Weekend Bender

ReimerpYsatnaf Joined: 07 Jun 11
Replies: 2629 29 Aug 11 18:31   
Semi Final 2:

Razldazl Bugatti is again the likely leader with his brilliant early but the trip stretches him to his maximum. I would actually rather him drawn inside Coolykereen Imp but he will probably still have enough early to clear him but he must trap well. However if something bar Coolykereen Imp gets a run at him i think he will be picked up. Coolykereen Imp is the key to the race for me. He is usually fast away but moves off middle on the run up. This is a massive negative for the chances of Croom Star whos draw i don't like at all. Coolykereen would have to lead though in my opinion so needs a flier to lead Bugatti. Piercestown Sand in 5 has good all round pace but unless he can turn on the tails of the 2 and 4 i can't see him winning, he also should of picked up Bugatti in round 3 i thought and was dissappointed with him that night. However it would come as no surprise if he was to claim a final spot. Krug Ninety Five is badly drawn you would say but he will be adrift to the corner so it will probably make no difference. He can't win a clean run race in my opinion so need some trouble up front. I like Dream Walker in the race as i think he has a dream draw with Coolykereen moving off. Once he goes up well and turns 3rd i think he wins and with the solo he should get to the bend i expect him to turn handy. A repeat of his last 2 runs should be enough.

Selection: Dream Walker @ 4/1 (also doubled with Rockchase Bullet)

ReimerpYsatnaf Joined: 07 Jun 11
Replies: 2629 29 Aug 11 18:20   
Semi Final 1:

A lot here depends on how Razldazl George comes away. He fell out in round 3 and while he was better in the 1/4 finals he still needs to make a better exit. If he does he has huge claims but at a biggest 11/10 i think he is no value at all. If he does not make a quick start it's highly likely that Hey Gringo will take his ground on the run up and his chance will be gone. Hey Gringo ran a screamer in the 1/4 finals and is a big price at 14/1 and he could go better than those odds suggest. He has to lead George up though to stand any chance. Rafas Wee Pet is perfectly drawn on the fence but still i think she needs a flier if she is to stand any chance of winning. On the outside Rockview Head will move left immediately from boxes and i can't consider him from this draw. He could end up ruining the race for Droopys Twirl on the run up if she does not get a good start. She walked out in the 1/4 finals and ran a blinder but if she cannot get away in front of Rockview Head it's likely they will come together. That leaves us with Rockchase Bullet. He went up middle in his 1/4 final heat and then edged in nearing the bend. With Hey Gringo looking rails i think with a good start Bullet can get a good run up and should have the pace to clear those inside him, in fact Rockview Head could be more of a problem but with a start like last week i think he can lead up and if he goes around in front i think the race is over. His odds have contracted a lot now since the last win but i think he is still overpriced.

Selection: Rockchase Bullet @ 10/3 (may have a few €€ on Hey Gringo too @ 14/1 which i think is too big)

Razldazl Barack looks plotted up in the last and should win

keep an eye out for the tic tac man at shelbourne can usually be seen beside the winning line full of moet [;)]