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SwallowsBarn
02 Feb 25 13:19
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Date Joined: 24 Apr 20
| Topic/replies: 39 | Blogger: SwallowsBarn's blog
Pigeon House 3.00 Musselburgh, available at 150 prior to withdrawl but reduction factor applied is 6.1%?
Pause • Switch to Standard View Reduction factor too high
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Report FBS • February 2, 2025 2:21 PM GMT
Same reason why the fav in that race is at 19% instead of 33%, betfair set them at the market start and hardly ever change them!
Betfair should dynamically alter the rf as prices change up and down.
Report swiftynifty • February 2, 2025 2:23 PM GMT
In this day and age and all the technology you'd think RF could be reflective of price at time of WD.

Probably due to market manipulation issues.
Report FBS • February 2, 2025 2:25 PM GMT
But where do Betfair come up with the rf in the first place when the market opens?
Report jamee1 • February 2, 2025 3:19 PM GMT
When the market is loaded each horse is given a 'reduction factor', based on a forecast price, which is expressed as a percentage. These reduction factors may be updated periodically at the discretion of Betfair based on trading in the market, but after approximately 15 minutes (approximately 5 minutes for Australian and US markets) from the scheduled 'off' time of a given race, they will be updated only in exceptional circumstances.
Report FBS • February 2, 2025 4:23 PM GMT
Thanks but where do they get their "based on a forecast price" from?
Report hulk23 • February 2, 2025 11:04 PM GMT
may be updated periodically at the discretion of Betfair based on how our book is looking ....

Wink
Report hulk23 • February 2, 2025 11:07 PM GMT
you surely forego the 'discretion' to do anything involving the markets when you chose to get involved within the markets ...
Report Brian • February 3, 2025 8:47 AM GMT
I've noticed that if I have an interest in the early markets and there is a subsequent non runner, I nearly always lose out. The explanation about trader's discretion explains that. Some of the early reductions are crazy.
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