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Ozymandius
09 Nov 16 07:35
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Date Joined: 01 Jul 11
| Topic/replies: 18,108 | Blogger: Ozymandius's blog
Kelly's first ever losing bet.
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Report mincer11 November 9, 2016 11:39 AM GMT
False alarm Ozy, it was just an observation i think. No money changed hands and if there was, i suppose a trade would have been inevitable.
Report Kelly November 10, 2016 2:43 AM GMT
Not my first ever losing bet Ozy , have had many's a one through my punting lifetime since the fifties . Betfair did not exist though until about 2000 A.D. , would that it had .

I backed Clinton at 1.24 . She touched 1.13 in running . Huge turnover on that market , approaching 200 million as I recall .

Why won't they settle the turnout market , I had far more interest in it trading wise  than on the outright market .  Have they not counted every vote by now ?
Report padlock November 10, 2016 6:18 AM GMT
Lazy voters didnt even vote,is it under 55% turnout ?
Got involved in turnout market ,small loss tbh expected few % higher, Thinking the non voters were put off by choice of two or
Just ignorant lazy yanks
Report TheWasp November 10, 2016 10:05 AM GMT
good man kelly no doubt you traded out at lowest price again , sharp mind
Report Ozymandius November 10, 2016 10:12 AM GMT
Sorry, George, I should have known better than to doubt you... I now see that you cannily predicted the direction the market would move....
Report Kelly November 11, 2016 1:57 AM GMT
According to figures only 56.8 % turnout  , so you wonder why there were all these reports about queues at the polls  , which was the first indication I picked up on before I had any bet on the outcome . Shows you cant believe reportage any more , and the pre election polls were way off the mark generally according to most pundits . Trump got about his expected vote out , Clinton failed to get the women and the blacks to vote for her in enough numbers .  Trump is a minority president when all is said and done , and got fewer votes overall than Clinton.

Still have not settled the turnout market , dont know why , still some prepared to lay 1.03 on the 54-58 % section .  Maybe some know something other than what look like official figures .
Report Kelly November 11, 2016 2:27 AM GMT
Further checking up suggests that my figure of 56.8% is still only a preliminary figure , some states are still finalizing / confirming their votes .  I used to think the States were pretty organised , events recently might refute that .

Still a heck of a low turnout for a country deemed to be an economic giant .Reckon the average American voter takes a fairly narrow view when it comes to voting  , broader/ world issues probably of no interest ( the passport figures bear that out reference the rest of the world interest).

Will Trump have to divest himself of business interest activity  now  , or will that get fudged ?
Report workrider November 11, 2016 11:34 AM GMT
Obviously the uneducated kind Tony , even the Rag.N' bone man knows you need ID when voting Devil. So Trump would have won by a bigger margin if they'd been allowed vote...Laugh
Report padlock November 15, 2016 5:21 AM GMT
The turnout figure has not been finalised yet and i may still win within the 58-62 % bracket on market here
Anyone know more about when its released? Could do with a result on this,tia
Report padlock November 15, 2016 5:22 AM GMT
Strange as my bracket drifted to 40 etc and other at 1.03 ,flipflop now...
Report workrider November 15, 2016 9:00 AM GMT
Maybe Piper would know the situation ,seems to have the inside on those kind of stats Padlock.
Report padlock November 15, 2016 1:04 PM GMT
Ok thx #Waitinggame
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