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dj876
19 Feb 16 17:44
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Date Joined: 01 Jul 10
| Topic/replies: 6,249 | Blogger: dj876's blog
Could there be a premium coupon that would fixed make fixed income specialists eyes water?

13.15 Ascot - Premier Bond @ 4/1 (potential r.4)

This is priced as a competitive race but the Seven Barrows representative is the standout bet of the weekend for me. Premier Bond is a horse that has long been on my radar despite his bumper performances appearing to be visually uninspiring but surprisingly the Fos Los bumper has worked out.

However this son of Kayf Tara is a completely different preposition over hurdles and I believe the best is yet to be seen. On his hurdling debut at Sandown he ran his experienced stablemate 007 to just over a length( PB in receipt of 6 lbs) and was closing all the way up to the line. 007 has subsequently being second to Yorkhill in the Tolworth (Grade 1) with the BF hurdle runaway winner Agrapart (of 137) a further 8 lengths adrift.

Premier Bond's hurdling debut was as impressive as you'll see but the way he finished his race of at Newbury (see December 29th thread) confirmed my opinion that he's a horse of serious untapped potential. There was a time where I would have spoke about being impressed visually by a bridle ponce wining on the snaff but that has probably altered now to being taken by improving battlers. The Newbury race was over the minimum trip but it's fair to say that PB would have been in another parish if the race was over any further. The 5 lengths second obliged at prohibitive odds earlier in the week.

The step up in trip tomorrow is exactly what his style of racing suggests he will thrive on, this view is compounded by his breeding as his dam Celtic native was a multiple winner including a brace of 2m 5f races at Cheltenham in the space of 2 days. His full brother ace high is a winner over 3 miles and will be surprised if the genuine Premier Bond doesn't excel at this trip tomorrow.

Henderson's form would be a slight concern as they aren't exactly flying. Nico de Boinville is competent, a much better jockey than the attached Bass and certainly Tinkler but despite being a Gold Cup winner but he hasn't established himself as a consistent, top tier jockey yet.I think PB will improve past these rivals tomorrow and don't think he'd disgrace himself in the Neptune at the festival either.

Anyone getting involved in this race,be wary of a probable 30 cent rule 4
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Report pa lapsy February 20, 2016 10:31 AM GMT
Lot of short prices at Fairyhouse today in the 2 more competitive races the 3m handicap hurdles on the 31st of Jan looks to play a major part in them.
In the 2.55 Townshend is a costly Mullins newcomer who has won last time at Auteil, really could be anything and for betting purposes i would be inclined to look at the W/O market.
Sqouateur did it all very snugly last time,has to be dangerous but it looked a weak race and gets an extra 8lb.
Near the head of the market are Sam Red who is back after a break,don't fancy him on Mallow running,wonder was Diamond cauchois win a flash in the pan? it was a weak race all the same. The placed horses behind Coolaknock Glebe gives him a chance though think it is equally possible a quiet one could be on particulary as a more fancied runner in the colours, respect Golan Lodge however as the form line with Not for Burning says it could well be involved.
It leaves us with your "buddy" Mal Dini,the glaring point with him is he was running over the wrong trip last twice and 2m 4f looks bang on. Creeping up the handicap it is still hard not to see him again travelling well and surely no problems seeing it out,if around 4/1 ew W/O it would appeals to me.
In the 2.20 hard not to see another one dropping back in Not for Burning running well in what looks a weak race,4/1 gone but even 3/1 looks fair.
Not bad racing in the UK though looks hard to me,thought the Pertempts looks an interesting race at Haydock in that the two Irish challengers have to win, Woodford Island is fav though while beating the well pointed out on here "boat" Be My Hero easily it was form well let down, money certainly left in the pocket for this race.
Report tony57 February 20, 2016 12:14 PM GMT
Drumacoo @9/4 is the bet for me today,his trainer has made no secret that he thinks a fair bit of the horse,I was on fto @huntingdon at big prices I was surprised at how easy he brushed aside a fair horse Fletcher's flyer the horse has had problems and the bounce is a worry but I think the longer the break the less chance of the bounce? If this horse is as good as his trainer thinks he,ll win today and go on to the festival.
The other bet is tearsofclewbay 4.45 @4/1 not a great bumper she won at uttoxeter on debut but she done it well,this is tougher and the favorite has form behind the best bumper mare around in UK,but with a good kid taking 7lb off I'm happy to chance the Hobbs runner. I also think Hobbs will win 4.25  @ haydock
Report callitasucit February 20, 2016 1:45 PM GMT
Played Drumacoo myself Tony.

Onenightinvienna looks a very slow ship. Maybe a national type in time.
Report Ozymandius February 20, 2016 1:57 PM GMT
Feck.  The Scouse Tony curse strikes again.

hard lines, boys, was on the beast myself.
Report newapproach February 20, 2016 2:03 PM GMT
Onenightinvienna is going for the national this year callit I think.

I'm having 2 bets today.

The early 4/1 about not for burning is gone but I still think the 3/1 is a good price in the 2.20 @ Fairyhouse. He won very easily 3 runs back @ this track and has ran well twice since in defeat. Looks sharp enough so I don't thick the drop in trip should be too much of a problem.

Valhalla looks a promising horse in the lucky last @ wincanton. Shaped like a non stayer over 2 and a half miles at ascot in a race where stamina was very important. The drop down to the minimum trip should suit as he travelled well on the day before fading due to lack of fitness/stamina. 8/1 a fair price e/w.

Good luck
Report norn iron February 20, 2016 2:06 PM GMT
ARISE AN GO 215 FHOUSE  14/1

JIMMY TWO TIMES  255 FHOUSE  EW 25/1  IF NOT TO DAY LOOK OUT FOR   OWNED BY SEAN GRAHAM BOOKIE =HANDBRAKE BE OF VERY SOON

MINELLA ON LINE 240 HDOC 20/1

BROD NA HEIRAANN 410 ASCOT  16/1 

SOMCHINE 215 WINC  10/1 ANOTHER HANDBRAKE LOOSE SOON

GL PUNTERS
Report workrider February 20, 2016 2:25 PM GMT
Drumacoo looks as if a drop in trip would be up his alley Tony,had them covered turning in , found nil.
Report norn iron February 20, 2016 2:28 PM GMT
WELL DONE NEW APPROACH  AND GOT SAY JEEZ ROBBIE POWER IS RIDING AT HIS VERY BEST AFTER FEW SEASONS HE WAS GETTING MORE STICK ON FORUMS THAN OZZY/WORKRIDER/SNAPWink
Report workrider February 20, 2016 2:34 PM GMT
Ground getting worse at Ascot .
Report workrider February 20, 2016 2:36 PM GMT
Well done Pa and New App.Smashing winner for ye.
Report newapproach February 20, 2016 2:40 PM GMT
Thanks lads.

Didn't spot that you put it up first pa, well done.
Report norn iron February 20, 2016 2:44 PM GMT
YEA AND PA LAPSY   JEEZ ITS SLOG FOR HORSES AT EVERY VENUE TODAY

RIP DEPUTY DAN
Report pa lapsy February 20, 2016 2:47 PM GMT
Thanks,a change in truth lately, think we both thought similary with her Newsapproach,that was a plus.
Report Ozymandius February 20, 2016 2:49 PM GMT
well done NA.

Didn't see it in Pa's post either.  he makes no effort to make them legible unfortunately.
Report workrider February 20, 2016 2:54 PM GMT
Or maybe unlike yourself D'ozy ,hes happy that OTHERS do well, you fixated clown..
Report Ozymandius February 20, 2016 2:58 PM GMT
Calm yourself, Wonks.

Look at the attention the likes of NA and DJ make to present their posts legibly and coherently and then contrast them wth Pa's efforts.

Perhaps your medical condition/handicap means presentation makes no difference to you and you don't notice it?
Report pa lapsy February 20, 2016 3:03 PM GMT
Don't worry Workrider.

Not pushed what you think D'ozy, it is irrelevant.
A thread was started with the days racing and was trying to contribute to it.
Report Ozymandius February 20, 2016 3:06 PM GMT
Don't mind me, Pa.  Several other lads also stated they missed your selection.  Evolve.
Report workrider February 20, 2016 3:09 PM GMT
Pa, D'ozys worse than a dose of Epsom salts when you already have the runs.Laugh
Report pa lapsy February 20, 2016 3:13 PM GMT
Ha WR, if you said that before the 2.55 we might have got the winner on coincidence alone.
Report newapproach February 20, 2016 3:18 PM GMT
I was in a rush to post before the beginning of the race and had only read a couple of the latest posts as a result. It wasn't due to presentation that I didn't see pa's selection.
Report workrider February 20, 2016 3:28 PM GMT
Pay no attention to D'ozy N.A. Thats what he craves ,hes makes no contribution whatever to ANY thread unless its in the negitive..
Report Ozymandius February 20, 2016 3:34 PM GMT
Oh the irony!
Report workrider February 20, 2016 3:37 PM GMT
That was savage from Ruby ,I reakon he hit B.Bob 10 times After the last , simply not on imo..
Report one last chance February 20, 2016 4:02 PM GMT
Was on Patrick ew myself Cry
Some betting on the bumper today Cool
Report CheltenhamRoar February 20, 2016 4:53 PM GMT
Good oul wonks  preaching about others attention seeking, you couldn't make it up.
Report pa lapsy February 20, 2016 5:00 PM GMT
Mental OLC,you wonder what some know as purely on the face of it the brothers relation looks well more than enough,has to be one for the sidelines unless you are in that group.
Report race leader February 20, 2016 5:06 PM GMT
The bumper, plenty of money for the meade horse, opinions?
Report race leader February 20, 2016 5:06 PM GMT
The bumper, plenty of money for the meade horse, opinions?
Report Arklearkle February 20, 2016 5:10 PM GMT
A winner for Big Noel perhaps. Dont know anything about it.
Report tony57 February 20, 2016 5:13 PM GMT
I don't know we wether a drop in trip will work maybe? I'll find out what the excuse was but I imagine the trainer will be scratching his head?  lucky for me the bumper saved the day,but was on drum big ,disappointing to say the least...
Callit, that one night looked far better beggining of the season I wonder whether ground is a excuse?
Report pa lapsy February 20, 2016 5:19 PM GMT
Hmmm, you got the feeling with the bumper they knew which one of the two to be on,a mugging though with the outsider, the way the Mullins horse was ridden i got the impression maybe not very well thought of(?).
Report workrider February 20, 2016 5:46 PM GMT
Well done Tony on that 4/1 WINNER . D'ozy will be along shortly with his congradulations , hopefully he followed your advice , he seems to be backing EVERYTHING you put up on here, very kind of you to give him a scrap from your table mate..Cool
Report tony57 February 20, 2016 6:08 PM GMT
don't think he was on that one wr ?Laugh
Report workrider February 20, 2016 6:14 PM GMT
Laugh
Report Ozymandius February 20, 2016 6:52 PM GMT
Well done, Tony.
Report workrider February 20, 2016 7:05 PM GMT
I can see the poor sod getting sick having to say that Tony Devil
Report Ozymandius February 20, 2016 7:43 PM GMT
Hardly, Wonks, wouldn't want to see him or anybody too far down on the day.  His main bet went down the pan, as did his other odds on shot.  I just hope the 4/1 shot got him back near break even.
Report workrider February 20, 2016 9:45 PM GMT
Surely even you can do the MATHS on that D'ozy. Level staking plan theres the hint mate....There again I'm not sure you can after your last post..Laugh
Report Ozymandius February 20, 2016 10:02 PM GMT
What part of " was on drum big" do you not understand?

Simpleton.
Report workrider February 20, 2016 10:07 PM GMT
What part of LEVEL stakes do YOU not understand ladyboy ?
Report Ozymandius February 20, 2016 10:09 PM GMT
wtf are you talking about?

Seriously how dumb are you?
Report Ozymandius February 20, 2016 10:10 PM GMT
You shouldn't be let out of the house without supervision, let alone gamble!
Report workrider February 20, 2016 10:10 PM GMT
Was it LADYBOY that got to you....Laugh
Report workrider February 20, 2016 10:14 PM GMT
And no commiserations to your friend on his big loss today , but hound Tony all over the place , you plumb .
Report Ozymandius February 20, 2016 10:16 PM GMT
'Plumb'....that about sums you up.  Complete cretin.  I don't know why I bother.
Report pa lapsy February 20, 2016 10:18 PM GMT
The title of the thread is "Saturdays racing" how many replies have you made on it and not a single one about racing D'ozy?
None.
Seriously why are ya sticking your nose in? A pure waste of space and only drags threads down.
Report Ozymandius February 20, 2016 10:19 PM GMT
Here comes the cavalry to rescue pure Wonky.
Report pa lapsy February 20, 2016 10:21 PM GMT
Poor not pure as in "plumb" i don't know why i'm bothering.
Report Ozymandius February 20, 2016 10:22 PM GMT
I could, of course, throw up horse selections willy nilly, day after day, showing loss after loss after loss, with no shame, and be thought of as a great fellow by the Clap on the Back Brigade when one happens to hit.

No thanks.
Report Ozymandius February 20, 2016 10:24 PM GMT
The difference being i know the difference, Pa.  I wouldn't expect you to be able to throw off your permanently attached tribal blinkers and realise that, though.
Report pa lapsy February 20, 2016 10:30 PM GMT
No tribal blinkers,believe that or not,Tony,Workrider and another few have an interest in racing,that is all. Fairly normal also without a need to create a false persona and that i can empathise with.
Report workrider February 20, 2016 10:39 PM GMT
Fact is D'ozy has a need,we all know what it is , his hounding of Tony has been his hallmark ever since Tony should him up for what he really is , and thats a prize plumb...He only comes on to annoy people , the most DISLIKED formite both here and the main forum by miles...
Report workrider February 20, 2016 10:40 PM GMT
Showed him up for what he is.
Report workrider February 20, 2016 10:42 PM GMT
Plus your reference to Snap with your ,I could, of course, throw up horse selections willy nilly, day after day, showing loss after loss after loss, with no shame, is uncalled for...
Report freddiek February 21, 2016 12:20 AM GMT
Wink
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