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Gaze733
14 Mar 24 18:40
Joined:
Date Joined: 15 Mar 12
| Topic/replies: 12,282 | Blogger: Gaze733's blog
I swear whenever a race has 15+ runners and the fav is below 2/1, that's the only thing worth backing.
Pause Switch to Standard View Why do favs never lose?
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Report tomo1984 March 14, 2024 5:44 PM GMT
You could probably run that through a database query and find out?

Although it's so simple that the thousands of punters smarter than you would have already twigged it long ago if it was actually true.
Report Hayden March 14, 2024 5:44 PM GMT
That's just the way it is and why bookmakers are always skint and why punters never have to work and live such a quality life style   Happy
Report tomo1984 March 14, 2024 5:48 PM GMT
That's just the way it is and why bookmakers are always skint and why punters never have to work and live such a quality life style

You have got to love Gazey's simplicity though!!

Bearing in mind that there are people running highly complex algorithms on super computers to try and find an edge like that, but he has cracked it with just a human brain and 30 seconds of free time.
Report Gaze733 March 14, 2024 5:49 PM GMT
Laying horse favs is one of the hardest things in the entire betting industry. If it takes 1000 hours to become profitable at football, it takes 10 times as much to profit off of laying horse favs.
Backing them is much easier. It feels like you could back every single fav and get 20% roi with no analysis.
Report tomo1984 March 14, 2024 5:51 PM GMT
It feels like you could back every single fav and get 20% roi with no analysis.

Punting by 'vibes'.

I am amazed no one else has come up with this stuff.

Seems bomb proof if you ask me.
Report Gaze733 March 14, 2024 6:03 PM GMT
I have hundreds of spreadsheets about favs, and with all that I still have trouble finding 1 fav a day worth laying. Yet I have 30 different ways to back favs profitably, because it's stupidly easy. Imagine if in football all you had to do is back every team that wins 5 games in a row to profit 10%. That's how easy finding horse favs is.
Report Gaze733 March 14, 2024 6:07 PM GMT
The only reason I bother is because every betting site tells you to go against the crowd to make money, but it racing all you have to do is follow the crowd on the fav.
Report tomo1984 March 14, 2024 6:10 PM GMT
The only reason I bother is because every betting site tells you to go against the crowd to make money, but it racing all you have to do is follow the crowd on the fav.

Good name for a book in there I reckon.
Report leif March 14, 2024 6:13 PM GMT
Gaze suffers from retrograde amnesia.

Earlier this week he started a 'Favs never win' fred.
9 to 10 favs straight got mullered with a fair few of them odds-on or very short.

a few days later and he starts this fredCrazy
Report Hayden March 14, 2024 6:13 PM GMT
All these years i've had it the wrong way around , if i had a brain i'd have known it's 98% make money whereas the other 2% don't.

Thanks for the enlightenment  Happy
Report Hayden March 14, 2024 6:15 PM GMT
Begs the question though as to why every time he posts after the event he needs to tap his brother for another grand.
Report Rico-Dangleflaps March 14, 2024 6:16 PM GMT
gaze = grade A spazmoider.
Report freddiewilliams March 14, 2024 6:18 PM GMT
Gayze ain't heavy ,he's my brother
Report Gaze733 March 14, 2024 6:20 PM GMT
I'm going to switch gears and do nothing but back favs, I'm 100% sure to make easy money that way. You don't even need to look at the field if the fav is good, because the field is usually worthless.
Report Gaze733 March 14, 2024 6:21 PM GMT
And if there's a chance for the fav to get beat, I'll back 2 places and win 80% instead of 50%.
Report Hayden March 14, 2024 6:23 PM GMT
I asked my mate who's a psychiatrist to look at Gaze's posts and give me some feedback as to what he thought , he's currently suffering from a nervous breakdown.
Report Gaze733 March 14, 2024 6:24 PM GMT
If there was no pink button on the exchange, I would be a millionaire by now.
Report Manoleeds March 14, 2024 7:00 PM GMT
You've cracked it -only back good favs -leave the bad ones alone.
Report geoff m March 14, 2024 7:05 PM GMT
absolute nutjob. Is he big mart in disguise.??
Report elise March 14, 2024 7:12 PM GMT
mart had moments where he'd be unintentionally funny, this bloke is just tedious
Report FOYLESWAR March 14, 2024 7:29 PM GMT
wheres that pic of gaze and his brother?
Report Rico-Dangleflaps March 14, 2024 8:05 PM GMT
gaz = ℱ○ɗℂ
Report Gaze733 March 14, 2024 8:07 PM GMT
I gave you the holy grail - back short favs. Megamug layers will give you their money.
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