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workrider
16 Jan 13 17:17
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Date Joined: 29 Jun 02
| Topic/replies: 8,558 | Blogger: workrider's blog
i think this has a massive chance tomorrow....i know the world and its wife say ballycasey ...having backed this fellow in both its wins i'll be taking him on tomorrow with bonisland ..ballycasey is a fine specimen of a horse and has done all that's been asked of him so far ...his bumper win from our vinnie showed he had guts , but his maiden hurdle win got me asking myself a few questions , was his jumping good ...answer it was , plus he won with his head in his chest , i'd say it was a poor maiden though , noble pageant is not exactly high class..
he also seems to need time between his race . patrick has won on him twice , ruby takes over tomorrow ....a plus many would say ...he is also stepping up in trip .....
now to bonisland ...won its bumper well at rosscommon , even if it was a little on the sort side for him  always a good sign imo...he also won over the distance at down royal , shaping like a horse that needed the step up in distance ...
his last run is a stand out for me ...though he only finish forth , to a potential champion i might add , he was not knocked about in the circumstances , although on the small side , he looks to me like he'll enjoy both the conditions and distance tomorrow and at 3/1 looks the value to me.....good luck all punters ...
Pause Switch to Standard View bonisland thurles tomorrow....
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Report p_r_e_m_i_e_r__f_a_n_t_a_s_y January 16, 2013 5:26 PM GMT
Ballycasey's bumper win over Our Vinnie giving him 3lbs (6lbs) with the jockeys claim is some form, especially if you use a line through Rule The World (slammed Bonisland giving him 4lbs) who Our Vinnie beat at Cork.
Report punchestown January 16, 2013 5:27 PM GMT
Trappy looking affair in which you couldn't rule out anything as the three outsiders all won LTO and I think the top 2 in the betting are opposable.
Report workrider January 16, 2013 5:38 PM GMT
i see were your coming from premier , read and noted , as they say in the civil service .....lots of improvement as well after its last win , but bonisland looks to me like it has a lot more to offer than we have already seen , once again the step up in distance is a big plus for this fellow...he also receives 5lb...not a bad thing either to be sure ....
Report wildmanfromborneo January 16, 2013 5:45 PM GMT
Ballycasey has been a massive drifter on both his racing starts,he obviously shows nothing at home.
His bumper win at Leopardstown is top class form and his hurdle debut in Clonmel looked straight forward  yet he drifted from 1/3 to 6/4,he won that easy enough but this lad probably works badly but he is decent and I think he will win tomorrow.
What the fat man will do is another matter,hopefully he will continue to be negative about it which will make it drift,if you are going to back it wait til you see the whites of his eyes and then wait a bit more I think his best price will be at the off.
Report workrider January 16, 2013 5:52 PM GMT
wildmanfroborneo , i'd say the plan tomorrow is let this fellow off and they'll punt him off the boards ,they will want to see if its worth taking him to cheltenham as part of their team ,  i'm starting to think i should back this now.....Laugh
Report tony57 January 16, 2013 5:53 PM GMT
workrider
i was bullish about this horse after backing it on debut and fto over hurdles.. ..but its 3rd to busty brown was a let down to me..i hope your right and the horse wins for you..i know lto was better..but i,d be surprised if it beat the mullins runner...my only bet will be days hotel,,,good luck
Report slickster January 16, 2013 5:57 PM GMT
You drinking Wonky? Horse has no chance. Roscommon? Down Royal? Gaff tracks.And he's getting 3lbs NOT 5.....
Report workrider January 16, 2013 6:01 PM GMT
sorry slickster , i was looking at the top weight you're right ..3lbs...
Report workrider January 16, 2013 6:05 PM GMT
don't fancy days hotel tony...going up in trip a worry ,plus THAT HEAD CARRIAGE...i think rdm is the answer ...he can make the running at a good clip if neither of the other giggy horses don't want to...relth dub not the horse he was , so for me that form is questionable.......
Report snap crackle and pop January 16, 2013 6:34 PM GMT
Are you "skitting" here workrider?

Bonisland has no chance tomorrow
Report workrider January 16, 2013 6:47 PM GMT
thank god for that so......with your record i'm delighted ...Laugh
Report wildmanfromborneo January 16, 2013 6:48 PM GMT
How can you say no chance,I think the form behind Busty Brown is rock solid I think he is a huge danger to Ballycasey.
Report snap crackle and pop January 16, 2013 6:53 PM GMT
No dangers to Ballycasey. Busty Brown is very in and out and would get lost behind Ballycasey, also Meade's are very unpredictable since Christmas imo
Report wildmanfromborneo January 16, 2013 6:58 PM GMT
I too fancy Ballycasey but I think they have consistently underestimated him,on pure hurdles form Bonisland is way ahead but Ballycasey is the more progressive,he actually drifted from 1/3 to 4/6 at Clonmel not as I said earlier.
Report snap crackle and pop January 16, 2013 7:04 PM GMT
I will be doubling up Ballycasey with Abigail Lynch in the bumper in Lingfield.

2 certs
Report workrider January 17, 2013 11:45 AM GMT
i've layed days ahead ....its improving alright but will need to improve more to win today...head carriage and step up in trip a worry ....the horse it beat last day is a light of former days imo.....
Report Deplasterer January 17, 2013 12:06 PM GMT
BOG, Double done:

2.10 - Roi Du Mee 9/4
1.40 - Mikhauel Dag 1/2
Report workrider January 17, 2013 12:41 PM GMT
i see gary o brien thinks along the same lines as myself re bonisland , ballycasey....
Report tony57 January 17, 2013 2:29 PM GMT
welldone workrider..you were right ..i thought days had a chance till the mistake ..but its called jump racing...
Report CheltenhamRoar January 17, 2013 2:38 PM GMT
Quito didn't look like the plodder of old there
Report Slabster January 17, 2013 2:50 PM GMT
That's the liveliest Quito has looked since he won in Punchestown as a novice! Happy
Report punchestown January 17, 2013 2:52 PM GMT
I thought Days Hotel was going to pick up the two in front until the mistake,Ruby having his share of troubles today.
Report workrider January 17, 2013 2:56 PM GMT
i think days was just about to feel the pinch when he made that mistake chelt , i don't like the way he trows hes head to one side either ....the jock beat the living daylights out of him after he made that mistake as well , i'd wait till they drop him back in trip....i'd say he wont have enjoyed that.....
Report tony57 January 17, 2013 3:02 PM GMT
im sorry to say we wont find out now punch..i like you thought days was going well..but that error knocked the stuffing out of him..and tbf the winner went well to the line so who knows..
Report dinglemick January 17, 2013 3:03 PM GMT
Almost time to the off and both workrider and Wildman are probably happy ..... Workrider has the value at 3 s and Wildman as he predicted has got the drift on Ballycasey 10/11 !!!!!!
Report dinglemick January 17, 2013 3:07 PM GMT
have had no bet today .... Been waiting for Drawn N Drank in the next .... Great value i think at 6/1  with Spoils ..... I know it got 10lb for winning the last day at Limerick but i thought it won like a real progresive type and could still be ahead of the handicapper ....
Report pa lapsy January 17, 2013 3:11 PM GMT
Money all for Ballycasey before the off.
Report punchestown January 17, 2013 3:17 PM GMT
Wd wildman-hosed in.
Report pa lapsy January 17, 2013 3:18 PM GMT
That was fairly impressive, wd backers.
Agree different quito then the pig that ran at Aintree
Report workrider January 17, 2013 3:19 PM GMT
won doing handsprings ..no excuses from me...
Report tony57 January 17, 2013 3:19 PM GMT
sorry workrider,
  the mullins horse had far to much for him..
Report tony57 January 17, 2013 3:22 PM GMT
do any of you lads have a view on the hunter chase?..im looking at the potts horse?been money for it today..anyone one got a view please?
Report gentlemanjohn January 17, 2013 3:27 PM GMT
Was reading about the dreaper horse this morning and connections were talking about it being a Troytown horse next season so that would suggest to me they must think it's well capable of winning in this sphere
Report tony57 January 17, 2013 3:49 PM GMT
thanks john..im on now anyway
Report pa lapsy January 17, 2013 3:50 PM GMT
Made a good effort for you there dinglemick.
Report dinglemick January 17, 2013 3:54 PM GMT
yeah , there is always one lapsy SadSad ....... winner obviously just didn t handle the terrible ground in Limerick the last day when it went off 11/8 favorite and was beaten 52 lengths !!!! !!!! ... was getting over a stone and a half aswell off my fella today .......
Mark Enright is incredible value for 5lb claim .... He s the national hunt version to what Ronan Whelan was on the flat last summer !!! ......
Does anyone know how many winners he has left till he loses the 5lb claim ???
Report pa lapsy January 17, 2013 4:00 PM GMT
He has 11 on the flat and 25 nh,is it 50 wins to lose their claim? Don,t know whether the two codes combined count?
Report dinglemick January 17, 2013 4:05 PM GMT
I think they are separate Lapsy ???? ....... He still has a bit to go anyway , no shortage of rides going forward either i d imagine ..... Anyone with a fancied one for the **** Hurdle on Saturday week should really look at him .....100k bonus to the winner who goes on to win any race at cheltenham
Report Deplasterer January 17, 2013 4:09 PM GMT
Goonyella looks like the only one with a progressive profile although having said that the race he won at limerick was awful & half the field crashed out. The fav obv has the form in the book but I'll take a chance the potts horse is still improving. Win 5.1 here. GL.
Report richters January 17, 2013 4:16 PM GMT
wd snapcrackle pop...lovely double.....
Report tony57 January 17, 2013 4:35 PM GMT
dont know about anyone else..but i wouldnt of found the winner ...?
Report gentlemanjohn January 17, 2013 4:51 PM GMT
Thought you were on the winner most of the way tony, better jump at the last and think he might have won
Report snap crackle and pop January 17, 2013 4:59 PM GMT
Thanks richters.

Another splendid day for the Rice Krispy man!

10/1 the double paid, had been waiting a while for that Abigail Lynch to run.
Report never give up January 17, 2013 5:52 PM GMT
well done snap
Report workrider January 17, 2013 7:08 PM GMT
well done snap....
Report wildmanfromborneo January 17, 2013 7:40 PM GMT
Good crowd there today and some great racing.
I had a good look at Bonisland in the ring and i liked him others didnt however and i was told he was not fancied at all,luckily i had time to nip around to the betting ring and avail of the evens,what was more interesting was watching the bad word about Bonisland filter through,he drifted out from 2/1 to 9/4 and 5/2 at the same time the heavy hitters moved in and took whatever price they could about Ballycasey,among the backers of the favourite was a trainer who should be more discreet.
Report snap crackle and pop January 17, 2013 8:02 PM GMT
Thanks ngu and workrider.

They both look like horses worth following in the future imo
Report snap crackle and pop January 17, 2013 8:21 PM GMT
For what it's worth I'm going to play up all my winnings on Mr Lando 12.50 Chepstow tomorrow. Not a strategy I would usually pursue tbh but such is the strength that I fancy Mr Lando tomorrow, an opportunity like this at 7/4 does not come around too often
Report punchestown January 17, 2013 10:15 PM GMT
Days Hotel reportedly suffered an overreach on off fore.
Report workrider January 17, 2013 10:23 PM GMT
it was obvious to a blind man he was feeling something , that's why i was amazed the jock worked so hard trying to get third....
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