Welcome to Live View – Take the tour to learn more
Start Tour
There is currently 1 person viewing this thread.
08 Feb 26
15:09
Joined:
Date Joined:
01 Apr 25
Good afternoon Guys,
A new year (albeit belated) so a new thread, following on from the initial one i started in April 2018 and repeated every year since.
The past few years have been dismal in terms of P/L lay selections, generally due to mega workload and travelling. Although the P/L selections reduced dramatically there were winners (and losers) not only from myself, but others that actually like to discuss horse racing. I really appreciate the efforts from those involved and the thread per se appears to still be popular even if the forum isn't what it was.
The P/L lay selection format is based on only one post in any given day (to prevent chasing) bookmaker odds of 5/2 or under and matched to win a stake of £50 (not liability). Overall, the threads since 2018 are in profit, but posting a P/L for the past few years is actually meaningless due to the few selections, but at least there is transparency and all on a single thread.
Lay Threads Record
Andrews Daily Lay Thread 2018 (Spring/Summer)
Total 66 selections
Success 55/66
Strike rate 83%
Thread profit +£1657
Andrews Daily Lay Thread 2018 (late Summer/Winter)
Total 64 selections
Success 46/64
Strike rate 72%
Thread profit +£425
Andrews Random Daily Lay Thread 2019
Total 78 selections
Success 55/78
Strike rate 70%
Thread profit +£219
Andrews Random Lay Thread 2020
Total 36 selections
Success 25/36
Strike rate 69%
Thread profit +£79
Andrews 2021 Lay Thread
Total 28 selections
Success 18/28
Strike rate 64%
Thread profit +£0.50
Andrews 2022 Lay Thread
Total 18 selections
Success 10/18
Strike rate 55%
Thread Loss -£202.50
Andrews 2023 Lay Thread
Total 6 selections
Success 2/6
Strike rate 33%
Thread Loss -£362.50
Andrews 2024 Lay Thread
Total 6 selections
Success 2/6
Strike rate 33%
Thread loss -£169
Andrews 2025 Lay Thread
Total 10 selections
Success 7/10
Strike rate 70%
Thread loss +£74
A new year (albeit belated) so a new thread, following on from the initial one i started in April 2018 and repeated every year since.
The past few years have been dismal in terms of P/L lay selections, generally due to mega workload and travelling. Although the P/L selections reduced dramatically there were winners (and losers) not only from myself, but others that actually like to discuss horse racing. I really appreciate the efforts from those involved and the thread per se appears to still be popular even if the forum isn't what it was.
The P/L lay selection format is based on only one post in any given day (to prevent chasing) bookmaker odds of 5/2 or under and matched to win a stake of £50 (not liability). Overall, the threads since 2018 are in profit, but posting a P/L for the past few years is actually meaningless due to the few selections, but at least there is transparency and all on a single thread.
Lay Threads Record
Andrews Daily Lay Thread 2018 (Spring/Summer)
Total 66 selections
Success 55/66
Strike rate 83%
Thread profit +£1657
Andrews Daily Lay Thread 2018 (late Summer/Winter)
Total 64 selections
Success 46/64
Strike rate 72%
Thread profit +£425
Andrews Random Daily Lay Thread 2019
Total 78 selections
Success 55/78
Strike rate 70%
Thread profit +£219
Andrews Random Lay Thread 2020
Total 36 selections
Success 25/36
Strike rate 69%
Thread profit +£79
Andrews 2021 Lay Thread
Total 28 selections
Success 18/28
Strike rate 64%
Thread profit +£0.50
Andrews 2022 Lay Thread
Total 18 selections
Success 10/18
Strike rate 55%
Thread Loss -£202.50
Andrews 2023 Lay Thread
Total 6 selections
Success 2/6
Strike rate 33%
Thread Loss -£362.50
Andrews 2024 Lay Thread
Total 6 selections
Success 2/6
Strike rate 33%
Thread loss -£169
Andrews 2025 Lay Thread
Total 10 selections
Success 7/10
Strike rate 70%
Thread loss +£74
Show More
Thank you Andrew, my tip for you today is FACTOR 15.
Sajir. Well spotted. Fabre's only runner in the entire meeting.
Good afternoon Guys,
Many thanks for the 'sensible' posts, appreciated as always. I tried to post a summary of yesterday, but it needs to be reviewed by the moderators, why i do not know as i didn't mention the fourm numpty.
Many thanks for the 'sensible' posts, appreciated as always. I tried to post a summary of yesterday, but it needs to be reviewed by the moderators, why i do not know as i didn't mention the fourm numpty.
Well done Andrew, Not sure what warranted the inane comment earlier but as you say its best ignored.
When someone’s only contribution to a thread is this: (Prix Diane) I’d say that it’s game on.
Andrew-In-Sweden • June 15, 2026 7:44 AM BST
Pink Panthera (Each Way) Treble @ 50/1
Inis Mor (Each Way) Treble @ 30/1
Elvis found alive (Each Way) Treble @ 500/1
Just waiting for the last leg and i can retire, although not sure what constitutes the place though.
Andrew-In-Sweden • June 15, 2026 7:44 AM BST
Pink Panthera (Each Way) Treble @ 50/1
Inis Mor (Each Way) Treble @ 30/1
Elvis found alive (Each Way) Treble @ 500/1
Just waiting for the last leg and i can retire, although not sure what constitutes the place though.
Andrew the not so nice guy gets jealous it seems.
And Sajir was a dire pick, had been beaten twice fair and square by Stolen Kiss.
What Andrew didn’t know or share is that connections are/were happy that he’s a stallion prospect with his G1 win, but weren’t that hopeful heading to Ascot.
They felt that he’s not been the same.
Maybe he put it up to lay the mugs who follow him? Or maybe he’s not as clued up as he makes out!
And Sajir was a dire pick, had been beaten twice fair and square by Stolen Kiss.
What Andrew didn’t know or share is that connections are/were happy that he’s a stallion prospect with his G1 win, but weren’t that hopeful heading to Ascot.
They felt that he’s not been the same.
Maybe he put it up to lay the mugs who follow him? Or maybe he’s not as clued up as he makes out!
dellawoffleshyte the forums greatest aftertimer...WAC u really are ya silleakhúnt.
Good morning Guys,
I noticed the moderators have not allowed my summary post yesterday for whatever reason, so i will try to post it in parts, although i'm a bit pushed for time with a couple of meetings later. I also saw a post from Jumper45 removed.
Glasgow, i upset the fragile feelings of another woke poster who i will not name as he will only report me again. My post on the Prix Diane thread was sarcastic and a p take on his purported aftertimed bets
I noticed the moderators have not allowed my summary post yesterday for whatever reason, so i will try to post it in parts, although i'm a bit pushed for time with a couple of meetings later. I also saw a post from Jumper45 removed.
Glasgow, i upset the fragile feelings of another woke poster who i will not name as he will only report me again. My post on the Prix Diane thread was sarcastic and a p take on his purported aftertimed bets
Edited from Sunday
In my selection post yesterday, i mentioned the Royal Ascot card looked a bit lack lustre, but there were certainly a few exciting finishes including the QE Jubilee stakes where my lay selection Joliestar (15/8f) finished 3rd in a bunch finish. To be fair, the mare ran well, but it's the winning line where races are won and in these 6f sprints, you could re-run the race several times and get different winners. Irrespective of her reputation and the closeness to winning, her odds were too short for such a race in my opinion.
Backers of the EW selection Sajir (20/1) probably knew they had lost their stakes even before the stalls opened. Not for the first time at this meeting he was very jittery during the loading process, reluctant to enter the stalls and TV viewers will have seen him lash out, knocking a couple of stalls handlers to the ground. Once the stalls opened, he was slowly away and never got into the race, so it's best to strike a line through this form.
As for the Wokingham, as mentioned not my type of betting medium and if i had to rely on these typical handicaps for income, i would be living in a cardboard box and even then i would have to steal it from a fruit and veg stall
. Realign (12/1) wasn't disgraced by any means, finishing 8th, beaten just over 4L, but RA handicaps are so difficult to win and on a course where the draw often plays a major part.
Horse racing often gets negative press for several reasons, but the 5 days at RA this past week have been superb and without question a showcase to the world, quite possibly one of the best flat racing festivals anywhere.
Netherlands did the business in the world cup football, easily beating my 'adopted' Sweden country 5-1 and showed the gulf in class between the two sides. The latters' opening game against a very poor Tunisia on Monday when they won 5-1 flattered them and the form was devalued after a 4-0 drubbing last night.
In my selection post yesterday, i mentioned the Royal Ascot card looked a bit lack lustre, but there were certainly a few exciting finishes including the QE Jubilee stakes where my lay selection Joliestar (15/8f) finished 3rd in a bunch finish. To be fair, the mare ran well, but it's the winning line where races are won and in these 6f sprints, you could re-run the race several times and get different winners. Irrespective of her reputation and the closeness to winning, her odds were too short for such a race in my opinion.
Backers of the EW selection Sajir (20/1) probably knew they had lost their stakes even before the stalls opened. Not for the first time at this meeting he was very jittery during the loading process, reluctant to enter the stalls and TV viewers will have seen him lash out, knocking a couple of stalls handlers to the ground. Once the stalls opened, he was slowly away and never got into the race, so it's best to strike a line through this form.
As for the Wokingham, as mentioned not my type of betting medium and if i had to rely on these typical handicaps for income, i would be living in a cardboard box and even then i would have to steal it from a fruit and veg stall
. Realign (12/1) wasn't disgraced by any means, finishing 8th, beaten just over 4L, but RA handicaps are so difficult to win and on a course where the draw often plays a major part.Horse racing often gets negative press for several reasons, but the 5 days at RA this past week have been superb and without question a showcase to the world, quite possibly one of the best flat racing festivals anywhere.
Netherlands did the business in the world cup football, easily beating my 'adopted' Sweden country 5-1 and showed the gulf in class between the two sides. The latters' opening game against a very poor Tunisia on Monday when they won 5-1 flattered them and the form was devalued after a 4-0 drubbing last night.
Irrespective of this, i really hope Sweden qualify, the country is part of me and always will be, more so considering how long i lived/worked there, still consider it my home, returning every 4-6 weeks or so for a weekend break.
Our Fellowship Racing syndicate will be interested in the 15.26 Brighton where Rockafeller Skank is going for a 5th win on the spin. This one beat our filly at Yarmouth recently making a mockery of her 25 rating and has won 3 more very easily, albeit all in classified stakes. Things will be more difficult going into a handicap and conceding 18lb to the bottom weight Lucky Sevens, another who beat us 3 runs ago, although we may have been unlucky that day.
I will not post the rest of my Sunday summary as the moderators want to review a post i made about our syndicate; why, i have no idea, it did not break any rules whatsoever.
I did not post on the Prix Diane thread as i rarely post on others, more so with the particular poster in question and for good reason, not only that but i had posted here anyway.
What i did post on the Prix Diane thread was an edited p take on his aftertimed bets
(Each Way) Single @ 50/1
Pink Panthera
(Each Way) Single @ 30/1
Inis Mor
I did have a treble running onto this race but cashed out.
Bay City Roller 20/1
Christmas Day 20/1
And a non @ 6/1
The books were saved I’d say given that the fav only just won from a 50/1 shot! Still as you know the double was landed!
What i did post on the Prix Diane thread was an edited p take on his aftertimed bets
(Each Way) Single @ 50/1
Pink Panthera
(Each Way) Single @ 30/1
Inis Mor
I did have a treble running onto this race but cashed out.
Bay City Roller 20/1
Christmas Day 20/1
And a non @ 6/1
The books were saved I’d say given that the fav only just won from a 50/1 shot! Still as you know the double was landed!
Second again
Thank you, and also to Jumper45 for his kind, supportive words last night (post removed !). It's crazy, it wouldn't be so bad if the moderators simply removed any offending isses and allowed the rest. I'm happy to continue posting and 11,000 views in a little over 4 months means they are still read by many, but if i was stopped, i wouldn't be bothered one iota. I spend much more time on my WhatsApp group that consists of quite a few decent posters anyway and i'm in email contact with Alan Potts and few others often.
The forum is defintely not what it was back in time, and many decent posters simply don't bother or have moved to other outlets.
Thank you, and also to Jumper45 for his kind, supportive words last night (post removed !). It's crazy, it wouldn't be so bad if the moderators simply removed any offending isses and allowed the rest. I'm happy to continue posting and 11,000 views in a little over 4 months means they are still read by many, but if i was stopped, i wouldn't be bothered one iota. I spend much more time on my WhatsApp group that consists of quite a few decent posters anyway and i'm in email contact with Alan Potts and few others often.
The forum is defintely not what it was back in time, and many decent posters simply don't bother or have moved to other outlets.
in running is all but finished..quids in every box..all gps/bot controlled..last 2f cant win anything backing or laying..isnt allowed 
most forumites are pensioners..acc restrictions have stopped most playing..drone numbers have halved last 2yrs.
no-one posts bets/p&l's anymore..forums full of aftertimers and fantasists..
George B's Royal Ascot comp there were 19 people who had 0/36 selections and plenty 4 days blanking.
that tells you how tricky pre race punting is.
most forumites are pensioners..acc restrictions have stopped most playing..drone numbers have halved last 2yrs.
no-one posts bets/p&l's anymore..forums full of aftertimers and fantasists..
George B's Royal Ascot comp there were 19 people who had 0/36 selections and plenty 4 days blanking.
that tells you how tricky pre race punting is.
A IN S IMO The moderators are useless at best. As we all know there are certain posters who do very little apart from throwing insults, posting 1.01 beaten who cares about that, has put off dozens of genuine guys from contributing on the forum[s].Yet they the moderators do absolutely nothing, it appears they are not concerned. Presume they are putting money before satisfaction of the public who WERE reading and providing their share of written contributions to the forum. Please ignore any outsp[oken individuals who are looking for confrontation, I read your postings with great interest. Be lucky..
posting 1.01 beaten who cares about that, has put off dozens of genuine guys from contributing on the forum[s].
jersey claiming thats stops others from posting in the forum
jersey claiming thats stops others from posting in the forum
I have a Golden Goose to sell,bought from a chap called Gaze,any offers
Andrew-In-Sweden • June 22, 2026 8:10 AM BST
Edited from Sunday
In my selection post yesterday, i mentioned the Royal Ascot card looked a bit lack lustre, but there were certainly a few exciting finishes including the QE Jubilee stakes where my lay selection Joliestar (15/8f) finished 3rd in a bunch finish. To be fair, the mare ran well, but it's the winning line where races are won and in these 6f sprints, you could re-run the race several times and get different winners. Irrespective of her reputation and the closeness to winning, her odds were too short for such a race in my opinion.
Backers of the EW selection Sajir (20/1) probably knew they had lost their stakes even before the stalls opened. Not for the first time at this meeting he was very jittery during the loading process, reluctant
- - - - -
Nice aftertime yourself
Edited from Sunday
In my selection post yesterday, i mentioned the Royal Ascot card looked a bit lack lustre, but there were certainly a few exciting finishes including the QE Jubilee stakes where my lay selection Joliestar (15/8f) finished 3rd in a bunch finish. To be fair, the mare ran well, but it's the winning line where races are won and in these 6f sprints, you could re-run the race several times and get different winners. Irrespective of her reputation and the closeness to winning, her odds were too short for such a race in my opinion.
Backers of the EW selection Sajir (20/1) probably knew they had lost their stakes even before the stalls opened. Not for the first time at this meeting he was very jittery during the loading process, reluctant
- - - - -
Nice aftertime yourself
Make an excuse why don’t you!
Really think that the stiff 6 @ Ascot is what he needs? Given his record over 7F!
You are an imposter as a form reader of the highest order.
Really think that the stiff 6 @ Ascot is what he needs? Given his record over 7F!
You are an imposter as a form reader of the highest order.
Jersey have you another Leger tip?
“has put off dozens of genuine guys from contributing on the forum”
I’ve opened and encouraged discussion, the Andrew in Sweden mentioned his private “WhatsApp group”
“has put off dozens of genuine guys from contributing on the forum”
I’ve opened and encouraged discussion, the Andrew in Sweden mentioned his private “WhatsApp group”
Delashay, When I have something worthwhile will be in touch..
What i did post on the Prix Diane thread was an edited p take on his aftertimed bets
Big man you are, what’s a p take Andrew?
Why bother if you weren’t interested in the race?
Thanks for shoeing us YOU
Big man you are, what’s a p take Andrew?
Why bother if you weren’t interested in the race?
Thanks for shoeing us YOU
Good afternoon Guys,
A busy week so no posts for several days, although that's quite normal anyway and has been for a few years since my client/workload increased.
It appears someone is having a petulant tantrum and throwing toys out of his pram. My EW selection Sajir in the QEII Jubilee Stakes was ridiculed as a 'mug' bet, so to defend my case, here is my reasoning.
On April 7th, Sajir was beaten a head (level weights) by Stolen Kiss in a 5.5f Listed race at Deauville, it was his season debut, but the winner was race fit with 2 previous races including a winner. On 4th May, Sajir was beaten 0.5L by by Stolen Kiss in a 6f Listed race at Chantilly, the winner receiving 2lb. BHA use 2.5lb a length for 6 furlong races, so on that basis Sajir comes out marginally in front. Both horses won next time out, Sajir in a G3 at Chantilly giving more substance to the form.
Stolen Kiss finished 4th in the QEII Jubilee, beaten a neck in a bunch so based on form there is every indication Sajir could actually have won the race, although i'm not suggesting he would have have of course.
As for Ascot 6f being more like 7f, this is incorrect. A stiff course undoubtedly, but more akin to 6.5f, not 7f. Knocking his record over 7f was simply a case of not reading form anyway; he won a listed race over the trip at Chantilly (GS) and was runner-up in a G3 at Longchamp (GS). He also won over 6.5f on debut as a 2 year old (soft).
Andre Fabre is one of Frances best trainers and wouldn't send a runner over to England for a day out, he's won enough group races here. He was in the race last year and only withdrawn on the day due to being fractious at the start.
Suggesting Sajir does not want a stiff 6f is ludicrous. Of the 7 races he has won, 5 were 6f or over, including 7f. 3 of his last wins were on good going. He was 20/1 SP and a valid EW selection, some bookmakers were paying first 6.
There were valid reasons for his poor run in the race as i pointed out on my June 22nd post 08.10.
I will not be commenting on the race again whatever the response, it's pointless as the poster will simply keep on to prove he got the upper hand. He didn't.
Changing topic, i rarely post on his threads, or even read them. Some are simply cut and paste trainer quotes from the SL, RP or FG. No issues there, it's a forum after all, but posting laughable, purported bets as shown below in italics induced my p*ss take (by adding Elvis is alive bet). I didn't post on his Prix Diane thread and didn't need to, i posted here. Regular readers know my opinion about Diamond Necklace, i've backed her in every race since debut and was at Longchamp specifically to see her win the Guineas. To state i didn't have an interest in the race is laughable, i have photo's of my bets on file that would easily show otherwise.
Pink Panthera (Each Way) Treble @ 50/1
Inis Mor (Each Way) Treble @ 30/1
More later, i want to keep the sensible stuff separate in case i'm reported again.
A busy week so no posts for several days, although that's quite normal anyway and has been for a few years since my client/workload increased.
It appears someone is having a petulant tantrum and throwing toys out of his pram
. My EW selection Sajir in the QEII Jubilee Stakes was ridiculed as a 'mug' bet, so to defend my case, here is my reasoning.On April 7th, Sajir was beaten a head (level weights) by Stolen Kiss in a 5.5f Listed race at Deauville, it was his season debut, but the winner was race fit with 2 previous races including a winner. On 4th May, Sajir was beaten 0.5L by by Stolen Kiss in a 6f Listed race at Chantilly, the winner receiving 2lb. BHA use 2.5lb a length for 6 furlong races, so on that basis Sajir comes out marginally in front. Both horses won next time out, Sajir in a G3 at Chantilly giving more substance to the form.
Stolen Kiss finished 4th in the QEII Jubilee, beaten a neck in a bunch so based on form there is every indication Sajir could actually have won the race, although i'm not suggesting he would have have of course.
As for Ascot 6f being more like 7f, this is incorrect. A stiff course undoubtedly, but more akin to 6.5f, not 7f. Knocking his record over 7f was simply a case of not reading form anyway; he won a listed race over the trip at Chantilly (GS) and was runner-up in a G3 at Longchamp (GS). He also won over 6.5f on debut as a 2 year old (soft).
Andre Fabre is one of Frances best trainers and wouldn't send a runner over to England for a day out, he's won enough group races here. He was in the race last year and only withdrawn on the day due to being fractious at the start.
Suggesting Sajir does not want a stiff 6f is ludicrous. Of the 7 races he has won, 5 were 6f or over, including 7f. 3 of his last wins were on good going. He was 20/1 SP and a valid EW selection, some bookmakers were paying first 6.
There were valid reasons for his poor run in the race as i pointed out on my June 22nd post 08.10.
I will not be commenting on the race again whatever the response, it's pointless as the poster will simply keep on to prove he got the upper hand. He didn't.
Changing topic, i rarely post on his threads, or even read them. Some are simply cut and paste trainer quotes from the SL, RP or FG. No issues there, it's a forum after all, but posting laughable, purported bets as shown below in italics induced my p*ss take (by adding Elvis is alive bet). I didn't post on his Prix Diane thread and didn't need to, i posted here. Regular readers know my opinion about Diamond Necklace, i've backed her in every race since debut and was at Longchamp specifically to see her win the Guineas. To state i didn't have an interest in the race is laughable, i have photo's of my bets on file that would easily show otherwise.
Pink Panthera (Each Way) Treble @ 50/1
Inis Mor (Each Way) Treble @ 30/1
More later, i want to keep the sensible stuff separate in case i'm reported again.
I'm not really a fan of large field handicaps from a betting perspective, but i often put one up out of interest. The Northumberland handicap looks as trappy as always, but i think Dancing in Paris could be an EW with most books paying 5 places and a couple even 6.
Runner-up in the race last year, but only beaten a neck from a similar low draw (3 then, 4 today) that is a positive over CD. 4 lb higher, but his record ovver the trip is consistant, even though not winning. Ran well off 92 over 14f at Goodwood and again at York off 94 over todays trip last Autumn. An opener at Epsom over an insufficient trip will have brought him on. Odds of 32 for the win and 4.8 for 5/TBP could reap a profit.
Ryan Moore looks to have a good day at the Curragh. although backers will not get rich and Billy Loughnane could have a frutful evening at Windsor. Our filly Lady of Cloverf was entered for the opener, but not declared and will run at Yarmouth on Thursday, abeit without me on course.
One i thought could be laid is Never So Bold at York (14.58). Had excuse at Epsom, but he hasn't run well on his previous 3 outings now and has to concede 9lb to a potentially decent colt in Sabre Strike.
Maybe more later, but another el scorchio here and i don't want to waste it.
Good luck and have a nice Saturday all.
Tanglefoot
There goes my bet, i was dreaming of untold riches
Runner-up in the race last year, but only beaten a neck from a similar low draw (3 then, 4 today) that is a positive over CD. 4 lb higher, but his record ovver the trip is consistant, even though not winning. Ran well off 92 over 14f at Goodwood and again at York off 94 over todays trip last Autumn. An opener at Epsom over an insufficient trip will have brought him on. Odds of 32 for the win and 4.8 for 5/TBP could reap a profit.
Ryan Moore looks to have a good day at the Curragh. although backers will not get rich and Billy Loughnane could have a frutful evening at Windsor. Our filly Lady of Cloverf was entered for the opener, but not declared and will run at Yarmouth on Thursday, abeit without me on course.
One i thought could be laid is Never So Bold at York (14.58). Had excuse at Epsom, but he hasn't run well on his previous 3 outings now and has to concede 9lb to a potentially decent colt in Sabre Strike.
Maybe more later, but another el scorchio here and i don't want to waste it.
Good luck and have a nice Saturday all.
Tanglefoot
There goes my bet, i was dreaming of untold riches
Never So Brave was B365s Super Boost today (6/4 from 10/11) and they're often right with the one's they offer Boosts on.
PHS
My customary error on a Saturday, but thankfully i got the race time correct. Nice to get the shorties (11/8) beaten, not the horse he was.
My customary error on a Saturday, but thankfully i got the race time correct. Nice to get the shorties (11/8) beaten, not the horse he was.
Andrew, good luck with Lady in Clover coming up 7-18 at Chepstow with Oisin booked.
Suggesting Sajir does not want a stiff 6f is ludicrous. Of the 7 races he has won, 5 were 6f or over, including 7f. 3 of his last wins were on good going. He was 20/1 SP and a valid EW selection, some bookmakers were paying first 6.
Hmmm didn’t he get outstayed by Topgear over 7f? Twice.
In the 7F win that you cite he beat the non stayer Montpellie in top company 6 1/2 is his top whack on a flat track.
His win before Ascot was
Prix du Gros-Chene - World Pool By PMU (Group 3)
3YO plus | Class 1 | 4f 213y |
That’s far from the demanding 6f at Ascot.
Stolen kiss had form over further than 7f and finished his races over. 6f strongly.
Terrible race reading and selection on your part.
Hmmm didn’t he get outstayed by Topgear over 7f? Twice.
In the 7F win that you cite he beat the non stayer Montpellie in top company 6 1/2 is his top whack on a flat track.
His win before Ascot was
Prix du Gros-Chene - World Pool By PMU (Group 3)
3YO plus | Class 1 | 4f 213y |
That’s far from the demanding 6f at Ascot.
Stolen kiss had form over further than 7f and finished his races over. 6f strongly.
Terrible race reading and selection on your part.
some bookmakers were paying first 6.
Desperation addition to that poor selection.
His odds were also much shorter that 20/1 he was in fact 8/1 & 12/1 and well short at that given his record of speed and the opposition.
Desperation addition to that poor selection.
His odds were also much shorter that 20/1 he was in fact 8/1 & 12/1 and well short at that given his record of speed and the opposition.
but posting laughable, purported bet
I’d be very careful about making such claims as you could end up wirh much more egg on your face than your form reading provides
I’d be very careful about making such claims as you could end up wirh much more egg on your face than your form reading provides
AIS has been posting for several years with a good record of success. Don't waste your time spoiling a good thread from a respected forum member.
You can pass on the same advice to him, after all he has said this,
“ i rarely post on his threads, or even read them…”
So I don’t appreciate his snide remarks on the threads that I set up for discussion.
I’ve been nothing but polite to him since I joined and tried to engage about something that I’m also passionate about, French racing.
Yet he has for some unknown reason on numerous times tried to make me look as though I’m guessing with cheap sarcastic swipes.
I have the right to reply and give my view as to why his selection was misguided.
The proof is in the formbook as shown above and my posts aren’t an attempt to ruin anything. It’s shame that you don’t have the same moral standards so as to ask others not to ruin the threads that I’ve put up.
“ i rarely post on his threads, or even read them…”
So I don’t appreciate his snide remarks on the threads that I set up for discussion.
I’ve been nothing but polite to him since I joined and tried to engage about something that I’m also passionate about, French racing.
Yet he has for some unknown reason on numerous times tried to make me look as though I’m guessing with cheap sarcastic swipes.
I have the right to reply and give my view as to why his selection was misguided.
The proof is in the formbook as shown above and my posts aren’t an attempt to ruin anything. It’s shame that you don’t have the same moral standards so as to ask others not to ruin the threads that I’ve put up.
Good morning Guys,
A busy week, although they often are and while the aerospace/defence industries need my services i'm happy for the daily workload to be hectic, it pays for me to travel often for racing.
To recap the week gone, the Irish Derby was yet another classic won by AOB with Benvenuto Cellini who won comfortably in the end. A G2 winner over 8f as a 2 year old, with another in the G3 Chester Vase over a tad longer and now a G1. Unbeaten as a 3 year old and beating the Epsom Derby winner will read good in the stud book and he's certainly better than an 'old boat' as described by one on here. The KG/QEII will be next and that will provide a better indication of how good he is, although i'm not suggesting he will. Talk of the Leger is nonsense in my opinon, there's far more chance he will go to York and the Breeders cup, although the 3rd home at the Curragh will probably end up at Doncaster.
Looking at other winners on the Curragh card, the one i want to be on next time out whereever she runs is the filly Alpha, yet another potential classic winner off the production line at Ballydoyle. Impressive, with sectionals and a finishing speed figure that would indicate she could be decent. The best 2 year old filly we have seen in my opinion, although she will have far stronger opposition in front of her.
Perhaps the biggest cheer on the day was for the well loved Big Gossey who reinforced his liking for the course where all her 7 wins were gained. 9 years old and still thrives on the track, i know she's the apple of one decent posters eyes who i know well.
Moving on to last night at Chepstow, our filly Lady Of Clover finished 3rd, her first run since Yarmouth where she picked up a couple of superficial injuries during the race. Oisin mentioned in the post-race interview/video there were excuses, although i don't want to state them here out of respect for the team. She's picking up place money and has won already, so no major disappointments. For such a low level syndicate, we certainly can't complain about the jockeys that have ridden for us over the past few years, 3 champions and a potential one in Billy Loughnane, not many could say the same.
A busy week, although they often are and while the aerospace/defence industries need my services i'm happy for the daily workload to be hectic, it pays for me to travel often for racing.
To recap the week gone, the Irish Derby was yet another classic won by AOB with Benvenuto Cellini who won comfortably in the end. A G2 winner over 8f as a 2 year old, with another in the G3 Chester Vase over a tad longer and now a G1. Unbeaten as a 3 year old and beating the Epsom Derby winner will read good in the stud book and he's certainly better than an 'old boat' as described by one on here. The KG/QEII will be next and that will provide a better indication of how good he is, although i'm not suggesting he will. Talk of the Leger is nonsense in my opinon, there's far more chance he will go to York and the Breeders cup, although the 3rd home at the Curragh will probably end up at Doncaster.
Looking at other winners on the Curragh card, the one i want to be on next time out whereever she runs is the filly Alpha, yet another potential classic winner off the production line at Ballydoyle. Impressive, with sectionals and a finishing speed figure that would indicate she could be decent. The best 2 year old filly we have seen in my opinion, although she will have far stronger opposition in front of her.
Perhaps the biggest cheer on the day was for the well loved Big Gossey who reinforced his liking for the course where all her 7 wins were gained. 9 years old and still thrives on the track, i know she's the apple of one decent posters eyes who i know well.
Moving on to last night at Chepstow, our filly Lady Of Clover finished 3rd, her first run since Yarmouth where she picked up a couple of superficial injuries during the race. Oisin mentioned in the post-race interview/video there were excuses, although i don't want to state them here out of respect for the team. She's picking up place money and has won already, so no major disappointments. For such a low level syndicate, we certainly can't complain about the jockeys that have ridden for us over the past few years, 3 champions and a potential one in Billy Loughnane, not many could say the same.
Looking at the cards this afternoon, something for everyone, my only issue is the card at Sandown could have been better considering the history of the Eclipse, 4 handicaps are too many and even the field in the featur race could have been better. There's a similar situation at Saint Cloud tomorrow with the G1 Grand Prix and Calandagan et all with 4 handicaps.
I've posted on here often that i'm a big fan of Constitution River and have been since his debut as a 2 year old, much the same as Diamond Necklace. His Timeform rating is 124p, same as his Irish Dwerby winning stablemate, but in my opinion he's better and hopefully he wins this afternoon to reinforce this. As mentioned before i feel CR and DN are top of the 3 year old table, but let's see at season end.
There are posters who are not happy with the MO of AOB race tactics and fielding several runners in group races, but personally i do not have an issue at all, in fact, it can actually be an advantage to punters sometimes. If a AOB runner closes in on another to prevent a rival from winning and gain an advantage to a stablemate, this is wrong and should be punished accordingly; however, if a horse moves off a true line without hinderance to others, i do not see an issue. Is it morally correct ? No, but it happens in team sports, Formulae 1 a typical example.
I've posted on here often that i'm a big fan of Constitution River and have been since his debut as a 2 year old, much the same as Diamond Necklace. His Timeform rating is 124p, same as his Irish Dwerby winning stablemate, but in my opinion he's better and hopefully he wins this afternoon to reinforce this. As mentioned before i feel CR and DN are top of the 3 year old table, but let's see at season end.
There are posters who are not happy with the MO of AOB race tactics and fielding several runners in group races, but personally i do not have an issue at all, in fact, it can actually be an advantage to punters sometimes. If a AOB runner closes in on another to prevent a rival from winning and gain an advantage to a stablemate, this is wrong and should be punished accordingly; however, if a horse moves off a true line without hinderance to others, i do not see an issue. Is it morally correct ? No, but it happens in team sports, Formulae 1 a typical example.
Many pundits are talking up Constitutions win from an outside draw in the Prix Jockey Club, but Alan Potts (who i'm in regular contact with and meet up on course occasionally) mentioned the first 5 home were drawn 15-11-8-13-16 and those in 1-4 all finished in the second half of the field, so whatever the long term stats say, winning from stall 15 this year was not that difficult. A valid point of course and no such draw issues today.
I expect the 3 stable runners to dictate the pace from the off and this could actually benefit 3 rivals who like to come from off the pace. Constitution River has a turn of foot, if not on a Frankel or Zarkava level, but stays on strongly, so assuming he's in the expected contention at the furlong pole i feel he wins. Winners of the Prix Jockey Club have won 2 of the last 5 Eclipse's, including his sire St Mark's Basilica. It could be a good race, the first G1 in the season where we can judge the 3 year olds against their elders.
Odds of 2.30 matched on here earlier were a little higher than i expected, although he's not exactly a good thing, but i've backed at 2.14 and 2.16.
I expect the 3 stable runners to dictate the pace from the off and this could actually benefit 3 rivals who like to come from off the pace. Constitution River has a turn of foot, if not on a Frankel or Zarkava level, but stays on strongly, so assuming he's in the expected contention at the furlong pole i feel he wins. Winners of the Prix Jockey Club have won 2 of the last 5 Eclipse's, including his sire St Mark's Basilica. It could be a good race, the first G1 in the season where we can judge the 3 year olds against their elders.
Odds of 2.30 matched on here earlier were a little higher than i expected, although he's not exactly a good thing, but i've backed at 2.14 and 2.16.
Not many horse bets for my during the past week that is not unusual anyway, but i've done OK on the EC football. I mentioned here i had a few bob treble on Spain, Argentina and England to win their respective groups that didn't get off to a good start with Spain 0-0 and watching the last leg, England struggle for 60 minutes didn't help my BP, but thankfully Harry Kane made it a profit. My largest bet of the week (before this morning) but only even money the three. I've backed a few others in singles with mixed success, but one loser i had was Netherlands to win outright (19 on here) who i backed after they win the grop, only to go out at the next hurdle. Sods law, but i have since replaced them with Colombia (34) who won ladt night, but the odds have not changed much. Only a couple of tenners for fun, so i will let it ride and only trade if they reach the final.
I often put up an EW in the afternoons major handicap on a Saturday, but not my type of bet and normally a sign for others to avoid. I'm going with Classic in the Coral challenge at Sandown 14.25. He has a good record, won this race last year, albeit off 87 and has improved with each run since, now on 99. Only 9th of 28 in the Hunt Cup at Royal Ascot LTO, but actually 5th in his group. Like all these large field handicaps, he will need luck in running, but is genuine and drawn with most of his main rivals.
I thought to put up Asfoora in the opener at Sandown (13.50) as a lay post selection, but she's drifted outside my 5/2 limit, so i may look for another. There is a runner at Naas (13.57) i feel is probably too short, Likedbymike (currently 2.58 for the win) albeit a risk as she has already beaten her main rival Keke at Cork, but i think the tables will be overturned on this stiffer track. Cork is essentially flat and all his wins have been on stiffer or undulating tracks.
Ashleigh thank you for the good luck post yesterday.
Trusty thank you for your post as well, both appreciated.
I often put up an EW in the afternoons major handicap on a Saturday, but not my type of bet and normally a sign for others to avoid. I'm going with Classic in the Coral challenge at Sandown 14.25. He has a good record, won this race last year, albeit off 87 and has improved with each run since, now on 99. Only 9th of 28 in the Hunt Cup at Royal Ascot LTO, but actually 5th in his group. Like all these large field handicaps, he will need luck in running, but is genuine and drawn with most of his main rivals.
I thought to put up Asfoora in the opener at Sandown (13.50) as a lay post selection, but she's drifted outside my 5/2 limit, so i may look for another. There is a runner at Naas (13.57) i feel is probably too short, Likedbymike (currently 2.58 for the win) albeit a risk as she has already beaten her main rival Keke at Cork, but i think the tables will be overturned on this stiffer track. Cork is essentially flat and all his wins have been on stiffer or undulating tracks.
Ashleigh thank you for the good luck post yesterday.
Trusty thank you for your post as well, both appreciated.
Finally i posted this on 27th June (12.25)
I will not be commenting on the race again whatever the response, it's pointless as the poster will simply keep on to prove he got the upper hand. He didn't.
It appears i was correct in my assumption; however just to put the record straight to his assertion that the horse was not 20/1, i suggest he reads the form with better lenses. At no time was he 8/1 or 12/1. The SP was 20/1 and on here i know he was 38 and 30 for the win and 3.95 for the place. How i know is obvious.
I will not be commenting on the race again whatever the response, it's pointless as the poster will simply keep on to prove he got the upper hand. He didn't.
It appears i was correct in my assumption; however just to put the record straight to his assertion that the horse was not 20/1, i suggest he reads the form with better lenses. At no time was he 8/1 or 12/1. The SP was 20/1 and on here i know he was 38 and 30 for the win and 3.95 for the place. How i know is obvious.
He was pushed to 20/1 on the day, AP he was the odds quoted.
You were also wrong about Aventure not being odds against earlier in the year, there was no apology there either.
You were also wrong about Aventure not being odds against earlier in the year, there was no apology there either.
Andrew-In-Sweden • July 4, 2026 11:41 AM BST
Many pundits are talking up Constitutions win from an outside draw in the Prix Jockey Club, but Alan Potts (who i'm in regular contact with and meet up on course occasionally) mentioned the first 5 home were drawn 15-11-8-13-16 and those in 1-4 all finished in the second half of the field, so whatever the long term stats say, winning from stall 15 this year was not that difficult. A valid point of course and no such draw issues today.
As for this I’d shown this on the Prix Du Hockey thread.
Many pundits are talking up Constitutions win from an outside draw in the Prix Jockey Club, but Alan Potts (who i'm in regular contact with and meet up on course occasionally) mentioned the first 5 home were drawn 15-11-8-13-16 and those in 1-4 all finished in the second half of the field, so whatever the long term stats say, winning from stall 15 this year was not that difficult. A valid point of course and no such draw issues today.
As for this I’d shown this on the Prix Du Hockey thread.
As for Gallic racing, i've been a fan since i first went to Longchamp in 1980, have probably seen about 75%-80% on the Arcs since and go for other meetings, including the Guineas and trials to name a few. Several guys in the team, including myself actually have a contact in high profile stable, we actually met him/her a couple of years ago. I'm not suggesting we get information, we don't, or ask for it, but i communicate via chat app and met him/her at Longchamp last year, so i know more than many.
Good luck and have a nice Saturday all.
I had to split the above due to maderators wanting to review, probably due to length.
Good luck and have a nice Saturday all.
I had to split the above due to maderators wanting to review, probably due to length.
Delashay • June 1, 2026 9:42 AM BST
I’ve only watched the race once but have noticed something interesting from just seeing the photo after the stalls opened.
What I saw is reflected in the finish.
Those drawn high who were perceived to be at a disadvantage were in fact advantaged by how the race was run.
Result by draw :
15 > > joint top rated
11 > > joint top rated
8 -
13 - 37/1
16 - 100/1
6
10
5 - 4th top rated (Gostom)
2 - 5th top rated (Pearled Majesty)
7 - 2nd top rated (Komorebi)
9
3 - 4th top rated (Oxogon)
1 - 3rd top rated (Hankelow)
12
4
14
Why is this? Because those drawn low (which you’d see from the photo) were in a bunch fighting for position along the rail. They weren’t able to use their strides effectively or get into a racing rhythm.
Those in front could stride on whilst the big priced finishers were able to one run down the outside and on the inside past horses who’d had already spent their energy early.
Yes it was clever, but it’s NOT the making of a champion, the bunched finish reflects how they were helped in the running.
I’ve only watched the race once but have noticed something interesting from just seeing the photo after the stalls opened.
What I saw is reflected in the finish.
Those drawn high who were perceived to be at a disadvantage were in fact advantaged by how the race was run.
Result by draw :
15 > > joint top rated
11 > > joint top rated
8 -
13 - 37/1
16 - 100/1
6
10
5 - 4th top rated (Gostom)
2 - 5th top rated (Pearled Majesty)
7 - 2nd top rated (Komorebi)
9
3 - 4th top rated (Oxogon)
1 - 3rd top rated (Hankelow)
12
4
14
Why is this? Because those drawn low (which you’d see from the photo) were in a bunch fighting for position along the rail. They weren’t able to use their strides effectively or get into a racing rhythm.
Those in front could stride on whilst the big priced finishers were able to one run down the outside and on the inside past horses who’d had already spent their energy early.
Yes it was clever, but it’s NOT the making of a champion, the bunched finish reflects how they were helped in the running.
Maybe Alan likes my thoughts?!
But those were put up after the race publicly no secret messaging
But those were put up after the race publicly no secret messaging
...Treading on thin ice here Dela, thread spoilers/trolls tend to last no longer than Liz Truss. 
Perhaps the biggest cheer on the day was for the well loved Big Gossey who reinforced his liking for the course where all 7 wins were gained. 9 years old and still thrives on the track, i know he's the apple of one decent posters eyes who i know well.
tbf, I have discussed races very reasonably with Delashay, who certainly seems to know more than me...but tbf that applies to many posters! Not sure why he is an argument with AIS but I would suggest that he drops it and concentrates on posting his own knowledgeable threads which we can comment positively on.
Delbert invades yet another thread attempting show "how clever he is"
The KG/QEII will be next and that will provide a better indication of how good he is, although i'm not suggesting he will.
...win presumably
...win presumably
BTW,Delbert is to be avoided at all cost if you value your sanity,AIS
There is an offer for you on my Royal Ascot thread dear chap.
WTF difference does that make Dickster?
Still a Male but minus his orchestras
Still a Male but minus his orchestras
Ais thinks he is a SHE dopey. That's the difference.
Now TURN IT OFF.
Now TURN IT OFF.
There’s an invitation waiting to prove that, should he want to wager on his opinion and post?
To save face an apology will suffice if the bet isn’t your cup of cha
Move along dela
Not reqd on here
Take your pedantic stuff elsewhere
Seen enough turnips stickin their nose in where not wanted
Not reqd on here
Take your pedantic stuff elsewhere
Seen enough turnips stickin their nose in where not wanted
Go away you potless,verminous dog,Delbert.
You haven't got a pot to urinate in and asking someone to bet with an unfunded loon
You haven't got a pot to urinate in and asking someone to bet with an unfunded loon
Laid Ashfoora & Likedbymike yesterday AIS thanks for your contribution.
Good morning Guys,
Many thanks for the posts (at least the sensible ones) appreciated.
A good day for the thread yesterday with both lays mentioned beaten, Ashfoora (9/4) at Sandown who finished last of 9 and Likedbymike (15/8) 3rd of 5 at Naas. Constitution River won and the one that went down was the EW outsider Classic who didn't get a clear run 2f out, but wouldn't have won from where he was anyway. Pat Dobbs decided to go in between runners at the 2 pole, but that avenue closed; a better one was to the left, also he was slightly hampered a furlong out, but i'm not in the habit of critiquing jockeys.
My afternoon was really all about a particular favourite of mine, Constitution River and i was reasonably confident beforehand, at least in the context of a G1. He looked superb in the paddock, a large framed scopey sort, relaxed, although a glint of sweat below the saddle cloth. His stablemate Flushing Meadow set a fast pace, in fact the 2f and 3 furlongs show sub-11 second sectionals when he was 6L-7L clear. CR travelled well in the race and although briefly held in off the bend 3f out, Ryan simply moved out approaching the 3f pole and went past Gethin with ease. At the 2f pole i was shouting for Ryan to press the button and he duly obliged with his customary good turn of foot, the race was over from that point winning by 3L. He put in the fastest sectionals at 8f and 10f, with only 0.4 between him and the runner up at 9f.
If we wanted to be pedantic it wasn't a strong Eclipse and a small field at that, but he can only beat what's there. Nevertheless, how he travelled in the race, went past the front group with distain and in a time that was easily fastest on the day at 2.57 seconds faster than standard, clearly shows he's still an improving 3 year old and in my opinion the best middle distance horse in his age group. Timeform agree, raising him to 128.
There will be those that crab the performance, and would even if Ryan stopped at the furlong pole to sign autographs before continuing on to win, it's in their nature and will continue until he does lose in order to say 'i told you so' and massage their own ego.
Is he a superstar as the RP mentions ? a definitive no, at least not yet, but if he goes to York and wins against Ombudsman and Calandagan, then mops up a couple of champion stakes, then the accolade may be warranted. I never buy into the hype from the trainer, but i totally understand he's the spokesman of the best thoroughbred breeding operation there's ever been, or likely to be. Say what you like about him, but the records he's setting are simply phenominal, there will not be another like him.
On to this afternoon, typical Sunday afternoon fayre, although there is a class 3 handicap at each of the domestic meetings. Further afield, Calandagan will be at short odds to redeem his glowing reputation in the Grand Prix at Saint Cloud, a race he won in 2025. I expect him to win, but will not be backing him, instead i will play 3 places on one of my favourite French fillies, Aventure (currently 7/1 with the books) on here. She never gets the credit deserved, but in 15 runs, only twice out of the first 3. A G1 winner and runner-up in an Arc. Very genuine, always runs her race and has a good turn of foot. On form, she can't beat the favourite, but she can place.
I rarely have large bets after a decent win the previous day anyway unless it's a festival where i really fancy something. CR wasn't my largest bet this year (Diamond Necklace was) but no reason to try and win even more today. I don't fancy anything strongly anyway, although i do have a potential lay post selection that i will post separately if i decide to with it.
Timberman
WD with the bets.
Trusty
Don't put yourself down, you have made valid contributions on my threads over the years, as well as others. I agree there are are several posters who do so equally, these are the ones i read, i rarely read others. I'm not on here from dawn to dusk, with food taken intraveneously to save time anyway, i have a professional and social life outside of the forum, but this is what the poster got upset over (italics).
Andrew-In-Sweden • June 15, 2026 7:44 AM BST
Pink Panthera (Each Way) Treble @ 50/1
Inis Mor (Each Way) Treble @ 30/1
Elvis found alive (Each Way) Treble @ 500/1
Just waiting for the last leg and i can retire, although not sure what constitutes the place though
I had a sarcastic/humourous pop at the aftertiming and i wasn't the only one; the guy is obviously fragile.
Slickster
You are correct, Big Boosey is a gelding, but i noticed the error and corrected it in a post at 11.58. I made two other errors as well, but one was simplay typing.
The SP was 20/1 and on here i know he was 28 (not 38 as i posted) and 30 for the win and 3.95 for the place. How i know is obvious.
I also stated the sire of Constitution River was St Marks Basilica, this is incorrect, it's Wootton Bassett. I type by memory, unless it's sectionals that i obviousy don't carry in my head each day, sometimes i get it wrong, as simple as that.
Good luck and have a nice Sunday all.
Many thanks for the posts (at least the sensible ones) appreciated.
A good day for the thread yesterday with both lays mentioned beaten, Ashfoora (9/4) at Sandown who finished last of 9 and Likedbymike (15/8) 3rd of 5 at Naas. Constitution River won and the one that went down was the EW outsider Classic who didn't get a clear run 2f out, but wouldn't have won from where he was anyway. Pat Dobbs decided to go in between runners at the 2 pole, but that avenue closed; a better one was to the left, also he was slightly hampered a furlong out, but i'm not in the habit of critiquing jockeys.
My afternoon was really all about a particular favourite of mine, Constitution River and i was reasonably confident beforehand, at least in the context of a G1. He looked superb in the paddock, a large framed scopey sort, relaxed, although a glint of sweat below the saddle cloth. His stablemate Flushing Meadow set a fast pace, in fact the 2f and 3 furlongs show sub-11 second sectionals when he was 6L-7L clear. CR travelled well in the race and although briefly held in off the bend 3f out, Ryan simply moved out approaching the 3f pole and went past Gethin with ease. At the 2f pole i was shouting for Ryan to press the button and he duly obliged with his customary good turn of foot, the race was over from that point winning by 3L. He put in the fastest sectionals at 8f and 10f, with only 0.4 between him and the runner up at 9f.
If we wanted to be pedantic it wasn't a strong Eclipse and a small field at that, but he can only beat what's there. Nevertheless, how he travelled in the race, went past the front group with distain and in a time that was easily fastest on the day at 2.57 seconds faster than standard, clearly shows he's still an improving 3 year old and in my opinion the best middle distance horse in his age group. Timeform agree, raising him to 128.
There will be those that crab the performance, and would even if Ryan stopped at the furlong pole to sign autographs before continuing on to win, it's in their nature and will continue until he does lose in order to say 'i told you so' and massage their own ego.
Is he a superstar as the RP mentions ? a definitive no, at least not yet, but if he goes to York and wins against Ombudsman and Calandagan, then mops up a couple of champion stakes, then the accolade may be warranted. I never buy into the hype from the trainer, but i totally understand he's the spokesman of the best thoroughbred breeding operation there's ever been, or likely to be. Say what you like about him, but the records he's setting are simply phenominal, there will not be another like him.
On to this afternoon, typical Sunday afternoon fayre, although there is a class 3 handicap at each of the domestic meetings. Further afield, Calandagan will be at short odds to redeem his glowing reputation in the Grand Prix at Saint Cloud, a race he won in 2025. I expect him to win, but will not be backing him, instead i will play 3 places on one of my favourite French fillies, Aventure (currently 7/1 with the books) on here. She never gets the credit deserved, but in 15 runs, only twice out of the first 3. A G1 winner and runner-up in an Arc. Very genuine, always runs her race and has a good turn of foot. On form, she can't beat the favourite, but she can place.
I rarely have large bets after a decent win the previous day anyway unless it's a festival where i really fancy something. CR wasn't my largest bet this year (Diamond Necklace was) but no reason to try and win even more today. I don't fancy anything strongly anyway, although i do have a potential lay post selection that i will post separately if i decide to with it.
Timberman
WD with the bets.
Trusty
Don't put yourself down, you have made valid contributions on my threads over the years, as well as others. I agree there are are several posters who do so equally, these are the ones i read, i rarely read others. I'm not on here from dawn to dusk, with food taken intraveneously to save time anyway, i have a professional and social life outside of the forum, but this is what the poster got upset over (italics).
Andrew-In-Sweden • June 15, 2026 7:44 AM BST
Pink Panthera (Each Way) Treble @ 50/1
Inis Mor (Each Way) Treble @ 30/1
Elvis found alive (Each Way) Treble @ 500/1
Just waiting for the last leg and i can retire, although not sure what constitutes the place though
I had a sarcastic/humourous pop at the aftertiming and i wasn't the only one; the guy is obviously fragile.
Slickster
You are correct, Big Boosey is a gelding, but i noticed the error and corrected it in a post at 11.58. I made two other errors as well, but one was simplay typing.
The SP was 20/1 and on here i know he was 28 (not 38 as i posted) and 30 for the win and 3.95 for the place. How i know is obvious.
I also stated the sire of Constitution River was St Marks Basilica, this is incorrect, it's Wootton Bassett. I type by memory, unless it's sectionals that i obviousy don't carry in my head each day, sometimes i get it wrong, as simple as that.
Good luck and have a nice Sunday all.
For my troll, i have no idea what bet you are referring to, but as a final post on the matter, here is part of my post (in full) from Saturday June 20th 09.59 (in italics).
In the G1 Jubilee stakes all eyes will be on the Australian sprinter Jolistar who is possibly the best over there and certainly in form, unbeaten this year with a hat-trick of wins at Randwick including a couple of group 1's. We've seen several decent sprinters come over from Australia and win at RA, Black Caviar the best of them and there's no doubt Jolistar is very good, but i also think we tend to overate them on occasion. She's not even highest rated in the field that is not a bad one, never raced outside of her home country, has to acclimatize and will Ascot actually suit. With exception of Flemington, 6f sprints in Australia race over a bend and in 3 runs there has only won once. i'm not suggesting she can't win on a straight track of course (she did) but there are several factors that backers at 6/4 need to consider before lumping on. I laid last night at slightly higher odds, but a risk nevertheless.
One i feel could outrun double figure odds (currently 24 for the win) is the French trianed Sajir who won a G1 beating Lazzat last year. Won a G3 at Chantilly LTO, consistant and rarely runs a poor race. Even 4/TBP pays 3.8 on here.
My account statement shows i laid Jolistar the previous evening, and again at 08.41 and 11.14 on the morning. I backed Sajir at 10.37 and 11.31 at odds of 28 and 30 respectively. The horse opened 18/1 on course and his SP was 20/1, exactly as i stated. At the time i posted he was 24 on here. I also backed the 4TBP at 11.04. I do not post BS or exaggerated claims on here. This conversation ends here.
In the G1 Jubilee stakes all eyes will be on the Australian sprinter Jolistar who is possibly the best over there and certainly in form, unbeaten this year with a hat-trick of wins at Randwick including a couple of group 1's. We've seen several decent sprinters come over from Australia and win at RA, Black Caviar the best of them and there's no doubt Jolistar is very good, but i also think we tend to overate them on occasion. She's not even highest rated in the field that is not a bad one, never raced outside of her home country, has to acclimatize and will Ascot actually suit. With exception of Flemington, 6f sprints in Australia race over a bend and in 3 runs there has only won once. i'm not suggesting she can't win on a straight track of course (she did) but there are several factors that backers at 6/4 need to consider before lumping on. I laid last night at slightly higher odds, but a risk nevertheless.
One i feel could outrun double figure odds (currently 24 for the win) is the French trianed Sajir who won a G1 beating Lazzat last year. Won a G3 at Chantilly LTO, consistant and rarely runs a poor race. Even 4/TBP pays 3.8 on here.
My account statement shows i laid Jolistar the previous evening, and again at 08.41 and 11.14 on the morning. I backed Sajir at 10.37 and 11.31 at odds of 28 and 30 respectively. The horse opened 18/1 on course and his SP was 20/1, exactly as i stated. At the time i posted he was 24 on here. I also backed the 4TBP at 11.04. I do not post BS or exaggerated claims on here. This conversation ends here.
Afternoon Andrew . Wondered if you had any thoughts on the German derby ? Only picked up that it was on from Luck on Sunday as the card doesn't seem to feature on the usual websites-is the racecourse worth a visit sometime?
For anyone interested, there is good racecard downloadable at https://www.galopp-hamburg.de/sites/default/files/paragraphs/file/rennprogra...
Long day with first race 11.14 (European time) and last race 18.25
For anyone interested, there is good racecard downloadable at https://www.galopp-hamburg.de/sites/default/files/paragraphs/file/rennprogra...
Long day with first race 11.14 (European time) and last race 18.25
Hi Manoleeds
Yes i went though the Derby field (14.43) last night, albeit not in great detail as BF don't cover it, but the shops do. I look at German racecards for the big races and have been to München-Riem several times, i even saw a future Arc winner there once. The only course in Germany i've gone to, but i want to see Baden-Baden one day, it's the Ascot of the country.
Hamburg racecourse is a turf, oval (not slow bends like Chelmsford) like many tracks in the country. Right handed, generally flat with a 2.7f furlong home straight. Over 12f, a middle draw is preferred, low is a slight negative.
As for the race per se, the 3 times group winner and likely favourite is Gostam (i backed at München) who has to be considered after his run in the Prix Jockey Club at Longchamp behind Constitution River. He wasn't disgraced by any means but is probably better with a bit of cut in the ground. Drawn in 20, same as the winner Palladium last year. The RP states the going will be soft, i can't comment on that, but like England, Germany has experienced a lot of hot weather recently, even in the North, although it's more temperate now.
The one i like, but not betting on, is the the only non-German runner Bay of Brilliance trained by Ralph Beckett who finished 4th at Epsom, but prior to this had won the Lingfield Derby trial. He will need to be alert at the off as he's drawn in 6. One who could run well at a decent price (20/1 in a couple of books) is the lightly raced Loucas who was 3rd in the 2000 Guineas, but has never run over the trip before.
I follow the local racing, but nowhere near the extent of the French racing scene that i love and wouldn't have a clue in the handicaps etc.
Good to see you and your wife in Ireland earlier this year.
Good luck if you play.
Yes i went though the Derby field (14.43) last night, albeit not in great detail as BF don't cover it, but the shops do. I look at German racecards for the big races and have been to München-Riem several times, i even saw a future Arc winner there once. The only course in Germany i've gone to, but i want to see Baden-Baden one day, it's the Ascot of the country.
Hamburg racecourse is a turf, oval (not slow bends like Chelmsford) like many tracks in the country. Right handed, generally flat with a 2.7f furlong home straight. Over 12f, a middle draw is preferred, low is a slight negative.
As for the race per se, the 3 times group winner and likely favourite is Gostam (i backed at München) who has to be considered after his run in the Prix Jockey Club at Longchamp behind Constitution River. He wasn't disgraced by any means but is probably better with a bit of cut in the ground. Drawn in 20, same as the winner Palladium last year. The RP states the going will be soft, i can't comment on that, but like England, Germany has experienced a lot of hot weather recently, even in the North, although it's more temperate now.
The one i like, but not betting on, is the the only non-German runner Bay of Brilliance trained by Ralph Beckett who finished 4th at Epsom, but prior to this had won the Lingfield Derby trial. He will need to be alert at the off as he's drawn in 6. One who could run well at a decent price (20/1 in a couple of books) is the lightly raced Loucas who was 3rd in the 2000 Guineas, but has never run over the trip before.
I follow the local racing, but nowhere near the extent of the French racing scene that i love and wouldn't have a clue in the handicaps etc.
Good to see you and your wife in Ireland earlier this year.
Good luck if you play.
For those without racing channels and are interested, you can watch the livestream here (commentary in Deutsche of course)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=82JStvqs1WI
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=82JStvqs1WI
Hi Andrew. I'm always interested in your thoughts on French racing so keep going regardless of the aggro. I don't agree with you on the big handicaps though (my favourite type of race). I've also got Becket's horse in Hamburg. Good luck to all.
the german derby form hard to equate but ive had a couple of smallish ews 4 places on cheifland 40/1 and abacus 50/1 good luck all.
Tommy
Thanks. I understand your liking for the big handicaps, many do and of course the odds are often rewarding, even with the places.
I prefer pattern races simply as the form is more consistant and reliable, additionally it's assumed that the majority are there to win. Alan Potts has mentioned on here before that backing at evens is simply winning a stake on the next bet, a valid point of course, and at those odds you need a high strike rate, although i don't always back at such short odds. I also have favourites that i tend to follow, Aventure who runs later a typical example, but for much higher stakes, the likes of Diamond Necklace and Constitution River to name a couple, but one i want to follow as well is the AOB trianed filly Alpha.
I think Beckett's runner took a detour via Cologne he was so far back
Foyleswar
WD with the 2nd place. The runners were all over the place after coming to the other side after the bend, but they often do that at Hamburg.
Thanks. I understand your liking for the big handicaps, many do and of course the odds are often rewarding, even with the places.
I prefer pattern races simply as the form is more consistant and reliable, additionally it's assumed that the majority are there to win. Alan Potts has mentioned on here before that backing at evens is simply winning a stake on the next bet, a valid point of course, and at those odds you need a high strike rate, although i don't always back at such short odds. I also have favourites that i tend to follow, Aventure who runs later a typical example, but for much higher stakes, the likes of Diamond Necklace and Constitution River to name a couple, but one i want to follow as well is the AOB trianed filly Alpha.
I think Beckett's runner took a detour via Cologne he was so far back
Foyleswar
WD with the 2nd place. The runners were all over the place after coming to the other side after the bend, but they often do that at Hamburg.
Thanks for the write up . That the winner was 84/1 says it all . Wd with the second FW.
No lay post selection (these count for my P/L) but one i thought could get beaten at short odds is Fringall **** 4.00 Market Rasen.
Won easily LTO, but 3 of the fences were omitted in the straight due to low sun, so a total of 6 were dolled off, leaving 8. Not many got into the race and the favourite jumped like a pig. If he could replicate his August 2024 form, he could make all and run these ragged, but can he. A 7lb penalty, conceding weight and up to class 3 will make it more difficult; hopefully no low sun.
Only 3 runners and to my eyes, a tricky little handicap, i certainly would want to be lumping on the favourite at 2.16. Obviously a very risky lay, if he gets into a rhythm with his jumping (not always the most fluent) he could have this won a couple of fences from home, but i'm not sure he will.
Won easily LTO, but 3 of the fences were omitted in the straight due to low sun, so a total of 6 were dolled off, leaving 8. Not many got into the race and the favourite jumped like a pig. If he could replicate his August 2024 form, he could make all and run these ragged, but can he. A 7lb penalty, conceding weight and up to class 3 will make it more difficult; hopefully no low sun.
Only 3 runners and to my eyes, a tricky little handicap, i certainly would want to be lumping on the favourite at 2.16. Obviously a very risky lay, if he gets into a rhythm with his jumping (not always the most fluent) he could have this won a couple of fences from home, but i'm not sure he will.
You’ve some front to call anyone a troll when you’ve come onto threads just to give your sarcastic snide remarks.
As you haven’t been to the Ascot thread where I asked you a simple question.
So I’ll ask again based on what you said.
Andrew-In-Sweden • July 4, 2026 11:44 AM BST
Finally i posted this on 27th June (12.25)
I will not be commenting on the race again whatever the response, it's pointless as the poster will simply keep on to prove he got the upper hand. He didn't.
It appears i was correct in my assumption; however just to put the record straight to his assertion that the horse was not 20/1, i suggest he reads the form with better lenses. At no time was he 8/1 or 12/1. The SP was 20/1 and on here i know he was 38 and 30 for the win and 3.95 for the place. How i know is obvious.
- - - - -
Again how much would you like on this statement here @ Even money?
As you haven’t been to the Ascot thread where I asked you a simple question.
So I’ll ask again based on what you said.
Andrew-In-Sweden • July 4, 2026 11:44 AM BST
Finally i posted this on 27th June (12.25)
I will not be commenting on the race again whatever the response, it's pointless as the poster will simply keep on to prove he got the upper hand. He didn't.
It appears i was correct in my assumption; however just to put the record straight to his assertion that the horse was not 20/1, i suggest he reads the form with better lenses. At no time was he 8/1 or 12/1. The SP was 20/1 and on here i know he was 38 and 30 for the win and 3.95 for the place. How i know is obvious.
- - - - -
Again how much would you like on this statement here @ Even money?
The SP as I’ve said was that because he drifted, horses that play up at the stalls tend to do that!
Now are you certain that, “At no time was he 8/1 or 12/1.” ??
Because by saying that you’re making out that I’m incorrect by either lying or talking rubbish.
Now are you certain that, “At no time was he 8/1 or 12/1.” ??
Because by saying that you’re making out that I’m incorrect by either lying or talking rubbish.
Go away you Autistic,potless cretin and stick to your own threads
Good evening Guys,
The lay Fringall D*ke (5/6f) finished 2nd of the 3 runners, it's always nice to get a shortie beaten, even more so at odds-on. Jumping to the right didn't help his cause and there were 6 more fences to jump this time as i pointed out.
The usual run-of-the-mill meetings in the early part of the forthcoming week, so it's almost certain i will not be backing anything, but there could be a lay or 2. Failing that, i will not be posting, that is actually more often than not during the week these days.
The Debenhams July meeting at Newmarket starts on Thursday, so once again we shall be seeing more of the Ballydoyle stars, but it's too early to look at the entries of course.
I've already made arrangements for my next course visit, the Qatar Goodwood festival that starts on 28th, although i arrive in London on the morning after and will go then and possibly the 30th for the Sussex and Nassau stakes respectively, hoping to see Bow Echo and Diamond Necklace (if she runs). One of my favourite UK flat courses after Ascot although i haven't been since the Nassau in 2023. In August i plan to go to York if Constitution River runs in the Juddmonte that will be some race if the main 3 are declared.
In the football tonight i've layed Brasil HT/FT, but i'm not playing or watching the England game. It's very difficult to predict the outcome of the latter, but the longer the game goes without Mexico being in front, the much better our chances will be as the hostile crowd become impatient. I have a feeling we will qualify that will p*ss off Germans on the Aerospace complex, hence subjected to some banter from yours truly, something Mastercard can't buy.
Have a nice evening all.
The lay Fringall D*ke (5/6f) finished 2nd of the 3 runners, it's always nice to get a shortie beaten, even more so at odds-on. Jumping to the right didn't help his cause and there were 6 more fences to jump this time as i pointed out.
The usual run-of-the-mill meetings in the early part of the forthcoming week, so it's almost certain i will not be backing anything, but there could be a lay or 2. Failing that, i will not be posting, that is actually more often than not during the week these days.
The Debenhams July meeting at Newmarket starts on Thursday, so once again we shall be seeing more of the Ballydoyle stars, but it's too early to look at the entries of course.
I've already made arrangements for my next course visit, the Qatar Goodwood festival that starts on 28th, although i arrive in London on the morning after and will go then and possibly the 30th for the Sussex and Nassau stakes respectively, hoping to see Bow Echo and Diamond Necklace (if she runs). One of my favourite UK flat courses after Ascot although i haven't been since the Nassau in 2023. In August i plan to go to York if Constitution River runs in the Juddmonte that will be some race if the main 3 are declared.
In the football tonight i've layed Brasil HT/FT, but i'm not playing or watching the England game. It's very difficult to predict the outcome of the latter, but the longer the game goes without Mexico being in front, the much better our chances will be as the hostile crowd become impatient. I have a feeling we will qualify that will p*ss off Germans on the Aerospace complex, hence subjected to some banter from yours truly, something Mastercard can't buy.
Have a nice evening all.
Coral cut Sajir to 10-1 (from 14) for the Jubilee, a race in which he was withdrawn by the starter after giving trouble in the stalls 12 months ago.
Next time you want to call someone a liar or whatever make sure that your facts are RIGHT.
You bottled putting your money down to match your mouth.
Next time you want to call someone a liar or whatever make sure that your facts are RIGHT.
You bottled putting your money down to match your mouth.
Delbert is asking people to bet with him but he has no funds,greg
Not at all,Dickster.
The potless pince has been on here for 15 months and cannot post a bet (a bit like you).
Perhaps he is too shy and modest
The potless pince has been on here for 15 months and cannot post a bet (a bit like you).
Perhaps he is too shy and modest
Good Morning Guys
[i]In the football tonight i've layed Brasil HT/FT, but i'm not playing or watching the England game. It's very difficult to predict the outcome of the latter, but the longer the game goes without Mexico being in front, the much better our chances will be as the hostile crowd become impatient. I have a feeling we will qualify that will p*ss off Germans on the Aerospace complex, hence subjected to some banter from yours truly, something Mastercard can't buy.
A good result for me and Norway, who really played well and thoroughly derserved the win. I felt sorry for my daughter (and her Brasilian mum) but it was never a given for Brasil to win anyway.
As for England, i didn't see the game, or have a bet, but what a cracking result against a formidable team at the Aztec and with 10 men after 54 minutes. I will certainly have a fun day winding up some of the Germans on the AirTech complex later.
[i]In the football tonight i've layed Brasil HT/FT, but i'm not playing or watching the England game. It's very difficult to predict the outcome of the latter, but the longer the game goes without Mexico being in front, the much better our chances will be as the hostile crowd become impatient. I have a feeling we will qualify that will p*ss off Germans on the Aerospace complex, hence subjected to some banter from yours truly, something Mastercard can't buy.
A good result for me and Norway, who really played well and thoroughly derserved the win. I felt sorry for my daughter (and her Brasilian mum) but it was never a given for Brasil to win anyway.
As for England, i didn't see the game, or have a bet, but what a cracking result against a formidable team at the Aztec and with 10 men after 54 minutes. I will certainly have a fun day winding up some of the Germans on the AirTech complex later.
Coral cut Sajir to 10-1 (from 14) for the Jubilee, a race in which he was withdrawn by the starter after giving trouble in the stalls 12 months ago.
Assuming you didn't type the words yourself out of spite, if correct, it's obviously an ante post quote days in advance. My bet was placed on morning of the race as already mentioned umpteen times, but to reiterate :
My account statement shows i laid Jolistar the previous evening, and again at 08.41 and 11.14 on the morning. I backed Sajir at 10.37 and 11.31 at odds of 28 and 30 respectively. The horse opened 18/1 on course and his SP was 20/1, exactly as i stated. At the time i posted he was 24 on here. I also backed the 4TBP at 11.04. I do not post BS or exaggerated claims on here. This conversation ends here.
Refer to these links
https://www.sportinglife.com/racing/racecards/2026-06-20/royal-ascot/racecard/915246/queen-elizabeth-ii-jubilee-stakes-group-1
https://www.irishracing.com/odds-comparison/Sat-20th-Jun-2026/Ascot/1540
https://www.irishracing.com/racecards/Sat-20th-Jun-2026/Ascot/1540#top
Check the odds comparison link, not one bookmaker offering anything under 17/1, most are 20/1 and even a 25/1 in a place with NO movement
You've been here since April last year, 14 months and made close to 8800 posts, circa 630 a month/160 a week ! Do you never go out ? You've actually made 23 posts/rants on this thread just to prove you are correct, but have failed miserably. I stated earlier i would not be commenting on the race again whatever the response, it's pointless as you will simply keep on to prove you got the upper hand. You haven't. This is defintely my last word on the topic.
Assuming you didn't type the words yourself out of spite, if correct, it's obviously an ante post quote days in advance. My bet was placed on morning of the race as already mentioned umpteen times, but to reiterate :
My account statement shows i laid Jolistar the previous evening, and again at 08.41 and 11.14 on the morning. I backed Sajir at 10.37 and 11.31 at odds of 28 and 30 respectively. The horse opened 18/1 on course and his SP was 20/1, exactly as i stated. At the time i posted he was 24 on here. I also backed the 4TBP at 11.04. I do not post BS or exaggerated claims on here. This conversation ends here.
Refer to these links
https://www.sportinglife.com/racing/racecards/2026-06-20/royal-ascot/racecard/915246/queen-elizabeth-ii-jubilee-stakes-group-1
https://www.irishracing.com/odds-comparison/Sat-20th-Jun-2026/Ascot/1540
https://www.irishracing.com/racecards/Sat-20th-Jun-2026/Ascot/1540#top
Check the odds comparison link, not one bookmaker offering anything under 17/1, most are 20/1 and even a 25/1 in a place with NO movement
You've been here since April last year, 14 months and made close to 8800 posts, circa 630 a month/160 a week ! Do you never go out ? You've actually made 23 posts/rants on this thread just to prove you are correct, but have failed miserably. I stated earlier i would not be commenting on the race again whatever the response, it's pointless as you will simply keep on to prove you got the upper hand. You haven't. This is defintely my last word on the topic.
You’re a mug I’d said in my post here he was that price AP.
Now learn some manners MR not so clued up!
Now learn some manners MR not so clued up!
Assuming you didn't type the words yourself out of spite,
To think that I’m as petty as your bitter self!
What a joker!
Refer to this link:
https://www.racingpost.com/news/reports/i-know-hes-a-champion-he-can-quicken-very-strongly-goliath-back-on-song-and-ready-to-take-aim-at-royal-ascot-awC0v8k864hO/
Scott Burton
France correspondent
Published on 31 May 2026inReports
Last updated 19:04, 31 May 2026
Coral cut Sajir to 10-1 (from 14) for the Jubilee, a race in which he was withdrawn by the starter after giving trouble in the stalls 12 months ago.
Andrew-In-Sweden • July 4, 2026 11:44 AM BST
Finally i posted this on 27th June (12.25)
I will not be commenting on the race again whatever the response, it's pointless as the poster will simply keep on to prove he got the upper hand. He didn't.
It appears i was correct in my assumption; however just to put the record straight to his assertion that the horse was not 20/1, i suggest he reads the form with better lenses. At no time was he 8/1 or 12/1. The SP was 20/1 and on here i know he was 38 and 30 for the win and 3.95 for the place. How i know is obvious.
Yes the SP was 20/1 as said he drifted!
To think that I’m as petty as your bitter self!
What a joker!
Refer to this link:
https://www.racingpost.com/news/reports/i-know-hes-a-champion-he-can-quicken-very-strongly-goliath-back-on-song-and-ready-to-take-aim-at-royal-ascot-awC0v8k864hO/
Scott Burton
France correspondent
Published on 31 May 2026inReports
Last updated 19:04, 31 May 2026
Coral cut Sajir to 10-1 (from 14) for the Jubilee, a race in which he was withdrawn by the starter after giving trouble in the stalls 12 months ago.
Andrew-In-Sweden • July 4, 2026 11:44 AM BST
Finally i posted this on 27th June (12.25)
I will not be commenting on the race again whatever the response, it's pointless as the poster will simply keep on to prove he got the upper hand. He didn't.
It appears i was correct in my assumption; however just to put the record straight to his assertion that the horse was not 20/1, i suggest he reads the form with better lenses. At no time was he 8/1 or 12/1. The SP was 20/1 and on here i know he was 38 and 30 for the win and 3.95 for the place. How i know is obvious.
Yes the SP was 20/1 as said he drifted!
Post Your Reply
Please login to post a reply.
Wonder
Instance ID: 13539