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He goes around the country gambling playing Blackjack enjoy this clip

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Replies: 89
By:
Slicer
When: 30 Jan 24 18:49
I too have noticed croupiers have certain actions. BUT it's not consistent over any extended period. They change their action & the boss replaces them after a period of time. It is just as likely there'll be an even distribution of numbers as there will be a skewed distribution.. And there is no such thing as the Law of Averages. It is The Law of High Numbers which states the closer one gets to infinity, the more even the distribution. If I reveal any more of my thesis I'll have to start charging a fee so I'm going to leave you all to make up your own minds. What I will state is that it's so refreshing to have a sensible respectful debate without hatred on one of these forums. Wishing you all good luck, & you'll certainly need more than that to win consistently in a casino.
By:
stu
When: 30 Jan 24 19:10
You do have to get lucky in finding the right 'target' - and it's sometimes more difficult depending on vigilence at different casinos. For such, and many other reasons, it's barely worth doing it - but interesting non the less in a supposed 'random' game.
By:
freddiewilliams
When: 30 Jan 24 19:16
Getting the ball to land say nine numbers to both sides of 0
By:
freddiewilliams
When: 30 Jan 24 19:17
How easy would that be
By:
freddiewilliams
When: 30 Jan 24 19:18
Oizins du zero. I think it's called
By:
freddiewilliams
When: 30 Jan 24 19:18
Oisins
By:
stu
When: 30 Jan 24 19:19
If you were a spinner who was deliberately rigging it, with years of pro experience fairly easy to hit a range of slots.
By:
stu
When: 30 Jan 24 19:20
Which is why one clue is always place your bets after they have spun Grin
By:
seaside
When: 30 Jan 24 20:17
I worked for years dealing in casinos let me tell you it's impossible to know where the ball is going to land do you not think if I could control the ball and make it land in a section of the wheel I would?

I have seen people win and lose £1,000s my wife was also a dealer and she dealt to a person who won Millions and this was in the 70s.

This is a fact if you win in a casino they will bar you just the same as the bookmakers.

My tip, if you do play blackjack, is tracking look it up if you don't know what that is.
By:
dave1357
When: 30 Jan 24 20:46
My tip, if you do play blackjack, is tracking look it up if you don't know what that is.

Where do you suggest we get a time machine to go back to when auto-shufflers didn't exist?
By:
Rico-Dangleflaps
When: 30 Jan 24 20:56
seaside 30 Jan 24 20:17 
I worked for years dealing in casinos let me tell you it's impossible to know where the ball is going to land do you not think if I could control the ball and make it land in a section of the wheel I would?

sense from seaside at last.
By:
Slicer
When: 30 Jan 24 20:59
I've now watched the very interesting item mentioned  by the op. What is notable to me is that even with his incredible skill, he still had some terrible losing runs. The skill included tracking, counting etc. At least he built up a bank. It would be a different story if he'd had the losing run at the start & lost his starting bank. Auto shuffling stops tracking as  mentioned by Dave. But it's the shuffling of the decks after every three hands that defeats counting. And it was counting that was the only way to win consistently.
By:
Storm Alert
When: 30 Jan 24 21:17
What's intriguing is how well he deals with the losing run, cool head and all that. It goes to show how small the edge is even with card counting. A fair chunk of his profit came from a weak dealer inadvertently showing the hole card.
By:
dave1357
When: 30 Jan 24 21:55
the best time ever at bj was when ladbrokes casinos introduced an under/over side bet, think 13 was the push, might have been twelve. In random circumstances it was a shocking bet, but with a ten rich deck you had a huge edge.
By:
stu
When: 30 Jan 24 23:57
I worked for years dealing in casinos let me tell you it's impossible to know where the ball is going to land

There are many roulette croupiers who would completely disagree with you, including the ones I knew personally and had many conversations with about this exact question.

If you think of it logically, anyone doing that same physical task many hundreds of thousands of times gains some form of 'skill' and understanding for doing it, just common sense - it's a skill like any other physical skill or game. My friend who worked for many years was confident he could land in a specific segment if trying to do so. It was a ball skill like I said, in his terms.

The main point is that if you can (near enough) estimate the particular 'throw' of a roulette dealer then you don't have to be exact in predicting where it lands - near enough will do to beat the odds in the longer run.

Either way, it's a moot point of discussion, because the practicality of sitting for hours trying to find good spots to play is too difficult and time consuming, with very small margins of profits overall.
By:
ladycarla
When: 31 Jan 24 00:00
Stu- no disrespect here that's madness if you believe it!! Why do you think they have diamond ribs and raised edges on every number IYO.
By:
ladycarla
When: 31 Jan 24 00:04
Plus every expert croupiers mates would never work again if it were true Grin
By:
stu
When: 31 Jan 24 00:08
If there's a consistent bias (and there is sometimes in the dealer spins) it shows in the results they churn out (just like a fault in a wheel etc).

It doesn't always happen of course, and may never happen in some casinos, but in some it certainly did (when I used to be involved with it seriously).

There's no such thing as a perfect system or something that is always presenting an edge, but at times it does, that's all.
By:
stu
When: 31 Jan 24 00:08
They don't usually want to get involved in deliberate fraud though for sure - that is a different question entirely.
By:
ladycarla
When: 31 Jan 24 00:13
Oh so you're talking about a bent dealer, that's totally different Crazy
By:
ladycarla
When: 31 Jan 24 00:54
True story back in the 80s, one of the local croupiers used to switch the ball to a far heavier ball, cut long story short got away with 30k before they got caught, did 2 years never paid a penny back.
By:
Storm Alert
When: 31 Jan 24 09:38
I'm sure with statistical analysis any design flaw causing a bias with a roulette table can be spotted. I'm also sure casino's can monitor for this and rectify. Do casinos rotate the wheels between tables from time-to-time? Nowadays the number-slots are designed to allow the ceramic (or ivory or plastic) balls (so no magnetism) to bounce out easily and that along with the croupier spinning the wheel clockwise and the ball anti-clockwise or visa-versa; I very much doubt the physics allow any manipulation of where the balls finishes up.
By:
stu
When: 31 Jan 24 09:50
Oh so you're talking about a bent dealer

Well, more accurately, what I mean is that a tired or lazy dealer can start to act like a 'bent' dealer in roulette, if you are able to spot it and use it carefully enough.

It's not easy though.
By:
dave1357
When: 31 Jan 24 10:04
I'm very skeptical, but as there are computer systems than can video the wheel and predict the landing position with enough tolerance to beat the house edge, it isn't beyond belief that a croupier could certainly have the skill to spin the ball so that its decay was consistent ie it moved down on to the numbers at the same position. It also reasonable to believe that the wheel could be spun at a consistent speed. So although the ball bounces around, if it is still possible for a computer to predict with sufficient accuracy, then the human spinning the wheel and the ball consistently could set up a scenario for a bias.
By:
stu
When: 31 Jan 24 10:06
Yes dave, though the key point is you don't have to be 'perfect' in your predictions - just a bit more accurate than the 'near chance' prediction it's supposed to be - law of averages can do the rest, if you know a bias, bit like your wheel points earlier.
By:
stu
When: 31 Jan 24 10:09
A racing analogy is like laying all runners from a stable when you know there is some kind of consistent issue with that stable (horses underperforming) - you will lose some that go on to win still, but overall will come out on top as the bias underlies the results.
By:
The Management
When: 31 Jan 24 10:12
Combine the two stu - you just need to find out when the croupiers have had their flu vaccine! Grin
By:
Rico-Dangleflaps
When: 31 Jan 24 10:24
reiterayshun..

croupier spins the ball around the wheel...it probably does 6-10 full revolutions before it starts to drop..

ive scene the ball plop into 1 number and stay there..

ive seen the ball bounce around 5 times..

ive seen the ball bounce halfway across the wheel..

walofs.
By:
dave1357
When: 31 Jan 24 10:26
You have some silly ideas about random events and prediction - how can a computer predict with sufficient accuracy to beat the house?
By:
dave1357
When: 31 Jan 24 10:30
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk/4069629.stm

A group of gamblers who won more than £1m at the Ritz Casino in London by using laser technology have been told by police they can keep their winnings.

The trio - a Hungarian woman and two Serbian men - were arrested in March but police have apparently decided that they did not break the law.

A laser scanner linked to a computer was allegedly used to gauge numbers likely to come up on the roulette wheel.
By:
stu
When: 31 Jan 24 10:58
lol TM - yes, suppose could work for both Grin
By:
Jumping-cuckoo-monk
When: 31 Jan 24 11:40
Computer in a shoe was used to beat roulette.
Speed of wheel and speed of ball swiftly calculated to narrow down probable area of ball landing.
By:
Gaze733
When: 31 Jan 24 14:03
you can bet on the number while the roulette is spinning?
By:
Rico-Dangleflaps
When: 31 Jan 24 14:22
yes till the ball is slowing then ewe will hear 'no more bets please'
By:
know all
When: 31 Jan 24 14:26
I reckon about 15 years ago when I used to be up late studying the horses it had live roulette on after like 12 itv  I used to have it on in the background and after a few months I could predict the ball I won’t let cat out of the bag as there will be plenty doing same it’s boring and takes a lot of work but I got shut down
By:
know all
When: 31 Jan 24 14:27
I reckon about 15 years ago when I used to be up late studying the horses it had live roulette on after like 12 itv  I used to have it on in the background and after a few months I could predict the ball I won’t let cat out of the bag as there will be plenty doing same it’s boring and takes a lot of work but I got shut down
By:
Rico-Dangleflaps
When: 31 Jan 24 14:29
know all 31 Jan 24 14:26 
I reckon about 15 years ago when I used to be up late studying the horses it had live roulette on after like 12 itv  I used to have it on in the background and after a few months I could predict the ball I won’t let cat out of the bag as there will be plenty doing same it’s boring and takes a lot of work but I got shut down


then get a friend to take over..then another ..then another blah blah
By:
seaside
When: 31 Jan 24 20:18
I will tell you one thing about blackjack as a dealer I could shuffle the cards in a way that would benefit the house
I never did but I could have done if I so wanted to.
By:
Rico-Dangleflaps
When: 31 Jan 24 21:33
froysdc
By:
The Knight
When: 01 Feb 24 12:23
This has nothing to do with card counting and is still down to pure luck but it does make me wonder all the same...

Not long after blackjack could first be played online, I briefly met someone who said they were logging onto a different blackjack site each day and playing for £10 a hand until they were £10 in front. Then they would stop for the day.

The rationale was that every time he had ever played blackjack in a casino he had always been at least 1 unit (betting to level stakes per hand) in front. Thus, his reasoning was that he would surely always be one unit up at one stage each time he played. By stopping at that one unit up (in his case £10) EVERY day he would make £3650 a year! He was at 42 days consecutive '£10 ups' when I met him and I would love to know how he ended up after one year.

There is no logic or maths to his idea, yet it does have a certain appeal if you are highly disciplined.

He also took the time to clear all the cookies off his PC every day. It is through cookies (NOT IP's addresses which are different every time you logon) that PC usage is tracked. This made sense as well, apart from how I was not sure if the gambling company keeps track of its cookies at their end. Hence, even if you delete all cookies, next time you logon a fresh set will be put on your PC. But the first thing the cookie might do is check back to its host, where the host machine then sees if a previous cookie has been placed on your PC. In other words, they would know you had been with them before whatever you do.

Anyway, the latter aside, the guy I met had made it to 42 days and £420 at that point.
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