Forums

Irish Sports

Welcome to Live View – Take the tour to learn more
Start Tour
There is currently 1 person viewing this thread.
tony57
09 Nov 12 18:19
Joined:
Date Joined: 13 Oct 10
| Topic/replies: 2,128 | Blogger: tony57's blog
add your message here
Show More
Loading...
Report tony57 November 9, 2012 6:26 PM GMT
some good horses out here
12.30 operating
ran well lto running a decent sort close if maintaining that form then should go close
1.05 jezki
looks to be one of jessie harringtons stars won lto beating ally,cascade..this will be a lot tougher with welds the main danger
3.50 city slicker nap
was meant to run last year but never made the track has been the subject of strong whispers for a while..meades has the form tho but has been off a while
good luck all
Report workrider November 9, 2012 7:30 PM GMT
having a bet on my murphy tomorrow ....teelin star will find these fences tricky ...i'll be hard pressed to make the first couple ..have an appointment at the dentist , ....the dentist told me he did a job on boobys mouth recently , he said booby told him he worked at the circus , the lion used to put HIS HEAD IN BOOBYS MOUTH....LaughLaugh
Report wildmanfromborneo November 9, 2012 8:43 PM GMT
Great card tomorrow but two things of interest for me,Strategic Bid is running in the second race he has absolutely no chance and should be beat at least a furlong but this fellow was third behind Sizing Rio and Cops And Robbers beaten 36 lengths so even a remotely decent effort will encourage the Sizing Rio men.
Willie Mullins seems to be taking on a Noel Meade trained favourite in the bumper,Ned Buntline against City Slicker i will believe it when i see it and if they do take each other on one will be unbacked as notes will have been compared.
Report tony57 November 9, 2012 9:06 PM GMT
wildmanfromborneo
im interested in your point in the bumper..you think one of them will pull out? or one will not be backed if they do run?..why?..i understand what your saying and im not saying your wrong i just want to know why you think that..
Report wildmanfromborneo November 9, 2012 9:21 PM GMT
They seem to have some Faustian pact that they never take each other on in bumpers,normally they just dont run against each other but at the last Naas meeting Road To Riches started his career in a winners bumper over two mile three,Mullins ran Great Jones,Road To Riches backed from 6/4 to 4/6 Great Jones 6/4 out to 7/2 and beaten out of sight.They also seem to carve up the bumpers Meade gets a free run up to Christmas then Mullins takes over and wins them all with a host of odds on chances.
Its not an exact science but there is a pretty clear pattern.
Report wildmanfromborneo November 9, 2012 9:46 PM GMT
There is I think a gambling connection between the two stables and anytime I mention it I get threats of litigation so have to choose my words carefully.
I also think that if OLeary who doesn't gamble knew the sums being won by laying some of his horses he would be astounded and maybe jealous.
Report p_r_e_m_i_e_r__f_a_n_t_a_s_y November 9, 2012 10:02 PM GMT
You get threats of litigation as you make statements that you don't seem to have proof off (more your opinion than fact) and if you did threats of litigation would not bother you.

That is how it looks to me anyway, i may be wrong but that's is how i see it from what i've read.
Report wildmanfromborneo November 9, 2012 10:11 PM GMT
You obviously have never heard of gagging writs.
Surely this is the place for giving your opinion,isint that the point of this place.
Report Eddie Batt November 9, 2012 10:15 PM GMT
Once upon a time I received a letter alleging that. I had libelled Ellen Martin on the betfair forum.
Report Eddie Batt November 9, 2012 10:17 PM GMT
Wow you can say Ellen Martin without the name being blanked.I wonder do they still delete all references to her within the hour.
Report workrider November 10, 2012 9:10 AM GMT
bloody raining again , it'll be heavy all over by lunch time....
Report quevega November 10, 2012 9:12 AM GMT
how bad is the rain ? are you close to the track
Report Ozymandius November 10, 2012 9:49 AM GMT
Borneo, your next provocative thread title can be 'Faustian pact between Mullins and Meade Stables'

If you were a newspaper, you would be the Daily Star.  Your modus operandi is making a controversial statement and presenting it as a fact.  Then defending it till everyone else gets bored debating it with you.
Report by purpose November 10, 2012 10:11 AM GMT
In a nutshell....
Report wildmanfromborneo November 10, 2012 10:45 AM GMT
All I do is give an opinion,you will notice I use the words"seem to have a Faustian pact" and"it's not an exact science" but it is designed to provoke discussion which is what I thought this place was about.The discussions are not compulsory and can be ignored are you can show me the error of my ways.Thos day last year in the bumper Weld withdrew his horse because he heard late how good Un Atout was,I pointed it out was greeted with derision and was prepared to bet any money that when the Weld horse returned there would be no Mullins horse in opposition there wasn't and when he eventually did win his bumper Mullins ran the worst horse in his stable and he went unbacked.
At least I have made some of you think and tried to alert ye to some betting trends although I accept I am no Keen Leader.
This weekend will reveal the merits of my Cops And Robbers post and if I am proved wrong well sure I am used enough to that,I have backed many losers in my time.
Report JayTrumpOldTomDubbl November 10, 2012 11:01 AM GMT
I have great respect for any posts from  wildmanfromborneo.
He is very clued in, and I understand his above post. Furthermore I seem to agree in total with it. In other words he seems to be spot on.


PS...seems =no litigation
Report pa lapsy November 10, 2012 12:46 PM GMT
Looks very testing there,a stayers day.I'll follow you in with Jezki Tony,stayed lto well and with the weight concession might see it out better than Hisabaat.GL
Report GANT007 November 10, 2012 1:01 PM GMT
Good money all morning each way for David Wachmans Pageboy.......gonna chance a few bob ew on it.
Report silvergreaser November 10, 2012 1:11 PM GMT
There are plenty of facts in racing but unfortunately we can't prove many of them because racings closed shop is almost freemason like, combine this with their real fail safe "horses can't talk", means they can throw threats of litigation around like confetti, fully aware the burden of proof is on you.
Report GANT007 November 10, 2012 1:16 PM GMT
Still silvergreaser you can't beat a bit of auld racing gossip in the pub and pick out the bits that suit.
Report kavvie November 10, 2012 1:34 PM GMT
ma and eddie got brown envelopes around the same day!!
Report Ozymandius November 10, 2012 2:02 PM GMT
I also think that if OLeary who doesn't gamble knew the sums being won by laying some of his horses he would be astounded and maybe jealous.

For a start his huge net worth precludes any such sentiment, and it certainly wouldn't be his style anyway.  Secondly if there was any messing about with any of his horses in terms of horses being pulled deliberately or gambled at somebody else's behest without his knowledge, he would immediately end the relationship with the trainer.
Report tony57 November 10, 2012 2:20 PM GMT
very interesting post there wildman,..ive never herd that before or even noticed it tbh..as never noticeing what you say i find it intriging tbh..im not saying your right,..but also not that your wrong..food for thought..we,ll see later..ive hammerd this mullins horse as ive had a word for it a while ago..apparently the trainer is worried the ground may be to heavy for it..but its suppose to be decent so we,ll see...thanks for the answer wildman..good luck.....
welldone pa..won with his head in his chest..i think he needs this ground tho..but will win a grade 1 sometime this year imo
Report pa lapsy November 10, 2012 3:01 PM GMT
Cheers tony and well done yourself,he was impressive alright,conditions were all against Hisaabaat(2.1-5.0 on exchanges),lot of tired horses today.
Don,t know about the bumper,your one was an expensive buy alright,Jetki franked the fav,s form.threw a few euro on King William at 70+ for a small interest in it.
Report dj876 November 10, 2012 3:05 PM GMT
"For a start his huge net worth precludes any such sentiment, and it certainly wouldn't be his style anyway.  Secondly if there was any messing about with any of his horses in terms of horses being pulled deliberately or gambled at somebody else's behest without his knowledge, he would immediately end the relationship with the trainer."

His retained rider's brother in law is one of the biggest punters in the country.
Report koikeeper November 10, 2012 3:46 PM GMT
Wildman....spot on regarding the betting in the bumper...looks like its meades turn today.
Report pa lapsy November 10, 2012 3:57 PM GMT
Market knew alright,impressive. He is some size, a huge mothafecka.
Report tony57 November 10, 2012 3:59 PM GMT
WOW well done wildman..but thats a lovely horse of meades..i knew the form was good as it was 2nd to jezki..but he looked a bit of a monster there..i had a e/w bet on mullins when i seen the drift..think he,ll be better on better ground..but not in meades class im afraid
Report limerick November 10, 2012 4:07 PM GMT
is it fair to ask dj the name of davys bro in law
Report dj876 November 10, 2012 4:10 PM GMT
I'd say the vast majority(including limerick) know who I am on about,Username on here is/was Jimeen
Report kavvie November 10, 2012 4:13 PM GMT
limerick if you dont know who he is you obviously havent attended many race meetings in ireland?
Report limerick November 10, 2012 4:16 PM GMT
have attended plenty kavvie prob no of the man alright but dont know connection with the jockey.apologise for my ignorance
Report kavvie November 10, 2012 4:18 PM GMT
i didnt mean to be smart.sorry if i offended
Report workrider November 10, 2012 4:22 PM GMT
i was there today , wildman was again correct , we should pay attention to his reading of markets ....saw mr greenstreet having a word with noel....CoolCool
Report workrider November 10, 2012 4:22 PM GMT
i was there today , wildman was again correct , we should pay attention to his reading of markets ....saw mr greenstreet having a word with noel....CoolCool
Report limerick November 10, 2012 4:23 PM GMT
none taken.i've seen that reference to davys family connections on here a few times but haven't fully figured it out yet.headin to cheltenham next week mite meet the man there
Report workrider November 10, 2012 4:29 PM GMT
the horse to take out of naas today ..is my murphy ...note to stewards , he had a lovely gallop today which should have done his confidence the world of good ...
Report p_r_e_m_i_e_r__f_a_n_t_a_s_y November 10, 2012 4:48 PM GMT
I didn't see the bumper or the betting but it's hardly the surprise money came for Meades in the bumper, he was only collared late on at Leopardstown by Jezki and he looked pretty useless in bolting up in the grade 3 today.


Surely he should have been a strong favourite against the unraced Mullins horse?
Report tobywong. November 10, 2012 4:59 PM GMT
at last someone speaks a bit of sense ^^^^^
Report tobywong. November 10, 2012 5:00 PM GMT
though i think useless was meant to be useful premier!
Report p_r_e_m_i_e_r__f_a_n_t_a_s_y November 10, 2012 5:02 PM GMT
Yeah sorry, a bad typo that was Laugh
Report never give up November 10, 2012 5:22 PM GMT
wildbores allegations may get himself into a lot of trouble.
Report wildmanfromborneo November 10, 2012 7:46 PM GMT
It's disappointing that Premier Fantasy should comment without either  seeing the betting or the race,the betting was significant that Tobywong thought that was the only sensible post on the thread shows how little he understands betting,he probably just dived in without reading the thread.
Ozymandius comments on Michael OLeary are just plain ridiculous,he may have wealth but he runs his racing operation on a similar basis to his business,looking for discounts and other such edges to lower his costs and have no doubt if he discovered the fertile ground being reaped by others he would want a cut.
Dj876 who demands of others names and addresses gets all coy when he is caught trying to impugn an individual he has a set against,his other assertions about there being no betting early on races is also errant nonsense plenty of money on Ned Buntlines this morning a fortune on but he will arbers or bots no real money.
Report wildmanfromborneo November 10, 2012 7:48 PM GMT
The last line should read.         He will blame arbers or bots no real money
Report pa lapsy November 10, 2012 8:08 PM GMT
I don,t know Wildman,think the markets on Irish racing can be weak enough early on and you are often better with a book.Can only guess what proportion of  money matched is an actual "bet" but i,d have a gut feeling quite a lot matched is for "trading purposes" whether for a few ticks or for i/r.
Report dj876 November 10, 2012 8:13 PM GMT
Wildman-I have no issue at all with that punter,although he is in a priviliged position regarding the information he receives,he is very shrewd,is on the scene a long time and have not heard of any disgruntled punter who have ever had any issues with him.

I know you understand very little of how the markets work on here but just for interest what was matched on here today 30 mins. prior to the bumper??
Report wildmanfromborneo November 10, 2012 8:18 PM GMT
I have always acknowledged i lack computer skills but i know how much i got on here this morning and to me it was substantial,surely i cant have been the only one backing him.
Report limestone lad November 10, 2012 9:17 PM GMT
I think ye have got this mixed up its not jimeen who is dav'd brother in law but another bookie just as shrewd
Report Bassanio November 10, 2012 9:48 PM GMT
DC rather than JD
Report Ozymandius November 10, 2012 10:21 PM GMT
Ozymandius comments on Michael OLeary are just plain ridiculous,he may have wealth but he runs his racing operation on a similar basis to his business,looking for discounts and other such edges to lower his costs and have no doubt if he discovered the fertile ground being reaped by others he would want a cut.

I have no idea what planet you are on anymore.

Yes,, he squeezes he trainers on fees etc but if you think he thinks he wants to go down the road of laying his horses to make a few quid then you are a complete and utter gobsh!te.
Report Ozymandius November 10, 2012 10:27 PM GMT
His retained rider's brother in law is one of the biggest punters in the country.

dj876 exactly what point are you trying to make here? 

If you think MOL minds Davy Russell passing on info to this guy about his horses, well I would imagine he's not a bit bothered.  If on the other hand, Russell was found to be pulling them on a regular basis at the behest of this gambler and unbeknown to MOL, then he would never ride for him again.
Report dj876 November 10, 2012 10:33 PM GMT
"or gambled at somebody else's behest without his knowledge, he would immediately end the relationship with the trainer."

Ozy it was in response to the above quote,no suggestion of Davy doing anything untoward on the Giggy horses.
Report Ozymandius November 10, 2012 10:50 PM GMT
I still don't understand your point dj.
Report dj876 November 10, 2012 10:58 PM GMT
Well that's exactly what is happening with the Youghal firm on a lot of Davy's mounts including the giggy horses.
Obviously O'Leary knows about the connection and it doesn't seem to bother him, so why would he end a relationship with a trainer because others are punting them??
Report Ozymandius November 10, 2012 11:13 PM GMT
I guess you misunderstood my point.  MOL would have no problem with them being punted.  But if they were being pulled at the behest of a 3rd party and without his knowledge, head would roll very quickly.  I imagine we are on the same page here, just at cross purposes.
Report silvergreaser November 10, 2012 11:21 PM GMT
Check out the link below ref Russell and a Gigginstown horse, take a look at Russell's right arm looks clearly like he is tugging back firmly on the rein while his left arm is virtually motionless between the final 2 flights, while the fav kicks clear, ever since they scapegoated the Byrnes employee for laying their horses on Betfair, these type of dodgy looking rides from Russell like the one below have dried up considerably, why? maybe they know somebody is watching more closely.



http://www.attheraces.com/VideoConsole/?va=NAV_2009_12_19_01_1215&vaff=16
Report dj876 November 10, 2012 11:27 PM GMT
Yes ozy wires crossed,I can't think of many blatant giggy non triers in the last 5 years.There is some debatable ones like first Leiuetenant at Punchestown but as bad as that looked,I think it was more Davy minding a good horse in terrible ground but still not sure about that one especially with the market beforehand.
Report p_r_e_m_i_e_r__f_a_n_t_a_s_y November 11, 2012 4:40 PM GMT
Why is it disappointing that i comment without seeing the betting or race?? Should a horse who only got collared late on by a horse that has since gone on to piss up in a grade 3 hurlde race not be favourite to beat an unraced horse??
Report wildmanfromborneo November 11, 2012 7:31 PM GMT
It is disappointing as the betting was so spectacular,I stated that one would go unbacked and they would lump on the other those two stabled never take each other on.
I punted Ned Buntline at evens and a little less on here because of hos decent form but also fairly confident that the supposed 9/4 shot wasn't a danger however I never expected to be punted to I/3 in a any price a good one scenario
You are a dog man if the two of the bigger stables combined forces for punting and when their dogs raced against each other they all lumped on one of them would that be desirable,it would also make for some very short priced favourites
Report workrider November 11, 2012 7:46 PM GMT
looking back wildmanfromborneo , i think i might pinpoint the time both trainers realized they were using to much ammo against each other ,it was a navan fixture a few years ago ..noels lot backed realt dubh off the boards , willie came and did it with mikel.....i was there that day , they both came down off the steps , i'd say they both thought , why do this ...the result is what you have described ....imo...
Report wildmanfromborneo November 11, 2012 7:52 PM GMT
Probably correct and I think the gentleman you saw talking to Meade is the organiser and main beneficiary.
Report Ozymandius November 11, 2012 7:54 PM GMT
Any views on who shot JFK?
Report silvergreaser November 11, 2012 8:00 PM GMT
But its all a conspiracy guys, the sun shines out of their behinds!
Report silvergreaser November 11, 2012 8:04 PM GMT
Did any of you actually watch the link?
Report JayTrumpOldTomDubbl November 11, 2012 10:21 PM GMT
Ozy was it not Lee harvey Ozwmadnuisenz that took out JFK
Report silvergreaser November 11, 2012 10:36 PM GMT
I've never forgot that race, not that I lost that much money, I'm a score punter, but that race stank, in running dream for the theives.
Report Catch Me ifyoucan February 9, 2013 5:39 PM GMT
Sunday Naas...............A few early fancies


2.40 Upsie

3.10 Hans Crescent nr=fav
3.10 Uncle Tom Cobley ew
Report Catch Me ifyoucan February 9, 2013 10:51 PM GMT
Sunday Naas...............A few early fancies


2.40 Upsie

3.10 Hans Crescent nr=fav
3.10 Uncle Tom Cobley ew
3.10 Barneys Honour

3.40 Drishogue Boy



The 2.10 Opera Hat Novice S`chase is a simple choice between Mikael D'Haguenet & Buckers Bridge.
Report Catch Me ifyoucan February 9, 2013 11:15 PM GMT
Naas is to hold a 7.30am inspection tomorrow morning ahead of its fixture.
Report db1974 February 10, 2013 9:45 AM GMT
Naas is off
Post Your Reply
<CTRL+Enter> to submit
Please login to post a reply.

Wonder

Instance ID: 13539
www.betfair.com