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themightymac
12 Apr 24 18:57
Joined:
Date Joined: 05 Apr 02
| Topic/replies: 35,029 | Blogger: themightymac's blog
.... horses running like coos at short odds on.

Two again tonight.  Both drift and never ever looked like winning.

Dollerina 4/7 from 2/5 the latest. Didn`t even make the frame. 4th.
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Report themightymac April 23, 2024 6:58 PM BST
He turned over a couple of his dad`s odds on favs at the weekend to sink punters.

Now he has just been well gubbed with a 1 to 4 shot Soul of Spain at Gowran.
Report themightymac April 23, 2024 7:00 PM BST
At least it just got 3rd with a BSP of 1.01 to do so.
Report differentdrum April 23, 2024 7:10 PM BST
Terrible stable unless you are a bookmaker. Even at the Festivals you never know what's going to happen, and that's both codes.
Report sparrow April 23, 2024 7:14 PM BST
differentdrum 23 Apr 24 19:10 
Terrible stable unless you are a bookmaker.




Well you can lay them on here
Report themightymac April 23, 2024 7:17 PM BST
Been betting since I was 8 and I am seriously thinking of chucking it altogether.
Report themightymac April 23, 2024 7:19 PM BST
Like DD states you need to be in the know and then you might win but as an outsider looking in and going strictly on form and betting, you can`t possibly win.
Report impossible123 April 23, 2024 7:25 PM BST
Same here 'themightymac'. I cannot be bothered anymore; the grey market is neither an option nor an attraction for this recreational hobby. This will be as soon as if City Of Troy bombs badly.
Report themightymac April 23, 2024 7:34 PM BST
I won a FREE 10p scratchcard today from a major online bookie. Cry
Report slickster April 23, 2024 7:44 PM BST
Nappy clearly been bought by the bookies. Its plain for all to see if you study the results. But hey just carry on. If you're name is mullins o'brien or Walsh in Ireland continue on. Nothing is ever seen.
Report Hayden April 23, 2024 7:53 PM BST
Time for some lateral thinking guys and a bit of adaptation , find solutions not more problems   Happy


The true definition of madness is repeating the same action, over and over, hoping for a different result.
- ALBERT EINSTEIN
Report differentdrum April 23, 2024 7:56 PM BST
Very useful advice sparrow considering I said you don't know what his horses are going to do.

TMM, it has become increasingly difficult. It has got to a stage where I am happy to just hang on a profit rather than expect to win anything substantial. I had my first three flat bets on Saturday - Alkasib, Relief Rally and Son - and after that I am not expecting my next one to be anytime soon. Alkasib was little more than schooling in public by Doyle, Relief Rally despite being well punted late was woeful, and of course Hannon left his winners behind on Friday, and the well punted Son was pipped for third under a weak ride. You get a distorted view on here as I get the impression most wait for the race to start before placing a bet.

It's not just racing that's difficult. Look at the snooker, favourites falling over themselves to get beat.
Report Bentring April 23, 2024 7:57 PM BST
Don't blame the stable you have a choice as in post of 19:14 hth ye wingnuts
Report differentdrum April 23, 2024 7:58 PM BST
And Kevin Blake aligning himself with O'Brien while at the same time trying to do his 'punter's friend' act. Laughable.
Report differentdrum April 23, 2024 7:59 PM BST
Yes, the 19.14 post that makes no sense at all.
Report sparrow April 23, 2024 8:05 PM BST
differentdrum 23 Apr 24 19:59 
Yes, the 19.14 post that makes no sense at all.





What makes no sense is you worrying about odds on shots continually being beaten.  Back something else, lay them or ignore the race.
Report themightymac April 23, 2024 10:04 PM BST
You don`t need to be Einstein to conclude that a 1/4 has more chance of winning than losing. So why would one lay a 1/4 pre race if one thinks it will likely win or bet something to beat it?

But, if one had inside info and the yard thought it would badly need the run, then one would obviously lay it.
Report themightymac April 23, 2024 10:05 PM BST
Normally, the market is the best guide but not recently in Ireland or UK.
Report impossible123 April 24, 2024 9:00 AM BST
This is a regular occurrence every season. I believe there was a race last season where he had two runners ie an odds-on shot that drifted, the backed runner from double digit to single digit. Ironically, the backed runner (a stayer) was gifted an easy long lead; the hotpot seemingly happy to sit amongst the chasing pack.

The backed runner was never headed or challenged, and coasted home. I do not believe the running/betting market were referred to the Irish Horseracing Regulatory Board (IHRB). A similar scenario concerning a smaller stable resulted not only a reference to IHRB bit it also took over 3 years to complete.   

In Ireland it seems despite a blatant "injudicious" riding and running of horses from the same stable and betting market evidence a high profiled big stable trainer in Ireland would not be referred to IHRB for further investigation. Even if it did eg Mr Geraghty's 30-day suspension on Noble Emperor (JP McManus's owned) was rescinded because of the impending Punchestown Festival.
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- April 24, 2024 10:37 AM BST
Some of these trainers are difficult to read

Aiden and his sons with 6 once raced horses in a maiden

Good luck finding the winner

Maybe they ain't betting and running them to gain information, at times.
Report barstool April 24, 2024 10:57 AM BST
Soul of Spain.

One line of form from last season. Heavy going. 1/4.

Unless you have seen it in the paddock and it looked as fit as a flea (unlikely, first run back), How can you back it?
Report DancingBraveTheBest April 24, 2024 12:10 PM BST
I personally dont think family members should be able to have runners in the same race......too often 3 members of the same family have runners in same race and the fav gets well beat....coincidence.....perhaps....i hope soSad
Report GEORGE.B April 24, 2024 12:30 PM BST
Unsurprisingly very slow times on the heavy ground last night but Soul Of Spain's race was especially slow, over five seconds slower than the preceding 0-72 handicap, backing up the visual impression that they had absolutely crawled, so if a two-furlong sprint on bad ground was no good to him, it might not be the race to judge him by.

Yup, no sh*t, Sherlock.
Report GEORGE.B April 24, 2024 12:32 PM BST
* that was an older horse handicap but the even the previous 3YO handicap was over 4 seconds quicker.
Report slickster April 24, 2024 1:44 PM BST
Odds on shorties beaten stupid. Including 2 at 1-4 and 8-15. However one wins by 4 lengths drifting from 9-4 to 10-3. A nasty little nappy *****. O'hehir "napped" the 1-4 shot so that one's demise was no shock.
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