Henderson has Dusart ready, then i would prefer him at 3.0
it's an odd race though

4.40
Bravemansgame is a hell of a horse, the 2 that beat him at Cheltenham are top class
The opposition is uninspiring
I am not convinced Aintree will suit Bravemansgame and despite Nicholls being in form, it's more the fresh horses doing the job
He had a tough race in the Ballymore
Right horse, wrong race imo

2.50
Very interesting race
Chantry House should beat these
Espoir De Romay for 2nd

You can shoot holes in the others
Some mightn't go on the track, hard to assess but Fiddlerontheroof is one i don't think will cope

Shan Blue is a lovely jumper but i think he is over the top
Sporting John could get outpaced

Big Breakaway is solid enough, but can't see him winning
Neither Hobbs or Tizzard yards are going well

Silver Hallmark should be 20s not 12s but should run ok

Empire Steel isn't good enough
Report Cupwinkcook April 8, 2021 8:50 PM BST
3.25
I am happy to oppose Fakir D at the price
tough race at the festival
ran once before at Aintree, nk 2nd in a bad 4yo hurdle, so inconclusive
Stable not going great

Politologue is solid, reasonable record at Aintree, fresh, stable form
just a feeling something might do him like last time
i don't like the fact that Nicholls has multiple runners either

the 2 outsiders aren't for me

Nuts Well ran a cracker at Aintree in the old roan
is fresh
and despite not having a high profile is close enough on official ratings
if the race was anywhere else i wouldn't back him but here i would

Dashel Drasher is solid and holds TommyTucker on the last day and i wouldn't be laying him

master tommytucker could do well at the track but i think he is over the top

will try to turn the above into a betting strategy
Report Cupwinkcook April 8, 2021 8:51 PM BST
would also be interested in what Kevin Blake has to say tmrw morning

talks a lot of sense
Report punchestown April 8, 2021 9:01 PM BST
Great posts Cupwinkcook,I like Dusart as well and Cape Gentleman in the staying novice race.I wouldn't be going mad on either of them though as I've been hopeless since Cheltenham.
Report workrider April 9, 2021 11:10 AM BST
Good luck today Cup, Shan Blue is one I'll give a second chance to today, surely Harry wont make the same mistake again, another I'll be having a small bet on is Any News had word for it awhile back , will look into the later races soon. Punchestown unlike your good self I'm doing fine so far, after all the talk about Rachel falling off yesterday out of spite I had a £10 on her in the bumper @ 25/1 on here. A tiny bet I know but amazingly it worked out...Laugh Good luck today .
Report Cupwinkcook April 17, 2021 9:54 AM BST
Sunday TG4 Tramore and Dundalk
Willie Mullins has fancied horses inmost of the races but reading his column he isn't that confident about them

Ayr and Newbury on VM1 and UTV with the better quality racing
Report Cupwinkcook April 23, 2021 12:43 AM BST
some great racing in prospect at Punchestown next week
Early evening start times, RTE2 coverage from 4pm

Sandown Flat on Friday ITV4

Sandown Jumps on ITV Saturday
Navan TG4 on Sunday

Early thoughts on Sandown's big races

You can keep the Bet365 Cup, run of the mill handicap, not for me

The Select Hurdle looks interesting. Pic Dorrhy wouldn't be for me and doubt he will stay, will be looking for alternatives

Oaksey Chase 2m6.5f
The 2 outsiders are unlikely to be involved
I don't like Mister Fisher, way too many jumping errors
Frodon ran readonably well at Sandown in his one outing there
will benefit from a tactical ride from Bryony
trip about ideal
at the forecast 1.65 would be my idea of a rock solid bet

Celebration Chase 2m
Put the kettle on gets 7lbs mates allowance
on the basis that Altior isn't worth his 169 rating anymore, 4 should be in the shakeup

of the outsiders, if Nuts Well handles the track i would prefer him to Dolos and Ornua
if there was a match bet between Nuts Well and Ornua, 1.7 Nuts Well would do me (working off forecast prices 14s v 20s)

in the main event :
writing off Altior could be foolish
Track record and in this race is exemplary
If his rating was 165 instead of 169 he would have as good a chance as any if he ran to it
Will he though?
And i wouldn't believe a word of what his trainer has to say about him

Greaneteen
reasonable runs all season including at Sandown
will need the other 3 to underperform but should be in the shake up
again i would question his 164 rating

Sceau Royal
Felt sorry for connections as was going well at Chelt when clattered 3 out
Get the feeling something will go wrong for him again but dangerous if putting it all together
again reasonable track form

Put the kettle on
Cheltenham specialist and she could be 10 lbs better there so she isn't value at 7 to 4 given Sandown is considerably different
on a side note, connections sticking with Coleman is commendable and probably the right decision given the rides he has given her
not a fan of Coleman in general though
this race will tell us a lot and if she jumps well i would be inclined to go back for the Tingle Creek coz ground and/or the hard race at Chelt could undo her
Report irishone April 23, 2021 10:08 PM BST
Looking for a one two with henry's in the celebration at sandown. Don't think good to firm is PTKO 's ground and wouldn't be shocked if ORNUA turned up.
Report Cupwinkcook April 25, 2021 3:43 PM BST
De Bromhead needs to get his thinking cap on for alternative courses for Put the Kettle On

Cheltenham in November and March is a given
A midwinter race is less obvious with Tingle Creek almost certainly ruled out
Leopardstown at Christmas probably isn't her bag either

Punchestown Tuesday has 2 fabulous races
Monkfish Envoi Allen Coolreevy Franco de Port

Chacun Por Soi Nube Negra Allaho First Flow Cilaos Emery Castlegrace Paddy Daly Tiger

2m nov hurdle has a diappointing turnout, 5 runners headed by Echoes in Rain and Blue Lord
Report punchestown April 25, 2021 3:57 PM BST
Townend on Blue Lord and Patrick on Echoes Of Rain,I would have thought Townend would have been on Echoe Of Rain.
Report punchestown April 25, 2021 3:58 PM BST
Echoes.
Report Cupwinkcook April 25, 2021 8:00 PM BST
slightly surprising

but presume Townend had the choice and there isn't much in it
Report Cupwinkcook April 27, 2021 1:43 PM BST
a few coin tosses today so i doubt anyone will be getting stuck in

Preference for Chacun por Soi over Allaho on the basis of trip and track
Allaho scenario reminds me of One Man back in the 90s
The English horses are better value by comparison

I give Coolreevy a shout against the Big2, ratings suggest 8s is value. Prefer Monkfish to Envoi Allen as the safer option but it's not a betting medium
i would be surprised if Franco de Port got involved

Echoes in Rain preferred to Blue Lord in the 4.15 but not by much
Turn of foot may be crucial in what could be a messy race

good luck all
Report slickster April 27, 2021 6:11 PM BST
Why is rocky on rte? Nasty creature. That's the national broadcaster for you. And the stuntman. No thanks.
Report Cupwinkcook April 27, 2021 11:24 PM BST
Tomorrow's card lacks something for me

Regardless, Gold Cup at 17.55
i am laying Melon and backing Kemboy
Interested in how Clan Des Obeaux gets on

18.30 Champion Bumper
Another coin toss and this time i think Kilcruit will turn the tables
Report punchestown April 28, 2021 10:21 AM BST
Fancy Kilcruit myself to turn the tables as it was caught slightly on the hop LTO.

I'm going for Alboum Photo in the big one with Kemboy as the danger,I think the pair of them are the only 2 that will see out the trip if it's truly run.
Report workrider April 28, 2021 4:19 PM BST
That's my bet as well Punchestown..
Report punchestown April 28, 2021 6:08 PM BST
Clan Des O won fair and square,Alboum Photo's jumping maybe not great but had every chance.I knew the minute I started to back Mullins horses the arse would fall out of it.
Report Cupwinkcook April 28, 2021 6:43 PM BST
Kilcruit plus a place lay of Lake Winnie buttered a few parsnips there
Agree with Punchestown, Clan des Obeaux won fair and square under a good tactical ride and good luck to Nicholls and his owners for supplementing

None of the irish horses could match him up front, Al boum and Fakir stayed with him as long as they could
Al boum needed him to empty over the last 2 and it didn't happen

intriguing 3m grade 1s next season
Report punchestown April 28, 2021 6:49 PM BST
Surprised Clan Des O  forced the running so much as I thought it would be iffy on the trip.Couldn't believe how easy Kilcruit was going just before the straight.Cool
Report punchestown April 28, 2021 8:31 PM BST
Doesn't make Townend's ride of Kilcruit at Cheltenham look any better that's for sure.
Report Cupwinkcook April 28, 2021 10:50 PM BST
Thursday is a weak card
Friday looks better thankfully

Stayers is decent enough but hardly a standout event
I like Ronald Pump

2m nov chase sees Energumene back on track and he is miles clear on ratings and 1.4 as a result

Janidil and Captain Guinness have their pluses and minuses for the 2nd spot
I prefer Janidil as a horse going forward to next year but Captain Guinness might shade him on a track he likes and over a trip that should suit him better
At least it's better than the Aintree version

2m hcap chase is interesting
Good luck to Entoucas, unlucky last time

mares novice is a nice race but is ruined for ew purposes with only 7 runners
Report Cupwinkcook April 30, 2021 11:40 AM BST
bad day for me yesterday, got the stayers badly wrong

the poor form of de Bromhead and Foster has thrown today up in the air
Bob Olinger withdrawn
wouldn't want to be going in too deep on Honeysuckle as a result

i will be going with Galliard du mesnil in the 6.00 at 1.5x
Report punchestown April 30, 2021 12:20 PM BST
Can't imagine they'd dream of running Honeysuckle unless 100% and I'll continue until she's beat Laugh,WPM looking very strong again today.
Report Cupwinkcook April 30, 2021 5:34 PM BST
Honeysuckle looked 100% to me

despite Sharjah going 1.22 in running

just a blip going up to the last
Report punchestown May 1, 2021 10:57 AM BST
Not at her best yesterday but game as a pebble.
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