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keen leader
16 Jun 11 21:56
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Date Joined: 05 Feb 02
| Topic/replies: 634 | Blogger: keen leader's blog
before i mention the wagers, i want to say that i am not ramping as there is no liquidity here on the markets i am pinpointing and because paddypows lead on the gaa prices all the others follow and if you cannot get on with team tallaght then plenty of friendly independents will give you their prices, as is routine.

to pay for your summer the medium of attention is saturday afternoons game, the hurling qualifier between cork and laois in portlaoise.

i believe, and the sharpest gaa punter i know agrees, that the bookies led by team ppower have completely got the line on this game wrong...they say 10/11 cork minus 11, their call....we are certain the line should be 20 points.
some of you know i have very good knowledge of both camps and because the line is so wrong not alone can you clean up on the various handicaps, you can win big on the side markets as well as they are linked to the 11 point median line.

laois are dire, they managed to beat an appalling clare in the league and that is the sole reason i can see the bookies with the low handicap. laois' defeat by down in the league is a fairer reflection of their standing...in a nutshell they ran limerick close 2 years ago when bro philip was at the helm, since he left the standard has dropped and the subs bench against 14 man antrim was a farce.

since the defeat to antrim 3 weeks ago, training, if you call it that, has been a shambles...they had 2 challenge games since....one they lost to waterford u21s and had to "borrow"  a player from the deise to make the 15 ...and last weekend 13 of this weeks named laois team scrapped a 1 pt win over a below strength kilkenny intermediate team...furthermore they are not physically fit for real championship action and with no fitness work in the past month.
cork on the otherhand are in great nick and gave tipp a good run for their money.

a good guide is a challenge game the 2 sides played on may 8th where a full strength laois side lost 3-18 to 0-13, with cork emptying the bench early in the 2nd half.
according to one of the laois hurlers i spoke to yesterday, he wants to avoid injury so as not to interfere with his travel plans to the USA..that is the prevailing attitude in the laois camp, whereas i gather cork are keen to clock up some goals, and they dont face brendan cummins this time.

not even bad weather will stop a hammering, i think a score line in the ballpark of 5-25 to 1-10 is on the cards maybe more severe as  cork may go on the rampage in the closing stages when their superior fitness starts to tell.
the last 3 decent county teams laois faced in a knockout game at o moore park in the past 5/6 years were tipp(won by about 28pts), galway won by 20plus 2 years ago and offaly won by 15 or 16....

so to make your summer killing, assemble a bank of 30 points and play as follows on ppower markets and priced as of now thursday night.

5pts cork -13pts at 7/5
4pts cork -16pts at 11/4
2pts cork -18pts at 9/2

9pts  cork to score over 27 1/2 pts score tally at 5/6

4pts cork to score over 2 1/2 goals at 6/4
2pts cork to score over 3 1/2 goals at 7/2
2pts cork to score over 4 1/2 goals at 8/1
2pts cork to score over 5 1/2 goals at 14/1.

i am writing this in advance of fridays racing post tips, so i am not influenced by any other source except my inside knowledge of the laois camp.

when cork play offaly in the next round the line will be 7-9 pts and offaly would hammer laois by the same, so feast on the prices served up this weekend.

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Replies: 109
By:
neill d
When: 16 Jun 11 22:08
compelling argument, I'll be on tomorrow
By:
Dan Chipowski
When: 16 Jun 11 22:17
Some of the stories coming out of the Laois camp from earlier in the season and the week before they played Antrim would lend weight to your theories Happy

Gl with the bets.
By:
huddys
When: 16 Jun 11 22:17
great write up you really know your stuff,best off luck with the bet
By:
Ernie__Bert
When: 16 Jun 11 22:48
Good luck with it, i might have a look myself.
By:
tobywong.
When: 16 Jun 11 23:11
im on
By:
tobywong.
When: 16 Jun 11 23:17
cork team

Donal Og
S O Neill
E Cadogan
S McDonnell
J Gardiner
W Egan
B Murphy
T Kenny
P Cronin
B O Connor
B Cooper
N McCarthy
L Farrell
P Horgan
P O Sullivan
By:
thegalwayman
When: 16 Jun 11 23:31
Well this is most unusual. tobywong has told us that he has had a bet before an event has taken place. I note he has not specified which bet he has placed, but no doubt that will become clear post event.
By:
tobywong.
When: 16 Jun 11 23:36
go fk yourself ya sad pathetic multi account fool
By:
squigs
When: 16 Jun 11 23:46
Superb write up, I had assumd the cap would have been 14pts minimum so 9 does look a gift.
By:
thefly10
When: 17 Jun 11 00:48
Great stuff Keen Leader!
By:
joe9000
When: 17 Jun 11 01:45
Sorry to change the subject altogether, but i seen something on the Hills site that caught my eye. They have a page of Joe Canning specials and have him at 6/4 to get an all-star, seems on the big side to me. Anyone got an opinion on him this year?
By:
Tony Fenton
When: 17 Jun 11 11:48
Joe's aarse seems a bit on the big side to me.
By:
Dan Chipowski
When: 17 Jun 11 11:54
I see the Racing Post's GAA section today tips up 'goal shy' Cork to score under 27.5pts. Shocked
By:
workrider
When: 17 Jun 11 12:05
nasty nasty boy toby.....Laugh
By:
tobywong.
When: 17 Jun 11 12:11
needed to be said workrider
By:
GANT007
When: 17 Jun 11 12:19
Cork could have had a few goals against Tipp and Laois as we all know aint in that league.......-11 well worth a cut.

Big day for Joe on Saturday and on the frees by all accounts.
By:
scoobyknows
When: 17 Jun 11 12:42
That Cork side is poor,Cooper is an average junior club hurler..!
By:
thefly10
When: 17 Jun 11 21:44
On Galway v Dublin, I think the Dubs will be brought back down to earth on Sunday. Galway need to show big things if they are to lay a marker as All Ireland contenders. Its the first round of the championship and McIntyre is still unsure about what his best side is, I think this is a good thing. Canning will be the difference.
By:
Tony Fenton
When: 18 Jun 11 14:14
It's on at 7 tonight not Sunday just in case you want to watch it thefly.
By:
tobywong.
When: 18 Jun 11 14:16
interesting game , looking fwd to it
By:
Tony Fenton
When: 18 Jun 11 14:30
Yeah be kind and say 2 unreliable championship teams. Could go either way. Hope Plunkett rips them apart with his pace when he gets on.
By:
The Icchantika
When: 18 Jun 11 15:00
what is your bet tobes?
By:
GANT007
When: 18 Jun 11 15:25
Cork will bang in 5 or more goals.............
By:
Millionaire_Morse
When: 18 Jun 11 15:29
LAOIS JUST SCORED A GOAL.
IT'S ALL GOING PEAR SHAPED FOR U MUGS LOL LOL LOL.
THEY THINK IT'S ALL OVER. IT IS NOW.
By:
kiddo112
When: 18 Jun 11 15:29
2-6 to 1-7 to Cork

Cork need to get the finger out
By:
GANT007
When: 18 Jun 11 15:32
3-6 to 1-7.........
By:
stayonyourfeet
When: 18 Jun 11 15:35
3-8 1-8 now
By:
GANT007
When: 18 Jun 11 15:39
Cork 7 points up at halftime........3-9 to 1-8..........they should kick on from here.
By:
Dan Chipowski
When: 18 Jun 11 16:06
4-13 to 1-10 now. Cool

Bets being landed by the second. Need to drive it on now Silly
By:
Dan Chipowski
When: 18 Jun 11 16:10
5-13 now Love
By:
limestone lad
When: 18 Jun 11 16:11
now 6 goals mighty keen leader that was 14/1
By:
GANT007
When: 18 Jun 11 16:11
6-15 to 1-10.........all over now.
By:
redbait
When: 18 Jun 11 16:11
This is a very good thread!
By:
Tolmi
When: 18 Jun 11 16:11
Might go down in history as the best piece of betting advice ever written on this forum.
By:
GANT007
When: 18 Jun 11 16:12
7-15........go and collect lads....
By:
BJG
When: 18 Jun 11 16:12
Im sick i didnt go as far as over 5.5

Had some on over 4.5 tho so wont complain

Eccellent shout KL Cool
By:
Dan Chipowski
When: 18 Jun 11 16:12
Agreed entirely, Tolmi.

Mighty stuff.
By:
redbait
When: 18 Jun 11 16:13
A mate of mine in Paddy Powers has told me the traders are currently having a meeting about whether to withhold payment of bets due to the suspicious level of support for Cork in all markets............
By:
scoobyknows
When: 18 Jun 11 16:13
Top Tipping..! Well Done..!
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