james nicholson chase( down royal)sat

Cashmans only

http://www.cashmans.ie/antipost/antepostnews.html

Notre Pere 5/2
The Listener 3/1
My Will 5/1
Joe Lively 6/1
Schindlers Hunt 8/1
Casey Jones 8/1
Roll Along 10/1
War Of Attrition 12/1
Wheresben 20/1
Natal 33/1
Trotsky 100/1

1p1-5p1 Casey Jones (IRE) 8 - Noel Meade 149
3p3p-10 Darkness 10 - C R Egerton 0
2316-15 Joe Lively (IRE) 10 - C L Tizzard 0
023-5-53 My Will (FR) 9 - P F Nicholls 0
6-50p21 Natal (FR) 8 - J J Lambe 141
p411-21 Notre Pere (FR) 8 - J T R Dreaper 167
513-p64 Roll Along (IRE) 9 - N A Twiston-Davies 0
123222 Schindlers Hunt (IRE) 9 - D T Hughes 161
33-1f31 Siegemaster (IRE) 8 - D T Hughes 0
f-29611 Snowy Morning (IRE) 9 - W P Mullins 151
542f-67 The Listener (IRE) 10 - Nick Mitchell 0
112001 Trotsky (IRE) 11 - P J McKenna 113
1132-p2 War Of Attrition (IRE) 10 - M F Morris 157
167841- Wheresben (IRE) 10 - Seamus Fahey 142


Notre Pere 5/2 ?:| Think he'll win, be bigger elsewhere though?

Ruby expected to ride at Badger Ale meeting for local trainer Paul Nicholls. Celestial Halo runner up in the Champion Hurdle is expected to resume.

C Williams I suppose will ride My will.

It would be great to see NP compete sucessfully at the top table.

Dreaper needs another show stopper.

Brings back the memories of Carvills Hill and Ken Morgan.

Anyone else think 5/2 unbelievable price I thought he'd be close to evens!

NOTRE PERE GREAT BET 5/2 WITH THE LISTNER TOO CHASE HIM HOME ON BOTHS FAVOURED HEAVY GROUND

If Notre Pere is fully wound up this should be easy .

Into 6/4 now lol

fearless cashmans

Would like to see Siegemaster go for this, ew chance.

Think Seigemaster goes for the Grade 2 chase on the card. Hope Schindlers Hunt runs here, big chance!

Depends on the going COM, think if its heavy Schindlers doesn't run, and Siege will be switched to the G1.

Notre Pere at 6-4 with a savour on Casey Jones at 12s... You can't go wrong ;)

Serious rain up here in the North this afternoon & evening.

Trends for the race:

Age (Win-Place-Runners)
6yo: 1-1-4
7yo: 1-2-11
8yo: 4-2-13
9yo: 1-0-13
10yo: 2-1-7
11yo+: 0-3-7

8 and 10 year olds have the best record having won 6 of the 9 runnings from less than 40% of the runners.

Recent/Past Form
8 of 9 winners finished in the first 2 last time out
5 of 9 winners were having their first run over fences that season
4 of 9 winners ran in the Munster National last time out
7 of 9 winners had won over 3M+ (exceptions were Taranis 2007, who won the Ryanair over 2M 5F & had never run over 3M+, and Glenelly Gale who had finished 2nd in 3M Munster National on previous start)
8 of 9 winners had won a grade 1 or 2 chase (exception was Glenelly Gale in 2003, who won a 4 runner sub-standard renewal)

Other Races
Munster National winner: 115 (2-0-3)
Punchestown Gold Cup winner: 5412 (1-1-4)
Highest placed finisher in Cheltenham Gold Cup: 113242U1 (3-2-8)
The last 3 winners had run at Aintree in April (2 in Totesport Bowl and 1 in Melling Chase).

Trainers
Paul Nicholls (2-1-3) has gained 2 wins and a second from his 3 runners in this race.
Mouse Morris (1-1-3) saddled Foxchapel King to win the race in 2001 and had War Of Attrition finish runner-up in 2006.
Willie Mullins (1-0-5) won the first running of the race in 1999 with Florida Pearl but his last 4 runners have all been unplaced.

Price
7 of 9 winners (last 4) came from the first 3 in the betting
More Than A Strolls win at 20/1 in 2002 was the only major shock in the last 10 years.
Favourites (5-2-10) have won 5 of the 9 running of this but only show a level stakes profit of 0.03.

Summary:
Based on the trends from the past 10 years you are looking for a horse:

· Aged 8 or 10
· Having seasonal debut over fences or ran in Munster National last time
· Won a grade 1 or 2 chase
· Won over 3M+
· Highest placed finisher in the Cheltenham Gold Cup to run in this
· From the first 3 in the betting
· Trained by Paul Nicholls or Mouse Morris

DOWNALLSTAR DESSIE SOUNDS IF SIEGEMASTER GOING FOR THE BIG RACE

morning norn , cant make sat either sorry, rovers are having their player of the year dinner and me and the sons are all going i thought next week , norn have a few pounds on frank ennis 2yo to place in the 12 .05

how unlucky was that ,he would nearly have won with any kind of run had it @22 /1 to place for small money and also had it to place at 12/1 ffs .