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i think this will run a massive race tomorrow ....hes won over 3 mls , wont mind the going , had a nice prep behind the fav lto....sure to give you a run for your money .....good luck all punters ......
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stats are very poor for horses carrying big weights wr
Its true the stats do favour the lower weighted but its far from inconcievable that a welter burden can prevail, in 97 Couldn't be Better carried 12st to victory as did Bob Treacy in 99, in 2000 Micko's Dream carried 11st7 so too did Siegemaster a couple of year ago.
This Medical Card interests me for Meade, it won a decent Grade 2 novice last year, hasn't shown much in 3 runs since, has had one run this season back in November, and is now thrown into the deep end against some seasoned performers, he's inexperienced I know but he was officially rated 141 after his grade 2 win, now rated 130, ground wouldn't be a worry won a novice chase on heavy at Limerick, speculative ew for me.
This Medical Card interests me for Meade, it won a decent Grade 2 novice last year, hasn't shown much in 3 runs since, has had one run this season back in November, and is now thrown into the deep end against some seasoned performers, he's inexperienced I know but he was officially rated 141 after his grade 2 win, now rated 130, ground wouldn't be a worry won a novice chase on heavy at Limerick, speculative ew for me.
i have been attending thyestes day for more than 30 years and my one stat for the race that stands isout, to avoid at all costs horses who previously have not run in a handicap chase.
only once in my timeframe has a handicap chase debutant won the race, that was the mare be my belle, who apart from being a course specialist, had in fairness placed in her 3 previous chases starts in graded races.
if my stat holds up, the 3 to instantly forget about, all never having run in a handicap chase before are, 1-son amix, 2- the westerner boy, 3- toon river.
only once in my timeframe has a handicap chase debutant won the race, that was the mare be my belle, who apart from being a course specialist, had in fairness placed in her 3 previous chases starts in graded races.
if my stat holds up, the 3 to instantly forget about, all never having run in a handicap chase before are, 1-son amix, 2- the westerner boy, 3- toon river.
1 IN GREAT FORM GOOD EW ON LAS YEARS FORM IMO AP PICKED WRONG JP HORSE
2 SOLE WITNESS WON WITH GOOD BIT IN HAND LAS TIME AND COULD BE VERY WELL HANDICAPPED
3 TOON RIVER THINK HE NEEDED RUN LTO AND STAYED ON AGAIN AND WILL GIVE DJ GOOD SPIN
GOOD LUCK PUNTERS
2 SOLE WITNESS WON WITH GOOD BIT IN HAND LAS TIME AND COULD BE VERY WELL HANDICAPPED
3 TOON RIVER THINK HE NEEDED RUN LTO AND STAYED ON AGAIN AND WILL GIVE DJ GOOD SPIN
GOOD LUCK PUNTERS
the other 2 imponerables for today
1- bog warrior......will he stay 3 miles....what sort of cat and mouse race will it be between walsh and russell?.
2- time please, second fav in the poor maiden hurdle. no o grady winner since mid november, the stable on outside appearance looks a victim of the recession...is this a play or lay....the one that beat it at limerick, ran to its mark of 109 yesterday. a 109-115 performance here may be enough....interesting stat on this race is that the jockey on the jolly here, bell weir, mickey butler, despite hailing from kilkenny has never ridden at winner at the track, although as only 2 of his past course rides have started at single digit odds, it may not be fair to play it against the jockey.
1- bog warrior......will he stay 3 miles....what sort of cat and mouse race will it be between walsh and russell?.
2- time please, second fav in the poor maiden hurdle. no o grady winner since mid november, the stable on outside appearance looks a victim of the recession...is this a play or lay....the one that beat it at limerick, ran to its mark of 109 yesterday. a 109-115 performance here may be enough....interesting stat on this race is that the jockey on the jolly here, bell weir, mickey butler, despite hailing from kilkenny has never ridden at winner at the track, although as only 2 of his past course rides have started at single digit odds, it may not be fair to play it against the jockey.
For me Zaidpour will take all the beating and if Bog warrior does manage it he would be a serious player for the World hurdle. The thyestes looks particularly difficult and will be a race i will throw a few darts at some big priced horses
BOG WARRIOR LOOKS SUPERSTAR ON THIS GROUND OVER HURDLES AND HE WILL TAKE THIS ON WAY TO WORLD HURDLE IF GROUND STAYS SOFT AT CHELT
Todays race will suit Zaidpour more than Leopardstown at Christmas, he is going right handed for one. There are only 5 runners and it could be a slowly run race, i am of the opinion that Zaidpour is not the strongest stayer over 3m, yes he won this race last year but that was run at a crawl and at Christmas in a proper run race Monksland outstayed him, that in time may turn out to be top class form but as it is i'm not sure he wants an end to end gallop over 3m (which looks unlikely today)
I have my doubts about Son Amix being a genuine stayer at the trip.Granted he has won over it but that was in a slowly run small field race.Gowran today will be truly run and a tough test.I can see him travelling well and trading shorter than his SP in running but failing to get home.
Extraordinary that Willie Mullins seemed not to try and win the Thyestes withdrew all his horses that had a chance and ran a horse that they felt wouldnt get round.
wildmanfromborneo , if you want that horse of his he spoke about to me on sat email me ..leipzig@eircom.net
w.r...il take a piece of that mullins horse to mate if ye dont mind....
Thanks Workrider but i am illiterate in that department i am just learning how to read personal messages.
lucky you didn't . i'm using my sons lap top and iv'e forgotten my password so unable to access my email....
....us old codgers eh...never mind i'll let you know asap ....
....us old codgers eh...never mind i'll let you know asap ....
Workrider are you going to leoparstown over the wkd,going out on saturday
sad to hear that catch me , although i fell out of love with him the day he let me down for £72 ,000 ....still r.i.p...old fella....
workrider 03 Feb 13 18:32
nightmare for me , only consolation for me was , i think i saw a cheltenham winner ....
Presume that was AB
nightmare for me , only consolation for me was , i think i saw a cheltenham winner ....
Presume that was AB
Wonky spot a Cheltenham winner? Will yas stop ffs... This fool couldn't spot the winner of a 1 horse race... 
workrider
Date Joined: 29 Jun 02
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05 Feb 13 19:18
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no not that one KNOW WHICH 1 NOW ONLY HOPE IT GOES FOR THE RACE I THINK IT SHOULD
Date Joined: 29 Jun 02
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05 Feb 13 19:18
Joined:
29 Jun 02
| Topic/replies: 12,783 | Blogger: workrider's blog
no not that one KNOW WHICH 1 NOW ONLY HOPE IT GOES FOR THE RACE I THINK IT SHOULD
'Top drawer" Mozoltov is Cheltenham bound
Mozoltov has been doing good work at home and I've been waiting for a nice race to get him out instead of taking on one of our own. I didn't think he'd be taking on as good a bunch as these and he has to go into 'the top drawer'. I'd imagine we're looking for the Supreme Novices hurdle with him and he can only be better on better ground and Ruby said he wasn't at home on that ground today. W P Mullins, trainer.
Mozoltov has been doing good work at home and I've been waiting for a nice race to get him out instead of taking on one of our own. I didn't think he'd be taking on as good a bunch as these and he has to go into 'the top drawer'. I'd imagine we're looking for the Supreme Novices hurdle with him and he can only be better on better ground and Ruby said he wasn't at home on that ground today. W P Mullins, trainer.
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