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2 weeks away and nrnb has kicked in and its pretty tight at the front of the markets but there may be some value with the bigger priced runners some of whom may have been overlooked ,i will be going over the championship races over the next few weeks in the hope of finding a bit of value . the gold cup is wide open going by the betting fact or file may or may not run and here willie has a fair few who have chances jango baie has to prove he will get the trip . affordale fury is very lightly raced over fences was progressing and may have had an issue (pulled muscle )when pulled up in the irish gold cup ,was a game winner of the savilles and the irish gold cup may have come too soon after a hardish race ,whatever 33/1 nrnb looks fair to me considering he beat a few previous gold cup winners and a national winner in the savills ,in the right age bracket an 8yo improver rated 165 whose savills form puts him right up there with a shout .
selection affordale fury 33/1 ew nrnb .good luck opinions encouraged.
selection affordale fury 33/1 ew nrnb .good luck opinions encouraged.
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champion chase majboro looked good and jumped well last time but has made mistakes before and short enough may well win but not for me ,marine national has a bit to find with majboro but should get closer in the champion but again short enough ,i like the chance of quilixios who was neck and neck with marine n in last years champion before departing at the last ,will line up one of if not the freshest horse not had a run this season but usually henry has em ready for this fixture and this race will cut up and can be backed at 16/1 nrnb which i think is very fair .
I backed Affordale Fury a few weeks ago. He was 66/1 with a couple firms if you could get on. I couldn't. He stopped as if shot in the Irish Gold Cup, and finished lame. The more the ground dries the better. Also have been thinking of backing Inothewayurthinkin, but have watched the price steadily dry up - was 18/1, now generally 12/1. Loads of doubts on this season, but if he reproduced anything like last year he could be too good in an ordinary renewal.
The Ryanair is a very difficult race to have a bet in. I think Fact To File should run here, but he will be too short for me.
Good luck.
https://www.attheraces.com/news/2026/February/19/meade-still-has-his-eyes-on...
The Ryanair is a very difficult race to have a bet in. I think Fact To File should run here, but he will be too short for me.
Good luck.
https://www.attheraces.com/news/2026/February/19/meade-still-has-his-eyes-on...
Champion Chase is all about whether you trust Majborough to jump well. I backed Marine Nationale when he was pushed out to 7/2, but he needs the ground to dry out, and even then I wouldn't be overly confident.
good luck dd yeah majboro if he jumps is gonna go close but too short to pay to find out imo.
Agree maj a big oss and will do well to put in a clear at 2m.
And agree the ground is everything at this level, the value if there ever was any just gets squeezed and squeezed until on the day its easy not to get involved.
If you can get on one e/w that will run in its intended, then the 1/4 odds is nice and prob be ready to get rid of the win part on here at favourable odds but multiple entries in diff races makes it easier said than one.
Wood luv to tip one or too but hate tipping one that doesn't rfun and ya just giving emm away to the phorum breathers.
Put ya opinion in the exchange and keep yo selevtions to yer self.
Will try and dig one out that at least will run when ground becomes known, Maj jumped like a stag last time and has an engine so could walk up as opposition is limited and race could cut up. A horse I have always liked, but perhaps if ground is on lively side could be forced into getting it all wrang, not diff to ignore.
And agree the ground is everything at this level, the value if there ever was any just gets squeezed and squeezed until on the day its easy not to get involved.
If you can get on one e/w that will run in its intended, then the 1/4 odds is nice and prob be ready to get rid of the win part on here at favourable odds but multiple entries in diff races makes it easier said than one.
Wood luv to tip one or too but hate tipping one that doesn't rfun and ya just giving emm away to the phorum breathers.
Put ya opinion in the exchange and keep yo selevtions to yer self.
Will try and dig one out that at least will run when ground becomes known, Maj jumped like a stag last time and has an engine so could walk up as opposition is limited and race could cut up. A horse I have always liked, but perhaps if ground is on lively side could be forced into getting it all wrang, not diff to ignore.
Jump Allen in coral cup race
Ain’t they they sponsor any more
Mullins thing low weight
Going need few come out
20s ew nrnb
Ain’t they they sponsor any more
Mullins thing low weight
Going need few come out
20s ew nrnb
Slade Steel
14/1 for the Novice Handicap Chase and 16/1 for the Plate.
Will be single figures in which ever race he goes for imo.
14/1 for the Novice Handicap Chase and 16/1 for the Plate.
Will be single figures in which ever race he goes for imo.
the problem is ( and the bookies know it ) is you are sat happy on a , say ,6/1 3rd fav at a price before willie drops one in at the death and you are now 16/1 ! i think most races are hard enough on the day .
What's the reasoning behind Slade Steel? He looks a major disappointment to me. Hasn't won any race for two years. Won a really poor Supreme, 0/5 over fences, beaten favourite four times, three at odds on. Clearly not the plan. Bookmakers must love him.
Stuck this up on the VW thread:
Talking of golden oldies I was interested to see the yards' Funambule Sivola has got an entry in the Plate... not run for two years and is now 11, was quite highly tried back in the day albeit beaten some wide margins... now on a mark of 136, thought would of gotten in to the Plate with ease given last years' bottom weight was 127... but no, number 43 in the list... nevertheless I've had a play at 100/1 ew NRNB... might sneak in at the bottom with others entered elsewhere, if not, no harm done...
Talking of golden oldies I was interested to see the yards' Funambule Sivola has got an entry in the Plate... not run for two years and is now 11, was quite highly tried back in the day albeit beaten some wide margins... now on a mark of 136, thought would of gotten in to the Plate with ease given last years' bottom weight was 127... but no, number 43 in the list... nevertheless I've had a play at 100/1 ew NRNB... might sneak in at the bottom with others entered elsewhere, if not, no harm done...
differentdrum 25 Feb 26 19:54
What's the reasoning behind Slade Steel? He looks a major disappointment to me. Hasn't won any race for two years. Won a really poor Supreme, 0/5 over fences, beaten favourite four times, three at odds on. Clearly not the plan. Bookmakers must love him.
I didn’t say he’d win, just go off half his current price.
Having won plenty when he won the Supreme I do have a bit of a blind spot for him, but I do think he has been aimed at a Cheltenham handicap all this season. Has plenty of strong form even in defeat and the demands of the 2 1/2m in a big field at Cheltenham should be his perfect setup.
What's the reasoning behind Slade Steel? He looks a major disappointment to me. Hasn't won any race for two years. Won a really poor Supreme, 0/5 over fences, beaten favourite four times, three at odds on. Clearly not the plan. Bookmakers must love him.
I didn’t say he’d win, just go off half his current price.
Having won plenty when he won the Supreme I do have a bit of a blind spot for him, but I do think he has been aimed at a Cheltenham handicap all this season. Has plenty of strong form even in defeat and the demands of the 2 1/2m in a big field at Cheltenham should be his perfect setup.
How about Place de la Nation for the Coral Cup (33/1)?
Fifth in the Triumph last year, beaten only 4 l, outpaced on the home turn then stayed on. She could be well-in off a mark of 137. Poniros (1st in the Triumph) is 10/1 for the Champion Hurdle. Lulamba (2nd) is now rated 153 over hurdles and 163 over fences. East India Dock (3rd) won the Chester Cup on his next start (hasn't run over hurldes again). Hello Neigbour (6th, so she beat him 1 1/2 l) has been given a mark of 148 for the County. Won her maiden over 2 m 6 1/2f, so should get the trip.
No idea if she's an intended runner (also entered in the Mares Novice).
Fifth in the Triumph last year, beaten only 4 l, outpaced on the home turn then stayed on. She could be well-in off a mark of 137. Poniros (1st in the Triumph) is 10/1 for the Champion Hurdle. Lulamba (2nd) is now rated 153 over hurdles and 163 over fences. East India Dock (3rd) won the Chester Cup on his next start (hasn't run over hurldes again). Hello Neigbour (6th, so she beat him 1 1/2 l) has been given a mark of 148 for the County. Won her maiden over 2 m 6 1/2f, so should get the trip.
No idea if she's an intended runner (also entered in the Mares Novice).
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