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keen leader
11 Oct 13 12:13
Joined:
Date Joined: 05 Feb 02
| Topic/replies: 634 | Blogger: keen leader's blog
a simple 11/10 double, put it down collect Wednesday morning.

trusting our muslim friends here

turkey 4/9
bosnia 1/2 to win group g

prices with pp and byles and independents.

dead cert double....bosnia will be 2/7 to beat Lithuania on Tuesday, the 1/2 is a massive arbing opportunity for those who like to play that way.


if you want to be more exotic and go for a smaller stakes top up accum, I suggest take the above two and add in
portlaoise 1/4 laois football
rhode 1/6 offaly football
oulart 1/3 wexford hurling
athletico Madrid 1/6 win champions league group
sevilla 2/9 will Europa league group

and that 7 timer is a 5/1 shot.
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Report tobywong. October 11, 2013 12:17 PM BST
while oulart are rightly fav's in their quest for 5 in a row , ferns are definitely getting closer and many in wex believe they can topple the men from the ballagh this year , so the 1/3 is short imo but good luck with your bets anyway kl
Report Roger De Bris October 11, 2013 12:52 PM BST
not sure u can put group bets with matche bets?
Report Ozymandius October 11, 2013 1:09 PM BST
They will take it over the phone, Roger, though not online.

Obviously there is no contingent liability, but the online system classes the Outright as a 'Special Bet' which they don't generally allow in combination bets.  No problem in this case.
Report frankalsoran60 October 11, 2013 4:06 PM BST
i did the bet with boyles[no problems]  the former ussr teams are never easy to beat at home but Turkey have a lot more to play for, the bosnia part of the double looks very strong, it looks a good double.Happy
Report Ozymandius October 11, 2013 7:55 PM BST
Turkey 1 up, 22 odd minutes.
Report Ozymandius October 11, 2013 9:44 PM BST
2 nil to the Turks, 1st leg up, wd KL Cool

Greece beat Slovakia 1-0 to keep Bosnia up to their task away to Lithuania on Tues.
Report frankalsoran60 October 11, 2013 9:47 PM BST
THE DOUBLE LOOKS GOOD K.L.   BOTH TURKEY AND BOSNIA WIN WELL
Report kavvie October 11, 2013 10:33 PM BST
im just in from work and missed it..id leave out rhode for anyone still going in..at 1/6 they are too short.tullamore beat clare fairly easily and have a group of young lads with no fear of rhode.rhode will prob win but they are no 1/6 shots..
Report kavvie October 13, 2013 4:28 PM BST
tullamore 4 point up half way into second half..
Report kavvie October 13, 2013 4:50 PM BST
tullamore 2.7 rhode 0.9    27th title for tullamore.hope some of you listened to me!!..tasty at 5/1
Report Ozymandius October 14, 2013 11:07 AM BST
So who is laying off the Bosnia double then? 1.35 ish. 

Bosnia beat Lithuania 3-0 in their previous game in Bosnia.
Report kiddo112 October 14, 2013 10:16 PM BST
Very well done Kavvie
Report keen leader October 15, 2013 8:29 AM BST
you were indeed correct kavvie, rhode apparently bottled it.


i watched a number of games on friday and i will let my bosnia wager run, they settled the game the other day before half time and basically coasted in the 2nd half, preparing for this game. speaking to a few lads from lithuania, they say their team is no threat, the only negative is that the pitch is dreadful.


from amongst the other games today, the standout punt is romania on the various handicaps. i watched plenty of estonia-turkey on friday, and estonia were rank and they lost a couple of regular backs with bad injuries and i assume they will not be playing today, the turks ought to have won 5-0 or 6-0. romania were excellent against andorra who as usual wereout to spoil, based on that game, there is goals in romania and they will want to score early to up the pressure on turkey(who play the dutch).
my wagers, are a good cut on Romania -1 at 21/10 on the half time market...expecting to start strongly and be at least 2up at the break, and a lesser wager on Romania -2 at 11-8.
Report Ozymandius October 15, 2013 10:20 AM BST
Cheers KL, think I will let Bosnia run, unless their odds significantly contract before ko.
Report frankalsoran60 October 15, 2013 12:05 PM BST
bosnia 1.29 now, bet looking strong.
Report Roger De Bris October 15, 2013 3:27 PM BST
going with Romania, Ireland and France su. 1.86.
Report Ozymandius October 15, 2013 5:44 PM BST
1.26 now, decided to take my stake off the table.

6.00 kick off btw, Gents
Report keen leader October 15, 2013 6:00 PM BST
i am letting the bet run, looking at the live feed, the stadium is packed with bosnians, like a home game.

i was at the ireland romania under 21 game this aftenoon, i fear for the future as the raw material looks very weak. that said romania were not laden with stars either. a 40 yard shot settled the game, should have been saved.
Report Ozymandius October 15, 2013 6:06 PM BST
said they were expecting 10,000 Bosnians there...
Report Newmanix October 15, 2013 6:07 PM BST
Chile 6/4 tonight is a max bet for me vs Ecuador.
Report Ozymandius October 15, 2013 6:11 PM BST
reversed my bet again..bosnia playing with a great tempo.
Report frankalsoran60 October 15, 2013 6:50 PM BST
watching the game and i have to say LITH no pushovers , BOSIA need to take a few more chances but a goal should not be to far away.
Report Ozymandius October 15, 2013 6:50 PM BST
Holy Jaysus..0-0 HT..you have to say its coming though
Report workrider October 15, 2013 6:51 PM BST
LANGUAGE DEL .....
Report Ozymandius October 15, 2013 7:18 PM BST
Don't suppose Lichtenstein would do us a favour and equalize Plain
Report Ozymandius October 15, 2013 7:26 PM BST
WHAT a save..good lord..
Report Ozymandius October 15, 2013 7:28 PM BST
HAVE IT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Report frankalsoran60 October 15, 2013 7:28 PM BST
Tongue Out at last
Report Ozymandius October 15, 2013 7:28 PM BST
Finally some quality from Dzeko. A second now and lets put this to bed.

And come on Romania!
Report Ozymandius October 15, 2013 7:30 PM BST
goal Romania 30 mins...
Report frankalsoran60 October 15, 2013 7:38 PM BST
have to lay at 1.08..to be sure to be sure
Report Ozymandius October 15, 2013 7:53 PM BST
Ode for Music (1769)

From yonder realms of empyrean day
Bursts on my ear the indignant lay:
There sit the sainted sage, the bard divine,
The few whom genius gave to shine
Through every unborn age and undiscovered clime.
Rapt in celestial transport they,
Yet hither oft a glance from high
They send of tender sympathy
To bless the place, where on their opening soul
First the genuine ardour stole.


But hark! the portals sound and, pacing forth
With solemn steps and slow,
And thus they speak in soft accord
The liquid language of the skies.

What is grandeur, what is power?
Heavier toil, superior pain.
Sweet is the breath of vernal shower,
The bee's collected treasures sweet,
Sweet music's melting fall, but sweeter yet
The still small voice of gratitude.

Thy liberal heart, thy judging eye,
The flower unheeded shall descry,
And bid it round heaven's altars shed
The fragrance of its blushing head:
Shall raise from earth the latent gem
To glitter on the diadem.

Thomas Gray (1710-1771)
Report frankalsoran60 October 15, 2013 7:59 PM BST
WELL DONE KL, and great for the bosnia fans 1st time in the world... čestitke
Report Ozymandius October 15, 2013 8:05 PM BST
You don't half put us through the wringer, KL. Well done and thanks.  A proper MAX BET earner!
Report Roger De Bris October 15, 2013 10:32 PM BST
I'd like to recommend KL for next Irish manager. He's been to more games in a couple of weeks than Trappatoni has in years.
Report Kerrygold October 15, 2013 11:40 PM BST
Grin nice one keenleader , bosnia side no push overs thats for sure -  they have a couple of big name players in there
Report wildmanfromborneo October 16, 2013 9:34 AM BST
A very revealing thread and true to form.
Keen Leader once again delivering.
I challenge anybody not to read this without getting the sense of panic from Ozymandius as the bet started to struggle,plaintive cries on here and the palpable relief when they finally did score.
I think its fair to,say that this non bettor had some small wager but he suffered so much it will be a while before he has another,he is like his two main men Rocketfingers and Kingrat not really cut out for gambling.
Report reb October 16, 2013 10:13 AM BST
wildman, I don't know if it applies to your jousting friends on here, but a long-term, sussessful gambler will be more affected negatively by his losses than he will be affected positively by his wins. Warren Buffett's first rule of investing is don't lose. His second rule is never forget the first rule.
Report wildmanfromborneo October 16, 2013 10:20 AM BST
Fair comment but this was just nervousness mixed with panic,probably a good job he is an infrequent punter and good thing that he is unable to make his own selections.
Report Rocketfingers October 16, 2013 10:27 AM BST
Totally agree Reb, i have a massive fear of bad days, a bad day for me and i'll shut the machine and go to bed and then beat myself up over it for days, good days i'll just forget about it after an hour or so. Who said you can't teach an old dog new tricks wildman? Well done Reb well thought.
Report Ozymandius October 16, 2013 11:02 AM BST
Another winning Keen leader thread, and Borneo decides to drag it down by bringing our personal feud onto it.  He just cant resist

If profitable posters such as KL and DJ are driven from the forum there is only one man to blame.

I thought my initial decision to lay off the second leg was correct given the odds contraction and indeed borne out by the eventual 1-0 score. I profitably reversed the lay within 5 minutes having seen how well Bosnia were playing.  I would do exactly the same again.

A really enjoyable, passionate, exciting, winning thread and old Grumpy Boots comes on at the end to try and detract from it. WAC!
Report freddiek October 16, 2013 11:06 AM BST
jayzus Ozy..."odds contraction"??

infrequent punter to be sure!
Report Ozymandius October 16, 2013 11:06 AM BST
The contents of this post have been hidden for this blocked user: freddiek.
You can manage your blocked users list     here .
Report wildmanfromborneo October 16, 2013 11:09 AM BST
I acknowledged the quality of Keen Leaders post.

The relevant point here was your panic your indecision and your general discomfort,think you should just revert to your former non gambling state
Report Ozymandius October 16, 2013 11:15 AM BST
No indecision...lay given huge contraction of odds in 2 hours running up to the game, re-back withhn 5 minutes of the game started.  Decision making perfectly vindicated.

Am guessing very few of you saw the game.   Hugely exciting and memorable with Bosnia coming so close time after time.  I had a very big chunk of money riding on it, and as a result was hugely engaged.  Fantastic stuff Love
Report frankalsoran60 October 16, 2013 12:57 PM BST
Bosia had 18attemps on goal before scoreing but i have to say it was one of the most enjoyable bets i ever had[win or lose]
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