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*kaymer ,wtf is laymen ,f iPad
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Forgot to say Rory may well hack up but at 7/2 is very short so will monitor in running ,probably back him for 1st rd leader if good odds
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Top notch affair stateside, and if it produces a finish like last Sunday, we are in for a treat.
Rory returns to PGA action, and is obviously a deserving favourite. Very much in form, and should have won here on his last two 'real' appearances. But quotes of 4-1 don't excite. Its a bloody good field, and he may have had a bit of downtime after his recent win, and aborted courtroom war. All roads lead to Augusta now, and that is where he will want to be peaking next. Throw in the fact that high gusting winds are forecast, which introduces a potential luck element with the draw, and do you really want to be steaming into a short one?? Not for me. Justin Rose at 22-1 with 6 places looks the logical place to start to me. Slightly bigger in the win market on here, I believe its worth sticking to PP for the wager. He has been very consistent in his visits here, and like a couple more of my selections tis week, he is just missing the W. That may arrive this week, and either way I would much prefer the 11-2 on him for top 6 than the 4s on Rory outright. His fellow countrymen Lee Westwood also offers great e.w value. Though I see he has been backed across the boards in the last few hours. LJW is obviously very comfortable around here. HIs Sunday chase of Rory with Tiger 3 years ago was very impressive until dunking it in the drink on 18. He has threatened on his last two starts, only to sh1t himself, but I expect him to go very close. I had a small bit extra on the machine to allow me trade on him if he goes short, without eating into the original bets profit. Hate sharing the winnings!! Yet another Englishman, Luke Donald, is harder to fancy, but there are grounds for hope. Luke is someone who even in his bad days, consistently plays well at certain venues. This is certainly one of them. He missed the cut last week at Riviera, but two things to note are he had very bad food poisoning on Thursday, and made a valiant attempt to rescue his weekend with a good round on Friday. He now has the benefit of missing the war of attrition the others faced over the final 36 holes. I'm just realising I have backed a bag load of bottlers this week!! Graeme de Laet was disappointing under the cosh last Sunday, and its not the first time. But though Sang Moon Bae performed admirably til late on, it was always going to be hard to produce good golf, when your partner is playing as wayward as Goosen was. Its been a trait of final pairings/groups of late to have poor Sundays. This week offers de Laet another chance to put himself in the mix. 9th here in 2013, when produncing a poor weekend performance, he has more experience of the heat of battle now, and its surely only a matter of time before he pieces it all together on the day that matters. Keegan Bradley was never really in with a chance on Sunday, yet finished only a shot out of the playoff. He has some cracking finishes to his name here, and if his Sunday performances had of been a bit better, he could be a multiple champion. I suppose 30-1 doesn't scream value, but I would make him slightly shorter, and do fancy his chances of going very close this week. Freddie Jacobson is another horses for courses performer like Donald. This will be one of the first events he put in his schedule, and will come here fresher than most, but certainly with this as his Derby. A regular on Sunday leaderboards here, 100-1(or bigger on here) represents decent e.w value. Michael Thompson done me a favour here two years ago, and though he comes here off the back of consecutive missed cuts, he showed previously in the Farmers that his game is not far off. 200-1 is worth a play. David Lingmerth probably wont win, though at around 400 on here I will have to lob a few bob on, but he does represent an excellent bet on the Top 20 market. Odds of 11-1 are very big indeed. Anything from 8-1 would have been a bet, and the 11s was a bonus. Like Brendon Todd last week, most of the Swedes best performances come in tougher conditions. He will get that here, and last years 9th, after 4 consistent rounds showed he has what it takes to tame this beast. 1.4pt e.w Justin Rose 22-1(6 places) 1pt e.w Keegan Bradley 30-1(6 places) .9pt e.w Lee Westwood 35-1(6 places) .6pt e.w Graeme de Laet 50-1 ( 6 places) .3pt e.w Luke Donald 100-1 .3pt e.w Freddie Jacobson 100-1 .3pt e.w Michael Thompson 200-1 2.2pts David Lingmerth Top 20 11-1 The Joburg Open is typically poor fare in comparison, but the 12-1 on George Coetzee defending his title is more than fair. Especially with Betfred, who offer 6 places. He nearly threw this away on Sunday last year, but a bit of help from Lady Luck, and also from his flailing opponents ensured he took the trophy home. He had a nice warm up last week. He didn't back up a quality opening 18 holes, but he will come here in confident mood, and not fearing anybody. If I can ascertain that nothing untoward caused Thomas Aiken to pull out last week, I will add him as a second bullet at 25-1. 2.5pts e.w George Coetzee 12-1(6 places) Total Staked Week 7: 25.4pts Total Returned Week 7: 48.5pts Total Staked: 288pts Total Returned: 344.8pts Running Total..........+56.8pts R.O.I.................+19.72% Good Luck all. |
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Another cracker to look forward to this week, roll on the Florida swing:
Graeme McDowell 33/1 Revels on tough courses and this place surely is one of those. Nice couple of pipe openers in the middle east before coming back to what is his local course Harris English 40/1 In good nick atm after a poor year last term. Fared well here for 3 rounds in 2012 before came under pressure in final round Charl Schwartzel 60/1 Has some decent form around here inc T5, T9 and T14. Game in good nick atm and will be keen to bounce back from catastrophic collapse @ his home event a couple weeks back Robert Streb 80/1 Won McGladrey Classic which is a good pointer for this event. Finished T18 here last year also when form was poor. Playing much better now Freddie Jacobson 100/1 Standing dish around here as callit said above, price way too big. Good top 10 finish @ Phoenix earlier this year also Good luck lads, one to look forward to. |
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Local forecast in (PGA National Champions Course) Palm Beach Gardens is very windy with rain/thunderstorm in the afternoon so may favour EARLY STARTERS tks.
http://www.accuweather.com/en/us/palm-beach-gardens-fl/33418/overnight-weather-forecast/337600?day=2 Friday afternoon may not be any better but at least players will have acclimatized by then on the range. Bets tomorrow. Thursday OFF TEE NO. 1 6:45 a.m.: Lee Westwood, Chad Campbell, Chad Collins 6:55 a.m.: Charlie Beljan, Jason Bohn, Spencer Levin 7:05 a.m.: Nicholas Thompson, Colt Knost, Daniel Berger 7:15 a.m.: Woody Austin, David Toms, Louis Oosthuizen 7:25 a.m.: Chris Kirk, Seung-Yul Noh, Mike Weir 7:35 a.m.: Brian Harman, Derek Ernst, Ryan Palmer 7:45 a.m.: Chesson Hadley, Scott Piercy, Mark Wilson 7:55 a.m.: Matt Every, Keegan Bradley, Victor Dubuisson 8:05 a.m.: Padraig Harrington, Jason Kokrak, S.J. Park 8:15 a.m.: Carl Pettersson, John Huh, Scott Langley 8:25 a.m.: Tim Petrovic, Zac Blair, Joost Luiten 8:35 a.m.: Kyle Reifers, Jim Herman, Paul Scaletta OFF TEE NO. 10 6:45 a.m.: Cameron Tringale, Ryo Ishikawa, Morgan Hoffmann 6:55 a.m.: Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano, Danny Lee, Thomas Bjorn 7:05 a.m.: Sean O’Hair, Jeff Overton, Adam Hadwin 7:15 a.m.: Ben Crane, Zach Johnson, Nick Watney 7:25 a.m.: Michael Thompson, Ian Poulter, Stewart Cink 7:35 a.m.: Russell Henley, Rickie Fowler, Graeme McDowell 7:45 a.m.: Martin Kaymer, Phil Mickelson, Sergio Garcia 7:55 a.m.: Angel Cabrera, Rory Sabbatini, Charles Howell III 8:05 a.m.: Brian Davis, Martin Flores, Hudson Swafford 8:15 a.m.: Brendan Steele, Y.E. Yang, Brendon de Jonge 8:25 a.m.: Chris Stroud, Roberto Castro, Steve Wheatcroft 8:35 a.m.: David Lingmerth, Fabian Gomez, Jhared Hack OFF TEE NO. 1 11:45 a.m.: Daniel Summerhays, Graham DeLaet, Dudley Hart 11:55 a.m.: George McNeill, Robert Garrigus, Andrew Svoboda 12:05 p.m.: Marc Leishman, Justin Hicks, David Hearn 12:15 p.m.: Jason Dufner, Ken Duke, Ernie Els 12:25 p.m.: Camilo Villegas, Jonas Blixt, Boo Weekley 12:35 p.m.: Patrick Reed, Billy Horschel, Justin Rose 12:45 p.m.: Brooks Koepka, Rory McIlroy, Dustin Johnson 12:55 p.m.: J.J. Henry, Alex Cejka, William McGirt 1:05 p.m.: Paul Casey, Francesco Molinari, Jim Renner 1:15 p.m.: Robert Allenby, Stephen Gallacher, Justin Thomas 1:25 p.m.: Freddie Jacobson, Jamie Donaldson, Erik Compton 1:35 p.m.: Max Homa, Blayne Barber, Jamie Lovemark OFF TEE NO. 10 11:45 a.m.: Will MacKenzie, Andres Romero, Carlos Ortiz 11:55 a.m.: Luke Guthrie, Brian Stuard, Brice Garnett 12:05 p.m.: Jhonattan Vegas, Russell Knox, Tim Wilkinson 12:15 p.m.: Sang-Moon Bae, D.A. Points, Vijay Singh 12:25 p.m.: Scott Stallings, Lucas Glover, Retief Goosen 12:35 p.m.: Robert Streb, Harris English, Scott Brown 12:45 p.m.: Ben Martin, Luke Donald, Charl Schwartzel 12:55 p.m.: Ricky Barnes, John Peterson, Tony Finau 1:05 p.m.: Jerry Kelly, Billy Hurley III, Kevin Kisner 1:15 p.m.: Bo Van Pelt, Shawn Stefani, Andres Gonzales 1:25 p.m.: Alex Prugh, Derek Fathauer, Patrick Rodgers 1:35 p.m.: Ryan Armour, Jon Curran, Wes Homan |
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I Think i will wait and see what the weather f/cast is around 11.oc local time, 1st tee off at 11.45 thursday.
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sry that should read 2015-02-26... 06:45 US/Eastern (GMT-5.00)
2015-02-26 ....11:45 Europe/London (GMT+0.00) |
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Another week with a star studded field in America,and a weak low grade field in Europe,
Selections, Rory 7/2,backed him with boyles,money back if hes 2nd or 3rd, Then backed Rose 16/1 and Fowler 25/1 e/w in the betting w/o Rory market, Joburg Classic, Went for the two class act in a field were there is a lot of dead wood, G Coetzee e/w 12/1 A Noren e/w 12/1, Also done e/w permed double Rory 7/2-Coetzee 12/1, Rory 7/2-Noren 12/1, Best of luck this week lads, |
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D.A Points 990/1? i thought he played well in Northern Thust finished just 7 shots behind the winner , he lost 4shots in 3holes ,worth a fiver at the price. i will back a few in the morning,goodluck lads
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The weather forecast is calling for gusty winds and some rain which will make the going even more tricky around a course that usually plays around even par most years for the group at the cut line.
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Forecast is for wet & windy weather.
Will wait till tomorrow morning before i decide on what to play. Considering; Kirk, Padraig, Charl, Fowler, Palmer, English. |
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“I SEE MY LIGHT COME SHINING, FROM THE WEST COAST TO THE EAST”
– (Tremeloes - I shall be released - 1968) as the West Coast bandwagon moves to the East Coast for the ‘Florida Swing’. So “Say Goodbye to Hollywood” in sunny California and Welcome to The Magic Kingdom of Disney World in the Sunshine State which brings with it The Honda Classic at PGA National Resort and Spa in Palm Bach Gardens, The ‘new’ Doral (just wow), Copperhead at Innisbrook and Arnie’s Bay Hill. ‘Yeah, bin dare, dun dat’ - I hear you say. Valero will have to wait, as will the Shell Houston Open as all roads lead to The Masters only six weeks away. We swop Poa annua, multi-course tournaments for one single golf course of Bermuda grass, sand, water and watch out for the odd croc when our wagon wheel make the first stop at The Champions Course at PGA National. The host course since 2007 has slightly different look this year as all 78 bunkers have been reshaped and some holes have been lengthened, stretching the total yardage to 7,140. Jack Nicklaus design 1990 & 2013. With elevated and contoured greens, this week the golfers will require great ball striking, accuracy into the greens and great scrambling ability – ‘but sure it’s like that every week ffs’ - I hear you say. This beast also features the par-4 sixth - one of the toughest holes on Tour. Par 70 (35,35). Honestly, one could wait for the final 4 holes on Sunday night before having a bet as ‘The Bear Trap’ (holes 15-17) is the most famous stretch of holes on the Florida Swing. As we saw last week at Riviera & Delhi, strange things do happen in golf ! Just ask Rory McIlroy, who freely admits to having thrown this tournament away in 20.14. West Coast form should not necessarily transfer on our bandwagon East so ‘what happens in Thurles, stays in Thurles’ imvho and instead we need to concentrate on these auld local lads who perform better ‘at home’ in Florida. By far the best player in the world, 25yo RORY MCILORY at “7/2 is free money” folks and he will obviously be even harder to beat this time round as he seeks revenge on a course he'd previously conquered in 2012 when he first ascended to No. 1 in the OWGR with his victory here. Here at the Honda, Wee Mac has made five cuts in six career starts, T13 in 2009, won 2012, WD due to tooth ache ? in 2013 and T2 last year (lost in 4 way play off to Russell Henley 300/1). That cost him $632k in lost prize money too (no small sum no matter who you are) and ‘an elephant never forgets’ - I hear you say. In ‘Tiger-esque’ style he’s made 13 straight cuts worldwide entering this week's event and has won four times, including two majors, and has finished outside the top 8 only twice during that 13-tournament stretch, in the top two in 5 of his last 6 starts worldwide earning more than $8.2 million last year. Our Wee Rory makes his PGA Tour season debut and WILL BE in the mix come Sunday as he arrives in better shape than he did one year ago – mentally, with all those minor off-course distractions out of his curly hair - and physically, his new doll is in good shape by all accounts. There’s significantly better opposition here than the standard he faced in Dubai last month with 10 other players ranked inside the T20 of the OWGR so I’m waiting ‘to pull the trigger’ on him at 6/1 ew or better IF we get some hot morning scores and/or that bad afternoon weather as still forecast after 2pm keeps him well back after round one. ‘Hah, fat fookin chance of that happening’- Ok, ok, I heard you the first time ! - Pharkheen Youzlesskharnt! Remember that ‘Carlsberg’ five wood by Ror’s - ‘probably the best shot he’s ever played’ - or that we'll probably ever see – to the 18th - queue the film clip to be shown at least 5 times each night on Sky 4. Remember too, that lots of BIG names missed the cut last year, I remind you of Beljan (72,72), Cabrera (69,72), Mickelson (70,71), Kaymer (72,70), all the H’s of Hahn (69,77), Harrington (68,74), Holmes & Horschel and add Stenson & Schwartzel. Past Honda winners at this course are Russell Henley (2014), Michael Thompson (2013), Rory McIlroy (2012), Rory Sabbatini (2011), Camilo Villegas (2010), Y.E. Yang (2009), Ernie Els (2008) & Mark Wilson (2007). PLAYING for SECOND Fiddle to SIXTH place spot with Paddy Poor (remember 6 places) are all these early starters..... Sergio Garcia (6 OWGR) 25/1 PP had every chance to win on the closing holes last week at Riviera but tweeted he wasn’t sharp enough to close the deal. A tough, ball-striker’s dream in his first trip back to Palm Beach Gardens in four years last year he posted T8. Keep the faith. Rickie Fowler (12 OWGR) 28/1 knows one way to help Tiger Woods return to form: take his money. Fowler, who moved to nearby Jupiter five years ago, said he hoped to catch up with Woods at Medalist Golf Club soon for a money game. “See if I can get into his wallet or something, help get him ready,” Fowler said with a laugh. Fowler is making his sixth consecutive start at the Honda Classic this week and has finished in the top 25 during the past three showings. Lee Westwood 30/1 has three top 10s in five starts at the Honda. First of the first at 11.45am GMT Thursday morning so get on this local lad early. With postings of T9 in Dubai and T5 in Malaysia already in February, he should be game and ready to go for this week. While he didn’t break 72 (75-72) in those two top 10s he is consistent from tee-to-green on a track like this. His course history backs that up and was eight-under last year before 73-74 on the weekend knocked him to T46. Lee has posted 15 of his last 20 rounds at par or better. Ryan Palmer 33/1 MC at Pebble in last start, but again keep the faith on one of the hottest players, especially at a course where he nearly won a year ago. Keegan Bradley 22/1 has two top-12 finishes in his last three starts at PGA National One of Honda’s local Jupiter Gang, he’s been in the top 12 here in each of the last three years, and was T-4 in 2013. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lQvKljqeMPI Or this version ain’t too bad either... https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MjtPBjEz-BA As I said before these write-ups always looks great on paper before the gun..... © CM iyc ![]() |
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Added Thomas Aiken in Joburg.
1.4pt e.w Aiken 22-1 |
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Bonus of red button coverage of Kaymer/Mickleson/Garcia at 12.45,will be able to see the conditions with that.
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Graeme McDowell 38
Martin Kaymer 40 Thomas Bjorn Jonas Blixt 430 Padraig Harrington 490 D.A. Points 99 .. lee westwood 36 |
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Looks like there could be a few thunder storms in the afternoon, so there may not be much play later on.
I’ve gone with Rickie Fowler 36, Chris Kirk 95, Ryan Palmer 40 & the price on Schwartzel 95 was just too big to not play |
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Oosthuizen with another WD.
Shame. |
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THE JOBURG OPEN that is under way at Royal Johannesburg & Kensington County Club is the the biggest annual professional golf event in Africa.
The 210 players will use the 36-hole golf complex to qualify for the e/end, with the tougher East course played 3 times. Players need to go low on the West to win a place in The Open Championship at St Andrews (top 3 places, if not already qualified). https://www.royaljk.za.com/default.aspx The host club to the Joburg Open, since this event was inaugurated in ’07, can be especially proud of the last six (of the last 8) winners being Top South African Tour players with the roll of honour going to George Coetzee SA (-19) last year, 2013 Richard Sterne SA (at -27 under par), 2012 Branden Grace SA (-17), 2011 Charl Schwartzel SA (-19), 2010 Charl Schwartzel SA (-23), 2009 Anders Hansen (-15), 2008 Richard Sterne SA (-13) & 2007 Ariel Canete (-19) It’s the rainy season in Johannesburg AND in Florida too it seems. For a local lad like Darren Fichardt it’s surprising his form in this particular event has not been better, T25 at best in five of his 7 cuts. He started 65-65 in last week’s Dimension Data Pro-Am on the Sunshine Tour eventually finishing third so there is a glimmer of hope coming into to this event. Durban born Keith Horne has two Sunshine Tour wins in 2014 and was runner-up in last week’s beautiful Fancourt Resort. http://www.fancourt.co.za/golf/ ‘Yeah, bin dare, dun dat too’ - I hear you say. Posted 71, 72, 68 & 69 so current and course form here suggest he could easily be the one this week as he’s six for six in this event and was second in 2010 (R4 64) and sixth in 2013 (R4 65). Noted here last November the 15 Rookie's who gained their European Tour card for 2015 included graduates from the Challenge Tour were England’s Andrew Johnston (1st), France’s Benjamin Hebert (2nd) & Korea’s Byeong-hun An (3rd). Been a fan of this promising Korean since. T22, T12, T5 in Qatar 'thanks BHA' & T13 in Dubai (without his own Golf Clubs, delayed in transit) in his last four starts with the big boys this young lad is my Rookie of the Year 2015 ! Best bets...ew dbls Keith Horne 50/1 Darren Fichardt 33/1 Byeong Hun An 22/1 along with singles on Lee Westwood 28/1 Rickie Fowler 28/1 Sergio Garcia 28/1 Ryan Palmer 33/1 Keegan Bradley 25/1 These SA lads didn’t make the cut this week so will jinx them to all finish in the T10... Thomas Aiken already has his ticket booked to St Andews and a danger man this week. He was fifth in his home SA Open last month and T9 in the Dubai Desert Classic. Finishing 5th, 6th & 3rd in his last four attempts ‘round these two tracks so is tops in my ‘horses for courses’ stat. George Coetzee posted T12 in Qatar and 5th in Abu Dhabi on his previous two starts. The 20.14 winner is not in the same sort of form as he was 12 months ago finishing only T16 in last week’s Sunshine Tour event. Be careful which Coet you See this week as there’s 4 Wallie’s playing this week. Richard Sterne was runner-up in Dubai on previous start and a two-time winner of this event is another NOT in good form judging by his recent PGA TOUR run of MC’s at Pebble Beach, Torrey Pines and La Quinta. Tjaart Van Der Walt worth a line as an in-form South African. Third last week, T7 (2011) and a T17 (2010) but one to fade in thee dangerous parts. © CM iyc ![]() |
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Ror's 4's with SJ
Hope that back nine start by Sergio is as bad as it gets for the rest of the week. |
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2011 winner Sabbatini leads at -3 (three top 25s to start 2015 so in good form)...40's about to disappear with an easier front nine to come ?
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Rickie -1 good start so far
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Sergio Garcia 200 ew 4pl (just too big)
Byeong Hun An 12 ew dbl see even POD is under par |
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Did you get 200s on Garcia in the shops Catch Me? Nice price now. Far from out of it.
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-2 for POD PLAYED 16HOLES
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http://www.oddschecker.com/golf/honda-classic/winner/bet-history/sergio-garcia/today
200/1 with PP from 15.01 to 16.43. Solid Start by KAYMER (no bet) and was 3 under thru the Bear Trap incl. 18th. |
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http://uk.businessinsider.com/afp-honda-boss-stepping-down-amid-exploding-air-bag-crisis-2015-2?r=US
Will they be around next year to sponsor ? |
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RORY after the double on the 1st
6.2 €321 6.4 €1,134 6.6 €1,714 6.8 €2,537 7 €48 €2,625 7.2 €81 €1,102 7.4 €1,172 7.6 €1,944 7.8 €669 |
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Nice round from Harry.
winning score? -8 |
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If weather is like today for the rest of the week, I very much doubt it will get past -5.
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Keep having this SAWGRASS FLASHBACKS all day... is it a premonition ?
callitasucit • May 12, 2014 2:18 PM BST Everything nearly contrived to fall into place for Furyk to claim a much needed win. 'Fall into' being the operative words, as I think this is going to be the only way he is going to land one. But Kaymer showed the difference between good players and great ones. Be it whatever sport, the Greats can find something from somewhere when needed most...Tigers putt for playoff in 2008 US Open, Nadal and Federer consistently producing ridiculous match saving winners in their Wimbledon Final Epic, Maurice Fitz from the sideline against Dublin, Roy Keane against Juventus in their treble winning year...... Kaymer pulled something from his boots on 17, and proved what a born winner he is. Amidst people like Kuchar, Scott, Rory, Westwood etc, who seem just as happy to finish second, its good to see Kaymer show them how its done. |
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Pod is giving himself a right chance in the Honda. Without doubt, they are getting the best of the weather, and in being out in on e of the last groups this evening he will again dodge the worst of the breeze.
Unfortunately the current conditions mean Luke Donald's score wont be as good as it had looked at the time, but on the flip side, hopefully David Lingmerth can take advantage of it. Donald or Lingmerth for the cash......or Pod....I be shouting for Pod all day long if he in the mix Sunday. Be great to see him back in the big time. |
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9 holes played in Brendan Steele's second round. 6 birdies, 3 bogeys!!
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Happy days for me if POD wins Callit
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Be careful which Coet you See this week as there’s 4 Wallie’s playing this week.
Bookies may have some fun with dockets this week ![]() |
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490 looks bloody tasty now Frank!!
Win only, or did you have a bit on the place market? Dodged a bullet on the par 5, but has had it on a string apart from that. |
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POD joint leader !
Remember too, that lots of BIG names missed the cut last year, I remind you of Beljan (72,72), Cabrera (69,72), Mickelson (70,71), Kaymer (72,70), all the H’s of Hahn (69,77), Harrington (68,74), Holmes & Horschel and add Stenson & Schwartzel. THIS YEAR no different, so far Billy Horschel Rory McIlroy Justin Thomas Victor Dubuisson Graham DeLaet Dustin Johnson Charl Schwartzel |
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I had a humble bet on him Callit, i know your not a fan of hedgeing but at 30/1 and 12/1 i laid POD. still a 4figure profit if he wins. win only.
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Pod finishes 2nd rd at -7,got to -9
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Round 3 suspended due to lightning
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