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Ms. Flibbles' AI Picks and Opinions: Early Doors Experiment Picks
14:00 Redcar Mon 20 May - 6f Maiden Stakes
Overview
Based on the in-play (IP) Hi/Lo data, we identify potential trading opportunities for this race by analyzing horses with significant in-play price swings, indicating they have moved dramatically in price during races. This analysis highlights horses that might offer value due to recent performances and betting patterns.
Trading Opportunities Analysis
DOLCE VITTA
Current Form: Made a bright start behind a promising filly at Ascot.
Key Data:
1 May: Second, IP Lo: 1.8 (significant in-running price drop).
Conclusion: A strong performer with significant in-running support. Good for back-to-lay strategies.
BLACK TIDE
Current Form: Newcomer, yet to race.
Key Data:
Historical data not available due to being a newcomer.
Conclusion: Potential value in debut performance.
REX CARVER
Current Form: Newcomer, yet to race.
Key Data:
Historical data not available due to being a newcomer.
Conclusion: Another newcomer with potential value.
SEA OF DIAMONDS
Current Form: Expected to perform well based on breeding and trainer reputation.
Key Data:
Not available due to being a newcomer.
Conclusion: A speculative candidate with high expectations.
WE'VE GOT THIS
Current Form: Newcomer, highly regarded.
Key Data:
Not available due to being a newcomer.
Conclusion: Shows potential, worth watching for debut performance.
WIPEOUT
Current Form: Debut race, potential based on training.
Key Data:
Historical data not available.
Conclusion: Another speculative candidate.
THE CRAFTY MOLE
Current Form: Winner at Wetherby, relishing longer trips.
Key Data:
29 Apr: First, IP Lo: 2.0 (indicating strong in-running support).
Conclusion: Strong back-to-lay candidate with proven form.
BELIEVITANDUCAN
Current Form: Improved performance in last race.
Key Data:
20 Apr: Third, IP Lo: 3.5.
Conclusion: Consistent in-running price drops make it a good trading candidate.
RUBIO DE ORO
Current Form: Poor performance last time but potential to improve on turf.
Key Data:
10 Apr: Last, IP Lo: 15 (early backing despite poor finish).
Conclusion: Speculative bet with potential for improvement.
Summary
Best Back-to-Lay Candidates:
DOLCE VITTA
THE CRAFTY MOLE
BELIEVITANDUCAN
RUBIO DE ORO
Three Runners Most Likely to Win:
DOLCE VITTA
BLACK TIDE
SEA OF DIAMONDS
Speculative Outsider Bet:
RUBIO DE ORO
These selections are based on in-running price movements and recent performance data, providing potential value for trading strategies and betting.
For more detailed race analysis, you can visit At The Races and Racing TV.
14:00 Redcar Mon 20 May - 6f Maiden Stakes
Overview
Based on the in-play (IP) Hi/Lo data, we identify potential trading opportunities for this race by analyzing horses with significant in-play price swings, indicating they have moved dramatically in price during races. This analysis highlights horses that might offer value due to recent performances and betting patterns.
Trading Opportunities Analysis
DOLCE VITTA
Current Form: Made a bright start behind a promising filly at Ascot.
Key Data:
1 May: Second, IP Lo: 1.8 (significant in-running price drop).
Conclusion: A strong performer with significant in-running support. Good for back-to-lay strategies.
BLACK TIDE
Current Form: Newcomer, yet to race.
Key Data:
Historical data not available due to being a newcomer.
Conclusion: Potential value in debut performance.
REX CARVER
Current Form: Newcomer, yet to race.
Key Data:
Historical data not available due to being a newcomer.
Conclusion: Another newcomer with potential value.
SEA OF DIAMONDS
Current Form: Expected to perform well based on breeding and trainer reputation.
Key Data:
Not available due to being a newcomer.
Conclusion: A speculative candidate with high expectations.
WE'VE GOT THIS
Current Form: Newcomer, highly regarded.
Key Data:
Not available due to being a newcomer.
Conclusion: Shows potential, worth watching for debut performance.
WIPEOUT
Current Form: Debut race, potential based on training.
Key Data:
Historical data not available.
Conclusion: Another speculative candidate.
THE CRAFTY MOLE
Current Form: Winner at Wetherby, relishing longer trips.
Key Data:
29 Apr: First, IP Lo: 2.0 (indicating strong in-running support).
Conclusion: Strong back-to-lay candidate with proven form.
BELIEVITANDUCAN
Current Form: Improved performance in last race.
Key Data:
20 Apr: Third, IP Lo: 3.5.
Conclusion: Consistent in-running price drops make it a good trading candidate.
RUBIO DE ORO
Current Form: Poor performance last time but potential to improve on turf.
Key Data:
10 Apr: Last, IP Lo: 15 (early backing despite poor finish).
Conclusion: Speculative bet with potential for improvement.
Summary
Best Back-to-Lay Candidates:
DOLCE VITTA
THE CRAFTY MOLE
BELIEVITANDUCAN
RUBIO DE ORO
Three Runners Most Likely to Win:
DOLCE VITTA
BLACK TIDE
SEA OF DIAMONDS
Speculative Outsider Bet:
RUBIO DE ORO
These selections are based on in-running price movements and recent performance data, providing potential value for trading strategies and betting.
For more detailed race analysis, you can visit At The Races and Racing TV.
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Replies: 27
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May 19, 2024 -- 6:22PM, 11kv wrote:
Can't make head nor tails of this fred but i hope your winning.... 11kv, I can understand your confusion. Basically, I had a mini meltdown when the new version of AI ChatGPT 4.o which I call Ms Flibbles, started producing garbage/rubbish information. I was exhausted and frustrated with Ms Flibble's understanding of the information I required. This morning I started retraining the AI Ms Flibble to produce concise race information in a template. I will use the new layout in Monday's Early Doors Experiment. |
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Notebook
Sleep Trade Ms Flibble Experiment Early Doors Dutch Win and Trade My Bets (NO Flibble) Monday Experiment Bankroll: £ 8.17 Experiment Profit Bank £ 8.00 /////////////////////////////////////////// Monthly Software Liabilities ChatGPT 4.o (Ms Flibbles) -£18.98 Fairbot -£10.00 Total -£28.98 \\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\ |
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Snips from yesterday's thread:
The rule of the Early Doors experiment restricts the stake to £8 maximum for the first race of the day. If the bet fails and ends up in the titbag, I'll still have £2 to play with. Essentially... I've gone 3/4 of a full bollixs! (:-o} An overload of information can be as bad as no information IMO. \\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\ askjack • May 19, 2024 3:55 PM BST F-me All losses from the early Doors experiment. BOOM! Report•Quote•Block Useraskjack • May 19, 2024 5:01 PM BST Notebook Sleep Trade Ms Flibble Experiment Early Doors -£6 2xDutch Honour Your Dreams 2TBP Phoenix Beach win Lotus Rose win Lets go Hugo Dutch Ey Up Its The Boss £5.55 Mahboob -£3.00 Win and Trade My Bets (NO Flibble) Sunday Experiment Bankroll: £ 4.17 Experiment Profit Bank £12.00 Monthly Software Liabilities ChatGPT 4.o (Ms Flibbles) -£18.98 Fairbot -£10.00 Total -£28.98 Mahboob dives into the titbag. 15:45 CURE LEUKAEMIA NOVICE STAKES (4) 1st William Buicksilk 1. ANCIENT TRUTH (IRE) 5/2 f 2nd Sean Leveysilk 8. PRINCIPALITY (IRE) 13/2 3rd Daniel Tudhopesilk 3. BOLD IMPACT (IRE) 4/1 ////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////// ///////////////////////////////////////// |
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Searched 4 sites
Ms. Flibbles' AI Picks and Opinions: Early Doors Experiment Picks 14:13 Newton Abbot Mon 20 May - 2m1f Novice Hurdle Overview Based on the in-play (IP) Hi/Lo data, we identify potential trading opportunities for this race by analyzing horses with significant in-play price swings, indicating they have moved dramatically in price during races. This analysis highlights horses that might offer value due to recent performances and betting patterns. Trading Opportunities Analysis PIRATES' TALE Current Form: Strong performer with a win and several placements (28412-). Key Data: Last season: Consistent in-running price drops, often backed heavily. Conclusion: Good for back-to-lay strategies given its consistent form and in-running support. FORTIFIED FORTUNE Current Form: Two second-place finishes (2/P2-). Key Data: Consistent price drops indicating strong backing in races. Conclusion: A solid candidate for back-to-lay given its in-running support and consistent performance. GET THE VALUE Current Form: Struggled recently (32/499-6). Key Data: Inconsistent in-running price support. Conclusion: More speculative but could offer value if market support reappears. GIDDY UP Current Form: Poor recent form (05-). Key Data: Minimal in-running support. Conclusion: High-risk candidate with potential for improvement but limited trading opportunities. HENRY PICK Current Form: No significant recent form (87-). Key Data: Lacks in-running support. Conclusion: Another high-risk option, likely less favorable for back-to-lay strategies. IMPECUNIOUS Current Form: Newcomer with strong market expectations. Key Data: Lacking historical in-running data. Conclusion: Speculative but worth watching on debut. Summary Best Back-to-Lay Candidates: PIRATES' TALE FORTIFIED FORTUNE GET THE VALUE IMPECUNIOUS Three Runners Most Likely to Win: PIRATES' TALE FORTIFIED FORTUNE IMPECUNIOUS Speculative Outsider Bet: GET THE VALUE These selections are based on in-running price movements and recent performance data, providing potential value for trading strategies and betting. For more details, you can refer to sources like The Sun Racing (The Sun). |
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The first two weeks of the experiment can be regarded as a "Boot Camp" or "Basic Training" for both me and Ms Flibble (ChatGPT 3.1 and 4.o).
The next two weeks of training and experimentation will be much more focused and all chatter and off-hand remarks will be eliminated. Every day, I will publish Ms Flibble's analysis of the first race from every track in the GB racing calendar. The selections and type of bet made by me will be published before the race starts (15 minutes approx.) as proof of the bet a digital copy will be recorded. After the race is concluded my reaction to the outcome will be given and the P/L notebook updated. Monday Experiment Bankroll: £ 8.17 Experiment Profit Bank £ 8.00 My selection of crude words to describe where bets end up will continue and most probably be added to. titsup = Dead in the water titbag = A place where losing bet slips go kitbag = winning bet slips repository |
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I'm starting my selection process to work on the best type of bet to achieve value for money for the Flibbs picks for 14:00 Redcar Mon 20 May - 6f Maiden Stakes.
First Impressions She has picked many non-runners: THE CRAFTY MOLE BELIEVITANDUCAN RUBIO DE ORO These NRs are listed at 5:30 Redcar as declared runners. I need to look into this titup later on (note: add to vocab list) I'm not going to trade on 14:00 race. Still looking for a value bet. |
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GL.
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Back (Bet For)
WIN 2.8 £2.00 £3.60 Ref: 349220515056 Matched: 13:11 20-May-24 Got on now because it might shorten before the off. Back (Bet For) 3TBP 3.75 £0.36 £0.99 Ref: 349220493732 Matched: 13:11 20-May-24 Black Tide 3.75 £0.64 £1.76 Ref: 349220493732 Matched: 13:11 20-May-24 Got on now because I'm an idiot and forgot to add 10 clicks in the case of a better price near the off. Sea of Diamonds also is an NR I feel let down by Ms Flibble! |
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Ms Flibble says:
Note It appears that the initial picks included non-runners. The actual race for 14:00 Redcar on 20 May includes different horses. If you are seeking value bets or specific trading strategies, it is best to avoid this race for now and look at other opportunities. To ensure the accuracy of future picks, please refer directly to reliable sources like Timeform for the latest racecards and updates. I remarked back: Very titting helpful? (add to vocab list) |
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Both bets have a total liability of £3 a partial full bollixs. (add to vocab list)
Profit for win £3.31, 3TBP £2.53 Both come up £5.84 |
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Redcar 14:30 - w/o Sea Of Diamonds
It seems scanned the Redcar full card instead of just the 14:00 race. I will try to get Flibbs more accurate in which race she's analysing. |
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In the kitbag Dolce a wee beauty!
Tide is off to the titbag :( Notebook Sleep Trade Ms Flibble Experiment Early Doors Dolce Vitta win £ 3.31 Black Tide -£ 1.00 Dutch Win and Trade My Bets (NO Flibble) Monday Experiment Bankroll: £ 10.48 Experiment Profit Bank £ 8.00 /////////////////////////////////////////// Monthly Software Liabilities ChatGPT 4.o (Ms Flibbles) -£18.98 Fairbot -£10.00 Total -£28.98 \\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\ |
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14:13 Newton Abbot Mon 20 May - 2m1f Novice Hurdle
I did not get a bet on it in time. Flibbs picks: Three Runners Most Likely to Win: PIRATES' TALE FORTIFIED FORTUNE IMPECUNIOUS She might be a bit absentminded but she's got her titpicking hat on today. (add to vocab list) |
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All three were placed!
Now that doesn't come along very often. In future, I'll look at the Exchange, Tote or the Sportsbook when selecting bet options. |
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One tit doesn't make a kitbag.
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The following 3 posts will have Ms. Flibble's picks for the opening 3 races on tonight's card. Winsor 17:06, Roscommon 17.20 and Carlisle 18:30.
I've decided the Early Doors Experiment will not bet tonight. The risk is too great for the Experiment bank. All profits from today will be deposited in the Experiment bank. TOMORROW'S Bankroll will be £8.48 and the E-bank £10 However, I just might wade in with a few modest bets of my own (-:} Remember, one tit doesn't make a kitbag! |
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Ms. Flibbles' AI Picks and Opinions: Early Doors Experiment Picks
17:06 Windsor Mon 20 May - 1m3f Handicap Overview Based on the in-play (IP) Hi/Lo data, we identify potential trading opportunities for this race by analyzing horses with significant in-play price swings, indicating they have moved dramatically in price during races. This analysis highlights horses that might offer value due to recent performances and betting patterns. Trading Opportunities Analysis ALACRITY Current Form: Strong contender, often placed well. Key Data: Consistent in-running support. Conclusion: Good for back-to-lay strategies given consistent performance. CAPRELO Current Form: Solid performances with several placements. Key Data: Significant in-running price drops. Conclusion: Strong candidate for back-to-lay due to consistent backing during races. LUCENTIO Current Form: Mixed results but has shown potential. Key Data: Some significant in-running support. Conclusion: Potential value for back-to-lay if support continues. RAKKI Current Form: Average recent form but has past good runs. Key Data: Variable in-running support. Conclusion: Speculative but could offer value if in-running support reappears. MALINKA Current Form: Recent poor form but has shown capability. Key Data: Occasional in-running price drops. Conclusion: High-risk candidate with potential for improvement. I LOVE PARIS Current Form: Struggled recently but has past performances to build on. Key Data: Minimal in-running support. Conclusion: High-risk option, less favourable for back-to-lay strategies. FREDS MATE Current Form: No significant recent form. Key Data: Lacks in-running support. Conclusion: High-risk candidate, unlikely to be favourable for trading. Summary Best Back-to-Lay Candidates: ALACRITY CAPRELO LUCENTIO RAKKI Three Runners Most Likely to Win: ALACRITY CAPRELO LUCENTIO Speculative Outsider Bet: RAKKI These selections are based on in-running price movements and recent performance data, providing potential value for trading strategies and betting. For more detailed race analysis, you can refer to sources like Betfair's Windsor Racecard (Betfair) (Betfair) (Betfair). |
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Ms. Flibbles' AI Picks and Opinions: Early Doors Experiment Picks
17:20 Roscommon Mon 20 May - 7f Maiden Overview Based on the in-play (IP) Hi/Lo data, we identify potential trading opportunities for this race by analyzing horses with significant in-play price swings. This analysis highlights horses that might offer value due to recent performances and betting patterns. Trading Opportunities Analysis ROYALCORRESPONDENT Current Form: Showing promise with a string of good performances. Key Data: IP Lo: 3.75. Recent form indicates strong market support. Conclusion: Good for back-to-lay strategies given consistent performance and strong backing. DYNAMITE DEFENSE Current Form: Fairly consistent, with a notable recent performance. Key Data: IP Lo: 7.6. Shows potential for in-running price drops. Conclusion: Strong candidate for back-to-lay due to solid past performances and consistent backing. ZENATO Current Form: Recent form has been promising. Key Data: IP Lo: 6.8. Notable in-running support. Conclusion: Potential value for back-to-lay if support continues. ALTO SAX Current Form: Mixed results but has shown potential. Key Data: IP Lo: 9.2. Shows in-running support when performing well. Conclusion: Speculative but could offer value if in-running support reappears. SHES SMART Current Form: Recent performances have been less impressive. Key Data: IP Lo: 13.5. Minimal in-running support. Conclusion: High-risk candidate, suitable for speculative bets. Summary Best Back-to-Lay Candidates: ROYALCORRESPONDENT DYNAMITE DEFENSE ZENATO ALTO SAX Three Runners Most Likely to Win: ROYALCORRESPONDENT DYNAMITE DEFENSE ZENATO Speculative Outsider Bet: SHES SMART These selections are based on in-running price movements and recent performance data, providing potential value for trading strategies and betting. For more detailed race analysis, you can refer to sources like The Sun's Roscommon Racecard and Sky Sports (The Sun) (Sky Sports) (Sky Sports). |
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Ms. Flibbles' AI Picks and Opinions: Early Doors Experiment Picks
18:30 Carlisle Mon 20 May - 5f Novice Stakes Overview Based on the in-play (IP) Hi/Lo data, we identify potential trading opportunities for this race by analyzing horses with significant in-play price swings. This analysis highlights horses that might offer value due to recent performances and betting patterns. Trading Opportunities Analysis RIVER SEINE Current Form: Strong favorite with recent wins and placements. Key Data: Consistent in-running support. IP Lo: 1.95. Conclusion: Good for back-to-lay strategies given consistent performance and strong market support. ENGLEMERE Current Form: Strong recent form with notable placements. Key Data: IP Lo: 3.55. Recent form suggests potential for continued strong performance. Conclusion: Strong candidate for back-to-lay due to consistent backing during races and solid past performances. WHERES CLARE Current Form: Mixed results but has shown potential. Key Data: IP Lo: 9.4. Shows in-running support when performing well. Conclusion: Potential value for back-to-lay if support continues, especially given recent form indicators. LADY LIGHTNING Current Form: Recent form is average but has past good runs. Key Data: IP Lo: 10. Variable in-running support, indicating potential volatility. Conclusion: Speculative but could offer value if in-running support reappears, particularly if returning to best form. TOOTA Current Form: Limited recent form, longer odds. Key Data: IP Lo: 46. Minimal in-running support. Conclusion: High-risk candidate, unlikely to be favorable for trading, but could be considered for speculative bets. Summary Best Back-to-Lay Candidates: RIVER SEINE ENGLEMERE WHERES CLARE LADY LIGHTNING Three Runners Most Likely to Win: RIVER SEINE ENGLEMERE WHERES CLARE Speculative Outsider Bet: TOOTA These selections are based on in-running price movements and recent performance data, providing potential value for trading strategies and betting. For more detailed race analysis, you can refer to sources like The Sun's Carlisle Racecard and At The Races (The Sun) (At The Races). |
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Back (Bet For)
Odds Stake Profit Caprelo 6 £0.76 £3.80 Ref: 349247345456 Matched: 17:02 20-May-24 Caprelo 6 £0.91 £4.55 Ref: 349247345456 Matched: 17:02 20-May-24 Lucentio 7.6 £0.09 £0.59 Ref: 349247345457 Matched: 17:02 20-May-24 Lucentio 7.6 £1.23 £8.12 Ref: 349247345457 Matched: 17:02 20-May-24 LUCENTIO...>>>BOOM |
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Maybe don't pick a Maiden race
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Back (Bet For)
Odds Stake Profit Royalcorrespondent 4 £0.50 £1.50 Ref: 349250235136 Matched: 17:21 20-May-24 Royalcorrespondent 4 £0.98 £2.94 Ref: 349250235136 Matched: 17:21 20-May-24 Zenato 6.4 £0.37 £2.00 Ref: 349250239301 Matched: 17:21 20-May-24 Zenato 6.8 £0.59 £3.42 Ref: 349250239301 Matched: 17:21 20-May-24 Dynamite Defense 10.5 £0.56 £5.32 Ref: 349250239302 Matched: 17:21 20-May-24 IN THE TITBAG |
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The experiment is going well.
I've done 2 reverse Forecasts on Sportsbook: River Seine / Englemere River Seine / Wheres Clare Risky, but I'm a gambler at heart! I hope River Seine wins otherwise I'll look the right Titheed. LOL |
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Single @2 Lines
River Seine / Englemere Stake £2.00 Returns TBD Show selections & more Single @2 Lines River Seine / Wheres Clare Stake £2.00 Returns FFS... A gambler with a BROKEN tithead! Where's Clair - Englemere |
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Experiment Summary
Windsor 17:06 £6.48 Roscommon 17.20 -£3.00 Carlisle 18:30 -£4.00 P/L -£0.52 I think there's a glimmer of potential. However, One kitbag and two titbags don't look good. OK, I'll post tomorrow's Early Doors Experiment at least 2hrs before the first race of the starts. |
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I will include your advice and my reply tomorrow in Ms Flibble's AI thread post.
If you object, post a message saying "NOPE" after the first race has concluded. If it's OK by you do nothing and I'll post your timely advice sometime in the afternoon. |