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pa lapsy
22 Mar 15 12:31
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Date Joined: 06 Apr 09
| Topic/replies: 12,639 | Blogger: pa lapsy's blog
Most races lately including beginners and bumpers are now priced up the night before,no way i'm suggesting that it is possible to have a substantial sum on but ricks are glaring and worth for any one having a bet to take note of these markets. Whether "playing your hand early" or actually getting on is a moot point but my conclusion is they don't know what they are doing without a liquid betfair market.
A few examples(correct from memory)
Romantic Fashion 7/4,2/1- sp 4/5
The Dancing Lord 8/5 after r4- sp evs
Kindly Vinnie 5/1-sp 7/2
Patanne 3/1-sp 5/4
Jumptoconclusions 7/2,3/1- sp?

They are more and that is a recent sample with winners and losers but big discrepancies all the same.

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Replies: 58
By:
Rocketfingers
When: 22 Mar 15 12:45
C'mon Pa so you're suggesting a circa 5.5% move for a horse is a rick? And 8/5 to evens after a rule 4 is likewise ?

I'll be impressed if jumpingtoconclusions significantly shortens. GL
By:
neill d
When: 22 Mar 15 12:48
Ruby said in yesterday's examiner that he thought Patanne would win, in a bumper at this time of year there is no need for me to dwell on that significance 2 yrs on or not. I'm no expert but 3/1 on that was shocking.
By:
Rocketfingers
When: 22 Mar 15 12:48
You're flagging a horse that has already been backed ffs, i thought you were flagging up one that was wrong and you were telling us about it pre-money Cry.
By:
neill d
When: 22 Mar 15 12:49
Haven't really looked at the rest of em', I understand he was off 2 years but still.
By:
pa lapsy
When: 22 Mar 15 12:56
I'm not flagging anything RF except i strongly believe they are considerably "out" in their prices at times and worth taking note of.
By:
dj876
When: 22 Mar 15 13:01
Generally only 365 and PP price up Irish racing the night before,what surprises me is if the OP finds it so easy to identify these ricks, how come PP will stay lay him to a liability of approx. €1000 on overnight prices. (as discussed on a previous thread via the max button)

Am I missing something or has PP's software defaulted on your a/c?
By:
Rocketfingers
When: 22 Mar 15 13:03
Sure of course, no one is going to be right everytime though, 5/1 to 7/2 does not mean the original price was a rick though.
By:
Rocketfingers
When: 22 Mar 15 13:07
Ha he can still get €1000 on these glaring ricks, says it all dj.
By:
dj876
When: 22 Mar 15 13:12

Mar 22, 2015 -- 12:45PM, Rocketfingers wrote:


C'mon Pa so you're suggesting a circa 5.5% move for a horse is a rick? And 8/5 to evens after a rule 4 is likewise ?I'll be impressed if jumpingtoconclusions significantly shortens. GL


jumptoconclusions was 2/1 when the thread was put up and was available at 11/4 with PP last night for a few minutes so a bit disingenuous to suggest that he was 7/2.

There are plenty of ricks on overnight prices but this isn't a new revelation and they're there for certain punters only.

By:
pa lapsy
When: 22 Mar 15 13:13
Someone very rightly got you in a nutshell yesterday Rocketfingers that you are all that is wrong with the Irish forum, your low attention span is alive and kicking in regards your inability to follow basic betting,ie getting a k onn to a liability of a k.
I really don't know DJ,it is an account i've been careful in how i use.
By:
Rocketfingers
When: 22 Mar 15 13:20
Pa don't attack the poster attack the post mate, now you have rightly being flagged up for starting a thread where you have tried to once again show you are a shrewdy or the self proclaimed best odds compiler on the forum, your flagging moves after they occur, anyone can do that, fgs you even flagged a 5/1 - 7/2 horse as a rick, it's not a rick. I think your looking for attention tbh. As Dj says PP will still stand to lose you a grand on these over night prices and that imo says it all really about your ability to spot over night ricks.
By:
pa lapsy
When: 22 Mar 15 13:27
14 hours 11/4 was with PP and not a few minutes Dj,you can double check that again.
My sole intention with this thread Rocketfingers was pointing out that the books aren't getting it quite right all the time,nothing more and if you want to keep on attacking it do,no wonder people don't bother.
By:
dj876
When: 22 Mar 15 13:29
Where was the 7/2 Pa and nothing in your original post refers to the fact that he was 2/1 best price when you started the thread? As I said a bit disingenuous to me but maybe he was 7/2 somewhere ??
By:
Rocketfingers
When: 22 Mar 15 13:31
God your so smart Pa, thanks for pointing this out that bookmakers don't get every horse spot on. As i said pa i would be massively impressed if you were coming on here and flagging up horses that were wrong before the move, then i and i am sure everybody else on the forum would certainly give you the adulation you are so greatly craving mate.
By:
pa lapsy
When: 22 Mar 15 13:36
So you admit he was 11/4 for 14 hours and not the few minutes you claimed?
He was 7/2 with Betfair Sportsbook, the horses that were put up all lost except one,whether Jumptoconclusions wins or not is academic but 7/2(probably for very little) or 11/4 is certainly better than the sp he will be and is the gist of that the books are a bit out.
By:
pa lapsy
When: 22 Mar 15 13:38
I,ve no intention these days of trying to massively impress you Rocketfingers,you are beneath contempt.
By:
richters
When: 22 Mar 15 13:40
dj will you be lumping the 11 euro for 2 on the nicholls beast in the first at wincanton,thats your sorta price innit.....
By:
Rocketfingers
When: 22 Mar 15 13:46
Of course you are not pa because you can't spot these ricks until after the move has happened Sad and that is why PP entertain you to that tune mate. Like it or not Pa that is the truth.
By:
dj876
When: 22 Mar 15 13:47
Ah Pa,that's scraping the barrel,how much can you or anyone get on with BF sportsbook?

Great thread, WD and very astute of you to identify all these ricks. Jumptoconclusions 7/2-3/1-2/1 would have been more suitable

You'd wonder how PP made €170 million last year when they accommodate Pricewise Pa on overnight prices.
By:
freddiek
When: 22 Mar 15 13:49
rocket, pa gets enough attention here for being a shrewd judge.

you get the other type of attention, for being an effing idiot.
By:
easygold
When: 22 Mar 15 13:55
Your right Pa, but hey keep this low-key, these guy`s read these thread`s and we don`t want them thinking their tissue prices are close to s.p. So just let this happen, and just get the value out there. As we all know value is the key. You can back horses at a price but back horses at the wrong price t/out the year you will be a loser.
By:
pa lapsy
When: 22 Mar 15 13:56
Thread was started with a view towards giving prices which  i thought were a bit out in future racing,i get it wrong at times but would have had no qualms doing it as it would have been an interesting thread,the negativity towards it has shocked me a bit and no point in bothering with it.
By:
dj876
When: 22 Mar 15 13:56
Or to be more accurate 11/4 -- 2/1 -- SP ???
By:
Rocketfingers
When: 22 Mar 15 13:57
Pa was counting on the dummies to come on this thread and inflate his ego, can't handle it when he gets told it as it is.
By:
Send.in.the.clowns
When: 22 Mar 15 14:02
rather see pa put up the ricks before they are backed.
By:
easygold
When: 22 Mar 15 14:02
Yes 7/2 was only available with B/F/Sports and yes most can`t get 1p on with them. But is that the only comment you can take from this thread. If so good.
By:
freddiek
When: 22 Mar 15 14:03
the only negativity is from the jealous inadequates.
By:
easygold
When: 22 Mar 15 14:03
Now u have it Freddiek........ Dj the biggest one....
By:
easygold
When: 22 Mar 15 14:06
I`m surprised his side-kick Fly Fish (J.R.Hartley) has not been on......
By:
richters
When: 22 Mar 15 14:09
in djs defence lads hes just in from the nightshift in topaz abbeyleix 24hr
By:
paulie wallnuts
When: 22 Mar 15 14:12
Pa.....these firms dont have odds compilers any more.....well not in the old fashioned sense at least.....
What happens now is that the prices are put up the night before as a feeler.....and they know they are littered with mistakes....sometimes intentional ones.....they know well that they arent laying these prices to much.....and they will always attract people who know more than them and are willing to give them a card mark for very little.....
A gorilla could spot these mistakes but nobody will be allowed capitalise.....
By:
easygold
When: 22 Mar 15 14:14
Yes Bet365, but not P.P or Boyles?? I can assure u that.
By:
Rocketfingers
When: 22 Mar 15 14:16
Spot on Send in the clowns, if someone put up 10 horses and they all lost but all shortened significantly i would be the first person on here defending him actually i would probably defend them if the horses simply shortened. Not sure why Pa actually feels the need to fish for compliments like this, would guess ego reasons, much better way is to look at the balance on your betting a/c's imo but each to their own !!
By:
easygold
When: 22 Mar 15 14:18
Rocketfingers.......... I have had a few debates with Pa over the years......... but if u think he is looking for compliments ur far wrong mate.....
By:
paulie wallnuts
When: 22 Mar 15 14:20
I can assure you what easygold?....
By:
easygold
When: 22 Mar 15 14:21
That P.P and Boyles,  have odds compilers on Irish Racing
By:
paulie wallnuts
When: 22 Mar 15 14:27
They arent really odds compilers though.....just relations of trainers etc who wouldnt know their arrse from a hole in the ground.....they wouldnt last pisssing time betting on their own opinion....
Nowadays it doesnt matter whether they are any good or not....it wouldnt want to either....
By:
easygold
When: 22 Mar 15 14:29
I don`t think P.H would like to hear you saying that about him. He works very hard on his Irish racing
By:
Roger De Bris
When: 22 Mar 15 15:12
So, a forumite comes on and suggests it could be worthwile for punters to specialise a bit more in the bumper and beginner chase races as they are priced up overnight now, and may contain more price ricks than the handicaps do, in general.

An interesting point that some other enthusiasts might not have been aware of, despite the negative response......
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