The bookies must be rubbing their hands....

they will find it different the next few years when hardly anyone has a bet after the results this week

Didnt run like that in the Cambridgeshire!

You have to have longshots winnings or people would just make a living laying longshots

Ante post skinner         

Longshot it certainly was but not a no hoper. Cost £200,000 after a decent flat career for a very good stable.

eric, when was the last time punters backing short priced favs made a profit? If you stick with 6/1 and bigger and get one winner a day you don't lose. If you back 6 short favs and only 3 win you probably lose.

you dont think this Festival has seen a string of unfortunate favourites. It has made a big difference. backing 6/1 shots is less predictable than being very selective with better horses.

you wouldnt confidently place 1 grand or more stakes on 6/1 shots. you would on better horses when you think the time is right.

Same every year though. And favourites in novice races are mostly guesswork. I did back Majborough before Sir Gino came out but I laid it off on Tuesday morning at odds on. Different altogether on the flat in Group races where there is usually plenty of collateral form.

Might be worthwhile having a quid on the outsiders in the GC just in case...

But I bet in less than £10 per race and so far this year I am just in profit. I lay off  every horse that I back at short prices as so many get beat at very short.

Well if it works for you great.

That's the Prestbury Cup sorted for another year , 15 vs 8

Kenny counting his winnings

festival fav betting blind
2012,13,14,15,16,18,19,22 in front
2017,20,21,23,24,25 behind

since 2018 its been naturally soft/heavy or watered to be soft/heavy through feb & into early march can you see a pattern

No way will I bet in races where Mullins has the favourite and several other runners. I thought they didn't have a top class 4yo in the Triumph and of those that had run he didn't. So no bet in the County, the mares or the Gold Cup. I know he only has one in that but it is the winner bar a fall. I have made an exception in the 3 mile novice with Derryhassen Paddy. I might lay the last race fav if it is less than 2/1.

Are you including the favs at 4/1 and bigger? I was talking 6/4 or less when you need at least 50% to win.

Sage's strategy makes far more sense in my view , ante post for trading seems far more sensible than trying to pick winners months before the race and i don't think punters give sufficient thought to what price they're actually taking for the horse to make post time , example taking 5/1 for a horse you think will start at 7/2 means you're taking 1/3 that it'll run in the race , can't imagine anyone would take 1/3 as a single tbh so what's the point.

Good luck today chaps   

subdivide small sample not good idea but here you go sage...under 6/4
2013,14,15,16,18,19,23,24 in front
2012,17,20,21,22,25 behind

Fine. We all enjoy the sport for different reasons.

the way this week as gone,got to be ahoy senor in gold cup hasn't but,unfortunately for him ,I've ran out of hats to eat

I agree with your general approach, front end not for me either with the ground they are looking to produce

Brave run by Derryhassen Paddy. Scottish National in 3 years time? How Townend managed that proves how well he judges pace. Looked likely to be last at one stage.

plus 3.5 points backing bookies SP so far this cheltenham
not including the joint fav last race tues.....

Some very bookies friendly results all in all......Constitution Hill falling and Galloping De Champ seemingly underperforming to scupper the short priced multiples

AKA are the latest ring gob all's,rep on tv days the more we lengthened the odds of GDC the more people wanted to get on,i,m  no bookie but why would you lengthen the odds of a horse if people were happy to back it at 1 to 2 ?

Even the hunter was an outsider. The big hitters will be on Kopek de Mee. Not for me. If given a free £5 bet on a conditional jockeys race I would put the money in my pocket. Can Gordon finally win one with Wodhooh?

The answer was yes. Not many horses win 7 in a row ending with a Festival handicap. It was a very clean race so well done to the jockeys.

Kennedy taking more time off. Should never have been allowed near a horse this week.

Bookies at Southwell doing ok...

And again..

Had 1 winner out of 16 bets. and I dont back fav's

Level stakes on fav x 28 produced 0.57pts profit

Worth reading Simon Nott's blogs on Star Sports , he is very entertaining and tells it like it is . Biggest takeaway is that its a very fine line .