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Two year olds

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By:
kingsnake5
When: 29 May 24 16:05
I am hardly punting at the moment. I am sticking fast to my old adage that you should only bet when the ground / weather has been consistent for 3 days.

Get 3 days of rain and it was softish 3 days before the meeting, and softish on the day = Bet
Get 3 days of no rain and it was good to firmish 3 days before the meeting, and good to firmish on the day = Bet

Get 3 days of rain and it was good to firmish 3 days before the meeting, and softish (with or without watering) on the day = No Bet
Get 3 days of no rain and it was good to softish 3 days before the meeting, and good to firmish (with or without watering) on the day = No Bet

Sure we have had a lot of rain but the going descriptions 3 days before, and even at the 48hr dec stage are nowhere near what they are on the day. This makes results way too random and thus races unplayable!

If you can't work out the weather / going 3 days before then just look at the NR rates at each meeting.

25%+ NR rates = Totally Avoid
15%+ NR rates = Avoid
10%+ NR rates = Caution Advised

I am sticking with the all weather at the moment.
Cut/Paste from Flatstats
By:
kingsnake5
When: 30 May 24 08:07
Lingfield 3:35

THECOFFEEPODDOTCO
Age, Colour, Sex 2 b f (3 Apr 2022) Trainer Richard Hannon Owner Middleham Park Racing CXVIII & Partner1
Pedigree SERGEI PROKOFIEV (CAN) LIMELITE (IRE) DARK ANGEL (IRE)

Market watch
By:
sageform
When: 30 May 24 08:46
surely if you think that changes in going will play havoc with form then laying the first 2 in the market is the right way to go?
By:
kingsnake5
When: 30 May 24 09:07
Stop calling me Shirley
By:
kingsnake5
When: 30 May 24 12:06
Lingfield turf going looks unpredictable and ungenuine (they have always had odd drainage there) and that is currently the course with the highest NR% so I would be wary of Lingfield turf this afternoon.
By:
kingsnake5
When: 31 May 24 10:39
Epsom.  2:00.    MEGALITHIC
By:
kingsnake5
When: 31 May 24 14:52
https://www.irishracing.com

Can I suggest that you use the tracker on this site because I can't keep up with the racing.

All of the Sires mentioned on this thread have been researched.

Good Luck
By:
kingsnake5
When: 05 Jun 24 13:22
Nottingham.   SHOSTAKOVA     Wide draw each Way
By:
kingsnake5
When: 07 Jun 24 12:41
Haddock.   8:03.    Castle Stuart
By:
kingsnake5
When: 08 Jun 24 09:10
Beverley 2:05.    AVIATION TIME
By:
kingsnake5
When: 09 Jun 24 10:40
Goodwood.   2:45.    MYTHICAL COMPOSER
By:
kingsnake5
When: 09 Jun 24 14:57
Educational race above take note
By:
kingsnake5
When: 10 Jun 24 13:28
[   This image is no longer available.   ]
By:
stewarts rise
When: 19 Jun 24 18:31
Sands of Mali is fairly unique these days in being a true outcross ie he has zero duplicated ancestors in the first 5 generations of his ancestry. I hope and think this will help him become a outstanding sire of precocious fast 2 year olds

5fs at Ascot Windsor Castle, think that qualifies as a fast precocious 2 yo.Grin
By:
kingsnake5
When: 11 Aug 24 10:48
Matauri Bay looks the answer in the Leicester novice.Becketts putting out his best 2 yr olds debutants in the last month, Good low draw and Mum has produced a great Australian sister already.
2:30
By:
kingsnake5
When: 11 Aug 24 11:23
NIGHTWALKER    Danger to horse in above race
By:
kingsnake5
When: 11 Aug 24 14:44
Stoute horse has to be a Notebook horse
By:
kingsnake5
When: 15 Aug 24 09:28
Chepstow 2:45.   SAHARA DANCER
By:
top2rated
When: 15 Aug 24 09:46
Sahara Dancer's dam Street Jazz has only had three UK runners and all were beaten on their racecourse debuts - two as 2yos and the other as a 3yo.
By:
kingsnake5
When: 15 Aug 24 10:01
Sands of Mali is fairly unique these days in being a true outcross ie he has zero duplicated ancestors in the first 5 generations of his ancestry. I hope and think this will help him become a outstanding sire of precocious fast 2 year olds and at the same time **** a snoop at all the droning on line- breeders and bloodstock agents claiming inbreeding to this or that fashionable sire and other nonsense
By:
ronnie rails
When: 15 Aug 24 10:22
A Superstar  runs in the Acombe  on Wednesday.
Ronnie.
By:
kingsnake5
When: 15 Aug 24 10:40
Ronnie.  This is not an Anti Post thread
By:
kingsnake5
When: 15 Aug 24 14:55
Chepstow 2:45.   SAHARA DANCER      Won
By:
kingsnake5
When: 15 Aug 24 16:38
Another Sands of Mali in the frame
By:
kingsnake5
When: 15 Aug 24 17:33
She grabs the ground quite markedly . If you remember Celtic swing Who was 2nd in the 2000 and won the French Derby in 1995 - v similar. They said Celtic Swing had a conformation fault of offset knees

“Celtic Swing's conformation was flawed: his knees were off-set, which meant they were prone to concussion when he galloped at full pelt." Expectations rose during the months he was given to recover.”
Sahara Dancer
By:
kingsnake5
When: 15 Aug 24 22:38
Sands of Mali is fairly unique these days in being a true outcross ie he has zero duplicated ancestors in the first 5 generations of his ancestry. I hope and think this will help him become a outstanding sire of precocious fast 2 year olds and at the same time **** a snoop at all the droning on line- breeders and bloodstock agents claiming inbreeding to this or that fashionable sire and other nonsense
By:
kingsnake5
When: 16 Aug 24 10:13
Newbury 2:40.  JEWELRY   Each Way
By:
top2rated
When: 16 Aug 24 10:40
Good luck, Taffy.
By:
kingsnake5
When: 16 Aug 24 10:53
top2rated you must frequent the pediquery site.    Correct?
By:
top2rated
When: 16 Aug 24 11:09
I do use it occasionally but got there via googling your 'Sands of Mali is fairly unique...' post.

(https://www.pedigreequery.com/)
By:
kingsnake5
When: 16 Aug 24 11:30
top2rated.  I think that I must be one of the few posters on the site.

Good Luck
By:
kingsnake5
When: 16 Aug 24 14:49

Aug 16, 2024 -- 10:13AM, kingsnake5 wrote:


Newbury 2:40.

By:
kingsnake5
When: 16 Aug 24 14:53
Jewelry (IRE) 2, b f 9-2 (Isa Salman Al Khalifa)
(Drawn 6)
Wootton Bassett (GB) - Simply A Star (IRE)(Giant's Causeway (USA))
Breeder - Coolmore
(Morning price: 7/1 15/2 8/1 9/1 10/1 11/1 12/1 14/1 12/1 10/1 9/1 10/1 12/1)
(Ring price: 10/1 11/1 12/1 14/1) SP 14/1
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