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workrider
01 Oct 13 18:59
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Date Joined: 29 Jun 02
| Topic/replies: 33,256 | Blogger: workrider's blog
A mare I have liked since i backed her @ 20/1 in clonmel , heading to sligo tomorrow and should be worth following early on in the season ....
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Report Bigwillystyle October 1, 2013 7:03 PM BST
As far as im concerned the best trainer in the country besides Mullins
Report workrider October 1, 2013 7:16 PM BST
I agree hes above average , considering how small a string he has , I'm surprised he hasn't got more horses from bigger owners ...
Report dj876 October 1, 2013 7:20 PM BST
WR,Don't tell me you're getting into this she might not win tomorrow but will at some stage of the season,we have threads with lists of every runner in the UK already.Wink
She is a right mare but sure god only knows what the plan is with those silks after a 6 month break,debut over fences and another leading contender(as a side note the dam is a good reminder of how capable Eddie Harty is) in the same colours.
Report dj876 October 1, 2013 7:23 PM BST
Even though Christy Roche trained her,really rusty
Report workrider October 1, 2013 7:31 PM BST
I'll be backing her tomorrow dj876 , even though i cant make Sligo , she's a smashing mare , and i cant see her been messed around with , even by you know who....
Report dj876 October 1, 2013 7:36 PM BST
Getting mixed up with Captain Cee Bee(only similarity were colours and supreme novices),hard to revert the mindset to National Hunt.
Nah WR,very unlikely that they would be messing around with her because there are a few nice prizes she's capable of winning.
She should win but she'll be short enough(probably odds on) for a chasing debutant. Gl tho.
Report pa lapsy October 1, 2013 8:02 PM BST
She different class from these,still a break,first chase(E H hasn,t a chase win in over a year from 16 trys)would stop me rushing to back her at what looks like a touch of odds on. GL
Report reb October 1, 2013 9:26 PM BST
Surely, workrider, if you are going to have a bet or not will depend on whether you perceive there is value in her price ?
Report neill d October 1, 2013 9:40 PM BST
The shorter she is the more you'd have on (within reason) in this instance. They've no reason not to play a straight bat given the pattern available later on.
Report workrider October 1, 2013 9:47 PM BST
That goes without saying reb...
Report neill d October 1, 2013 9:51 PM BST
If she happens to be odds against and you are not deterred, a small place lay might be in order as well.
Report reb October 1, 2013 9:51 PM BST
Okay, good luck with it.
Report dj876 October 1, 2013 9:52 PM BST
Although,I know where you're coming from Neil D.There is a much insanity as there is logic to that statement.(Thin Lines)
Wouldn't be a profitable policy with any level of a sample scale.
Report dj876 October 1, 2013 9:55 PM BST
Original statement,although I acknowledge the within reason stipulation and know what you're saying.
Report neill d October 1, 2013 10:03 PM BST
Dya know I said that without even looking at the shape of the race as well dj. This would be a real 5 minutes before the off job for me which I am unable to do midweek these times after getting a bloody full-time jobCry. You're right, there is no set formula for this kind of thing and I think I'm living a bit vicariously through the lads who will get to watch the racing 2moro and make the call!! rat race is sending me delirious I think, and its only been a few months.
Report kavvie October 1, 2013 10:03 PM BST
what your saying neil is that it wont be second after getting a hard race!!
Report neill d October 1, 2013 10:04 PM BST
Its one of those though Kavvie isn't it......
Report neill d October 1, 2013 10:06 PM BST
No data, but as mentioned most odds-onn shots that get beat probably still come second or third. it probably seems that more blow-out because the likes of me remember the ones that are tailed off more.
Report neill d October 1, 2013 10:07 PM BST
It is a bit like the saying that it is harder to beat 10 men, it ain't!!
Report kavvie October 1, 2013 10:07 PM BST
for sure and certain..we wont know til between 2 min before the off and the off.!
Report neill d October 1, 2013 10:08 PM BST
Ya and I'm still fighting myself not to get involved at 1 o'clock tomorrow
Report kavvie October 1, 2013 10:11 PM BST
nothing as bad as backing one like that in good faith and logic at 1 and knowing as they start that your money is gone....1.8 to 2.25 aproxx in 15 seconds..awful feeling
Report pa lapsy October 1, 2013 10:18 PM BST
Be interesting to see that (ex)hype horse Teelin star in the next beginners as well, year off could have done him good but just a watch with that one.
Report kavvie October 1, 2013 10:22 PM BST
jaysus dont remind me.fell in limerick.cost me a good few quid.most prob will need the run id say.appearance and market will tell a lot.
Report dj876 October 1, 2013 10:25 PM BST
Best of luck with the new job Neil D.
I think at this time of year it's very hard to be confident in either code.
With the national Hunt you have the classier animals(not knowing how ready they're) having their first run back against the fit summer horses.Add in normally a change in ground with uncertainty over the form of yards until you have a better sample and it makes for tricky puzzles.
Report neill d October 1, 2013 10:32 PM BST
Cheers DJ, Teelin Star is absolute box-office still, gonna sky-plus the meeting just to see what he'll do. 2 graded novice chases in ireland this week at Tipp and Roscommon and the Graded Hurdle at Tipperary on Saturday looks awfully weak as well. It just shows how festival dominated Irish racing is, fellas would rather come 8th in the Galway Hurdle under a welter burden.
Report pa lapsy October 1, 2013 10:33 PM BST
Hoping there is a little bit of mileage left on the flat(though ground might be changing again) NH always wary of a half fit introduction with the classier ones so agree with you there DJ.
Report dj876 October 1, 2013 10:36 PM BST
Valid point Neil D ,€52,500 in total prize money for that grade 2 hurdle,perhaps the supposed presence of Our Connor (returns in Irish Cesarewitch now)scared a few off but still there would have been decent place money.
Report neill d October 1, 2013 10:37 PM BST
Yeah dangerous time of year, especially some of the really babyish types that are going to be sent out in back-end maidens. I'm sure I'll be caught by a few from Stoute that have beautiful pedigrees and should handle a bit of cut without even starting into the ground changing. Richard Hughes reckons the ground has even changed at Wolverhampton with the new surface!!
Report neill d October 1, 2013 10:39 PM BST
Yeah that is what probably did it dj, I'd be interested enough to see him again on the flat anyway. He won the thing with Minsk when hurdling was the plan so he could be readyish. he is a strong travelling kind of hurdle horse, its a bit pot and there must be loads of juice in a mid 80's mark. They've a big fee to recoup!!
Report neill d October 1, 2013 10:40 PM BST
big poy*
Report neill d October 1, 2013 10:41 PM BST
pot ffs
Report dj876 October 1, 2013 10:48 PM BST
Crazy fee for a horse (open to correction)hasn't won over hurdles on ground better than soft-good to soft in places.He couldn't have been any more impressive in Triumph but what did he beat(Big fan of the horse don't get me wrong but still has questions to answer).
It looks like he will be taking on the fly in all the grade 1 races here,first clash in morgiana maybe.
A positive for Our Conor for Cheltenham is imo they always over water on the first day at the festival against speedsters like Jezki and MTOY.
Report neill d October 1, 2013 10:59 PM BST
Great to have at least 3 top-class 2 mile hurdlers in Ireland again. Races like the Morgiana have been processions for way too long. Poor aul Go Native would have added an awful lot to the scene last year. I'd love to see the big 3 line up together.

Our Conner isn't a betting proposition for me at this stage I'd imagine, not looked at the Irish Ces, but if the big Flat stables have strong candidates and he fares well, we'll have learned a bit more about him. It is possible that he could get away with never tackling quickish ground the way they water at Cheltenham now, plenty of races between now and then and no need to continue after, at least not this season anyway.
Report pa lapsy October 1, 2013 11:17 PM BST
Off 84 Our Conor would look to have a great chance in it,supposed to be very well in himself as well according to latest trainer comments,comes down to price but with softish ground looks a fairly good bet and anyway fit think will take all the beating in a not too strong field,not original but maybe he is totally different class.
Report pa lapsy October 2, 2013 2:28 PM BST
E H with regards to Dressedtothenines "she is good form,has schooled well and is ready for her first start of the season,the 2m1f trip might be on the sharp side but we want to start off low key".
Currently best price is at 8/11.
Report punchestown October 2, 2013 3:10 PM BST
Better for the run.
Report kingrat October 2, 2013 3:16 PM BST
^^^yeah,thats a great observation but that is of no use.the chump's (wr) dough is in the satchel!Laugh
Report pa lapsy October 2, 2013 3:23 PM BST
Yeah Punch only seemed half fit, see your buddy Hidden Cyclone is having a crack off the Paddy Power,with a fair weight should have a good chance in it,though the hill would be a worry.
Lat Hawill in the 2.40 at Newcastle looked very useful,know it was a maiden think it could well be a group horse,wonder where he,ll go next.
Report punchestown October 2, 2013 3:39 PM BST
And Teelin Star blows out yet again.
Report pa lapsy October 2, 2013 6:13 PM BST
Second time GiantofaMan was unsteerable in the closing stages, Hood time already.
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