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George B
George B
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(regarding improved form show, trainer's rep said the gelding had benefitted from a notable step up in trip to 1m4f, and that a gelding operation has significantly improved his general behaviour) (op 7/2)
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if northgates and rubio's OR are accurate Bradman will deffo go to 60.
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LONG HANDICAP Something To Do 8-1
FUTURE OR Amiwithani (+2), Something To Do (-38) https://www.racingpost.com/racecards/1079/kempton-aw/2024-01-31/858337/ So they like to pretend in these instances that no horse is rated lower than the mid-40s But it's not just low grade races where this happens, for example, during the turf season, there are handicaps where the rating band is for example, 80-100, but horses with lower ratings are allowed to run, but it will stipulate in the race conditions that they are assumed to have the minimum rating. I'm pretty sure there's one of these at Nottingham. |
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some races have a maximum weight range so the minimum rating will be determined by the highest runner -20lb
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finished in front of two hosses who ran off a mark of 67 when runner-up this evening.
odds he'll be assessed as a hoss rated 10 ? -38  |
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he was getting 15 pounds from those 2 which means 52 is about right (for now at least). So 10 was a tad low, either the handicapper should be getting his P45 or Boughey should be hauled in. Of course in reality neither will happen.
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The handicappers can only look at the maiden performances and make some fashion of a performance mark.
If a hoss is beaten a 100 lengths or whatever what are they to do? On balance its last mark of 46 when runner-up was spot on. Botti had one in this race tonight that ran off 60. beaten out of sight but how long will it take for that to get to a hcap mark off which it can win. |
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He didn't give it a mark of 46, he gave it a mark of 10, that's the point. It ran from 38lbs 'wrong' in the end.
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It was made to run off 46.
For me that it is its provisional handicap mark first time up in a handicap race. that 10 was a performance rating based on what it had achieved in 3 maiden races of little note. HTF can it be definitively 38lb wrong in a class 5 race based on 3 outings in maiden races? |
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You can read it how you like . The fact is he got an official mark of 10. If connections had decided to run him in a 0-100 with a 20lb weight band he'd have run off 80 and been 70lbs wrong.
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In reality there should be a minimum rating required to appear in handicaps, maybe 10lbs wrong max to force them to show 'more' of their hand in maidens. It's cheating plain and simple.
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It is an imperfect system. The 2yo rule where you have to finish in the first 4 to get a mark could be extended until a horse has run 5 or 6 times perhaps.
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Prefer the American system of claimers than our handicaps. At least most will be be trying rather than messing about going up and down the ratings waiting for the right day.
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Something to do running again. 2.47 Lingers
every other day - 3 times this week. 41lb out of the handicap apparently |
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Decent run despite being 41lb wrong
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GEORGE.B30 Jan 24 23:34
They've pulled clear of the third, so Bradman could go up another 7lb to 62, so Something To Do could go up to 55 imo. Spot on, George, up to 55 https://www.britishhorseracing.com/regulation/official-ratings/ratings-database/#!?q=something%20to%20do |
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And Bradman up to 62
https://www.britishhorseracing.com/regulation/official-ratings/ratings-database/#!?q=bradman I might apply for a job there  |
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GEORGE.B30 Jan 24 23:34
They've pulled clear of the third, so Bradman could go up another 7lb to 62, so Something To Do could go up to 55 imo. you predicted 55 on 30 Jan. It has taken another good second off 48 (31/01/24) and a win off 51(02/02/24) for the mark to NOW be raised to 55. So you were completely wrong in fact. |
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swiftynifty sounds very angry.
I predicted Bradman and Something To Do would be rated 62 and 55 respectively when next assessed. So I was in fact completely correct. Hth. |
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Not angry George, had just discovered you're psychic then and had foreseen his next 2 runs?!
The handicapper has let him off lightly which only encourages the cheating to continue. |