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Bigwillystyle
23 Oct 12 18:38
Joined:
Date Joined: 16 Jul 10
| Topic/replies: 2,586 | Blogger: Bigwillystyle's blog
if i make less than 10 points profit from my selections over that time.  I am allowed 1 selection a day all 1 point win.  I will post my selection before 10am.  Bets settled at the price at the time of selection and unlike Stubby i will keep my promise
Pause Switch to Standard View I will leave the forum in one weeks time
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Report Rocketfingers October 23, 2012 6:43 PM BST
Wildman will not want to see you go, he counts you as part of his axis, maybe you are his Italy.

Btw I am a man of my word and my word is my bond and i will leave this forum maybe as early as the weekend.
Report Bigwillystyle October 23, 2012 6:51 PM BST
I would like to say i will be joining you but i will probably end up 20+ points in profit
Report Rocketfingers October 23, 2012 7:09 PM BST
No offense there is a lot of people giving out about these type threads wee lad, so as a senior member of the forum i'm just going to give you a warning about this one, but if it happens again i will need to report it to the bf police, can you confirm you understand this please?
Report Bigwillystyle October 24, 2012 9:24 AM BST
2.35 Lake Louise 5/1
Report Newmanix October 24, 2012 2:38 PM BST
boomCool
Report punchestown October 24, 2012 2:43 PM BST
W/d Bws Cool
Report Dan Chipowski October 24, 2012 4:44 PM BST
Good start, well done.
Report workrider October 24, 2012 4:55 PM BST
well done...bws....
Report RoyalAcademy October 24, 2012 4:55 PM BST
Very impressive start bws: I was going to write earlier that there shouldn't be any need to self-impose an exile as racing threads are what is badly needed here, regardless of success rates. well done!
Report workrider October 24, 2012 4:57 PM BST
exactly r.a...is about opinions ..no need to leave forum simply because your horse gets beat...
Report Bigwillystyle October 24, 2012 5:33 PM BST
To be honest i hate sharing info but decided to do it for the week to show how good i am.

Will aftertime a bit by saying i backed JJ Walsh winner in the 1M Handicap at 11 on here and layed Saint Gervais in the last.  He is a hound.  I backed the four Elms at big prices this morning but got done close home.  Had cross doubles and trebles done on nusery winner and the two menntioned. Could have been a great day.
Report workrider October 24, 2012 5:38 PM BST
well done again mate ...
Report richters October 24, 2012 5:38 PM BST
brilliant tipping bws.....
Report Bigwillystyle October 24, 2012 6:40 PM BST
Thanks Wonky.
Report DECALEC October 24, 2012 8:05 PM BST
dont tip any the mora im at work as i was today
Report huddys October 24, 2012 8:46 PM BST
Well done
Report Rocketfingers October 24, 2012 8:50 PM BST
Any idea why it drifted so much? You tipped at 5's SP was 9's if i seen correctly.
Report Steveirll October 24, 2012 8:55 PM BST
1 tip in 2 days and only doing this for a week LaughLaughLaughLaughLaugh
Report Bigwillystyle October 24, 2012 10:42 PM BST
BilgWillystyle is +9 after 1 Selection.  Am taking BOG on my challenge.
Report irish_guy_13 October 25, 2012 1:09 AM BST
wd , keep it up. no pun intended!
Report Bigwillystyle October 25, 2012 9:12 AM BST
1 point win Native Wolf 25/1 5.25
Report Rocketfingers October 25, 2012 9:14 AM BST
Why do you fancy that little man?
Report Bigwillystyle October 25, 2012 9:21 AM BST
Horse with ability running off a Mark I think it can win off. Jockey is all right. Third run of the season so should be spot on. Ground not ideal but can't have everything and it should not be 25/1 IMO.
Report Rocketfingers October 25, 2012 9:26 AM BST
Ok fair enough, Good luck BWS
Report norn iron October 25, 2012 9:28 AM BST
GOOD LUCK BWS MY EW NAP ROBBIE KAYDEE RUNS IN IT  BUT ILL TRY DO REV FORCAST  JUST IN CASE
Report Bigwillystyle October 25, 2012 9:33 AM BST
Ure horse travelld well but blew up turning in d last day. I find that those type of horses tend to disappoint next time out and regain their form on the third run of the season.
Report norn iron October 25, 2012 9:54 AM BST
YES DID NEED RUN IVE WATCHED THIS SINCE EYECATCHER AT MAZE AND HOPE WE BOTH THERE JUMPING THE LAST  GOOD LUCK YOUR HORSE 3RD BIG JEMMY = SHOULD BE THERABOUTS

PS GREAT SEE SOME DECENT RACING THREADS BACK ON FORUMLove
Report norn iron October 25, 2012 5:36 PM BST
BWS YOUR TIP RAN WELL FOURTH 14/1 POSS BETTER GROUND NTO IT BE WORTH ANOTHER FEW  £EW
Report Bigwillystyle October 25, 2012 6:01 PM BST
Ran well but is d type to travel well and not find what u think he will. Nice profitable day though.
Report wildmanfromborneo October 25, 2012 8:53 PM BST
Plenty of quiet money for your selection today Bigwillystyle but why at 25/1 did you not have a point each way.Still well done and what a great start you had with your 9/1 winner but you really should be finished as your profit should now be 14.25 points.
Report Rocketfingers October 25, 2012 9:04 PM BST
I never bet ew when the numbers are against me, 8, 9 , 16 runner bet ew maybe even 17 runner ew, but 18 or 19 no way Wildman. Rule 1.01 of betting !

you're welcome Cool
Report DECALEC October 25, 2012 9:21 PM BST
well done BWS i had 5er ew @25's so thanks for paying for the 5 pint bottle's just heading down the club now dont normally bet during week so this is pleasant supriseLove
Report wildmanfromborneo October 25, 2012 9:22 PM BST
I can't agree with you there and for confirmation compare the prices on the place market here with the each way odds in these handicap hurdles,you will find the odds are much lower on the place market here,bookmakers hate the each way bets in these races which should tell you something.
Report Bigwillystyle October 26, 2012 9:54 AM BST
Lightning Stricks 3rd race Dundalk 14/1
Report RoyalAcademy October 26, 2012 11:05 AM BST
BWS restricted himself to 1pt win only and in selecting horses with rewarding place possibilities it opens a debate.

Having arrived at 90% of his target on day 1 it made sense to cover the e/w part of the bet. If you were concerned about preserving your capital the bet would have been 0.5pts e/w and nothing would have been lost.

Big Willy no doubt has his eye on greater profits but the win or e/w argument is always of interest to me and the dilemma of higher profit versus preservation of capital (or more modest returns on capital) is one I struggle with.

I usually fail by being too greedy and, on at least 50% of my losing bets, I find that I have left something behind me.

Many of the advertising tipsters will claim "success" if they tip a placed horse e/w at 5/2 or 9/4 and, being kind, they are adopting a conservative approach to preserving capital. The problem with this approach is if it is misrepresented in glossy adverts.
Report Tolmi October 26, 2012 1:19 PM BST
My attitude to each way is governed more by the shape of the race than the price.I would regularly go each on 5 runner races,8-10 runner races,16 runner handicaps and races where a 5th place is paid as a bonus.

In order to get a feel as to whether an each way play is mathematically justified I would regularly compare the odds on the place element of the bet to the place only odds here.For example if you are backing something each way at 6/1 and a 1/4 the odds if it is 3.25 a place on here you WILL lose long term no matter what the individual result is.
Report kavvie October 26, 2012 1:28 PM BST
depends on the reason you are bacing it.if you hear from the stable that its fancied to win an ew bet is a must.if its just a flutter you fancy off your own back then a win bet is way to go.my theory is if its fancied to win ,worst case itl place..
Report Bigwillystyle October 27, 2012 9:12 AM BST
Tipped Up Harry 2.55 Wexford 10/1.
Report Bigwillystyle October 27, 2012 9:14 AM BST
This horse is at least a stone better than his mark.  Was on the bridle turning in the last day and wasnt pushed to hard to the line.  That was against much better horses rated around 120.  Should go close today.
Report Bigwillystyle October 28, 2012 11:13 AM GMT
1 point Flying Light 9/2
Report workrider October 28, 2012 11:23 AM GMT
good luck mate....twilight my nap today....
Report Bigwillystyle October 28, 2012 11:58 AM GMT
The day he won in Listowel there was nothing off in behind. Had a big rep but I never liked him over hurdles.  Looks like he could be decent over fences. Think Taffees could get stuck in d ground. Danger is Meades horse but I'd say u will prob win. Good luck
Report Ozymandius October 28, 2012 12:02 PM GMT
What's the points tally to date and how many days to go?
Report workrider October 28, 2012 7:08 PM GMT
ozy , you really are a ****turrer ....
Report Ozymandius October 28, 2012 7:16 PM GMT
Feck off and stick your jockey y fronts on yer head.

The whole point of the thread is keeping count.  Why isn't the OP keeping score?
Report workrider October 28, 2012 7:37 PM GMT
Ozymandius     26 Oct 12 17:21 
Good luck KL, good start.

We need this to be a winning thread because of late even you have looked like an ordinary everyday losing punter.  No doubt this thread will re-establish your reputation.
Report workrider October 28, 2012 7:39 PM GMT
Ozymandius     24 Oct 12 18:33 
Come on Snap.  Time to get back on the horse, so to speak.

You only have to look at today's Navan thread to see that tipping horses is a tough game.  There is no shame in tipping 16 straight losers.
Report workrider October 28, 2012 7:40 PM GMT
i could go on ....
Report Ozymandius October 28, 2012 8:04 PM GMT
Please do.  Just don't push yourself over the edge again.  Nobody wants to witness that again
Report workrider October 28, 2012 11:15 PM GMT
i'm not sure what you mean by pushing myself over the edge...would you care to explain....?
Report Bigwillystyle October 29, 2012 9:27 AM GMT
5 points up at start of today. Dingaling in handicap hurdle Galway 8/1
Report Ozymandius October 29, 2012 9:33 AM GMT
Thank you BigWilly, that's helpful.  Two days to go, if I calculate correctly.

Best of luck.
Report Ozymandius October 31, 2012 12:15 AM GMT
Times up, Bobby.

Labeling Keen Leader a baboon on his tipping thread at a time when you should already have left the forum after the failure to meet your own target was a deliciously ironic way to sign off.
Report Bigwillystyle October 31, 2012 9:00 AM GMT
Today I d last day and Im not Bobby.

1 point Sensational Sema 7/1
Report Ozymandius October 31, 2012 9:23 AM GMT
Feck, sorry about that BigWilly.  Case of mistaken identity.  Hope it comes in for you today.  Again, apologies
Report workrider October 31, 2012 11:27 AM GMT
never thought i'd say this , but here goes...if you dont make your target , so what , its no big deal, at least you were man enough to put your selections up for all to see , unlike others i could mention..this forum seems to me at least, to be taking shape again ..so stay and help turn this place around ..we could even have the odd snipe at one another ,it'll be just like old time...
Report kingrat October 31, 2012 11:51 AM GMT
will MOL be at punchestown today?Wink
Report workrider October 31, 2012 11:59 AM GMT
ring him i'm sure he'd love to hear from you ....Laugh
Report Bigwillystyle October 31, 2012 6:44 PM GMT
I am a man of my word so i am leaving the forum.  9/1 winner and 25/1, 8/1, 7/1 placed.  Best of luck to everyone in the future. Found i am best when not distracted by the forum.
Report workrider October 31, 2012 6:51 PM GMT
it'll be sad to see you go bigwillystyle , pity you let them get to you....i thought you were stronger than that ..best of luck to you in the future mate..pop in now and again and have a little chat..god bless ....
Report Monte Christo October 31, 2012 7:00 PM GMT
You're very foolish to leave Bigwilly imo regardless of what you stated in your OP.
Report Rocketfingers October 31, 2012 7:02 PM GMT
I'm going to text into Larry Gogan tomorrow and put this tune on for you BWS

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JjZpqDYBvng
Report wildmanfromborneo October 31, 2012 8:49 PM GMT
Bigwillystyle you did something Rocketfingers never did you returned a profit,your reluctance to back them each way stopped you making a huge profit.You had seven selections two were unplaced one won at a massive 9/1 the other four were placed at odds of 25/1,8/1 10/1 and 7/1 you can't be accused of going for obvious ones.I assume anyone following you here would have backed them each way and that would have yielded them a whopping 17.75 point profit.
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