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Gone for six picks in this in order to try and cover each quarter. I've mainly looked for good matchplay players who are in decent form also. Some of the traditionally good matchplay players like Poulter, Donald and Kuchar are in poor enough form but are still very short in the betting imo so it means there is possibly excellent value elsewhere. If you looke at the last 5 winners since the event was moved to Dove mountain, they were all relatively short, accurate players who kept the ball in the fairway and i have tried to look for these types of players.
Jason Day 22/1 Good record in this event and with 2nd @ Torrey Pines Graeme McDowell 40/1 Excellent matchplay player as we have seen @ ryder cup and strong finish @ pebble beach. Massive price this week imo Keegan Bradley 40/1 Another player who has played well at the ryder cup and is possibly well suited by matchplay format Steve Stricker 50/1 Started last year excellently after a break and i'm hoping he will do the same this year. Also a former winner of this event Ryan Moore 50/1 Very accurate from tee to green and played well in this event 3 years ago Miguel Angel Jimenez 150/1 Didn't really fancy anyone in this quarter as a lot of the favs aren't in the best of form so took a chance on Jimenez who has a decent record here in the past Good luck everyone. |
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Will be keeping an eye on Sergio . Westwood is a big price to beat Harris English in the first round , I would have the betting the other way around . Think Lee would relish a crack at Rory ( assuming Rory disposes of Boo ) .
Rory supporters should be glad Wozniacki is still playing tennis this week . Looking forward to a lot of matches , love the match play scenario . Its traditional ! |
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Just backed Rory at 14/1 , SP Bett . For trading purposes and a bit of interest .
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My pin has landed on the following outsiders in each group;
DeLaet 55/1 Matsuyama 60/1 Ryan Moore 50/1 Harris English 66/1 |
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A very tricky event to weigh up this week, i have a couple more selections than usual. I typically like to nominate one player from each quarter, but the 5 players i had shortlisted ended up having 4 in two quarters, so a couple more were added from absent quarter.
The player that interested me most this week, was Jordan Spieth. When the Ladbrokes odds compiler took leave of his senses and chalked up an opening 40-1, i got more interested!! Unfortunately due to site technical errors, i missed the price, and settled for 28s, as i was prepared to take anyything over 22s. Spieth has been in superb form for a number of months now. He has failed to notch a win, but i feel he has been putting putting undue pressure on himself to attain this. Matchplay may be where he breaks his sesaonal duck. Just concentrate on the man in front of you, and take it from there. Matt Kuchar is due to face Spieth pretty early on, and i will back both, as i feel whoever wins this clash, will win the quarter. Kuch was poor last week, but Riviera has never been his track, Dove Mountain has. Expect a much improved showing. Hunter Mahan is another who has excellent an tournament record here. A bit out of kilter also last week, that can be put down to an arduous examination at Pebble the previus week. Zach Johnson is also in Mahans quarter, and like Spieth v Kuch, i expect the winer of this battle to land the quarter. Zach has no pedigree here, but he has usually come here in poor form. Not so this year, he has been unbelievable the last few months. Consistently so. That is what will be needed this week. Sergio Garcia has also been in superb form of late, with two recent wins. Sergio could be in for a very successful year, and i would not be one bit surprised if he notched this along the way. Webb Simpson gets in by default!! I wanted someone in each quarter, and apart from arank outsider, i didnt fancy anyone else in this quarter. Webb has performed well around here, and could easily reach the last 4. Jamie Donaldson is that outsider, and at 125-1, he looks a great bet. Personally feel he is very under rated when stepping out of the shallower waters of the European Tour. 25-1 to capture the Jones Bracket could reward support. 11-10 to win his opening match against a abng out of form Bily Horshel is a steal. 1pt e.w Hunter Mahan 33-1 1pt e.w Matt Kuchar 30-1 1.1pt e.w Jordan Spieth 28-1 1.2pt e.w Sergio Garcia 25-1 .9pt e.w Zach Johnson 35-1 .8pt e.w Webb Simpson 33-1 .25pt e.w Jamie Donaldson 125-1 1pt e.w Donaldson 25-1 Jones Bracket 5pts win Donaldson 11-10 to beat Horschel George Coetzee should alsio take care of part timer Steve Stricker, and is worthy of support at 5-4. 4 pts win Coetzee 5-4 Running Total........+109.95 |
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I came very close to backing Zach callit, but left it off due to his poor record around here. On the face of it, you would say he has the perfect game to win around this course but he has been beaten in the first round nearly every year. I didn't notice that he has come into the tournament in poor form previously so it will be interesting to see how he goes this year.
Good luck with your selections. |
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Same to you NA.
7 selections seems alot in a 64 man field, but works out just over 4-1. I would rate it quite a bit shorter that one of them obliges. |
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Traded out on Rory at 9/1 , so its a free bet at 5/1 . Some fightback by Gmac , 4 down at one stage .
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Some fightback alright by Gmac wonder what was his biggest price in running for his match earlier,Added Kuch outright at 16/1,very poor effort by Dustin today,
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Donald and Westwood were both easily dismissed yesterday , not too long ago they were both solidly in the top 5 in the world . Wonder where they will finish this year ranking wise ?
Rose the only English player to survive , but he comes with South African credentials . Shades of the cricket ! The South Africans have done well so far , will be following their progress as well as our lads . Rory has drifted out to 10/1 , if he wins today he will be 6/1 max . |
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Harris English looks a standout bet at 13-8 to get past Rory. English shot a very impressive 6 under yesterday, Rory was over par, and wayward on occasion. I wouldn't want to be taking 8-13 on someone that will in all probability will need to find 4 or 5 shots on yesterdays round.
Also backing Coetzee to get past Reed at evens. Happy enough with yesterdays results, the obvious exception being Donaldsons terrible display. That Gary Woodland is some choker. |
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Great tipping on this thread as usual, everyone left with a few chance after the first day. I'm only left with three so I've added Charl Schwartzel in the hogan bracket. Hopefully he can get past furyk tonight and who knows after that.
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Is there a link anywhere to show what each player's score to par was in the first round? I'm struggling to find anything
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On the official site worldgolfchampionship.com the field sheet is laid out with the 64 players, double click on the players name to get their scores for 1st round.
Speith,Bubba and Rose for a 3/1 treb my interest for this evening. gl all. |
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many thanks pa
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Stil hanging in there delighted with the way Day fell over the line,never looked like winning,Kuch stil there aswell,going along nicely with the bracket winners even tho Dustin fell at the 1st hurdle again
,well done call with the English bet against Rory |
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And the Coetzee selection aswell call,
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wd callit, 3/3 with the match bets so far!
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Excellent picking and reasoning on the Harris bet indeed, well done Callit.
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Lady Luck shone on me tonight,.....hopefully she hasnt come too soon!!
Had trebles and up done with my 5 outright selections, Mahan, Kuch, Webb, Serg and Spieth. Few of them could have gone the wrong way. Very lucky overall. If i laid them all, i be giving out like a mother fu*8er!! |
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Callitasucit on song again.
The difference between Graeme McDowell and Rory McIlroy is remarkable. McDowell less talented but is some battler,great match player great pressure putter and well nigh unbeatable in play offs. McIlroy heartless poor under pressure,poor putter most times but dreadful under pressure and worse than useless in a play off. |
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Should be some match tomorrow Sergio against Fowler,
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Kuchar Speith another cracker.
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Yes another cracker alright Wildman,and you are bang on with what you said about Gmac and Rory,
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In defence of Rory tonight , the other guy played very well to get the nod over the line after being passed at the furlong pole . Gmac you just knew would always hang in there , he is some battler .
Not too worried about Rory's demise , he played a lot of good shots out there , something he didn't do much last year . His putting was OK too ( what we saw anyway , did not miss any sitters ). Seems to have regained a bit more control with his irons distance wise . I am happy to back him to trade again , something I didn't do last year . Some great matches tonight , quite a few down the 19th . |
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There is a living to be made laying McIlroy.
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Think how much you would have made laying Tiger for every Major since 2008 , Wildman .
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How much would you have lost previously though.
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Timing is everything , Wildman . For about 6 or 7 years I was a backer of Tiger , at shortish prices , averaging about 3/1 , sometimes in Majors . Since he hurt his knee I have avoided backing him generally , even to trade . Rory was brilliant for trading for about 3 years , but last year he did not look the part . Think he might be getting back into more positive mode from what I have seen in last few outings .
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Personally, I just don't think matchplay 'does it' for Rory. I wouldn't worry about his early exit this week. Masters time is when he wants to peak, and he is coming along just nicely.
G Mac prob let off the hook a bit yesterday, didn't see much golf tonight, so not sure if Matsuyama gave him a helping hand. G Mac a dangerman now though. Would have preferred to see the back of him, and Day. Sorry Huddys!! Bit worried that English might take Serg out. Quality player. Knows how to win. |
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Slightly uncertain due to conceded holes, but these are the scores that I have for the second round;
Els +3 Dufner -1 Kuchar -1 Spieth -2 Mahan -2 GMac -4 Dubuisson -4 Watson -1 Oosthuizen -5 Simpson -6 Day -1 Coetzee +4 English -3 Furyk -2 Garcia -4 Fowler -4 Obviously some of these scores are not through 18 holes. In addition there were a few eagles which would only count as winning a hole but are 2 under in these scores. Some shocking winning scores likes Els, which was obvious from the match and Coetzee which I was not aware of. Horschel played a lot worse than Day 1 and made it much easier than he should have for Day who was +2 through 10 holes. Bubba was -4 through 11 before making mistakes. |
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Cheers DV, handy to see the scores like that.
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What a idiot Sergio was should of gone 3 up after 7,
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Sergio will cop a lot of criticism for offering Fowler a half on the 7th . Listened to Sergio being interviewed , know where he was coming from as there was a lot of messing going on at that hole due to bees nesting just short of green . Are bees a protected species ? OK in hives , but living out on the approach fringe of a green ?
Sergio obviously thought both of them were going to miss their putts , and took the shortcut to a half . Sergio did not give Fowler the putt , he called the whole as a half , both were lying 2 shots on the green , one 20 feet away and one 10 feet away , neither putt a gimme . Credit to Fowler though , he played well over last stretch . Gmac the bigger story though , unbelievable competitor . Pity we couldn't fuse his game with Rory's ball striking to produce a super winner ! |
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Scores from today
Oosthuizen -6 thru 14 Day -4 thru 14 Furyk -3 Fowler -3 Els Level Spieth -6 thru 17 Gmac Level Dubuisson +1 Furyk was +2 through 7 as was Els. Gmac was + 2 thru 5 Fowler was also +1 through 8 so plenty of slow starts among the quarter finalist. |
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Just snaffled some lunatic money trying to back Els,he can't keep running into players playing terrible.
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Unless he blows up tomorrow Spieth should take care of Ernie 4&3 or better. Ernie has played dire and as you say, has just been blessed to meet players well below their best.
Louis looks a little big at 13/10 in early prices against Day. Can see Fowler getting back to the play from Thursday and getting away from Furyk early. Furyk is +3 for the first 7 holes on the week and can't keep getting away with starts like that. |
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Kelly, I suggest you check the putts again if you think Sergio's was 10 feet away... more like 4.
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Didn't see Sergio's ball before he marked it , El Guerrouj , thought what looked like his marker was a fair bit away . The shorter his putt the more advantage he gave up obviously . The media are always looking for stories , they made a big thing out of it , it was no big deal for me as it happened , just wondered what had transpired prior to Sergios suggestion they halved it . Pity Sir Nick didn't offer Graham Marsh a half that day at Wentworth , Sergio would have .
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