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What fackin chance have we got lads?
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Stellar Story
Tracked leader, pushed along 2 out, not fluent next, ridden and stayed on to lead close home op 28/1
Tracked leader, pushed along 2 out, not fluent next, ridden and stayed on to lead close home op 28/1
Knocked me oot The Placepot and i thought i had this Race by the b0llox.
Bar Monkfish (5/1) the shortest priced winner in the last ten years is 10/1. Its a race I usually swerve tbh, just too difficult to figure out.
This was a strange race. The hotpot fav and Pumpkin's charge went out like a damp squib. The runner-up was unlucky to be chinned on the line thiugh.
Plus you get Fry telling us what a luverly Horse he has got.
I'd Teahupoo (4/1) and Galopin Des Champ (7/4) as my only winners this renewal after the no-shows from Hendo's. In total I'd 5 bets - all freebies or money back as cash. But, loads going on to the 2000G at Newmarket.
TBF Stellar's Story went off 11/8 fav to beat Slade Steel [Supreme Winner]2/1, at Navan back in December only to finish 3rd.
Better Times Ahead who finished 4th in that race [1/2L behind Stellar's Story] has won the Martin pipe.
.
Better Times Ahead who finished 4th in that race [1/2L behind Stellar's Story] has won the Martin pipe.
.
also that bumper it won the first 3 are all top novices
had a lot to find with Mullins fav on last run but forgive that run and it had a chance
had a lot to find with Mullins fav on last run but forgive that run and it had a chance
The County hurdle winner Absurde finished 4th behind Ballyburn, Slade Steel and King of Kinsfield at L'stown back in December.
I suppose it just highlights that Irish form is the best form - yet it's of no surprise to anybody as they have the best horses.
I suppose it just highlights that Irish form is the best form - yet it's of no surprise to anybody as they have the best horses.
.50 Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle (Grade 1, 3m)
Previewed by Gavin Priestley, FestivalTrends.co.uk.
All of the last 14 winners had their last run over 2m3f-3m 1/2f.
All of the last 14 winners had their last run in the previous 26-90 day period.
12 of the last 13 winners had finished top 3 last time out.
All of the last 12 winners with an official rating were rated 136+.
9 of the last 10 winners returned 11/1 or bigger.
12 of the last 13 winners had raced 7 or fewer times over hurdles.
12 of the last 14 winners were aged 6 or 7yo.
11 of the last 14 winners had won at 2m4 1/2f+.
11 of the last 14 winners had their last start in Graded company (8 in a Grade 2).
10 of the last 14 winners were Irish Bred.
9 of the last 14 winners finished Top 3 in a Graded hurdle last time out.
8 of the last 14 winners had won a Graded hurdle previously.
4 of the last 14 winners returned 33/1 or bigger.
3 of the last 14 winners had raced 15 or more times in their career.
Willie Mullins had 22 straight losers between 2010-2016 but has now won 3 of the last 7.
8 of the last 12 winners had won an Irish PTP.
4 of the last 9 winners wore a tongue tie.
All 6 female runners have finished unplaced.
Only 1 of the last 13 winners had their last race in a handicap (27 such runners).
The sire Oscar has 2 wins and 3 places from 16 runners since the races inception.
The Grade 2 Lyons Of Limerick Jaguar Land Rover Novice Hurdle is a decent Albert Bartlett Novices’ Hurdle trial given that the 2015, 2017 and 2021 Albert Bartlett winners had all taken part in the race prior to winning at Cheltenham, while Fury Road (third by a neck in the 2020 Albert Bartlett) had won that trial back in 2019. This Season's winner, Loughlynn, had looked a progressive horse prior to this win but has been pulled up since in a Grade 1 and gives the race a miss. The runner up at Limerick is here though and Gordon Elliott's 7yo STELLAR STORY looks just the type to go well in this.
A winning Irish pointer who is also a two time NH Flat winner, from three starts, he beat Ile Atlantique and Caldwell Potter on his third bumper start which is cracking form, that pair subsequently doing very well in Grade 1 company over hurdles and the former running third in Gallagher Novices' Hurdle on Wednesday. Stellar Story won first time up over hurdles this season and was then done for pace against a couple of speedier types in a Grade 2 at Navan over 2m4f at the start of December. He was then second in that Limerick Grade 2 Hurdle before staying on late in 4th in the big 2m6f Grade 1 Novice at the Leopardstown Festival a couple of weeks ago. I think he's crying out for this step up to 3 miles and the form of that NH flat race at Naas last February has worked out really well. He ticks all the boxes for Cheltenham, has form on soft ground and given the history of outsiders running well in this race I'm certainly not put off by his price. I like his chances a lot.Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle Selection
Suggestion: Back STELLAR STORY 1pt EW at 25/1.
Previewed by Gavin Priestley, FestivalTrends.co.uk.
All of the last 14 winners had their last run over 2m3f-3m 1/2f.
All of the last 14 winners had their last run in the previous 26-90 day period.
12 of the last 13 winners had finished top 3 last time out.
All of the last 12 winners with an official rating were rated 136+.
9 of the last 10 winners returned 11/1 or bigger.
12 of the last 13 winners had raced 7 or fewer times over hurdles.
12 of the last 14 winners were aged 6 or 7yo.
11 of the last 14 winners had won at 2m4 1/2f+.
11 of the last 14 winners had their last start in Graded company (8 in a Grade 2).
10 of the last 14 winners were Irish Bred.
9 of the last 14 winners finished Top 3 in a Graded hurdle last time out.
8 of the last 14 winners had won a Graded hurdle previously.
4 of the last 14 winners returned 33/1 or bigger.
3 of the last 14 winners had raced 15 or more times in their career.
Willie Mullins had 22 straight losers between 2010-2016 but has now won 3 of the last 7.
8 of the last 12 winners had won an Irish PTP.
4 of the last 9 winners wore a tongue tie.
All 6 female runners have finished unplaced.
Only 1 of the last 13 winners had their last race in a handicap (27 such runners).
The sire Oscar has 2 wins and 3 places from 16 runners since the races inception.
The Grade 2 Lyons Of Limerick Jaguar Land Rover Novice Hurdle is a decent Albert Bartlett Novices’ Hurdle trial given that the 2015, 2017 and 2021 Albert Bartlett winners had all taken part in the race prior to winning at Cheltenham, while Fury Road (third by a neck in the 2020 Albert Bartlett) had won that trial back in 2019. This Season's winner, Loughlynn, had looked a progressive horse prior to this win but has been pulled up since in a Grade 1 and gives the race a miss. The runner up at Limerick is here though and Gordon Elliott's 7yo STELLAR STORY looks just the type to go well in this.
A winning Irish pointer who is also a two time NH Flat winner, from three starts, he beat Ile Atlantique and Caldwell Potter on his third bumper start which is cracking form, that pair subsequently doing very well in Grade 1 company over hurdles and the former running third in Gallagher Novices' Hurdle on Wednesday. Stellar Story won first time up over hurdles this season and was then done for pace against a couple of speedier types in a Grade 2 at Navan over 2m4f at the start of December. He was then second in that Limerick Grade 2 Hurdle before staying on late in 4th in the big 2m6f Grade 1 Novice at the Leopardstown Festival a couple of weeks ago. I think he's crying out for this step up to 3 miles and the form of that NH flat race at Naas last February has worked out really well. He ticks all the boxes for Cheltenham, has form on soft ground and given the history of outsiders running well in this race I'm certainly not put off by his price. I like his chances a lot.Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle Selection
Suggestion: Back STELLAR STORY 1pt EW at 25/1.
Johnny Dineen tipped Stellar Story in today's Racing Post.
Absolute joke of a race, anyone punting that is bonkers imo.
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