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Gaze733
29 Jan 24 19:26
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Date Joined: 15 Mar 12
| Topic/replies: 12,282 | Blogger: Gaze733's blog
Free money at 4.6
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Report leif January 29, 2024 7:27 PM GMT
Thought you were now the 'laying' messaiah?
Report Gaze733 January 29, 2024 7:35 PM GMT
Yeah I lay the clown fav and back the second fav.
Report leif January 29, 2024 7:37 PM GMT
Genius
Report leif January 29, 2024 8:34 PM GMT
Crazy
genius
Report Gaze733 January 29, 2024 8:37 PM GMT
greened up at 1.55, eeezy
Report sageform January 29, 2024 8:49 PM GMT
Not sure why you were keen on a horse that was 0 from 15 runs! Now 0 from 16.
Report leif January 29, 2024 9:34 PM GMT
Another question is, why is he subscribing to a service that has offered up the jolly to bet, that he subsequently announces as his lay of the day, and then puts up the 2nd fav as a stonewallerLaugh
Report Rico-Dangleflaps January 29, 2024 9:50 PM GMT
cos he's a spazmoider.
Report Gaze733 January 30, 2024 9:31 AM GMT
Sage, you should know better that horse racing is not that simple. Check a database for second favs below 4/1 that have lost 10-15 in a row. The ROI is probably the same or better than for second fav LTO CD winners.
Report Gaze733 January 30, 2024 9:33 AM GMT
leif the service is good at identifying horses that will significantly drop in price, but at BSP I'm a better judge.
Report Gaze733 January 30, 2024 9:39 AM GMT
Just checked - 15+ runs, 0 wins, second fav, BSP under 5 - 279 selections since 2015, 69 wins expected, 69 wins actual. The market knows.
Report sageform January 30, 2024 1:01 PM GMT
You can use your criteria, I use mine. I very seldom back a horse that has run more than 3 times without winning. First time in a handicap perhaps but if there is a winner in a race I would not oppose it with a 15 race maiden.
Report Rico-Dangleflaps January 30, 2024 1:03 PM GMT
could have been plaiced in 15 group 1's and now in a maiden at ripon?
Report sageform January 30, 2024 1:11 PM GMT
Highly unlikely but even if it happened it would be over backed so I still would not back it. There was a horse recently that was rated 100 after placing in a Listed but it never won a race. Some listed 2yo races can be really dire when you look back a year later.
Report howard January 30, 2024 1:16 PM GMT
name a maiden that's been placed in two G1's never mind double figures
Report Rico-Dangleflaps January 30, 2024 1:38 PM GMT
quixall crossett
Report howard January 30, 2024 1:56 PM GMT
don't think it ever ran in a grade 1   but I/we were talking flat
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