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Good performance today by Australia against a few canal barges. Still, you can only beat what is put up against you. To try and suggest that his run today was equivalent to a mark of 129 is a bit of an over reaction, 124 at best in my book and to suggest that a rating of 133 can be achieved is a little over ambitious. If he goes to the Arc we will see how good he is?
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the arc mightnt suit id think?usually soft ground at that time of year in paris.draw vital there also as its usually a big field.if he got drawn on the outside in a big field on soft going he would have no chance no matter how good he is.
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So 128 is the provisional rating that has been assigned to Australia, which despite not meeting the approval of The Gotchee, looks reasonable given that he won with a bit in hand.
He will not increase his rating by winning the Irish Champion, but if Taghrooda wins today and the Arc field is as competitive as it is shaping up to be, winning that well would certainly mean a rating in the 130s. Defeating Cirrus in receipt of weight for age at Ascot certainly should not advance his rating. |
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i seem to remember Treve won from a poor draw as year ; and she sweated badly before the race and she still won by 5L, So if Australia is good enough he will win kavvie.
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dunno frank..with his breeding hes the most valuable potential stallion on the planet..hes 3 yrs old.dont think they will want a war type race in paris..camelots irish derby win on soft/heavy i think took a lot out of the hore.wasnt the same horse after.they may not run in paris id be thinking
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Im belive great horses win on all going m8, the breeding stables await and most trainers or owners dont risk there horses on heavy or very soft ground,but you could be right ,i would,nt be surprised if irish champion was his last race.
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They will surely take him to the States, little downside, only upside. Unlike the Arc.
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The gobshee wouldn't know a 128 if he saw it up on a front door......before the race he was telling us mukhadram was better than Australia.....after the race he's telling us that the winner beat canal barges.....leave me alone please....
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Not sure there is any upside to taking him to the States?
The Breeders Cup is really losing its appeal and his sire ran no sort of race on the dirt at Belmont. While the dirt at Santa Anita might be a little easier to adapt to, it is still a very big ask to go there and win and given his lack of American breeding (unlike Giant's Causeway), a very good run will hardly make him appealing as a dirt sire afterwards. The Turf is barely more than an egg and spoon race, albeit a valuable one, and following in the footsteps of Magician is hardly a priority. They may well try and get a much inferior colt to win that race and you would think that the likes of Adelaide would be a very suitable candidate. |
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‘He has to be up there with the very best’
By Tom Peacock A reputation can be made easily, but real achievements have to be earned on the track. At York yesterday, Australia proved his merit as a Coolmore champion in definitive fashion by winning the Juddmonte International Stakes. While hardly short on accolades, and with English and Irish Derby already under his belt, the chestnut has still been burdened with the mantle of trainer Aidan O’Brien’s “best ever” Flat horse since the latter part of his two-year-old days. Dropping back to a mile and a quarter, Australia not only brushed aside the French Derby winner The Grey Gatsby by two lengths, but left experienced Group One-class elders Telescope and Mukhadram treading water on the exacting plain of the Knavesmire. While Joseph O’Brien starved to his absolute minimum weight of 8st 12lb, it must concern connections of other leading protagonists that the jockey’s father reported Australia to have been eating rather more substantially and had ballooned to as much as 20 kilograms heavier than he was at Epsom. Sent off the 8-13 favourite, O’Brien tried to keep a lid on his mount at the rear of the field as stablemate Kingfisher pulled the sextet along until Mukhadram tried his usual trick of staking his claim early and hit the front with three furlongs left. It became starkly obvious Australia was going to enter calculations when he began making progress on the wide outside but it was still quite surprising how easily he made it as he powered away inside the final furlong.“He was ready for a racecourse gallop, that was where he was at,” said O’Brien snr. “His weight rose alarmingly in the last three weeks but the lads at home were very happy. “He was a lot of kilos up on his Derby run — he was 15-20 kilos heavier — and that’s a lot of weight. “But Joseph said that leaving the paddock in the Derby he felt like he was a two- or three-year-old, but today leaving he felt like a five-year-old. “There’s such prize-money here and it’s such a prestigious race that it’s very hard to gallop him at a racecourse rather than bring him here.” (only 80% fit) O’Brien leaves decisions on planning to owners Coolmore, but said: “We had in our head to come here and then Leopardstown (Irish Champion Stakes, September 13) if everything went well.” As Australia is so regally bred, by Derby winner Galileo out of Oaks heroine Ouija Board, he is a priceless asset to the Coolmore breeding operation. There would be a huge demand to see him back against Kingman in the QEII at Ascot (Racebets offer 13-8 against 4-9 Kingman) but he could head in a slightly different direction. Owner Michael Tabor said: “You go for a Derby because there’s nothing like a Derby, but the truth of matter is taking him to a mile and a quarter shows the speed he’s got, and Joseph said you take him back to a mile and it would be perfect for him. “You’d have to say he has to be up there with the very best. In a perfect world he’ll go for (Leopardstown) and maybe the English Champion. “Maybe one more after that, I don’t think so, but we’ll play out one race at a time.” O’Brien also took time to praise his son, saying: “I can’t tell you the massive part Joseph plays. He can do 8st 12lb but we don’t like him doing it. “We’re quite happy for him to put overweight up when he does. In the big days we want Joseph to be on and this is one of them.” The man himself said: “He was a bit fresh, his first run back after a while, but it was never really in doubt.” |