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Gaze733
14 Mar 24 18:40
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Date Joined: 15 Mar 12
| Topic/replies: 12,282 | Blogger: Gaze733's blog
I swear whenever a race has 15+ runners and the fav is below 2/1, that's the only thing worth backing.

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Replies: 23
By:
tomo1984
When: 14 Mar 24 18:44
You could probably run that through a database query and find out?

Although it's so simple that the thousands of punters smarter than you would have already twigged it long ago if it was actually true.
By:
Hayden
When: 14 Mar 24 18:44
That's just the way it is and why bookmakers are always skint and why punters never have to work and live such a quality life style   Happy
By:
tomo1984
When: 14 Mar 24 18:48
That's just the way it is and why bookmakers are always skint and why punters never have to work and live such a quality life style

You have got to love Gazey's simplicity though!!

Bearing in mind that there are people running highly complex algorithms on super computers to try and find an edge like that, but he has cracked it with just a human brain and 30 seconds of free time.
By:
Gaze733
When: 14 Mar 24 18:49
Laying horse favs is one of the hardest things in the entire betting industry. If it takes 1000 hours to become profitable at football, it takes 10 times as much to profit off of laying horse favs.
Backing them is much easier. It feels like you could back every single fav and get 20% roi with no analysis.
By:
tomo1984
When: 14 Mar 24 18:51
It feels like you could back every single fav and get 20% roi with no analysis.

Punting by 'vibes'.

I am amazed no one else has come up with this stuff.

Seems bomb proof if you ask me.
By:
Gaze733
When: 14 Mar 24 19:03
I have hundreds of spreadsheets about favs, and with all that I still have trouble finding 1 fav a day worth laying. Yet I have 30 different ways to back favs profitably, because it's stupidly easy. Imagine if in football all you had to do is back every team that wins 5 games in a row to profit 10%. That's how easy finding horse favs is.
By:
Gaze733
When: 14 Mar 24 19:07
The only reason I bother is because every betting site tells you to go against the crowd to make money, but it racing all you have to do is follow the crowd on the fav.
By:
tomo1984
When: 14 Mar 24 19:10
The only reason I bother is because every betting site tells you to go against the crowd to make money, but it racing all you have to do is follow the crowd on the fav.

Good name for a book in there I reckon.
By:
leif
When: 14 Mar 24 19:13
Gaze suffers from retrograde amnesia.

Earlier this week he started a 'Favs never win' fred.
9 to 10 favs straight got mullered with a fair few of them odds-on or very short.

a few days later and he starts this fredCrazy
By:
Hayden
When: 14 Mar 24 19:13
All these years i've had it the wrong way around , if i had a brain i'd have known it's 98% make money whereas the other 2% don't.

Thanks for the enlightenment  Happy
By:
Hayden
When: 14 Mar 24 19:15
Begs the question though as to why every time he posts after the event he needs to tap his brother for another grand.
By:
Rico-Dangleflaps
When: 14 Mar 24 19:16
gaze = grade A spazmoider.
By:
freddiewilliams
When: 14 Mar 24 19:18
Gayze ain't heavy ,he's my brother
By:
Gaze733
When: 14 Mar 24 19:20
I'm going to switch gears and do nothing but back favs, I'm 100% sure to make easy money that way. You don't even need to look at the field if the fav is good, because the field is usually worthless.
By:
Gaze733
When: 14 Mar 24 19:21
And if there's a chance for the fav to get beat, I'll back 2 places and win 80% instead of 50%.
By:
Hayden
When: 14 Mar 24 19:23
I asked my mate who's a psychiatrist to look at Gaze's posts and give me some feedback as to what he thought , he's currently suffering from a nervous breakdown.
By:
Gaze733
When: 14 Mar 24 19:24
If there was no pink button on the exchange, I would be a millionaire by now.
By:
Manoleeds
When: 14 Mar 24 20:00
You've cracked it -only back good favs -leave the bad ones alone.
By:
geoff m
When: 14 Mar 24 20:05
absolute nutjob. Is he big mart in disguise.??
By:
elise
When: 14 Mar 24 20:12
mart had moments where he'd be unintentionally funny, this bloke is just tedious
By:
FOYLESWAR
When: 14 Mar 24 20:29
wheres that pic of gaze and his brother?
By:
Rico-Dangleflaps
When: 14 Mar 24 21:05
gaz = ℱ○ɗℂ
By:
Gaze733
When: 14 Mar 24 21:07
I gave you the holy grail - back short favs. Megamug layers will give you their money.
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