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wildmanfromborneo
23 Aug 11 20:39
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Date Joined: 30 Nov 10
| Topic/replies: 21,252 | Blogger: wildmanfromborneo's blog
Secret Hero finished second in the 7.40 at Cork yesterday beaten a short head,is it possible that he never traded lower than 2.68 in running,is there anyway of checking this out.
I realise this is a technical question but plenty on here have a better grasp of the in running market than me.
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Report zipifried August 23, 2011 8:49 PM BST
of course it is possible, if he got beat on the line then it suspends so if he led all the way and then get caught then his in running odds would never have risen. The odds on the winner were probably quite high at one point i would imagine
Report wildmanfromborneo August 23, 2011 8:54 PM BST
It probably shows how much i know but i thought he would have traded odds on.
Report New Approach August 23, 2011 8:56 PM BST
I'm fairly certain he would have traded odds on. Was only caught in the final strides. I'd imagine he probably traded as low as 1.3.
Report zipifried August 23, 2011 8:57 PM BST
ok i read post wrong i thought you meant he may never traded higher than 2.68. It does sound strange he wouldn't have traded lower.
Report Giant Strides August 23, 2011 8:58 PM BST
I would have thought he was far more likely to not trade at odds on if he was only caught on the line zipfried.
I didn`t see the race, but I`m assuming it came very late and never looked like getting there.
Report Giant Strides August 23, 2011 8:59 PM BST
Well that is strange then.
Report BJG August 23, 2011 9:25 PM BST
Follow US On Twitter Handicap(D.I) 7f
Turf, Straight course: GOOD to FIRM
Pos     (draw)     Dist     Horse     Age     Weight     Eqp    
Jockey
Trainer
    In-play price     SPs and Advantage
High     Low     BSP     ISP     +/−     Place
1     (10)         Lombrici (IRE)     4     9-2         F. M. Berry P. D. Deegan, Ireland     9     -     22     15     42%     4.70
2     (8)     sh     Secret Hero     5     9-12     b     W. J. Lee Adrian Mcguinness, Ireland     -     2.68     2.78     2.75     −3%     1.56
3     (9)     1¼     Headache     6     10-0     tb     William Supple Brendan Duke, Ireland     -     2.14     9.96     8     22%     3.06
4     (1)     hd     Sacre Fleur (IRE)     3     9-3     b     D. A. Parkes (10) Ms Sharon Dunphy, Ireland     -     23     28.93     17     66%     6.20
5     (2)     nk     If Paradise     10     9-9     cp     M. A. Enright (7) Charles Coakley, Ireland     -     6.40     95.77     41     125%     23.04
6     (7)     2½     Mountain Mama (IRE)     4     9-9     t     R. P. Cleary C. W. J. Farrell, Ireland     -     21     39.35     21     82%     9.56
7     (3)     1¼     Catalpa (IRE)     5     9-1     cp     Declan Mcdonogh James A. Nash, Ireland     -     27     24.47     21     11%     6.80
8     (6)     nk     Proper Madam (IRE)     3     9-1         S. H. James (5) John Joseph Murphy, Ireland     -     95     95     26     257%     26.42
9     (12)     ½     Bangalore Prince (IRE)     3     9-7     cp     G. F. Carroll T. G. Mccourt, Ireland     -     18.50     16     12     30%     4.70
10     (15)     2     Elusive Gent (IRE)     4     9-1         M. C. Hussey J. T. Gorman, Ireland     -     19.50     28     17     60%     8.38
11     (14)     1¾     Sli Na Croi (IRE)     3     9-9         D. M. Grant Patrick J. Flynn, Ireland     -     36     26     15     70%     7.44
12     (5)     1     Dinah Doll (IRE)     6     9-4     tcp     N. G. Mccullagh Mrs Yvonne Dunleavy, Ireland     -     55     60.99     26     128%     10.53
13     (4)     1¼     Shirley Schmidt (IRE)     4     9-10         Joseph O'Brien (3) Edward Lynam, Ireland     -     8.40     9.60     10     −9%     3.55
14     (13)     7     Balmont Flyer (IRE)     3     9-2     b     Pat Smullen Harry Rogers, Ireland     -     11     9.83     9     5%     3
15     (11)     1½     Cookie Crumbles (IRE)     4     9-12     tb     L. F. Roche (5) Jim Mccabe, Ireland     -     42     45.70     26     70%     11
15 Ran, Winning Time: 1m 26.88s
Betfair SP Overround/Underround: 101%
Industry overround: 127%




2.68 lowest i/r
Report BJG August 23, 2011 9:39 PM BST
Just watched the race there, would have expected it to trade odds on.

Just slight odds on mind, dont think there was ever a point it looked like a short odds shot - Headache looked to be holding it, then Secret Hero looked the winner 1/2f out for maybe 2 strides before the winner started to fly and always looks like getting there

Would have expected 1.8-1.9 personally

The horse in front often trades a bit bigger than it should as there is always a tendancy for people to back the fast finisher rather than the horse in front in running imo(depending on how fast ur pics are)Devil
Report wildmanfromborneo August 23, 2011 9:42 PM BST
Thanks for the civilised nature of your responses,i was half expecting an avalanche of abuse.
I put up an in running lay at 2.68 and was astounded that it was only partly matched,a tiny part naturally,and felt i was done but thanks to BJG i realise that was not the case.I have been told about these robots that match between the two exchanges,must have taken a day off yesterday.
Thanks again.
Report Shotgun Willy August 23, 2011 9:59 PM BST
the markets here are gone desperately light, liquidity very poor, but watching the race he should surely have gone odds on.ten minutes before a run of the mill irish race the amount matched can be less than 10k and the place markets are completely gone
Report BJG September 9, 2011 1:31 PM BST
Burwaaz there at Doncaster beaten a sh, never lower than 3.6 i/r
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