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Replies: 85
By:
silvergreaser
When: 10 Dec 13 14:19
How about McCoy on Binocular in 2009, surely the best horse lost that day kavvie?
By:
kavvie
When: 10 Dec 13 14:23
ye he gave him a bad ride.overconfident.
By:
kavvie
When: 10 Dec 13 14:28
but a great ride from bg on punjabi..took to the sting out of binocular to an extent..it worked
By:
silvergreaser
When: 10 Dec 13 14:28
Agree tried to win cleverly got outpaced and stayed on strongly at the finish, the following year no messing about he kicked on between the last 2 flights and stormed home.
By:
kavvie
When: 10 Dec 13 14:30
i backed binocular in 2010 so im glad from a betting point of view..he would have been 6/4 in 2010 if he had won 2009..inches etc!!
By:
silvergreaser
When: 10 Dec 13 14:34
Wasn't that the year kav that the horse was ruled out of the Champion by Henderson, went over to McManus place to be treated by the Coolmore vet, I'm not sure what the Coolmore vet done?, but within a fortnight the horse was transformed and back in the Champion picture, the rest is as they say history.
By:
Tolmi
When: 10 Dec 13 14:35
I can't agree that he gave him a bad ride in 2009.He was in a perfect position turning in but the horse hung fire until running on again in the last 100 yards.Remember this was a horse that had the flat speed and there was no way Mc Coy could have expected him to take as long as he did to pick up.

I also seem to remember he was criticised for hitting the front too soon in the 2008 Supreme.
By:
kavvie
When: 10 Dec 13 14:40
he prob thought of 2008 in 2009 tolmi..it just looked as if it was overconf..an average jump at the last didnt help..in 2010 i had bino backed ew at 10s after xmas for ch hurd.jp was interviewed during leopardstown and he seemed v sweet on him.it looked gone when he got ruled out..he came back into it and  i went in again at  9s..i also laid fav in the race..pleasant memorys..nice when it goes right.
By:
Tolmi
When: 10 Dec 13 14:51
I'd say you could be right about 2008 being in his mind kavvie.I think he was perfectly happy turning in travelling well in behind 2 hard ridden rivals.I'd imagine don't get there too soon was what was going through his head.
By:
silvergreaser
When: 10 Dec 13 14:56
McCoy doesn't make mistakes only Robbie Power and Danny Mullins make mistakes?, I guarantee if either one of them had been on Binocular in 2009 the forum would've went into meltdown.

Paulie would've been frothing from the mouth, close to going into a seizure state.
By:
silvergreaser
When: 10 Dec 13 14:58
Just seen on the main forum, Binocular retired.
By:
Tolmi
When: 10 Dec 13 15:03
I wasn't saying that the forum would not have gone into meltdown.It probably would have done.All I'm saying is that I didn't think it was a bad ride.Is that allowed?
By:
silvergreaser
When: 10 Dec 13 15:06
Of course you're entitled to your opinion tolmi, I just disagree, in hindsight McCoy should've kicked on earlier like he did the following year.
By:
Tolmi
When: 10 Dec 13 15:19
Had he the benefit of hindsight when he was riding ? Or did he only have the knowledge that he hadn't got home the previous year when he did as you said?
By:
silvergreaser
When: 10 Dec 13 15:24
Binocular (FR) 8/1C    4    10-13     Nicky Henderson    143    *    *    »
A P McCoy
   
In touch, tracked leaders 4th, challenged 2 out, slight lead soon after and still just ahead last, headed final 110yds but kept on well for 2nd (tchd 9-1 in places and 10-1 in a place),


Kept on well for 2nd, and 4+L's back to the third horse, suggests to me the horse got home alright just that Captain Cee Bee was just superior on the day.
By:
callitasucit
When: 10 Dec 13 15:27
When McCoy rode Binocular in 2009, the main doubt in his backers minds, was, would he get home?? He had come up the hill like a doubtful stayer, when beaten in a poor Supreme the year before, and his win at Aintere suggested he may be better on a flatter, more speed biased track.

Similar to When McCoy rode Best Mate, and was beaten by Florida Pearl, in the King George, he rode the horse as a doubtful stayer. He wasn't doing anything that backers wouldn't have wanted him to do(before the race). I backed Best Mate and Binocular in the respective races, and was happy with his positioning on both. Obviously hindsight shows that both were stronger stayers over the particular trips, than first perceived, but this information was available to neither us, nor AP beforehand. Therefore I find it hard to say Bino got a bad ride that day.
AP, like every other mortal, will make mistakes, but the difference between him, and the likes of Power, Mullins, Buick etc, is that he will learn from them, and very rarely repeat them. He has the intelligence, ability and bottle to ensure this.
By:
Tolmi
When: 10 Dec 13 15:33
I'm in agreement with you callitasucit.

With regard to the kept on well comment while he did keep on my recollection of the race is that from appearing all over a winner coming down the hill he did not find as much as expected when he hit the front.He was a ten furlong horse whose ability to get up the hill at the end of a true run race was unproven.Hindsight is something we would all love to have but apparently its hard to buy.
By:
paulie wallnuts
When: 10 Dec 13 15:57
where did callitascuit come out of......the man makes perfect sense......which is most unusual on here......
silvergreaser......id say you'd be better off putting yer hooves up......and cracking open another tinny.......
By:
Arklearkle
When: 10 Dec 13 16:13
Silver if AOB had put you up on Istabraq you'd have won at least a couple yourself!
By:
murphyjust.
When: 17 Dec 13 09:23

Dec 10, 2013 -- 1:22PM, silvergreaser wrote:


All jockeys make mistakes and that includes the big boys, but most of the time tolmi the best horse does win regardless and that is an undisputed fact, you simply can't make a slow horse go any faster.The amount of times a jockey actually makes a difference is minimal so I never factor the jockey into my betting.


probably the worst comment I have ever read on here..

By:
silvergreaser
When: 17 Dec 13 09:33
"probably the worst comment I have ever read on here.."

A very in debt reply, your argument to the contrary has me bowing down to your obvious superior intellect.
By:
murphyjust.
When: 17 Dec 13 09:43
in debt? in debt to whom? However if you follow that ethos you'll be in debt to whoever you bet with. I can't be arsed getting into an argument but if you think a WP Mullin's horse (for example) has the same chance with Mr PW Mullins up as with Ruby Walsh up then perhaps you should bet on something else.
Tom Segal is a much better judge than I'll ever be, he believes jockey is the single most important factor when it comes to evaluating a race.
By:
paulie wallnuts
When: 17 Dec 13 09:53
take my advice murphyjust......don't go there......yer beating yer head against the berlin wall......I had to block silver.....couldn't read any more of it....
By:
silvergreaser
When: 17 Dec 13 09:57
Oh sorry did I mix up debt and depth again?, a simple typo.

Thats Tm Segal's opinion. I don't agree, I believe the horses ability or lack of is the single most important factor to factor in when having a bet.

Virtually any half decent jockey could win on all the hot shots Ruby Rides.

Do you think Patrick Mullins is the 4th best jump jockey in Ireland?, as thats where he finished in last seasons jumps table, or maybe the only reason he finished 4th was because he was riding a heap of penalty kicks for his Daddy?.
By:
silvergreaser
When: 17 Dec 13 10:01
I genuinely don't think you've actually blocked me paulie, but I do feel if a person goes to the bother of blocking another poster its smacks of arrogance, where only your opinion and nobody else's need be heard.

Why do you think you're always right paulie?.

I know you won't reply because you're pretending you have me blocked.
By:
kavvie
When: 17 Dec 13 10:36
silver will you ever stop making a show of urself?...just think about it..why do the leading trainers/owners retain a jockey and pay them large sums?..jp pays ap a lot of dough to ride his.would long run have won more with bg on him?course he would..the owner knows that.why doesnt jp just use an agent to get the best available?..its unreal what you believe..and ap ob/wpm are the same as the rest of them.if you had a promising 2 yo and apob offered to train it would you refuse and say no thanks ill get a local farmer to do it for me?!?..newbridge must be proud of you!
By:
silvergreaser
When: 17 Dec 13 10:58
How the hell am I making a show of myself kavvie?, I'm giving what I think are genuine reasons why jockeys and trainers are often given inflated status when they're nearly completely dependent on the ability of a dumb animal.

I asked a question that deserves an answer, is Patrick Mullins the 4th best jump jockey in Ireland, he did finish 4th in the table did he not?.

Is Joseph O'Brien a better jockey than Mick Kinane because he broke his Irish record this year?, or had the ability of the horse have a huge bearings on those two eventualities I've mentioned above???.

I'm no more making a show myself than the man on the moon, what I'm saying makes perfect sense if you allow yourselves to remove the rose tinted glasses from time to time.
By:
kavvie
When: 17 Dec 13 11:08
pw mullins isnt the 4th best jockey  in ireland buts a good competent jockey...jp o brien isnt as good as mick kinane was but none were to my mind..jp is still top 5 in ireland..whats your point..
By:
kavvie
When: 17 Dec 13 11:08
pw mullins isnt the 4th best jockey  in ireland buts a good competent jockey...jp o brien isnt as good as mick kinane was but none were to my mind..jp is still top 5 in ireland..whats your point..
By:
silvergreaser
When: 17 Dec 13 11:17
My point is simple kavvie if some other competent rider had ridden all of PW Mullins horses last season he too would've finished 4th in the jumps table, and if some other capable jockey was riding all of Josephs mounts he too would've broke MicK Kinanes record with ease.
By:
kavvie
When: 17 Dec 13 11:32
its nonsensical.and if you cant see that theres something amiss with you.what your saying is the weakest link in a team is not the best there is in that position.say the barcelona team..bad example maybe they are so good..but they got a guy who plays in ronaldos position..hes on and off the team..alexis?..just cause he winning all them medals and awards etc.but is he the best out there?no..hes part of a team.same with pwm and job..cn you get y point..
By:
silvergreaser
When: 17 Dec 13 12:16
Nonsensical?

I genuinely think Patrick Mullins is a pretty average jockey who has improved somewhat because he is riding good horses for Daddy.

He doesn't go for the stick as quickly as he used to and butcher them home, and doesn't seem to hit them down the ribcage as often either, doesnt escape the fact if he was riding for some other trainer other than his father he wouldn't even register on the jockeys table.

Good horses win races and a very average jockey like Patrick Mullins is as good a proof as you're ever likely to get.
By:
youresomean
When: 17 Dec 13 14:20
Consider this Silvergreaser. Joseph O'Brien last Wednesday at Dundalk won four races for four different trainers, non of whom were his father.

Antiquus on whom he has 3 rides and 3 wins had previously been beaten on 8 occasions when ridden by other jockeys.

Deep Speed on whom he has two rides 1 win 1 2nd had been beaten 4 times under other riders.

Mountain Coral 1 win from 1 ride, had been beaten 9 times when not ridden by him.

Habesh who he has ridden twice 1 win 1 unplaced had 8 defeats when ridden by other jockeys.

Picking and choosing isolated examples, probably proves nothing, but you started it.
By:
silvergreaser
When: 17 Dec 13 15:09
yoursomean with all due respect what has Joseph riding a 4 timer for 4 different trainers got to do with Joseph breaking Mick Kinanes record?.

Has it escaped all your attention that Ballydoyles second and third choice jockeys have got less and less rides/winners since Joseph became a fully fledged jockey as Daddys nepotism has focussed all its energy towards his beloved.

Isolated examples?, I would think thats two very very strong examples that proves if you're riding most of the best horses you'll do an awful lot better than even much more talented jockeys than yourself.
By:
youresomean
When: 17 Dec 13 15:20
My comment was aimed at your broader point that a jockey's ability has little influence on the outcome of races.
By:
silvergreaser
When: 17 Dec 13 15:34
Joseph is a very capable jockey but he is no better than most of the other professionals in the weighing room.

As with Patrick Mullins here we have 2 jockeys who have got on really well because of who they are, not because they're better just the horses they're riding are usually better than all the rest.
By:
silvergreaser
When: 18 Dec 13 20:24
So Patrick Mullins is the greatest ever amateur jockey that ever landed on these shores?

Well he broke a record that was standing since 1915.

Thank you Daddy, you're a star....
By:
punchestown
When: 19 Dec 13 11:04
Everything is relative Silver,compared to the likes of Mr JP Magner or Kate Harrington and a host of other amateurs young Patrick is a master horseman.
By:
callitasucit
When: 19 Dec 13 20:18
Couldn't be bothered reading it all, but Silver in a way you seem to giving evidence against yourself. If someone else rode everything that PMW did, I would be pretty sure(as are you I think), that they would have rode more winners, hence confirming that jockeyship is a vital component in the result of every race.
PMW is barely competent, and in all honesty the market rarely takes this fully into account. One prime example being in the Big money bumper on Irish National day, PMW rode a short priced fav, whilst Jane Mangan rode one at 9-2. Both had come from the point field, obviously, both had been the subject of glowing reports. The market was formed like so, simply because Willie trained one, and Elliot the other. What it didn't take into account was Jane is a 7lb better jockey than PMW, and yet she could claim 7lb into the bargain. I have no doubt that if PMW rode the winner instead of JM, we would have had a different result.
Not taking such info into account Silver is incompetence.
Pace is the single most important factor in any race. Who judges the pace? Yes, the jockey.
The amount of results each day that would be different if you ran them five different times, with 5 different jockeys on each horse, would be huge.
I agree in what is not an individual sport, as both horse and jockey give combined effort, it is hard to single out any one individual for more praise. But over time, the good and great become apparent, this is because they are consistently doing the right thing at the right time, and winning when others would be losing. This is why Ruby rode for Nicholls, and now for Willie. Its why JP pays a shedload to have AP. The list goes on. Yes, they ride the best horses, but because they have earned this right.
Obviously in some cases there are other reasons, nepotism being a common one. JPOB is not a bad pilot, but is not deserving of his position. PWM is next to useless, but all we can do is factor this into are analysis of a race and its market, before we make our decisions.
To not factor it in is idiocy imo.
If you thought a two runner race was evens each of two before looking at jockeys(which if what you say is true, you might not bother anyway), Mangan rode one claiming 5, and PMW rode the other, would it not drastically change your tissue on the race?? This is an extreme example, but highlights the importance of a jockey when making your tissue/decision.
Danny Mullins at Cheltenham in a Champion Hurdle could prove a similar handicap. Are you telling me that you would price him the same regardless of whether DM, Cooper, or Ruby rode it??
By:
silvergreaser
When: 20 Dec 13 09:44
Callit, PW Mullins has improved as a jockey over time but it helps enormously if you're riding good horses, good horses usually have you in the thick of the action so its easier to learn from your mistakes if you're riding good horses than been tailed off all the time.

As far as I'm concerned there has been a lot more talented amateur jockeys than PW Mullins but because they hadn't got the connections they find themselves riding a lot of no hopers.

Brings me back to my original argument that the horses ability is the most important factor in horse racing for both jockey and trainer.

One top class horse could transform any journeyman trainer or jockeys career, but as always within racing who you're connected with often decides who occupies the seats at the top table.
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