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colonelflay
13 May 23 14:16
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Date Joined: 18 Nov 08
| Topic/replies: 1,108 | Blogger: colonelflay's blog
This was my pick till I noticed that its trip had always been 7f with two shots at the mile ending nowhere. So I didn't. Wins at 20/1. Racing takes me a further inch towards the mental hospital.
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Report bluebook May 13, 2023 2:21 PM BST
Must say I couldn't see that winning given its best form was indeed at 7 furlongs, and on quicker ground too. Faded over a mile LTO on soft, having raced prominently. It probably needed the run following a short layoff, but then the horse had been pulled out of a race earlier in its career on account of soft ground, so it was reasonable to infer it'd probably be found out for stamina today.

Clearly not... ! Shocked

Traveled like a dream.

Scratching my head over it. Confused

Thought perhaps ground isn't riding that soft, but then BELHAVEN was 2nd.
Report bluebook May 13, 2023 2:29 PM BST
One of the first I put a red line through on account of ground and trip... . Plain
Report bluebook May 13, 2023 9:58 PM BST
I must ask, given that you subsequently noticed that its optimum trip had always been 7f, why FTS was your original pick.

Hoping to learn something. Happy
Report TOP3MAN May 13, 2023 10:15 PM BST
to be fair - it was 7lbs better off with the runner-up for whom was likely to be further ahead in fitness having had a run the last time they meet each other.
Report bluebook May 14, 2023 1:27 PM BST
Looking back over her form, she was rated higher in the fairly recent past - 95 I think - so I suppose it was inevitable she'd eventually prove well handicapped off 84. Having said that, given she has a decent record fresh, I would've thought she'd have had a better chance at Nottingham than Ascot.

Shows how much I know ! Laugh
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