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04 Aug 24
12:27
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18 Jul 02
Does the time of the year that a horse earns its top rating upon which its Nursery handicap mark is assessed affect its chances disproportionately in Nurseries? The weight for age (WFA) scale assumes AVERAGE progression in maturity during the season. Therefore precocious types have a better chance of winning earlier in the season. They are like 5”8 10 year old bullies in the school playground, who are still 5”8 at 16 years old.
A more slowly maturing 2yo will conversely get in on a lower handicap mark, as its early season performances will be less impressive, even though it is still progressing physically at a greater rate than the above precocious type by the time of the Nursery season.
Has anyone got any evidence to support or discredit my theory?
A more slowly maturing 2yo will conversely get in on a lower handicap mark, as its early season performances will be less impressive, even though it is still progressing physically at a greater rate than the above precocious type by the time of the Nursery season.
Has anyone got any evidence to support or discredit my theory?
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More pertinent would be when a horse was born if you assume maturing is an issue in affecting a horse re-Nurseries e.g foaled Jan or April, not forgetting the distances Nurseries are run over increasing through the season?
the trouble with these races is plenty turn up at nursery having already been schooled.
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