Forums

Irish Sports

Welcome to Live View – Take the tour to learn more
Start Tour
There is currently 1 person viewing this thread.
pa lapsy
04 Aug 15 21:30
Joined:
Date Joined: 06 Apr 09
| Topic/replies: 12,639 | Blogger: pa lapsy's blog
No fannying around this week!!!!! 

Louis Oosthuizen WGC.  playing the high class events very well this year.
Ollie Schneirjans, Barracouda Cham, looks the real deal and only a matter of time.
Micheal Hoey Northern Ireland Champ, dire,dire field.
M A Jimenez/Woody Austin Shaw classic, tricky event and hence two sel. surely ought to be up there.

1E ew yankee with PP (Woody) gets a new house(not Dublin) with a e235,000 return and with Jimenez will just have to settle for the bare 6 figures. Good luck with yours,a good two weeks coming up.
Show More
Loading...
Report huddys August 4, 2015 10:01 PM BST
Live the dream Pa best of luck with the selections,going to back three players this week in the WGC,As you said going to be a great two weeks ahead,
First selection-Rickie Fowler playing some super golf this year,has been showing some real grit come the back nine when in the running,
Second selection-Adam Scott,going to give him another chance,showed up well at the british open,really had a great chance to win,hopefully Williams can be a calming influence to Scott come sunday evening,
Third selection-Sergio Garcia,at the price worth a e/w bet,played some super golf here last year,

Selections,

Rickie Fowler e/w 16/1,

Adam Scott e/w 16/1,

Sergio Garcia e/w 28/1,

Best of luck with the selections this week lads,
Report pa lapsy August 4, 2015 10:17 PM BST
Ha Huddys,the glass is more than half full. See Rory may play next week,he is going over anyway. They gave a good insight into golf pundit Steve Palmer on Britain's at the bookies( bbc player episode2),i thought he knew his onions but his discipline was very poor,worth a watch.
Report kingrat August 4, 2015 11:38 PM BST
how is the auld golf going lads?are any of these golf threads worth my time from a betting point of view?
Report huddys August 5, 2015 5:59 AM BST
Seen the episode pa,didnt come across great alright,wonder was some of it staged managed?Palmer will have his selections up in todays post for the golf,always worth s read,and he has another article every sunday aswell,
Report Kelly August 5, 2015 12:35 PM BST
kingrat , the golfing threads on here have a good record , worth keeping an eye on .

Personally I am not looking for winners of tournaments , if you check back over the last couple of years only Rory and Spieth have been predictable winners as evidenced by their world positions .  But a lot of players tipped up on here have played well even if not winning .

What I look for are players who outperform their odds , back them pre play or in running and lay them back when odds shorten . You need to know your players though , some guys huff and puff and then fade , others keep playing their eyestrings out to improve their ultimate placing . Like most other sports , the deeper your knowledge generally the more chance you have of winning a few quid .

And at least the golfing threads on here are civil .
Report kingrat August 5, 2015 3:22 PM BST
fair enough kelly.so?trading is the way to go for profit.who are the shrewdies?i should take note of.
Report Kelly August 5, 2015 5:40 PM BST
Most of the guys on here know their onions . I tend to make up my own mind though , largely based on in running observation . Most of those who trade in running keep a note of those deemed to be "chokers" , not a word I like , but its a bit like short runners at the horses , some guys inevitably manage to lose .

I generally am looking for short prices to lay , particularly if someone is not a regular top player . The markets in running on here on the last days of a lot of tournaments offer opportunities . Often the markets hit over the 100% , but requires a bit of nifty fingers and a bit of nous , particularly with the fast pics guys to compete against , as there is often  an element of editorial selection re timing and selection of what they show us . Radio often ahead of what we see , for tournaments with radio coverage , such as The Open .
Report newapproach August 5, 2015 5:57 PM BST
Justin Rose 16/1
Louis Oosthuizen 28/1
Patrick Reed 45/1
Martin Kaymer 66/1
Padraig Harrington 200/1Crazy

Good luck all
Report callitasucit August 6, 2015 12:20 AM BST
Close but no cigar last week, hopefully a bit better luck is in the offing this Sunday.

Two cracking weeks of golfing action ahead, tainted only slightly by Rory missing at least one of them, and Tiger missing the week where he may have felt a comfort factor which could have led to 4 solid rounds.

The Bridgestone is an event littered with classy winners. The stat that 19 of the last 20 winners were Major winners was eye catching. True Tiger winning it 8 times slightly skews it, but it shows this event takes some winning, and a rag is more unlikely than most weeks.

The first price that jumped off the page at me was the 35-1 on Louis Oosthuizen. Quite how they came up with that is beyond me. Firestone demands accuracy off the tee, and length with it. Louis needn't have bothered hitting tee shots for the vast majority of the British Open. They should have just allowed him plonk it a mile down the fairway on the middle strip. He is a class act, who doesn't shirk under pressure, who has shown he can tame this beast. If he is inside the top 12 on putting stats this week, he will be very hard to beat.

Sergio Garcia surprisingly never really hit it off with this venue. Until Friday of last year when he produced a superb 61. He has hit form of late, throwing away another major winning opportunity on the back 9 at St. Andrews and producing a quality last 54 holes the week after. Like Louis, he doesn't always convince with the putter, but his driving will put him the box seat on most holes, and though cut from initial quotes, I believe he should still be quite a bit shorter.

Matt Kuchar wasn't someone I had intended backing this week, but quotes of 45-1 on someone who could have had a couple of titles here but for poor Sundays, and who seems to have finally found his best....just look too big. As ever, he wont be one for trusting until the winning putt is holed, but in a limited field, at 11-1 a place I think its excellent value.

David Lingmerth doesn't fit the bill as a potential winner of this event. A debutant, who has  no real experience of the top level, its asking a lot. But its a course which I am convinced he will contend at, and quite possibly win at over time. Given his outstanding recent form, and bits of 100-1 on offer, it would seem silly not to include him.

I don't like the 6-1 on Jordan Spieth at all this week. I know he seems to contend on nearly every course, but if there was one you would nominate as not being suitable, this would be it.

Its quite possible DJ will rebound in style and get the win he has deserved lately, but given his penchant for throwing away winning positions, he is not for me at the prices.

Bubba has rarely contended here, and Henrik Stenson infuriates the life out of me on the greens.

Jim Furyk at the prices would appeal more than those 4, but he may just lack the length off the tee, and bottle on Sunday, to quite get the job done.

As such I was torn between Justin Rose and Adam Scott as my final bullet. I expect both to be right in the mix.

Scott was pretty sublime over the weekend at the Open. Like Oosty, he seemed to have the ball on a string, and crucially was holing a few putts. It seems to be beyond argument that Stevie Williams gives him that bit extra belief when on the bag, and as a past winner here and given how good his game looks at the moment, I felt compelled to back him.

I may add Rose before the off if he drifts a slight bit on the machine.

1.6pts e.w Adam Scott 18-1
1pt e.w Louis Oosthuizen 35-1
1pt e.w Sergio Garcia 33-1
.7pt e.w Matt Kuchar 45-1(60 on here represents a great trading opportunity IMO, and I will add extra for that purpose)
.3pt e.w David Lingmerth 100-1

The 11-8 on Louis for Top S. African also looked huge. I would still back him at the current 6-5 to beat Schwartzel and Grace.

5pts Oosthuizen Top South African 11-8
Report anfeild August 6, 2015 2:42 AM BST
Only back the majors normally and see sick over louis in the British open. However this week have going to give it a go.

Harrington: Good form on this track when he was in form and is playing decent. 175/1

Jim Furyk: In good nick and good form on this track.

Kaymer: In good form and is due a big week soon.
Report anfeild August 6, 2015 2:43 AM BST
Ignore above typed to quick and makes no sense to me.
Report pa lapsy August 9, 2015 10:45 AM BST
Case of what could have been for you Callit. Your pick of Furyk Anfield makes sense alright, Rose had a great round for you yesterday Newsapproach.
To have some interest myself did Shane small ew 1st 3 tonight,heart ruling head a bit but 2 shots back to admittedly world class players be hoping is enough of a buffer for the place part anyway.
Best of luck tonight.
Report callitasucit August 9, 2015 8:07 PM BST
The missed tiddler on the second hole could set the tone for Rose round. The type that needs a good early putt to get the putter going. Two missed so far, other left short, and now the driver misbehaving. He will have to rectify all that very soon.
Report pa lapsy August 9, 2015 8:21 PM BST
Very shakey around the top of the leaderboard at the moment,good viewing.
Report callitasucit August 9, 2015 8:50 PM BST
Bubba coming with a wet sail.

Rose still leaving them short. Can his caddy not have a word there.
Report pa lapsy August 9, 2015 8:53 PM BST
I,m blue in the face from backing bubba the last few weeks,anyone but, great par for Shane there.
Report callitasucit August 9, 2015 8:58 PM BST
Shane needs some luck on 10.
Report pa lapsy August 9, 2015 9:06 PM BST
He got a bit Grin,some shot,Rose likewise.
Report callitasucit August 9, 2015 9:12 PM BST
Rose driver gone to pieces. Jimbo fuc*ed. If Bubba had of missed that par putt, Shane would have been in really serious position.

Still in fine shape. And looks to be enjoying it. Though the drive on 10 is obviously still a worry, even though he made a bird from it.
Report callitasucit August 9, 2015 9:42 PM BST
Great shot Shane.

Rose has had 3 12ft putts for bird in last 3 holes, and managed to play them in one over par. Well done son.
Report pa lapsy August 9, 2015 9:47 PM BST
Shane is getting it handed to him,really just needs to keep a cool head, pity he bunkered himself there but he will never get a better chance.
Report callitasucit August 9, 2015 9:52 PM BST
Cracking effort form Lingmerth again this week. The markets are still ignoring him, but he really is a force to be reckoned with on these tougher layouts. Probably fall just shy of top 5.

He is Pa. But its a bloody tough course, and he is handling it very well. Took his medicine there.

Rose putting the difference between winning and not.
Report workrider August 9, 2015 9:52 PM BST
Really hope he wins it , it will propel him to new heights , and comes at the right time in his carrer.still has a great chance even after that bunker shot.
Report workrider August 9, 2015 9:53 PM BST
Feck that was poor.
Report pa lapsy August 9, 2015 9:55 PM BST
He,ll drop here but bubba will hardly birdie 16, bit left in this yet as as say the course is tough, oh me nerves.
Report pa lapsy August 9, 2015 9:55 PM BST
Yes Boy,
Report callitasucit August 9, 2015 9:56 PM BST
Ya, very nervy. Hopefully Bubba doesn't make any further inroads. Jim doesn't look to have a rally in him. I could better than Rose using the fuc*in sweeping brush.

Gewon Shane!!!!
Report workrider August 9, 2015 9:56 PM BST
Brilliant.
Report Catch Me ifyoucan August 9, 2015 10:03 PM BST
Someone tell LOWRY that stupid beard is gone out of fashion (as is drinkin' Guinness like Clarke).
Report pa lapsy August 9, 2015 10:17 PM BST
John 3.16 just made an appearance in the background for ya there Catchme Laugh
Report callitasucit August 9, 2015 10:19 PM BST
Had a go on Blixt in the Barracuda at 7-2. Far more likely than most of that lot to hold it together.

Jesus Shane.
Report workrider August 9, 2015 10:20 PM BST
Haven't seen that guy in years Pa, he used to follow the leader every year with that placard .
Report callitasucit August 9, 2015 10:21 PM BST
Settle for that for Bubba second after the monster drive.

Come on Shane. Rory Who?!!
Report pa lapsy August 9, 2015 10:22 PM BST
I know it is some biblical thing but thought he was always in Croker meself.
Report callitasucit August 9, 2015 10:22 PM BST
Ya, he was always in Croker Pa.
Report pa lapsy August 9, 2015 10:25 PM BST
He must be on his hollers, 2 pars Shane,that will do if bubba misses.
Report Catch Me ifyoucan August 9, 2015 10:26 PM BST
JOHN 3:7 Devil
Report callitasucit August 9, 2015 10:28 PM BST
Smallprint!!
Report Clerkmore August 9, 2015 10:38 PM BST
Great putt there by Biffo. He could win this now.
Report workrider August 9, 2015 10:39 PM BST
Another smasher from Shane.
Report pa lapsy August 9, 2015 10:40 PM BST
Oh Shane,an iron off the tee again was the play
Report Clerkmore August 9, 2015 10:41 PM BST
Play off looming.
Report Clerkmore August 9, 2015 10:45 PM BST
Great shot!
Report workrider August 9, 2015 10:46 PM BST
What a shot.
Report pa lapsy August 9, 2015 10:46 PM BST
Doubt ya Shane,that and 10 is deserving winner.
Report Clerkmore August 9, 2015 10:47 PM BST
A WGC event will be a big achievement in his career.
Report workrider August 9, 2015 10:51 PM BST
Delighted for the guy ..
Report callitasucit August 9, 2015 10:52 PM BST
Fuccckin Brilliant!!!!
Report one last chance August 9, 2015 10:53 PM BST
Great result
Report wildmanfromborneo August 9, 2015 11:06 PM BST
I know Callitasucit likes golfers with heart and character,I think Lowry has earned a place on his punting list.

He didnt miss a putt all day.
Report callitasucit August 9, 2015 11:12 PM BST
He's been on it all year.....but didn't have a penny on him this week til a token bet before play tonight.

Money cant buy that tonight though, pure class. Great to see.
Report frank60 August 9, 2015 11:15 PM BST
Well done Shane, well done to the foremites who backed him ,
Report callitasucit August 9, 2015 11:28 PM BST
Great warm up from a rusty Jordan Spieth on a course that doesn't suit. I just love the amount of times he birdies his final hole. Reminds me of someone!!
Report kingrat August 9, 2015 11:38 PM BST
kelly?you didn't put up any of your trades or lays.did any of the lads get the winner.tbh i dont see much % in these golf threads.
Report pa lapsy August 9, 2015 11:39 PM BST
Jordan is numero uno imo as you said this was never his course,next week shaping up to be a cracker with Rory back and a bit of a bias towards the "bombers" (i think) which will put an other few in it. Missed the Tiger here this week,he owned this one for years.
Report freddiek August 9, 2015 11:55 PM BST
1.57m usd cheque for Shane. and he didnt get a cent when he won the Irish Open!
Report callitasucit August 10, 2015 12:54 AM BST
KR if its trades you're looking for, I have laid Jason Day at 15, Bubba at 17.5 and Brooks Koepka at 50 for next wk.

Still available. Not one of them will start that short.

Half a mill matched at mo, so enough liquidity there for you to make a few quid before the off. But wit til late Wed to take your profit.

Not a prayer of them starting shorter.
Report workrider August 10, 2015 11:19 AM BST
Had a few quid on Dufner 190/1 Reed 70/1 Tringale 450/1 Finau 440/1 next week .
Report dlarssonf August 13, 2015 10:21 AM BST
callitasucit    10 Aug 15 00:54 
KR if its trades you're looking for, I have laid Jason Day at 15, Bubba at 17.5 and Brooks Koepka at 50 for next wk.

Still available. Not one of them will start that short.

Half a mill matched at mo, so enough liquidity there for you to make a few quid before the off. But wit til late Wed to take your profit.

Not a prayer of them starting shorter.

All three currently shorterLaughLaughLaugh
Report callitasucit August 13, 2015 11:16 AM BST
They are indeed.

Well, Koepka is still 50-55.

The world and his mother has tipped up Day which has seen his price collapse. I cant believe Bubba has got so short. Yes he had a good week last week, but he was 34 before that. Typically the mad rush to get on will see ones price go below what it should have been, which is what I think 17.5 was. Then the layers take advantage and the real price is found. In this instance, Bubba has continuously shortened. In my opinion he is far too short now, and wont trade out pre event.

Yep, I got it wrong, but I still think the prices are too short, and am tempted to top up on the lays. Obviously any of the 3 could win, though I don't think Koepka has the bottle for a major yet, but everyone has a price, and these 3 are too short in my eyes.

Its all about opinions, and I'm glad I have one.
Post Your Reply
<CTRL+Enter> to submit
Please login to post a reply.

Wonder

Instance ID: 13539
www.betfair.com