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25 Nov 25
14:20
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Date Joined:
27 Aug 07
half way through the day and already we've had winners at 17,24,25,25 and 60. not many will be finding those...
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Replies: 61
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most punters would lose the mint if they laid horses on here
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Variance
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Always worht laying Roger's overbet nags
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It all depends if the layers lay only one hoss in a race, or most of them. If the latter, then it is swings and roundabouts: red on the winner but green on all the others they've laid in the same race.
This is, after all, traditionally how the game is played. |
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It is not the same playfield on here however you play and you know it. I've held a bookies permit in the past btw.
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fundalk 1st 3 races 13,55,110
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1st race newky 46
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nobody is finding those
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last race southwell 50.0 good luck backers !
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First race winner pays 70.0. good luck today lads !
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enjoy the last at Newcastle last night tiger ?
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winner was 7/4 into 5/4. i layed at 6/4. also layed two others in the race. 6/1 - 9/2 (5/1 for me) and 7/1 - 5/1 (6/1) so half a point gained, ending another successful day.
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i do believe the winner was a good deal bigger earlier in the day though, so definitely a "gamble landed"
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14 lays today so far. paid out twice. 7/2 and 6/4. cant beat the maths !
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regents stroll 9/4 - 15/8, layed at 2/1 bites the dust
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tapley 5/2 hammered into 13/8, finishes a close up 4th
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independent jimmy 11/4 into 2/1.... yawn
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So in the newc race if you laid each to say £100 and either of the other two won it would have been £300 or £400 loss ?
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top price i lay is 6/1. £40 stakes at the moment. max loss on a race is £240. it does happen, but my bank can take a fair few of those. most of the winners are under 3/1.
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interesting you had a short price fav as a winner rather than a break even or loss. But Keatley horses I am careful with maybe you too.
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i dont do form, trainers or jockeys. its all a numbers game to me. how accurate is the market at the off ? how accurate is the market a few mins before the off. and yet horses can be 30-40% different in price between the 2 time points.
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scores on the doors.... 28 lays, 4 winners, 6/4, 7/2, 3/1 and 9/2 (ouch!) +11.5 x £40 = ? a very good day! Better luck tomorrow backers, maybe you'll pull a bit back ?
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Rico will be asking you to do something shortly
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Well done TTT. Your system isn't a million miles away from that used by poster Happysandwich some time ago which he also said was profitable I think he layaing at less than 6/1 if they had won their last race or someting along those lines.
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I think Happysandwich system was to lay any runner in a race whose form figures going into it were 21, providing it was the only such runner in the race.
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think you're not quite getting where Tiger is coming from guys. His only thinking is price is everything.
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I get that howard, i was simply replying to brian
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Thanks Bettysboy but although I understand the difference, they share 2 key similarities:
1. They both lay at the top end of the market (up to 6/1) 2. They both work on circumstances that generally rely means that "selections" are overbet. HS on latest form figures and TTT on the lemming factor. |
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No clues from the tiger
Looks like drift in last few mins by the prices |
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A good day for the backers.They pulled £8 back.
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backers doing ok at lingers so far. layers of the gosden horse could have greened up nicely
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3 well backed shorties at lingers. i keep the shorties onside.
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yes can be a good policy. I suppose you will often lay ones that many think are ew savers but ok as long as they don't win
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i havnt layed a winner above 13/8 today. 13 well backed over 2/1 all beaten
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just as i say that, layed bownder 3/1
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newcastle 50.0 winner beats my lay 9/4
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I always say that's the kind of result that keep bookies in rolls royce's. Strongly backed fav finishes 2nd not beaten by fancied opponents but by a likely skinner.
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12.30 ling result has put the petrol in the Roller
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yeah just the same. Sometimes what layers have running for them is not horses that have run a lot with placed form...but have run very little and shown nowt.
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