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23 Jul 13
14:30
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Date Joined:
27 Sep 11
Hard to get the juices flowing for this one, but a winner is a winner, and with 7 days in Ballybrit looming, a winner is needed!! I generally try to steer clear of weekend contenders from a previous weeks Major, but am making a couple of exceptions this week. Brandt Snedeker, after a quiet spell, is starting to look like the player from the early part of the season again. Only for a nightmare hour on Friday, he could have been very much involved on Sunday. His putter, in the main, looked to be back behaving at its best, and if that is the case this week, he will be hard to beat on a course where he finished 5th on his only previous visit. Always a worry coming back from the totally different conditions of a British Open, but hopefully Sneds relative freshness(only played 5 weekends in the past 14 weeks), can keep him going through Sunday evening. 14s e.w 6 places in Betvictor looks a good place to start.
The prices of other market leaders are much easier to resist, so its to Jerry Kelly at 80-1 that I go next. Kelly has no Open hangover to deal with, and of those that didn't play last week, he is certainly one in the best form. A 4th in the John Deere was hugely promising, and he has been knocking on the door plenty recently. With some course knowledge, and of a positive variety at that, a week where the big boys may have their eyes slightly off the ball, may be the week where Kelly deservedly gets his nose in front.
Camilo Villegas, may be someone I am in danger of following over a cliff, but I am convinced he is going to strike soon, and his starting prices and promising displays are allowing for continued investment. Indeed he looked like getting involved at Muirfield halfway through Friday, but then had an atrocious back 9, which led to missing the cut by one. For the purposes of this week, that one shot miss could be a blessing. On a couple of occasions this year he has looked like contending for victory, without quite getting into the real heat of battle. He has consistently been hitting superb approaches to par 5s lately, and with them holes all reachable this week, I can see him taking them apart, and setting himself up for a very good week.
Y E Yang is someone who appeared to have totally lost his way. But recent signs are much more promising, having missed 5 consecutive cuts, he has steadily improved in each of the last 3 weeks, culminating in a very respectable finish in Muirfield. The confidence gained there, can more than counteract the potential hangover. Indeed it is probably no conincidence that Yang is beginning to find some form, with the anniversary of downing the Tiger in the USPGA fast approaching. 125-1 e.w, or 110s with the 6th place seems a value wager.
Will also have a smaller investment on Chez Reavie, the 2008 winner. Another player who has started to find some form, albeit inconsistent, lately. But where better for him to strike than at the venue of his breakthrough win(where he done me a big favour
, and a week that will be far more important to him than many of those taking a far bigger chunk out of the market.
GL all, and don't forget to have a pop at Deplasterers comp, a generous gesture indeed.
The prices of other market leaders are much easier to resist, so its to Jerry Kelly at 80-1 that I go next. Kelly has no Open hangover to deal with, and of those that didn't play last week, he is certainly one in the best form. A 4th in the John Deere was hugely promising, and he has been knocking on the door plenty recently. With some course knowledge, and of a positive variety at that, a week where the big boys may have their eyes slightly off the ball, may be the week where Kelly deservedly gets his nose in front.
Camilo Villegas, may be someone I am in danger of following over a cliff, but I am convinced he is going to strike soon, and his starting prices and promising displays are allowing for continued investment. Indeed he looked like getting involved at Muirfield halfway through Friday, but then had an atrocious back 9, which led to missing the cut by one. For the purposes of this week, that one shot miss could be a blessing. On a couple of occasions this year he has looked like contending for victory, without quite getting into the real heat of battle. He has consistently been hitting superb approaches to par 5s lately, and with them holes all reachable this week, I can see him taking them apart, and setting himself up for a very good week.
Y E Yang is someone who appeared to have totally lost his way. But recent signs are much more promising, having missed 5 consecutive cuts, he has steadily improved in each of the last 3 weeks, culminating in a very respectable finish in Muirfield. The confidence gained there, can more than counteract the potential hangover. Indeed it is probably no conincidence that Yang is beginning to find some form, with the anniversary of downing the Tiger in the USPGA fast approaching. 125-1 e.w, or 110s with the 6th place seems a value wager.
Will also have a smaller investment on Chez Reavie, the 2008 winner. Another player who has started to find some form, albeit inconsistent, lately. But where better for him to strike than at the venue of his breakthrough win(where he done me a big favour
, and a week that will be far more important to him than many of those taking a far bigger chunk out of the market.GL all, and don't forget to have a pop at Deplasterers comp, a generous gesture indeed.
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Loathe backing favourites in golf, but the more I look at this event the more I am drawn to Brendt Snedeker. He has some awesome stats for the year already:
26th GIR, 17th strokes gained putting, 8th scoring average plus 7 top 10's and a 1st, 2nd & 3rd in 15 events played in 2013. He was tied 11th at Muirfield and had the best scoring average out of all the field their at the par 5's. With four par 5's at this new venue, Glen Abbey, (where he finished 5th last time played here in 2008)I can't find a reason to leave him out even at the skinny price.
Charl Schwartzel has been threatening a win this past while, so am sticking with him and going for a lively outsider in Sang moon bae.
Exchange prices
Brandt Snedeker 15's W & Pl
Charl Schwartzel 23's W & Pl
Sang Moon Bae 190's W & Pl.
GL.
26th GIR, 17th strokes gained putting, 8th scoring average plus 7 top 10's and a 1st, 2nd & 3rd in 15 events played in 2013. He was tied 11th at Muirfield and had the best scoring average out of all the field their at the par 5's. With four par 5's at this new venue, Glen Abbey, (where he finished 5th last time played here in 2008)I can't find a reason to leave him out even at the skinny price.
Charl Schwartzel has been threatening a win this past while, so am sticking with him and going for a lively outsider in Sang moon bae.
Exchange prices
Brandt Snedeker 15's W & Pl
Charl Schwartzel 23's W & Pl
Sang Moon Bae 190's W & Pl.
GL.
This is one of the best tournies on the regular tour. Always a great venue, and a few refer to it as " The fifth major "
Already said over on the golf forum that Snedeker is, for me, the stand out bet @ 14/1 top 6.
Also, I think that McDowell could have a few things to say here. Forget last week. He is in great shape, and his stats say it all. 25/1 E/W
Can't leave out Billy Horschel. 40/1 E/W
Might chuck a few bob on Justin Hicks, on here, but would want a bigger price than where he is now.
Good luck.
Already said over on the golf forum that Snedeker is, for me, the stand out bet @ 14/1 top 6.
Also, I think that McDowell could have a few things to say here. Forget last week. He is in great shape, and his stats say it all. 25/1 E/W
Can't leave out Billy Horschel. 40/1 E/W
Might chuck a few bob on Justin Hicks, on here, but would want a bigger price than where he is now.
Good luck.
- Rarely touch favs in the golf but am another that is v keen on Snedeker this week like a good few
The most in form player in the world the start of the season but lost a bit of form after his injury but in his last 3 starts has bein showing big signs of revival
Great all round player and 5th wen last played here in 2009
- Daniel Summerhays has been a revelation the last few weeks
4th in the John Deere, 9th in the Greenbrier and beat in a playoff this week in the Sanderson Farms in his last 3 starts
Is an interestin price at 55/1 to be first round leader too imo, can b a fast starter (65,65,63) opening rounds in his last 3 tournaments
- Billy Horschel 35/1 - Mr Consistent this season with 7 top 10s and 17 out of 19 cuts made, won the Zurich Classic and has 2nd (Shell Houston open) 3rd (Texas Open and a 4th (US Open) also on his CV
Brandt Snedeker 14/1 ew
Daniel Summerhays 55/1 ew
Daniel Summerhays 55/1 ew First round leader 5 places
Billy Horschel 35/1 ew
and smaller on
Rory Sabbatini 100/1 ew - hit and miss player but has 2 top 10 finishes in his last 6 events
Nicholas Thompson 66/1 ew - played well wen 4th last week, final round let him down for the win
Scott Stallings 66/1 ew - has lost some form after a run of form of 4-4-2 but his price now compensates for it
The most in form player in the world the start of the season but lost a bit of form after his injury but in his last 3 starts has bein showing big signs of revival
Great all round player and 5th wen last played here in 2009
- Daniel Summerhays has been a revelation the last few weeks
4th in the John Deere, 9th in the Greenbrier and beat in a playoff this week in the Sanderson Farms in his last 3 starts
Is an interestin price at 55/1 to be first round leader too imo, can b a fast starter (65,65,63) opening rounds in his last 3 tournaments
- Billy Horschel 35/1 - Mr Consistent this season with 7 top 10s and 17 out of 19 cuts made, won the Zurich Classic and has 2nd (Shell Houston open) 3rd (Texas Open and a 4th (US Open) also on his CV
Brandt Snedeker 14/1 ew
Daniel Summerhays 55/1 ew
Daniel Summerhays 55/1 ew First round leader 5 places
Billy Horschel 35/1 ew
and smaller on
Rory Sabbatini 100/1 ew - hit and miss player but has 2 top 10 finishes in his last 6 events
Nicholas Thompson 66/1 ew - played well wen 4th last week, final round let him down for the win
Scott Stallings 66/1 ew - has lost some form after a run of form of 4-4-2 but his price now compensates for it
I see u are keepin up the chase on the golf forum comp too Deplasterer, tis drivin me mental, everytime i get a nice winner and think il get way closer, but den look and one of the fkers at the top always has it too 
Gettin inside the top 15 BJG is the main priority, you are well within stricking distance of the top, it's the feckers behind me I'm worried about that might nail me late on.
Im with you aswell bjg with Summerhays e/w 6 places 40/1 with powers,going to have to do him aswell for the 1st round leader aswell now,hopefully hes out nice and early,going to do small e/w bets aswell on Snedeker at 14/1 and Schwartzel aswell 20/1,good luck with your bets.
Thanks for the heads up DP. Will reallocate the stake money!!
This should be renamed the all aboard the Sneds train,I'm in anyway, has a nice early start and on the back nine to boot(3 par 5's),so hopefully off to a flyer.GL
The moneys for Schwartzel this week, 25's into 19.5.
As Pa says, Sneds out early, I'm having a pop at him for 1st round leader too at 20's with PP.
As Pa says, Sneds out early, I'm having a pop at him for 1st round leader too at 20's with PP.
Sustituted Kelly for Lingmerth, 90s 6 places. Slow start from Sned
Sent you a message there DP. Let me know if you cant receive them....i know some cant.
Callit, I can get it from work mate but not home, is it ok till morning? Email is
yyzryan@yahoo.co.uk
yyzryan@yahoo.co.uk
Callit, was able to access from phone, message replied.
Got that DP. Only in from work, is course playing a lot harder this eve? No one threatening a good score.
Par5's again decked him, some build up I gave him after the open, still a chance, Mahan will melt at some stage, lay for me.
Who have you in Europe big, regards golf comp, my 3 made cut but not much hope of win.
Only 1 of my 3 made the cut i think - didnt even look at it tbh with no tv coverage
Same as, piss poor event, hoey probably good price pre tourney, couldn't even tell you who was jolly for it.
Simon Dyson was 10s fav - gave a quick look mon but wen i saw there was nothin on tv i didnt even bother with it
Best thing I can say bout my bets, is that the 5 of them made the cut. Lingmerth dropped 3 shots in two holes, having been right in it. Sned bogeyed the two easy par 5s, when birdies are a given, then somehow his eagle putt on 18 didn't drop. Im still actually pretty keen on Villegas. He shot 7 under yet only par 3 of the par 5s. Was 5 under for last 7, including missing from 3 feet on his 17th. I think this lad has a 59 in him before the seasons end. Its ridiculous how many approaches he is stiffing lately. A round, and a tournament, will all come together soon, and I want to be on!! Will top up at 160. Had a good cut on Cirrus Des Aigles, class above to the opposition today. And think the 11-4 on Meath to beat Tyrone is the GAA bet of weekend.
I haven't given up on Snedeker just yet, does need to go really low and hope Mahan stalls, but that can happen, topped up at 34's anyway, come what may.
Yeah, just had few extra quid on myself, he is playing better that his score suggests. Hopefully can get within 3 or 4, have a pop at it tomorrow. Yang at 4-5 in 2 ball looks standout bet, against Langley.
Hunter Mahan pulled out due to given birth!!!!!
Sneds -3 through 5, still in with a shout now
Sneds -3 through 5, still in with a shout now
OMG i had a 10e dbl mahan at 20s and langer at 11s i am in shock 
Sneds is da man, feel sort for Mahan, not, what play from the Helga champ!
Without wanting jam on it, he'd never birdie the last as well. Could never have seen him been here at the start of the day. Still won't be far enough clear of Dustin and Kuchar. Balls of steel for ya to have gone in again today Deplasterer.
Deplasterer you the man............running right into form for Goodwood, oh and Galwaaaaaaaaaaaaay..............
Lads, if you have Bacin backin pod for Years, it's easy, we know our golf.
Cmon, this is better than micco last week, loathe to lay, but the purple is awful.
Ive taken my stake back anyway now - most likely winner for sure but has been known to b a wobbly front runner
Big, don't, be saying that, the golf forum is in turmoil, how are theyv Gina pay a Paddy again
Deplasterer are you ok ?.........in any event Greg Owen wins so here's my Number, so call me..........not 2 early, mind..........
The Sned express is back on track!! Cracking round from my point of view, with Lingmerth now in second. Only thing i would change, is that it would be much better if it was the 4th round!! Heading Galway tomorrow afternoon for the week, be down in time to settle in for few pints to watch the evenings play. Be a superb start to the week. Feel i due one after close shaves, and odds on shots ending up beat in about 5 of the last 8 weeks. With Jerry Kelly withdrawing, and me moving stake to Longmerth, and then Mahan pulling out today, i feel the tide is turning........
Did you get a text off me today DP? I just stuck in the number as is. Will have info each day about 1.30pm.
. With Jerry Kelly withdrawing, and me moving stake to Longmerth, and then Mahan pulling out today, i feel the tide is turning........ Did you get a text off me today DP? I just stuck in the number as is. Will have info each day about 1.30pm.
Mad drunk lads, in .heading to see yeats contrycto tomorrow, eading to s
ha,bizarre golf saturday in canada,supposed cream rising to top 
Who me? I've sobered, haven't a clue who you are on about
Callit, back in real world here now, I think from down south you drop first zero and add 0044, having said that I'm in Sligo at present, so haven't a baldies what you do there
Da Fallon, only reading last nites thread now in sobriety, desperate stuff, pp/spoils might refund there
Stuck a few quid on Kuch at 5s, and Dusty at 12.5 as small cover shots.
No real low scores so far either windy or difficult pins certainly seems a lot tougher than the last few days. Not a bad thing for Snedeker hopefully.
Greened up on Sneds here anyway - but wat drama in the Seniors open!
Snedeker only hanging on now after looking to in cruise control most of the round,Dustin eagle this and Sneds in height of trouble.
Arrived in from an expensive session with the kids on the Salthill amusements to watch Sned bogey, and Lingmerth triple!! Not amused
Your out of touch I'm out time, I'm out of my head when you're not around.
Am gonna wreck Mp, and were on the rocky roll to Dublin12345
Holy moly me oh my,
he's the apple of my eye,
oh bring it home,
oh bring it home.
Top bombing by the by the usual golf fellas(and Maggot) on here,the first 1/2 dozen posts were unanimous, after a stinking couple of weeks on the horses a nice win for me, fair play.
he's the apple of my eye,
oh bring it home,
oh bring it home.
Top bombing by the by the usual golf fellas(and Maggot) on here,the first 1/2 dozen posts were unanimous, after a stinking couple of weeks on the horses a nice win for me, fair play.
It will be even easier for Pod next week. The Bridgestone owes him one!!
. The Bridgestone owes him one!!
We must also thank Missus Mahan for feeling a bit frisky sometime last October!! Just hope its Hunters baby.....if it comes out looking like Tiger....uh oh
Pa, take all the luck you can get, but new birth is different class, fair play to him.
Sned could be very prominent now til end of season. Best player in the world in the early months, he has rediscovered the touch. And remains fresher than most after the injury layoff.
Delight with finaly backing a winner in Sned in the golf,well done all the other winners.
Charge landed, wd all
Very keen on him for the USPGA and tonight has only enhanced confidence
Very keen on him for the USPGA and tonight has only enhanced confidence
Will certainly be in the squad BJG. Are ya on the road DP??!!
Took the last of the 40s yest so happy enough - my least fav major tho so have nt much of a book goin compared to others so far
Him and Schwartzel main ones in the book so far!
Lookin forward to next week 1st tho, Firestone always a quality field and this year no different, had Mahan picked out as my main bet but rob wont b able to back after this week! (if he even turns up)
Him and Schwartzel main ones in the book so far!
Lookin forward to next week 1st tho, Firestone always a quality field and this year no different, had Mahan picked out as my main bet but rob wont b able to back after this week! (if he even turns up)
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