Forums

Irish Sports

Welcome to Live View – Take the tour to learn more
Start Tour
There is currently 1 person viewing this thread.
jimeen
18 Jun 13 12:24
Joined:
Date Joined: 26 May 04
| Topic/replies: 1,864 | Blogger: jimeen's blog
How could anybody back it,there are loads of reasons to oppose it and i genuinely cant believe this hype. I understand laying horses isnt easy but if you dont lay this,then you should never lay an other horse in my humble opinion.
Here are some of my reasons for opposing it.
1. Ground doubt
2. Tonguestrap
3. Blinkers
4. American jockey
5. Travelling
6. Possible Draw Difficulty
7.Straight mile
8. All opposition trying
9. Meydan form
10. Overall form not that good
Well thats my reading of it anyway,maybe it will win but i doubt it very much.
Pause • Switch to Standard View Animal Kingdom is the worst price in...
Show More
Loading...
Report CheltenhamRoar • June 18, 2013 12:42 PM BST
Has won on turf before.

Why is a Tonguestrap a worry?

Almost all American horses wear blinkers.

plenty of oversees horses have won at Ascot.

No one knows where the draw bias is as yet.

Straight mile,Scraping the barrell there.

All opposition trying,Thats fairly obvious,Have they not tried against him in his previous races?

Nothing wrong with his Meydan form,Or any of his previous form for that matter.
Report slickster • June 18, 2013 12:47 PM BST
At the price a definite lay.
Report jimeen • June 18, 2013 12:56 PM BST
Cheltenham Roar,if you think that the straight mile is no issue,nor the application of a tonguestrap,then i think we are on a different wavelength. He will have never have run on this kind of turf either.
Report CheltenhamRoar • June 18, 2013 1:01 PM BST
Turf is turf,unless its like a bog which today wont be,He's won on Dirt,Turf and polytrack,

anyway i wont be backing him,just playing devils advocate,

im happy going with Declaration of war each way.
Report Gagging • June 18, 2013 1:02 PM BST
By some way the best horse in the race - still a value bet imho at Evs
Report pa lapsy • June 18, 2013 1:05 PM BST
Trainer is happy with the ground and has been in Lambourn for the last 3 weeks.
Don,t think the opposition is great myself Jimeen, Declaration of War 2 lengths ahead of Bold Thady Quill and then getting stuffed by Farhh, Elusive Kate over 6l behind Excelebration while Animal Kingdom was 2l ahead of him.Hard to back them 2 against him with much confidence, maybe the race might throw up a shock result with a big price, not sure i,d lay him but GL
Report jimeen • June 18, 2013 1:35 PM BST
Pa Lapsy,do you honestly think that Excelebration was at his best on firm ground in that dog track in America. If Excelebration was in this it would win alone.
Cheltenham roar,turf in the states is akin to the runway at dublin airport,this is completely different.
Report keen leader • June 18, 2013 1:43 PM BST
jimeen makes valid points, on the flipside those that are rigid followers of ORs will view him as a point and steer.

one point that is very relevant and will certainly come into play at this fixture given the events of late, is whether or not foreign handlers take a risk on medication. I would be certain that this horse has run with the aid of medication at home, and one would now have to question the whole system of testing in the UAE.  it could be the case that Animal Kingdom is immense when fuel propelled, rather ordinary without. this is a very poor group 1, the temptation is to lay.
Report pa lapsy • June 18, 2013 1:52 PM BST
I don,t Jimeen, still it is there and was an unlucky run by Animal Kingdom, he was powering away from him once clear.Dog track is fair enough, not sure about firm ground excuse for Excelebration as he handled it well in his first few races.Leaves the question whether you would think Excelebration underperformed by 8L+ that night to think Elusive Kate would beat him, i don,t think it does, though straight mile
and your other factors might.
Anyway its nothing more than a counter argument,gl.
Report jimeen • June 18, 2013 1:58 PM BST
Keen Leader,was just watching a guy from timeform on ATR and he is saying that Animal Kingdom has very little in hand on their ratings,certainly not enough to be as short as he is. I didnt want to make that point regarding the medication,because i think i read somewhere where this horse is supposed to run fuel free. Even reading that i was saying to myself,drug free my whole. The jockey could be a huge liability here too,thats much more important than people think. The one worrying thing and again im in agreement,its a poor renewal but still though win or lose i would consider this the worst even money shot i can remember,with the amount of complete unknowns its a stonking lay.
Lastly they showed a clip of him working with some horse at wherever he is being stabled in England,now i know not the weights or the other horse involved,but if it wasnt Shea Shea in receipt of a stone id say it was a very laboured effort.
Report kingrat • June 18, 2013 2:01 PM BST
won once out of 4 times on turf,is its best trip over a mile?the maydan form dosent exactly scream super star , for me this is a no brainer at the price and have it the lay button.
Report CheltenhamRoar • June 18, 2013 2:39 PM BST
Cool
Report pa lapsy • June 18, 2013 2:41 PM BST
Wd jimeen shocking run from AK, hope you got the winner as well.
Report Rocketfingers • June 18, 2013 2:41 PM BST
Thanks for the money Pa Cool
Report kingrat • June 18, 2013 2:43 PM BST
hype dosent win races but gives false prices.Wink
Report pa lapsy • June 18, 2013 2:43 PM BST
Wd with your 4/6 winner Rocket,race i left alone and only bets i did are on the Royal Ascot thread.
Report Rocketfingers • June 18, 2013 2:50 PM BST
Pa that any man who made as many posts as you did would then claim after it loses did not have a large sum on him, anyway i won't say a word bar unlucky mate and remember you have another 29 races left to get your money back, ask King for some hints or tips.
Report kavvie • June 18, 2013 2:52 PM BST
the rocket /king axis of evil are trying their best to get everyone..there seems to be a 2 min lapse from one comment to the other backing him up(i presume i got him blocked)pa is a decent logical contributer.he doesnt deserve any crap thrown at him
Report pa lapsy • June 18, 2013 2:54 PM BST
Rocket if you want to score points against me fair enough, Good thread started by the OP and doesn,t deserve anything else on it but congrats to him.
Report kingrat • June 18, 2013 2:55 PM BST
shush!the snitch kav has arrived!Shocked
Report Rocketfingers • June 18, 2013 2:59 PM BST
Not trying to score points at all against you pa mate. Stop being so defensive.
Report Kelly • June 18, 2013 3:11 PM BST
Good call Jimeen .  Big money at the death for the winner , thought it had lost a leg in the run up to the start when it hit 12.5 .
Report neill d • June 18, 2013 6:40 PM BST
Very good shout Jimeen, sound reasoning and never in doubt after a furlong.
Report wildmanfromborneo • June 19, 2013 11:36 AM BST
A quite brilliant thread with some excellent follow up posts.

A well reasoned opening post from Jimeen with fortright views,a good contribution from CheltenhamRoar where he first played devils advocate thus extending the debate but then advised an each way punt on the winner.

Keen Leader weighed in with the trump card the medication angle,there is some friction between him and Jimeen but together they put up the best argument I have seen for a lay for a long long time.

I always like to lay horses coming off medication but in this instance I stalled my lay til the St James Palace Stakes to attack my nemesis again,dear oh dear.
Post Your Reply
<CTRL+Enter> to submit
Please login to post a reply.

Wonder

Instance ID: 13539
www.betfair.com