Forums
Welcome to Live View – Take the tour to learn more
Start Tour
There is currently 1 person viewing this thread.
sparrow
17 Sep 23 14:58
Joined:
Date Joined: 20 Jul 02
| Topic/replies: 57,982 | Blogger: sparrow's blog
Returned 5.4 on here Grin
Pause Switch to Standard View Canaria Queen 5/2 with the jolly old...
Show More
Loading...
Report freddiewilliams September 17, 2023 2:59 PM BST
Stinky
Report sparrow September 17, 2023 3:02 PM BST
I hope on course punters fared a little better 3/1 perhaps but plenty of scope at those prices.
Report Hayden September 17, 2023 3:06 PM BST
That's why i keep saying you need exchange & bookmakers sparrow

Exchange 2 places 1.31 vs Bookmaker 2 places = 1.625

All depends on how you use the prices and include in what strategy


Good luck today  Happy
Report freddiewilliams September 17, 2023 3:08 PM BST
Who gave 1.625
Report sparrow September 17, 2023 3:10 PM BST
I can live without them and have done for the best part of 20 years now, hayden. Grin
Report Hayden September 17, 2023 3:15 PM BST
5/2 at 1/4 odds Freddie , can be part of the best value e/way acca you'll ever have when the day's racecards offer enough races.

Fair enough sparrow each to their own.
Report hulk23 September 17, 2023 3:24 PM BST
if they were bothered about protecting punters they'd have done away with each-way years ago.

absolute scam.
Report Hayden September 17, 2023 3:29 PM BST
You should have studied percentages at school Hulk , your one-dimensional loss.


Best of luck  Happy
Report sparrow September 17, 2023 3:31 PM BST
Best day ever when we were able to bet place only for whatever we wanted rather than tied to the old Each Way bet at level stakes. Well past its sell by date.
Report hulk23 September 17, 2023 3:32 PM BST
half your stake is a win bet at odds that aren't representative of the horses chances of winning the fkng race ... b'cos they can't give you those due to the place part.

win market
place market

want each-way ??  simple, have a bit on both.
Report Hayden September 17, 2023 3:35 PM BST
Have it your way guys no problem , last post ever on this topic as my head is beginning to hurt.  Happy
Report the dealer September 17, 2023 3:38 PM BST
Imho hayden you are correct and if I was an on course bookmaker at Musselburgh today, I certainly wouldn't be offering 9/2 that horse, in that market today.
Report sparrow September 17, 2023 3:45 PM BST
That dodges the point unless of course you are a layer, dealer.  The point we are making is regarding betting win and place as opposed to Each Way.
Report the dealer September 17, 2023 3:53 PM BST
How is it dodging the point, your OP is highlighting the difference between on here and on course sp. In this race there is a perfectly good reason why that is so.
Report sparrow September 17, 2023 3:57 PM BST
I was the OP dealer, highlighting the difference between BFSP and bookmaker Sp.
Report the dealer September 17, 2023 4:01 PM BST
If you read my last post that's what I said

Your OP and why the difference
Report mitolo September 17, 2023 4:01 PM BST
most of em dont take ew so its largely irrelevant

can well understand why these apparent anomalies occur. the 2nd and 3rd in have been clipped by about 20% since the shakedown
Report the dealer September 17, 2023 4:03 PM BST
Most of them don't take each way ??

I must be looking at the wrong ones then
Report hulk23 September 17, 2023 4:08 PM BST
why would they not take each way ??

your win half at 5/1 can go straight back on here at 8.2
Report sparrow September 17, 2023 4:08 PM BST
the dealer 17 Sep 23 15:38 
Imho hayden you are correct and if I was an on course bookmaker at Musselburgh today, I certainly wouldn't be offering 9/2 that horse, in that market today.






dealer, I was talking about punter options not bookmakers.
Report the dealer September 17, 2023 4:20 PM BST
I'm lost here, although I was out last night for the first time in months and had a few more sherberts than I intended to.
My reply to hayden was regards backing each way with the books and his example today. The other was to your comparison in sp's on your opening post and the reasons why , in this case imo it perfectly understandable why  there is such a difference

Apologies if I've picked up posts wrongly
Report sparrow September 17, 2023 4:28 PM BST
I was making a simple point regarding BFSP as opposed to bookmaker SP that was all. But others started talking about place betting by way of the Each Way bet which both I and hulk answered by citing win and place betting. That is our position and its not complicated surely.
Report the dealer September 17, 2023 4:36 PM BST
Aye no bother
Report hulk23 September 17, 2023 7:16 PM BST
whats the bookies problem with sticking up win-only and place-only markets. 

anyone comes up to the counter with a £2.50 each-way docket the friendly cashier says we don't do that anymore, it was ripping punters off and our aim is to protect them.  i'll put it through as £2.50 win, and £2.50 place for you.   

why do they not want to do that ??
Report s.kenbo September 17, 2023 8:16 PM BST
Be careful what you wish for. You’d get half at 16’s and half at 11/4.
Report Hayden September 17, 2023 8:39 PM BST
Hulk

Just to clear one important point , i don't give a stuff about other punters only myself , that needs making clear as anything i post would only ever be something that works for MY benefit.

If bookmakers did what you suggest they could have gone 4/1 or 21/5 the winner but they also would have gone 3/10 for the place , so from my point of view that would be a disastrous change , so effectively the 1.625 place value has vanished , currently there are plenty of races that bookmakers love to set win & place individual prices but for me personally that would be a disaster.

Try and digest the above from my personal betting point of view.

You really think the average flutterer is bothered his tenner e/way to be £50 & £13 as opposed to £35 & £16.25 when he knows the extreme likelihood is the horse will finish 2nd and he'll have many many more second places than winners or unplaced with that shape of race.

We're at cross purposes somewhat because you seem to be on a crusade for other punters whereas i'm always talking selfishly which is why i think the fixed place terms are great and should remain.

Sometimes having a conversation on here is akin to chatting in betting shops in the last millennium , mostly my fault for thinking the modern gambler would be multi-dimensional and savvy enough to take all the opportunities that present themselves depending on the racecards we get given , apparently not.

Your suggestion of separating the win & place would probably be a no go anyway as it would be operationally a non starter ( Dealer would have an opinion on that )

Good punting tomorrow   Happy
Report hulk23 September 17, 2023 9:17 PM BST
he knows the extreme likelihood is the horse will finish 2nd

does he ?
Report longbridge September 18, 2023 11:28 AM BST
Are not these two points inextricably linked?  The reason the bookie Win price is so poor compared to the Exchange Win price is that the bookie price is a Win or EW price, and even at the poor price he is giving on the Win he is giving away value on the Place portion of the EW?
Report Hayden September 18, 2023 11:52 AM BST
Of course Longbridge because they're virtually compelled to adhere to their rule book place terms.

Punters have a choice , they can either moan about the win deficiency which as you say is easily explained in shaped races , or they can exploit ways to take advantage of 1.625 vs 1.31 , especially as we'd all agree 1.31 is the true odds.

Guess it depends on whether the punter sees the glass as half full or half empty.


Good luck today mate  Happy


End of thread ( hopefully )
Post Your Reply
<CTRL+Enter> to submit
Please login to post a reply.

Wonder

Instance ID: 13539
www.betfair.com