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09 Nov 20 12:26
Date Joined: 23 Aug 10
| Topic/replies: 6,491 | Blogger: Deplasterer's blog
The Masters in late Autumn will be a different test from the usual Spring setting. With a field of 94, you can cut this in half right away between past champions, no hopes and 26 rookies(Last first time winner Zoeller in 1979).

With lower temps and shorter daylight this time of the year and recent rain in the area, the course will play long. So look for all the big hitters to come to the fore come Sunday.

Unsurprisingly, most of the big hitters are at the top of the betting, and I honestly couldn't put anyone off backing any of the top 7 or 8, but you can't back them all, so I have whittled them down thru, form, putting and course Form.

Thomas and Mcilroy aren't consistently good enough putters to win at August, you are hoping for a streaky week and at the prices on offer not for me. Dechambeau could blow this course apart like he did at the US Open but his record here in 3 outings is not great and on that count and price I'll leave alone.

My idea of the winner, comes from a list of 3:

Dustin Johnson is my first choice. He came back from Covid with a T3rd at the Houston Open just last night. His record at August the past 5 years, shows a 2nd, 4th and 6th with an average score of 70.2. He's long and straight, great with his irons and consistent with the putter. I can't see how he's not thereabouts Sunday afternoon.

Next for me is John Rahm. Seems to have calmed down this past couple of seasons, Rahms 7/8 of his rounds at August have been under par. A great putter imo, his driving is long and adequate enough and recent form has been good.

Xander Schaufelle must be up there as the most consistent players this past year or so, and showed last year he was an August player with a T2n to Tiger.

Some mid range odds worth a mention, Bubba, Justin Rose and F Molinari, and an outsider he might go well at big odds, Sebastian Munoz.

The Masters

Dunston Johnson 11.5 Exchange. 6pts
John Rahm 12.5 Exchange 2pts
Xander Schauffele 18.0 Exchange 2pts

GL All, hopefully one of us snags the winner.
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Report frank60 November 9, 2020 5:13 PM GMT
Nice write up Dep,     sportsbook here, powers, boyles , are giving the first 10  1/5 odds eachway but their odds are not as good as others, but with only 94 starters their might be value, as you say many of the starters look to have no chance, If you go with Hatton or Finau you can get almost 6/1 on sportbook or PP for a top 10 finish. Punters are looking for 3/1 on the Exchanges but of course the odds are shorter on the win part of the bet. The next 2 days will be spent studying were there might be some value.   goodluck
Report Deplasterer November 9, 2020 6:51 PM GMT
Hatton at 6/1 top 10, is a steal Frank, I'll have to have a look, don't bet with Books but do have a PP account. Match bets will be interesting also, hopefully Fred Couple's paired against  SLyle. ExcitedLaugh
Report frank60 November 9, 2020 8:14 PM GMT
Both in their early 60s now Dep , Still capable of playing a good round ,
Report Deplasterer November 11, 2020 2:33 PM GMT
PP doing a special up to £20,Tiger to make the cut at evens.
Report frank60 November 12, 2020 12:42 AM GMT
Good bet if a few of there shops were open Dep, Around 1.7 to be in the top 40 here, I had a account with them a few years ago but they closed it down on me, Sportbook the same.
Report frank60 November 12, 2020 12:46 AM GMT
Tiger to make the cut 1.67 here.
Report frank60 November 12, 2020 12:46 AM GMT
Tiger to make the cut 1.67 here.
Report Deplasterer November 12, 2020 10:55 PM GMT
It's set up to be a cracker weekend, with most of the big guns within striking distance. Happy enough with my men so far, but early days.
Report Kelly November 14, 2020 2:40 AM GMT
If the cut is -1 , looks like there will be a lot of players who can win with two consecutive low rounds .  Would not be taking any short prices until the last nine on Sunday .

The absence of spectators means we can see more about the contours of the course , roll on Sat and Sun !
Report Deplasterer November 14, 2020 11:48 PM GMT
Report frank60 November 15, 2020 12:05 PM GMT
looking good for you Dep 4 clear going into the last day ,   MAX BET AS WELL  Happy
Report workrider November 15, 2020 2:28 PM GMT
Unable to post this past week or so , backed 7 including Reed 40/1 C Smith 160/1  Morakia,44/1 sheff 95/1 ,Rose100/1  all for a tenner so hopefully can enjoy the rest of the day..
Report Deplasterer November 15, 2020 3:30 PM GMT
Squeaky time with DJ, has thrown a US Open a few years back but hopefully mature now. Workrider, hope your a gallant 2ndLaugh
Report workrider November 15, 2020 5:00 PM GMT
I took £186 profit for my money the way my luck has been I think its the right move...
Report frank60 November 15, 2020 8:37 PM GMT
Well done Dep, pity about the poor response to your topic, i was well down the field myself but nice to see D.J. getting his win.
Report Deplasterer November 15, 2020 9:26 PM GMT
Cheers Frank, Irish Forum dead unfortunately, win deadacated to yourself, Workrider, Kelly, Pa Lapsy and Wildman, hopefully he still looks in, apologies anyone I missed. Nice profit this weekLove
Report workrider November 15, 2020 10:25 PM GMT
A huge well done Deplasterer , delighted for you , glad to get a little nibble myself tbh... really miss Wildman a pure gent , Pa still pops in the odd day thank God another worth listening to, Kelly tells some great stories full of colour and brings me right back..Pity it used to be a great forum...
Report Deplasterer November 15, 2020 11:33 PM GMT
Thanks WR, God bless.
Report punchestown November 16, 2020 10:21 AM GMT
WD Deplasterer,never in doubt.Grin

Pity about this place.Sad
Report Deplasterer November 16, 2020 1:17 PM GMT
Cheers Punch. Weren't too many palpatations involved as you say.
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