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BJG
06 Apr 12 19:57
Joined:
Date Joined: 20 Aug 07
| Topic/replies: 29,810 | Blogger: BJG's blog
2.50 Experience looks a solid ew bet

David Wachman 4 winners from his last 13 runners so has started the season well, Billy Lee takes the ride and had a double at Dundalk lately
Gets a very handy weight allowance from the older horses

Think the quick ground will play right into this ones hands - has run twice on g/f

First time out over 5f at Tipp when missing the break, running green and just going down by a sh from an impossible position

Made no mistake next time over 6f at Navan once more on g/f when beating subsequent Group 1 winner Lightning Pearl by 2l

She then went onto win a G3 at the Curragh over 6f quite easily and looked to be one to keep on the right side of but seemed just to go off the boil a little bit towards the end of the season.

Was backed as if defeat was out of the question in a Listed race at Tipperary over 5f after being backed into 8/15 from an opeing show of 8/11.  And never got into the race behind stablemate Requinto (who is now a G2+G3 winner in his own right) So the stable must have thought extremely highly of Experience to go off such a short price against him as she was also givin him 2lbs but that was her fourth run in almost a month and it was just one too many

Had a month off after the diasppointing Tipp run and nto over 5f at the Curragh went off fav once more in a Listed race and nothing travelled better throughout the race (traded 1.38 in running) before being unable to quicken at the finish and finishing a relatively disappointing 5th

Next time in a G3 at the Curragh showed that form to be all wrong when reversing form with An Ghalanta(over 2l in front lto, and finished 3/4l behind this day) when second behind the very impressive winner Lightning Pearl who went on to win the Group 1 Chevely Park at Newmarket

Then on her last run of the season went off a well backed 3/1 2nd fav behind Born to Sea in a 6f Listed race at the Curragh which was her 3rd run in 3 weeks again! Once more was held up towards the rear and nothing travelled into the race better but didnt quicken at the finish and finished 4th! With An Ghalanta over 2l in front again!

Always travels into her races well - odds in running when gettin beat

BSP 36 - 1.34 IR
BSP 1.61 - 1.53 IR
BSP 4.2 - 1.38 IR
BSP 5.8 - 3.2 IR
BSP 4.2 - 1.75 IR

I think she needs the ground quick and the winter break will have done her the world of good as she had an awful lot of runs in quick spaces of time last season.


I think a quick pace on fast ground over 6f is the key to this one and she should get all that at Cork tomorrow with An Ghalanta and Tough as Nails likely to make it a quick pace along with the likes of The Reaper, Celerina, Timeless Call who can also make it! Trainer in good form, coditions to suit, draw wont matter as she will be held up - hope the rain stays away, very overcast in Mallow this evenin

Looks a solid ew bet at around 8/1 with an i/r lay around the 2/1 mark
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Report JayTrumpOldTomDubbl April 6, 2012 8:09 PM BST
Good read there bjg I'm not really into the flat just yet, and Mallow and flat races are lethal, some desperate results down there over the years. I do remember that Tipp race where she was backed off the board to beat Requinto+co. I really facied Requinto but was put off by the amount of money for the fav on the night. Think Requinto had previously shown blistering speed in Mallow,was it ? In any event that was almost a one horse race as Requinto flew up the Tipp strait, best of luck and I will monitar the race from my stool in pp's,(yes I bought that stool)Wink
Report tony57 April 6, 2012 9:37 PM BST
good read ..good luck..but im going in again on speaking of which 5.30, i backed it on debut (2nd) it attracted some money that day and i think its a good sign there running it again so quick?
Report by purpose April 6, 2012 10:34 PM BST
Sundays Grade 3 Imperial Call Chase with a winners prize of over 17k is a race to set your juices flowing...
Report Seamo91 April 6, 2012 11:42 PM BST
Tough as Nails, conditions to suit (no penalties) top rated and getting weight from basically the whole field.. ignore 2 runs over (7f didn't stay)cut above on form, entry in 2000 Guineas shows how high in esteem its held, unbelievable price ya can do it each way.
Report lookingforthewildman April 7, 2012 8:20 AM BST
Ta seamo.....will follow you in today......the classic entry seals it for me.....after failing to stay 7f.....let's enter him in an 8f race.....
Report JayTrumpOldTomDubbl April 7, 2012 10:29 AM BST
Tough as Nails ran well early 2011 when the ground was probably soft/ish, so has there been rain in Mallow, as the ground will be like the road if no rain,
Report lookingforthewildman April 7, 2012 10:57 AM BST
So what if the ground is all against him.....he's entered in the  guineas.....what more do ya want to know......
Report snorlax April 7, 2012 10:58 AM BST
Now that's how to give an in depth write up,rather than the tools on here-this is a cert,blah blah blah hope ii wins for you,and you have almost persuaded me too
Report lookingforthewildman April 7, 2012 11:59 AM BST
I'm following seamo....so snorlax u may as well jump on the train too.....I hope it's not a case of the blind leading the blind here.....ok the grounds too quick....ok it mightn't have trained on......ok it's a devilishly hard race.....who cares about all that.....it's entered on the guineas......booooooommmmm
Report The Gotchee April 7, 2012 12:02 PM BST
Slade Power split Reply and Tenth Star first time out at the Curragh last season who respectively ended the season with ratings of 109 and 108. Slade Power won next time out and today runs off a mark of 92. Johnny Murtagh on board and in form stable. If he is fit he wins.
Report Fayzer April 7, 2012 12:11 PM BST
lookingforthe****, everyone is entitled to post an opinion on a forum, I dont think I have ever seen you post anything of any relevance.

BJG that is an excellent contribution

Good post BJG best of luck
Report wildmanfromborneo April 7, 2012 12:17 PM BST
Lookingforthewildman you misunderstand Seamo91s point,he thought it didn`t stay that doesn`t mean the connections agree,his point about the Guineas entry is they still hold him in high regard.To extrapolate an aside and keep on repeating it is wrong especially when your own venture into tipping was the disastrous Cert thread where you just baldly said this 8/13 shot would win at Kempton because the trainer told you with the inevitable result,nearer last than first.
Your point about it being a devilishly hard race is true but they are trading at double figure prices so they deserve credit for trying to solve a tough one.
Report JayTrumpOldTomDubbl April 7, 2012 12:24 PM BST
Entered in the Guineas means nought, mite just add a few K to a sale price if a buyer was onto it...... just how many were entered in the Guineas that wont see a racecourse, Tough as Nails did well last year,
Report wildmanfromborneo April 7, 2012 1:16 PM BST
Hate to go against BJG as he is in such hot shot form but i have a feeling neither Experience or Tough As Nails will train on.My idea of the winner is Six of Hearts,he is well drawn and despite being by Pivotal will love the ground and is ridden by a top apprentice who is full of confidence,the only reason i won`t nap him is the trip as he might prefer a bit further.
My nap for what its worth is Speaking Of Which in the last,there was great word for him all day at the Curragh,i thought he would need the run so think it was a great first run,his two main rivals ran in what i think was a moderate Leopardstown maiden so think he will win.
Report ilikewavingatbuses April 7, 2012 1:32 PM BST
katla for me in a wide open race!

gl lads.
Report BJG April 7, 2012 2:06 PM BST
U may be correct re Experience and Tough as Nails wildman - cant give either of em away today


Im keepin the faith with it anyway - wont write it off till i see it run at least once!
Report BJG April 7, 2012 2:29 PM BST
wd The Gotchee, a very cool ride by JPM

Thought he had made a complete balls of it 1f out!
Report BJG April 7, 2012 2:55 PM BST
Green screen, down to 1.3 i/r again Cool
Report p_r_e_m_i_e_r__f_a_n_t_a_s_y April 7, 2012 2:56 PM BST
Did Murtagh drop his whip near the finish?
Report richters April 7, 2012 2:56 PM BST
unlucky BJG...another stride...
Report BJG April 7, 2012 2:56 PM BST
Pity he didnt drop it 5 yards sooner if he did Laugh
Report GANT007 April 7, 2012 2:57 PM BST
I'd say the Mulvaney's are raging they didn't take the nice offer they got for tough as nails after his 2nd run last year......hindsight is a wonderful thing.
Report punchestown April 7, 2012 2:57 PM BST
Unlucky BJG,thought the way the betting was going the horse had no chance,missed the break to boot.
Report lookingforthewildman April 7, 2012 2:57 PM BST
That should put him spot on for the guineas.....Cracking run.....
Report pa lapsy April 7, 2012 2:58 PM BST
Good calls there The Gotchee and Bjg
Report p_r_e_m_i_e_r__f_a_n_t_a_s_y April 7, 2012 2:58 PM BST
Just he never used it after gicing the winner a good few cracks a good bit out, maybe he thought it would do no more good
Report dj876 April 7, 2012 3:06 PM BST
Great right up and tipping again BJG,
What was the minimum price IR matched??
Report TradeFair April 7, 2012 3:06 PM BST
GANT007

Tough As Nails failed the vet.
Report lookingforthewildman April 7, 2012 3:09 PM BST
Do ya get paid nowadays if yer horse is matched short in running.....thanks in advance.....
Report punchestown April 7, 2012 3:12 PM BST
Matched at about 1.30 iirc.
Report dj876 April 7, 2012 3:14 PM BST
Do ya get paid nowadays if yer horse is matched short in running.....thanks in advance...

Ya,try the pink buttonLaugh
Report Newmanix April 7, 2012 4:44 PM BST
bazza, I was in da pub with a gang.  we all put €5 on. nearly a great day in which u would be hailed as a god.  great shot btw
Report ilikewavingatbuses April 7, 2012 5:40 PM BST
wd winners

good stuff.
Report JayTrumpOldTomDubbl April 7, 2012 11:16 PM BST
yes indeed well done all and thanks again wildman will get payed at 6/4 took slightly shorter and heard it touched 15/8 on here, just before the off, must of been savage dough for bolgers..Happy
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