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simplesi73
28 Sep 26 15:09
Joined:
Date Joined: 07 Jul 26
| Topic/replies: 110 | Blogger: simplesi73's blog
So the outsider of 4 wins at 5/1  and it has almost the  same amount of units as the other runners yeah right oh...
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Report s.kenbo • September 28, 2026 3:33 PM BST
It had over 21% of the pool. Hardly a huge discrepancy for a 5/1 shot.
Report simplesi73 • September 28, 2026 3:35 PM BST

Sep 28, 2026 -- 3:33PM, s.kenbo wrote:


It had over 21% of the pool. Hardly a huge discrepancy for a 5/1 shot.


1Gore Point 5/1
J: Harry Cobden
T: A J Honeyball
3298.03(21%)
Not Placed

Pos

Units
(0)
silk
2Minella Jury 9/4
J: Sam Twiston-Davies
T: N & W Twiston-Davies
3826.70(25%)
(0)
silk
3Inside Man 9/4
J: C Gethings
T: Mrs J Williams
3882.72(25%)
(0)
silk
4Juggernaut 85/40
star
J: Chad Bament
T: A J Honeyball
4371.21(28%)

Report swiftynifty • September 28, 2026 3:35 PM BST
Hairdressers at work.
Report onlooker • September 28, 2026 3:38 PM BST
NOVICE CHASE

Outsider of 4 Wins at (just) 5/1

Th Winner- Being a 3 x times Course & Distance Winner - and in CHASES

2 of the other runers making their CHASE DEBUTs - with one of them Pulled UP and Fell on last 2 outings

Other runner ran in 6 Chases previously, winning it's latest one, but, when wearing First-time Blinkers


At the OFF - The other 3 runners were all 9/4.


.... Are you sure that this game is for you - simplesi ?
Report uptheirons • September 28, 2026 3:43 PM BST
The O/P seems suitably namedLaugh
Report simplesi73 • September 28, 2026 4:22 PM BST
Again the 5th leg how does the winner 7/2 have more units than the 13/8 fav? it always seems the same when its a win only leg that they spread the units evenly its just my opinion i know all you pros have the game sussed.
Report swiftynifty • September 28, 2026 4:29 PM BST
Hairdressers at work.
Report s.kenbo • September 28, 2026 4:39 PM BST
Kevin Keegan?
Report swiftynifty • September 28, 2026 4:56 PM BST
No, Maradona.
Report GLASGOWCALLING • September 28, 2026 5:40 PM BST
More folk covering the field hoping for an outsider, as regards prices they do change from the time of the first leg.
Report onlooker • September 28, 2026 6:16 PM BST
What 'Prices' are you referring to >


In the meantime - You would be happy if you had got it up ...


Placepot £820.20 to a £1 stake.

Pool: £43,599.81 - 53.16 winning units
Report GLASGOWCALLING • September 29, 2026 10:10 AM BST
.... SP, Simples was saying about a 13/8 fav, the horse could have been 3/1 in the morning.
Report onlooker • September 29, 2026 12:02 PM BST
Exactly - GLASGOW

Racing Post - Betting Forecast:  7/4 Minella Jury, 9/4 Juggernaut, 100/30 Gore Point, 4/1 Inside Man.

Irishracing - Probable SP - 4/5 Juggernaut, 9/4 Gore Point, 8/1 Minella Jury, Inside Man.
Report hong kong fooey • September 29, 2026 12:07 PM BST
I do agree the tote is fixed at certain times. But not in this situation.
Report CLYDEBANK29 • September 29, 2026 12:21 PM BST
100,000 combinations all with an equal chance.  The operator can buy 100,000 tickets at zero commission.  What does the operator do?
Report CLYDEBANK29 • September 29, 2026 12:29 PM BST
It buys one of all the different combinations is what it does
Report CLYDEBANK29 • September 29, 2026 12:32 PM BST
I come along as the first customer and buy a ticket into this pool of £100,000.  As it stands if my combination comes up I'm getting a payout of £50,000 less commission on a 100,000 shot.
Report CLYDEBANK29 • September 29, 2026 12:33 PM BST
Don't bet the placepot.  You are getting ripped off
Report CLYDEBANK29 • September 29, 2026 12:41 PM BST
I'd be betting low odds that strategy was the bedrock of the Australian Croatian's fortune, who got TAB rebates back in the day.
Report s.kenbo • September 29, 2026 2:01 PM BST
You’d be getting far less than that. If they’d brought the full cover they’d have over 750 winning lines (assuming three places on each race). You’d be getting about £1000 after the takeout. Not a bad return if you had six placed favs or second favs though.
Report CLYDEBANK29 • September 29, 2026 2:17 PM BST
sure kenbo.  I'm using a simplified example to show how you are being ripped off
Report s.kenbo • September 29, 2026 2:32 PM BST
The takeout alone is enough to make it a bad bet. Like any kind of multi bet, most punters have had a great return from it one day and that’s enough to keep them doing it on a daily basis.
Report swiftynifty • September 29, 2026 2:34 PM BST
what if you knew all the other tickets and which perms would be paying above the % chance?
Report s.kenbo • September 29, 2026 2:58 PM BST
Then you’d have a license to print money, Swifty. Value betting every day!
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