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colonelflay
13 May 23 13:46
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Date Joined: 18 Nov 08
| Topic/replies: 1,108 | Blogger: colonelflay's blog
How tedious racing is at this time of the season: every ****g race boils down to: Right, are they ready to go after 7 months or not. Raffle.
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Report tanglefoot May 13, 2023 1:52 PM BST
Had form before poor runs,then gelding,anybody could have taken their chances.
Report Hayden May 13, 2023 1:55 PM BST
Everyone is guessing Colonel but if you're going to guess then guess at the big odds , so that rules out the front 3 or 4 in the betting.

Look after your strike rate and the rest will fall into place.

Good luck today  Happy
Report colonelflay May 13, 2023 2:18 PM BST
Hayden, thank you. I have to disagree slightly. There are straight guesses and educated guesses. And as Donald Rumsfeld once said: 'There are known known, known unknowns, and unknown unknowns.' At this stage in the Flat season known unknowns abound.
Report bluebook May 13, 2023 2:26 PM BST
SR had an Ascot 3rd on its CV from last August off a pound higher, and had form fresh ( won on 2yo bow ).

But, ground looked against it.

I can only suppose that if you fancy it anyway and you're getting 11/1, then perhaps trust the trainer's judgement that it'll handle the conditions.

But, two races in, it looks like being a tricky afternoon at Ascot.
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