We are in the eve of the great racing spectacular from Royal Berkshire.
Here’s a general place for thoughts, fancies, lays and plays.
Hopefully more for celebrating than just venting, poor rides or over watering, but all welcome!
Let’s hope that it’s a good one!
We are in the eve of the great racing spectacular from Royal Berkshire.Here’s a general place for thoughts, fancies, lays and plays.Hopefully more for celebrating than just venting, poor rides or over watering, but all welcome!Let’s hope that it
In the Queen Anna Burke talked about stepping up to 10f immediately after the Lockinge for Zeuss. Which I’d said was odd considering the stiff mile at Ascot more likely to suit.
That can be said the same about Damysus and I’m not surprised that money has come for him. The mile at Ascot looks made for him. I think that the Lockinge was straight track experience and Doyle is a good judge of pace on a straight track.
- Last Run – 5/12 winners won on their last run before the Queen Anne Stakes, 9/12 winners ran within the last 38 days 6/12 winners ran in the Lockinge Stakes (Newbury) on their last run, 3 of the 6 won, 1 placed
(2 winners were unplaced in the Lockinge.)
Newbury was always going to suit Notable Speech more as it’s like Deauville, a pancake mile for speed.
Last year 100/1 shot Cairo filled the frame and given the slow gallop I don’t see why he couldn’t finish in front of that even with trouble in running. Short price no thanks.
This stat is against Damysus but it’s also against More Thunder, but there’s a big price difference.
Previous Distance Form – 12/12 winners had at least 4 previous runs over 8 furlongs, 11/12 winners had at least 2 previous wins over 8 furlongs, 7/12 winners had at least 3 previous wins over 8 furlongs
In the Queen Anna Burke talked about stepping up to 10f immediately after the Lockinge for Zeuss. Which I’d said was odd considering the stiff mile at Ascot more likely to suit.That can be said the same about Damysus and I’m not surprised that mo
Age – 8 of the last 12 winners were aged 4 Price – 7 of the last 12 winners were favourites, 8/12 winners have been in the top 3 in the betting Last Run – 5/12 winners won on their last run before the Queen Anne Stakes, 9/12 winners ran within the last 38 days
6/12 winners ran in the Lockinge Stakes (Newbury) on their last run, 3 of the 6 won, 1 placed Previous Course Form – 9/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Ascot, 8 of the 9 had a previous win at Ascot Previous Distance Form – 12/12 winners had at least 4 previous runs over 8 furlongs, 11/12 winners had at least 2 previous wins over 8 furlongs, 7/12 winners had at least 3 previous wins over 8 furlongs Previous Flat Form – 11/12 winners had at least 7 previous flat runs, 10/12 had at least 4 previous flat wins
Rating – 9/12 winners had a rating of 114 or higher Group 1 Wins – 7/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a group 1 race Group 2 Wins – 6/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a group 2 race Group Wins – 10/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a group 1-3 race Season Form – 9/12 winners had at least 1 run that season, 6/12 winners had at least 1 win that season
Queen Anne:Age – 8 of the last 12 winners were aged 4Price – 7 of the last 12 winners were favourites, 8/12 winners have been in the top 3 in the bettingLast Run – 5/12 winners won on their last run before the Queen Anne Stakes, 9/12 winners ra
Price – 6 of the last 12 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 7/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting Last Run – 10/12 winners won on their previous run before the Coventry Stakes, 11/12 winners at least placed on their previous run, 10/12 winners ran within the last 32 days Previous Distance Form – 9/12 winners had at least 1 previous run over 6 furlongs, 7/12 winners had at least 1 previous win over 6 furlongs Previous Flat Form – 12/12 winners had at least 1 previous flat run, 5/12 winners had at least 2 previous flat runs, 10/12 winners had at least 1 previous flat win, 3/12 winners had at least 2 previous flat wins Season Form – 12/12 winners had at least 1 run that season, 5/12 winners had at least 2 runs that season, 10/12 winners had at least 1 win that season
Coventry:Price – 6 of the last 12 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 7/12 winners were in the top 3 in the bettingLast Run – 10/12 winners won on their previous run before the Coventry Stakes, 11/12 winners at least placed on their previou
Age – 8 of the last 12 winners were aged 4-6 Price – 1 of the last 12 winners were favourites, 9/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting Last Run – 5/12 winners won on their last run before the King Charles III Stakes, 6/12 winners at least placed on their last run, 9/12 winners had their last run within 66 days 4/12 winners ran in the Temple Stakes (Haydock) on their last run, 1 of the 4 won, 0 placed
Previous Course Form – 9/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Ascot, 7/12 winners had at least 2 previous runs at Ascot, 6/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Ascot Previous Distance Form – 8/12 winners had at least 4 previous runs over 5 furlongs, 8/12 winners had at least 2 previous wins over 5 furlongs Previous Flat Form – 10/12 winners had at least 12 previous flat runs, 11/12 winners had at least 4 previous flat wins Rating – 11/12 winners had a rating of 111 or higher
Group Wins – 6/12 winners had at least 1 win in a group 1 race, 11/12 winners had at least 1 win in a group 1-3 race Season Form – 11/12 winners had at least 1 run that season, 7/12 winners had at least 1 win that season
King Charles III:Age – 8 of the last 12 winners were aged 4-6Price – 1 of the last 12 winners were favourites, 9/12 winners were in the top 3 in the bettingLast Run – 5/12 winners won on their last run before the King Charles III Stakes, 6/12 w
Price – 6 of the last 12 winners have been favourites/joint favourites, 11/12 winners have been in the top 3 in the betting Last Run – 8/12 winners won on their last run before the St James’s Palace Stakes, 11/12 winners finished in the top 2 on their last run, 10/12 winners had their last run within the last 26 days
7/12 winners ran in the Irish 2000 Guineas (Curragh) on their last run, 5 of the 7 won, 2 placed 2/12 winners ran in the 2000 Guineas (Newmarket) on their last run, 1 of the 2 won, 1 placed Previous Course Form – 2/12 winners had a previous run at Ascot, 1/12 winners had a previous win at Ascot Previous Distance Form – 12/12 winners had at least 1 previous run over 8 furlongs, 11/12 winners had at least 2 previous runs over 8 furlongs, 12/12 had at least 1 previous win over 8 furlongs
Previous Flat Form – 12/12 winners had at least 3 previous flat runs, 9/12 winners had at least 4 previous flat runs, 12/12 winners had at least 2 previous flat wins, 10/12 winners had at least 3 previous flat wins Rating – 9/12 winners had a rating of 110 or higher Group Wins – 8/12 winners had at least 1 previous group 1 win, 9/12 winners had at least 1 previous group 1-3 win Season Form – 10/12 winners had at least 2 runs that season, 12/12 winners had at least 1 win that season
St James's Palace Stakes:Age – Race is for 3yo’s onlyPrice – 6 of the last 12 winners have been favourites/joint favourites, 11/12 winners have been in the top 3 in the bettingLast Run – 8/12 winners won on their last run before the St James
Age – 8 of the last 12 winners were aged between 5 & 7 Price – 2 of the last 12 winners were favourites, 4/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting Last Run – 4/12 winners won on their last run before the Ascot Stakes, 10/12 winners had their last run within the last 52 days
Previous Course Form – 5/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Ascot, 0/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Ascot Previous Distance Form – 10/12 winners had at least 5 previous runs over 16-20 furlongs, 9/12 winners had at least 2 previous wins over 16-20 furlongs Previous Flat Form – 9/12 winners had at least 11 previous flat runs, 12/12 winners had at least 2 previous flat wins, 11/12 winners had at least 3 previous flat wins
Rating – 9/12 winners had a rating of 91 or higher Group Wins – 0/12 winners had at least 1 win in a group 1-3 race Season Form – 9/12 winners had at least 2 runs that season, 5/12 winners had at least 1 win that season 9/12 winners were trained by National Hunt trainers and had been running in National Hunt Races that year
Ascot Stakes:Age – 8 of the last 12 winners were aged between 5 & 7Price – 2 of the last 12 winners were favourites, 4/12 winners were in the top 3 in the bettingLast Run – 4/12 winners won on their last run before the Ascot Stakes, 10/12 winne
Age – 10 of the last 12 winners were aged 4 or 5 Price – 2 of the last 12 winners were favourites/joint-favourites, 3/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting Last Run – 1/12 winners won on their last run before the Wolferton Stakes, 9/12 winners had their last run within the last 56 days 3/12 winners ran in the Huxley Stakes (Chester) on their last run before the Wolferton Stakes, 0 of the 3 won, 1 placed
Previous Course Form – 9/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Ascot, 3/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Ascot Previous Distance Form – 11/12 winners had at least 2 previous runs over 10 furlongs, 8/12 winners had at least 1 previous win over 10 furlongs Previous Flat Form – 11/12 winners had at least 7 previous flat runs, 10/12 winners had at least 3 previous flat wins
Group Wins – 4/12 winners had at least 1 win in a group 1-3 race Season Form – 11/12 winners had at least 1 run that season, 4/12 winners had at least 1 win that season
Wolferton Stakes:Age – 10 of the last 12 winners were aged 4 or 5Price – 2 of the last 12 winners were favourites/joint-favourites, 3/12 winners were in the top 3 in the bettingLast Run – 1/12 winners won on their last run before the Wolferton
Age – 6 of the last 6 winners were aged between 4 and 6 Price – 3 of the last 6 winners were favourites/joint-favourites, 4/6 winners were in the top 3 in the betting Last Run – 3/6 winners won on their last run before the Copper Horse Stakes, 4/6 winners had their last run within the last 53 days
Previous Course Form – 3/6 winners had at least 1 previous run at Ascot, 0/6 winners had at least 1 previous win at Ascot Previous Distance Form – 2/6 winners had at least 1 previous run over 14 furlongs, 2/6 winners had at least 1 previous win over 14 furlongs Previous Flat Form – 6/6 winners had at least 4 previous flat runs, 6/6 winners had at least 2 previous flat wins
Rating – 5/6 winners had a rating of between 99 and 101 Group Wins – 0/6 winners had at least 1 win in a group 1-3 race Season Form – 3/6 winners had at least 1 flat run that season, 2/6 winners had at least 1 flat win that season
Copper Hores Stakes (Handicap)Age – 6 of the last 6 winners were aged between 4 and 6Price – 3 of the last 6 winners were favourites/joint-favourites, 4/6 winners were in the top 3 in the bettingLast Run – 3/6 winners won on their last run befo
I did the each way extra 5th place on NIGHT IN VEGAS, she only got beat about a length in total having been out the back after a furlong
365 offered 6/4 BOW ECHO so that was good
The OBrien horse was having his 3rd run of the season, whereas BOW ECHO was racing for the 2nd time, first time he had to battle so you’d think he’d be super fit now
All the best
I did the each way extra 5th place on NIGHT IN VEGAS, she only got beat about a length in total having been out the back after a furlong365 offered 6/4 BOW ECHO so that was goodThe OBrien horse was having his 3rd run of the season, whereas BOW ECHO w
365 and Sky pushed OMBUDSMAN out to 2/1, thanks very much
ALTA REGINA wasn’t given the greatest of rides, she wouldn’t have beaten the winner today but don’t write her of
LINWOOD a non runner
All the best
365 and Sky pushed OMBUDSMAN out to 2/1, thanks very muchALTA REGINA wasn’t given the greatest of rides, she wouldn’t have beaten the winner today but don’t write her ofLINWOOD a non runnerAll the best