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into the betting jungle of 2013 we step. as always as punters our single biggest weapon is that we need only play where the odds are in our favour.
not for me, bullsh1t such as worrying about mcmanus plot horses etc. do your homework and you will get rewarded most of the time.
two bets must be done now, you will have to wait 6 weeks in one case, 5 months in the other, to get a return, the odds are now on our side.
(prices mentioned below are those offered as i type by the firm in tallaght whose share price was aided by An Post recently)
bet 1
NPower league 1: outright: Bournemouth 11/2, 1/4 123...a decent wedge each way.
best team in division, top manager, have the big momentum.....tranmere and doncaster currently atop about to sink....dangers are sheffield united and brentford.
bournemouth have a tough game this saturday, they can win that and then have 3 easy games for the rest of the month...the rest at the top have a hard schedule this month.....the fa cup draw with wigan and the ensueing replay is an unwelcome distraction.....i am certain, by feb 1st, bournemouth will be within 4 points of the top and with the best squad in the division(and not depending on loanees like the other leaders), they can go on and win the division.
bet 2
all ireland intermediate club football championship:
all in on finuge at 2/1.
the north kerrymen won the munster title without their two inter county stars, eamonn fitzmaurice and paul galvin.
that pair will be back for a semi final they will win against monasterevin.....in the final they will play the winners of charlestown or cookstown.........at croke park i would make finuge 4/7 to win either match up.
2/1 is an outstanding price, as it covers problematic draws.
in my book, bournemouth are 5/2 shots and finuge 1/2 shots.
enjoy the ride!.
not for me, bullsh1t such as worrying about mcmanus plot horses etc. do your homework and you will get rewarded most of the time.
two bets must be done now, you will have to wait 6 weeks in one case, 5 months in the other, to get a return, the odds are now on our side.
(prices mentioned below are those offered as i type by the firm in tallaght whose share price was aided by An Post recently)
bet 1
NPower league 1: outright: Bournemouth 11/2, 1/4 123...a decent wedge each way.
best team in division, top manager, have the big momentum.....tranmere and doncaster currently atop about to sink....dangers are sheffield united and brentford.
bournemouth have a tough game this saturday, they can win that and then have 3 easy games for the rest of the month...the rest at the top have a hard schedule this month.....the fa cup draw with wigan and the ensueing replay is an unwelcome distraction.....i am certain, by feb 1st, bournemouth will be within 4 points of the top and with the best squad in the division(and not depending on loanees like the other leaders), they can go on and win the division.
bet 2
all ireland intermediate club football championship:
all in on finuge at 2/1.
the north kerrymen won the munster title without their two inter county stars, eamonn fitzmaurice and paul galvin.
that pair will be back for a semi final they will win against monasterevin.....in the final they will play the winners of charlestown or cookstown.........at croke park i would make finuge 4/7 to win either match up.
2/1 is an outstanding price, as it covers problematic draws.
in my book, bournemouth are 5/2 shots and finuge 1/2 shots.
enjoy the ride!.
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SEEMS we were forgetting about Bournemouth after the bad march run,but back to back wins sees them in with a real chance[around 7/2 now]
Time to dig the laddies docket out of my wallet[all is not lost after all]
they will have to win all their matches tho.a few games on this week ,we could do with doncaster,swindon,sheff utd and brentford losing or at least only drawing..
we will need a few favours Kavvie especially were Doncaster are concerned
. off out to watch man u v man city game.
. off out to watch man u v man city game.
Doncaster as home to lowly Carlisle tomorrow, surely a win will almost seal it
I'm on each way and have got rid of the win stake
I'm on each way and have got rid of the win stake
Crewe are the key, seem to be playing everyone in the top 6 bar Bournemouth
won a cup yesterday so they are useful but could be pickled in gargle and hungover for the rest of the season.
It'll be interesting no matter what.
won a cup yesterday so they are useful but could be pickled in gargle and hungover for the rest of the season.
It'll be interesting no matter what.
It's hard to see anyone other than Doncaster winning it now. 4 games left, the next 3 of which are against teams in mid-table with nothing left to play for realistically. Sheffield United are a danger with 5 of their 6 remaining fixtures a home. Brentford are the only other danger to the place part of the bet IMO (I'm optimistically writing off Yeovil & Swindon!).
It's going down to the last week anyway
It's going down to the last week anyway
Carlisle 2-0 up, must be in the dying embers of that game
Typical I laid off
Typical I laid off
Swindon and Sheff Utd both look like they've lost also
lets hope the cherries keep their side of the bargain.its falling into place for them.(and us!!)
couldn't have written the results out better
even goal difference
even goal difference
Yeah feckin Doncaster and Brentford both came from behind to win today. They actually play each other on the last day of the season in Brentford so if Bournemouth can win their last 2 a draw in that match could be enough for the league.
Swindon's defeat means they can't catch Bournemouth now
Sheffield Utd play at home to Brentford on Tuesday night where a draw would be a good result while Yeovil are away to Oldham on Tuesday as well, with Oldham having a good win today hopefully they can do us a favour there
Swindon's defeat means they can't catch Bournemouth now
Sheffield Utd play at home to Brentford on Tuesday night where a draw would be a good result while Yeovil are away to Oldham on Tuesday as well, with Oldham having a good win today hopefully they can do us a favour there
Bournemouth should win their next game, last one will be tougher.
Goal difference edged better today, but still not conclusive.
Crewe look jaded now and will probably be beaten in their remaining matches by hungrier teams.
It's all about the 6 pointers, draws are what we want.
Goal difference edged better today, but still not conclusive.
Crewe look jaded now and will probably be beaten in their remaining matches by hungrier teams.
It's all about the 6 pointers, draws are what we want.
bournmouths last game is against tranmere who currently have a slim chance of making the play offs.lets hope by the time of the game they have nothing to play for.the fact that 2 of the games remaining are sheff utd v brent and brent v donny is a big advantage to our chances of collecting..
THEY played like ragball rovers for most of March ..but thankfully more like Melchester Rovers since then..interesting games ahead.
a DRAW in the sheff utd v brent would be nice tonight.
been great crack...and a good chance of it finishing succesfully..if brent and donc draw and cherries win both games they win it..i backed them here for small money after they lost the 5 in a row at 48..got out for a free bet on the win part..so heres hoping
i backed them at 6/1 with laddies ,they went as low as 2.3here and then out as high as 40/1 plus..roller coaster come to mind..even K.L most be scratching his Testimonials on this one.
This thread is a perfect illustration for one of the major reasons of the housing bubble in Ireland.
guy puts up a 6/1 ew shot.explains the reasoning.ie no loan players,big squad,good strikers, good manager, easy run in.2 games left and price has gone to 11/10 to win out.and it reminds one of our wise posters of the housing bubble?!!?..maybe it reminds you also of the cliffs of moher?or the galway races?or red wine?!!?..maybe maybe...
Or maybe that It's a clear example of the "Lemming effect".People are who incapable of original thought and hence just follow.
I have the utmost respect for KL,and have no doubt that he is a very successful racing punter due to his shrewdness and the amount of time/effort that he puts into it(aided by the fact that he works in the industry).However it's next to impossible to be a professional racing punter combined with a professional football punter due to time constraints.
I haven't formed this opinion from a sample size of one thread(wouldn't be very conclusive)but hey don't ever question the herd mentality.
I have the utmost respect for KL,and have no doubt that he is a very successful racing punter due to his shrewdness and the amount of time/effort that he puts into it(aided by the fact that he works in the industry).However it's next to impossible to be a professional racing punter combined with a professional football punter due to time constraints.
I haven't formed this opinion from a sample size of one thread(wouldn't be very conclusive)but hey don't ever question the herd mentality.
are you quesioning the logic of the reason he put it up?..the herd mentality is all following one with no apparent logical reason to do it.in this case theres was /is a reason.if i came on here and tipped say galway to win the all ireland football with no reasoning and lots followed me thats the lemming thing your on about.not so in this case
Just my opinion Kavvie and I wish ye the best of luck with the bet btw but how many of ye could name a Bournemouth player??
How can ye merit the logic of the reasoning if ye are not experts in League 1 soccer or Gaa Club Championships.
Ye are not forming an opinion ye are following blindly,the same way in Ireland when people were buying houses with 2% rental yields.
How can ye merit the logic of the reasoning if ye are not experts in League 1 soccer or Gaa Club Championships.
Ye are not forming an opinion ye are following blindly,the same way in Ireland when people were buying houses with 2% rental yields.
that's nonsense, with respect.
Following Keen leaders tips on occasion does not imply that you are incapable of independent thought.
The irony is that refusing to follow them on the basis that you are an independent thinker singles you out as an inflexible non-independent thinker. Surely independent thinkers, welcome advice, and then make their own decisions?
His track record is far beyond any other poster on here. Personally, I don't act on any other posters tips with any sort of consistency, if at all. Reasoned arguments are given by KL for selections and you can choose to follow or not. He may not be a professional football punter but you have to respect his judgement.
Following Keen leaders tips on occasion does not imply that you are incapable of independent thought.
The irony is that refusing to follow them on the basis that you are an independent thinker singles you out as an inflexible non-independent thinker. Surely independent thinkers, welcome advice, and then make their own decisions?
His track record is far beyond any other poster on here. Personally, I don't act on any other posters tips with any sort of consistency, if at all. Reasoned arguments are given by KL for selections and you can choose to follow or not. He may not be a professional football punter but you have to respect his judgement.
"Surely independent thinkers, welcome advice, and then make their own decisions?"
To make one's own opinion after taking into account the welcome advice,would you not have to have a strong knowledge of the betting medium??
Ozy have you an in depth knowledge of Division 1 soccer??
To make one's own opinion after taking into account the welcome advice,would you not have to have a strong knowledge of the betting medium??
Ozy have you an in depth knowledge of Division 1 soccer??
As you can see from my first post on this thread dj, very close to the top, I consulted a close friend who is a lifelong Bournemouth supporter and knows the league back to front. He concurred with the assesment given by KL and I placed the bet.
And at this point in time, I am very glad that I did.
And at this point in time, I am very glad that I did.
Personally I would have to understand the market,I can understand considering other people's point of view and even them assisting me in my conclusion.
So your argument is that you didn't bet blind because you got two people's opinion??but admit that you have little or no knowledge of English Division 1 soccer??
So your argument is that you didn't bet blind because you got two people's opinion??but admit that you have little or no knowledge of English Division 1 soccer??
Keen Leader does seem to be in a league of his own,I didn't back Bournemouth but funnily enough found myself looking up their result on a Sunday,its given me an interest in that league and here's hoping they go on and win it.
I would say the people of Bournemouth would be amazed at the amount of Irishmen cheering them on.
I would say the people of Bournemouth would be amazed at the amount of Irishmen cheering them on.
dj i have no doubt in my mind that the gaa fanatic ozy knows at least a dozen players on the finuge team.............
im one of these people who want to know why i should back such and such.if aidan o brien walked up to me and said he had a horse running in a maiden at dundalk who he thought was a g1 horse id still check breeding .any form etc.im an independent thinker who takes everything into account.sometimes im wrong.sometimes im right.like most people on here id imagine.
Hey richters got any more market movers oops sorry i mean information on horses expected to win, hopefully they won't double in price today and finish down the field 
dj told us all that hurricane fly was the lay of the century,granduoet was a good thing and long run wouldnt place in the gold cup....i hope noone followed him in blindly like sheep.....they would be on their uppers after cheltenham imvho........
No stipulation about the ground not being soft either Rich
scumfingers go to the cliftonville thread and see how a real football bet is done........
pity their wasnt a roof over cheltenham racecourse eh dj.......
As I said Kavvie best of Luck with the bet,the lunatics have now taken over so GL.
dj with comments like the one above comparing the thread to irelands housing boom......IT IS CLEAR WHO THE LUNATIC IS.........seriously go and get your head seen to.......
Dj876 put up a lot of winners as well and a blind follower of his selections would be in profit.
Richters has delivered a knockout blow to Ozymandius who trotted out this guff about an alleged friend being a Bournemouth supporter and not betting blind yet the bulk of his posts on here are about his Finuge bet and his scampering away with a minuscule profit.
Richters has delivered a knockout blow to Ozymandius who trotted out this guff about an alleged friend being a Bournemouth supporter and not betting blind yet the bulk of his posts on here are about his Finuge bet and his scampering away with a minuscule profit.
a knockout blow? you pop out to catch some waves and return to find you have been 'knocked out'!
As regards betting blind, my sources, two good judges, concurred. That was good enough for me to have an interest.
Now admittedly dj, I would need to be personally informed on the market at hand to have a very significant bet, perhaps that is what you are referring to?
Off out for lunch, chaps. I know Borneo likes to be informed of my movements!
As regards betting blind, my sources, two good judges, concurred. That was good enough for me to have an interest.
Now admittedly dj, I would need to be personally informed on the market at hand to have a very significant bet, perhaps that is what you are referring to?
Off out for lunch, chaps. I know Borneo likes to be informed of my movements!
Funnily enough Borneo, my friend has a ticket for me for the Tranmere game. I just can't face the Travel Lodge in Birkenhead and god knows how much lager.
i was at a game in prenton park earlier in the season.v coventry.lovely little stadium.was drinking in the prenton arms before the game beside the stadium.the lager around liverpool is fair slop for sure..!
Well good results today think we are nearly there what a ride!!!!
a win nex week or a loss and brentford win and they are champs.great crack all year..5 losses followed by 8 wins!!
Championeee Championeee ole ole ole.
Viva Keen Leedeeer
Etc.
Viva Keen Leedeeer
Etc.
place money money guaranteed
I bailed out at 5.2 so not the bonanza that others will get.
I see them beating Tranmere.
Doncaster v Brentford is a lottery especially as Brentford need to win to get automatic promotion. Doncaster on balance, would take a point.
I bailed out at 5.2 so not the bonanza that others will get.
I see them beating Tranmere.
Doncaster v Brentford is a lottery especially as Brentford need to win to get automatic promotion. Doncaster on balance, would take a point.
There was no posts on this thread for 5weeks because we thought the bet was down;.. just one fence to go now , out with the whip Cherries no slip up,s coming to the last.
guys i know theres only one game left and looks all over bar the shouting but why wait, i dont know what your stakes are that if its enough to lay off i had £50 @5/1 and sold £36 of it last night @ 1.18 when i seen the betting i couldnt refuse so if they fall(god forbid)at the last all will not be lost so next week its either 200/300 lets hope its the 3
I've backed Doncaster at 5/1 to return about half of what the Bournemouth bet will return, also put €2 on Brentford at 400/1 (just in case like!)
They have been matched at 150.0 on here so fair play to whoever got that
They have been matched at 150.0 on here so fair play to whoever got that
I trust we are all watching the live scores! Going down to the wire. Have laid off at 1.2 but would still like to see them crowned Champs.
70% of the play so far..lets be having a goal Cherries
threw e100 ew on it at 5/1 and decided to let it ride today....
that's a feckin sickener...
that's a feckin sickener...
Into injury time at 0-0 in the Division 3 winner take all promotion clash at Griffin Park between Brentford and Doncaster (Brenford need to win)
Brentford are awarded a penalty - Marcelo Trotter hits the crossbar
Doncaster go down the other end of the pitch and score
Leaders Bournemouth only draw - Doncaster are Division 3 champions
Brentford are awarded a penalty - Marcelo Trotter hits the crossbar
Doncaster go down the other end of the pitch and score
Leaders Bournemouth only draw - Doncaster are Division 3 champions
BRENTFORD MISS A PENO [BALL HITS CROSSBAR] IN THE LAST MIN , DONCASTER BREAK UP FIELD AND SCORE ..REF BLOWS WHISTLE.
.. I HAVE TO SAY I GOT A GREAT RUN OUT OF THIS BET ..U/LUCKY K.L...Go raibh maith agat.M8
.. I HAVE TO SAY I GOT A GREAT RUN OUT OF THIS BET ..U/LUCKY K.L...Go raibh maith agat.M8
i was just talking to a lad who was at it.it was the last passage of play.if he hit it over the bar it was over.fffffs
its on you tube..painful viewing..i had a good ew bet on papparazi kid.it eased the pain a small bit
Ok I've finally regained the ability to speak again
Jesus that was some kick in the knackers
Jesus that was some kick in the knackers
db was that the shock of the late bet busting goal or the audacity of kavvie claiming a 7/1 winner 3 hours after the race......lol
we've all been gutted when chinned on the line, but this raises it into a new dimension.
well done kl it was a great ride. and most will have made a profit on the deal.
well done kl it was a great ride. and most will have made a profit on the deal.
youresomean
27 Apr 13 22:52
Joined:
03 Jul 04
| Topic/replies: 1,959 | Blogger: youresomean's blog
we've all been gutted when chinned on the line, but this raises it into a new dimension.
well done kl it was a great ride. and most will have made a profit on the deal.ANYONE THAT DIDN'T IF THEY GOT ON AT 11/2 5/1 NEEDS THEYRE HEAD EXAMINEDWELL DONE KEEN LEADER FOR THIS OPPERTUNITY
27 Apr 13 22:52
Joined:
03 Jul 04
| Topic/replies: 1,959 | Blogger: youresomean's blog
we've all been gutted when chinned on the line, but this raises it into a new dimension.
well done kl it was a great ride. and most will have made a profit on the deal.ANYONE THAT DIDN'T IF THEY GOT ON AT 11/2 5/1 NEEDS THEYRE HEAD EXAMINED
WELL DONE KEEN LEADER FOR THIS OPPERTUNITY
Here's the last minute of Brentford vs Doncaster, in case anyone hasn't seen it
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LF8dLCdgdRg
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LF8dLCdgdRg
Unreal DB, TX FOR THE MEMORY .....The 
was at work in Brentford
.....The was at work in Brentford
I see a piece in the r/post yesterday about the guy who got the winner , THE DIKLER i think , wrote that he's banned from racecourses and seemed to hint he should be banned from playing football as well , for some shall we say indiscretions .....
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