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Gaze733
06 Jun 23 20:20
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Date Joined: 15 Mar 12
| Topic/replies: 12,282 | Blogger: Gaze733's blog
E.g. Greek giant at 2.2, the second fav was at 9.1 and the rest at double digits. In races where the second fav is at 3.5, third at 5.0 and fourth at 6.0 there's a better chance the fav will lose.

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Replies: 23
By:
UnluckyForSome
When: 06 Jun 23 20:32
You are just trolling at this point Laugh
By:
Regbutler
When: 06 Jun 23 21:08
Are you suggesting shorter priced favs win more often than longer priced favs?
Think you might be onto something there
By:
geoff m
When: 06 Jun 23 21:18
Well i never .Got this game by the bollax has Gaze.
By:
Gaze733
When: 06 Jun 23 21:33
Sometimes a fav is at evens and the second fav is at 2/1, other times the second fav is at 8/1. I'd rather lay the fav in the first case because the second fav is good enough to beat him. Whenever I see these obvious favs with no real opposition according to odds, they never lose.
By:
tanglefoot
When: 06 Jun 23 21:59
Keep going Glaze that golden goose is just around the corner.
By:
Shanelee1966
When: 07 Jun 23 07:33
[img]https://community.cdnbf.net/community.betfair.com/user/shanelee1966/ec290b8bc27772c874597be568a72c42.jpg?v=22815[/img]
By:
Shanelee1966
When: 07 Jun 23 07:34
Be careful, i`ve only ever known one who gave away secrets on here.
Never to be seen again a few weeks later........
By:
howard
When: 07 Jun 23 10:24
It all depends on how much better the fav ( if it's a younger horse taking on more exposed types )  is than it's rating whether it is suited to the distance and the surface turf or AW.  All this requires talent experience and hard work to study each individual race and horses. Something you strongly appear incapable of doing.
By:
Rico-Dangleflaps
When: 07 Jun 23 10:56
more complete and utter unconsequential nonsense from the forums greatest ever spazmoider..



ʷᵃˡᵒᶠˢ
By:
sageform
When: 07 Jun 23 11:52
How do you define useless? All rated below 50, 55, 60?
By:
Gaze733
When: 07 Jun 23 12:01
those with double digit odds
By:
longbridge
When: 07 Jun 23 12:09
"Sometimes a fav is at evens and the second fav is at 2/1, other times the second fav is at 8/1. I'd rather lay the fav in the first case because the second fav is good enough to beat him."

My constant struggle to guess Gaze's motivation is definitely trending more towards "longest-running windup on the Forum" with that one.
By:
Manoleeds
When: 07 Jun 23 12:31
Ignoring overrounds if  a favourite is evens, the oddscompiler's view  it is equally likely that it will win or that something else will. If it is more likely to win because the next shortest price is 10/1, then it won't be even money anymore.
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 07 Jun 23 13:01
Surely it's easily searchable how favs get
on in differing standards of racing.
By:
sageform
When: 07 Jun 23 13:11
The idea that all horses with double digit odds are useless is laughable. Do you mean opening show, 5 minutes before the off or SP? Almost all horses with 6 runs and still rated below 50 are useless but if the race is 0-50, one of them will be favourite and one will win.
By:
geoff m
When: 07 Jun 23 13:41
Surely  where the second fav is at 3.5, third at 5.0 and fourth at 6.0 you would lay em all to a liability of everything you had in your account and just take the guaranteed 10% return whatever the outcome.
By:
Tiger Tiger
When: 07 Jun 23 14:09
Gaze, logged on to your latest forum post/venture at 13.59, took me 5 minutes to create an easy system for you,and 5 more to post it, backfitted of course -

National Hunt only,
6 year old clear favs in Class 1 to 4 races
Its last race was in a Class 2 to 5 race
Has had between 5 and 9 runs this season
Give them a miss if they fell or were pulled up lto.

Easy peasy for you to work out, justs 5 minutes every day, just a couple of bets a week and a 39% strike rate.

Let me know how much you lose.
By:
Gaze733
When: 07 Jun 23 14:10
@geoof didn't say it's a 4 runner race
By:
Gaze733
When: 07 Jun 23 14:11
@tiger what's the roi?
By:
Tiger Tiger
When: 07 Jun 23 14:12
At Bfsp - 13.23% over the last 18 years.
By:
Gaze733
When: 07 Jun 23 14:22
not bad, only mugs would lay those
By:
geoff m
When: 07 Jun 23 14:29
Gaze73307 Jun 23 14:10Joined: 15 Mar 12 | Topic/replies: 9,527 | Blogger: Gaze733's blog
@geoof didn't say it's a 4 runner race.



Some of your comments beggar belief.
So what happens if there are more than 4 runners??
By:
Gaze733
When: 07 Jun 23 15:19
I was just testing you, you passed!
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