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The race seems to revolve around the top three in the betting and VE Day should not be 5/1 imo.The fav ran over 1/2 F further lto and was long odds on,won easily as expected,ditto the second fav at just a few yards short of todays trip.What they both had in common were very slow times which tbf can often be the case in those scenarios,however VE Day was no less impressive on his debut.
His time was also slow but still a lot better than the other two and he travelled strongly through his race but idled on the run in or at least not vigorously ridden and was always holding the fav.The second fav today had already had 3 runs before his win,all seconds which suggests he is nothing out of the ordinary.Given the connections of the fav he could turn out to be quite smart,however at odds on worth taking on with both having to give 4 yo VE Day 8lbs.
Just based on the above I would have VE Day as 2nd fav at around 2/1-5/2,he is 5/1 in a dead 8 field and imo worth an ew if they all stand their ground,just cant see him going off any bigger unless there is heavy money for the other two.
Any thoughts either way?
His time was also slow but still a lot better than the other two and he travelled strongly through his race but idled on the run in or at least not vigorously ridden and was always holding the fav.The second fav today had already had 3 runs before his win,all seconds which suggests he is nothing out of the ordinary.Given the connections of the fav he could turn out to be quite smart,however at odds on worth taking on with both having to give 4 yo VE Day 8lbs.
Just based on the above I would have VE Day as 2nd fav at around 2/1-5/2,he is 5/1 in a dead 8 field and imo worth an ew if they all stand their ground,just cant see him going off any bigger unless there is heavy money for the other two.
Any thoughts either way?
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The money seems to be for Brentford Hope and could be flip flopping favs,good for VE out to 6s,the bigger the better.
Looks a good ew shot at the price providing there is no NR. The stable form of McCain is off-putting though.
McCain ffs…..how anyone can punt this strange outfit (imo) is beyond me
Cant be any stranger than the ones you punt Quixall e.g Dixon?
I get what you mean about the stable form scrabbler,obviously not been great recently.Thought the same when acey put up his Williams pick and said it would change at some point,it did a few races later,law of sod!! lol
Nice opening post, has your account been hacked? - why don't you do threads like this all the time?
My instinct in these races (dead 8 runners where it appears only 3 of them can possibly place) is obviously to play them as a filthy each-way "bet to nothing", especially on the flat - you just can't argue with the maths.
However in Maiden/Novice Hurdles I usually like to assume (more so than on the flat) that the attempt to win, will do for one of them, and I would rather place lay one of the three. In this race, it would probably be yours - but the market currently hates it and I wouldn't place lay it at 1.70+
I probably won't play the race, so wish you well with your one.
My instinct in these races (dead 8 runners where it appears only 3 of them can possibly place) is obviously to play them as a filthy each-way "bet to nothing", especially on the flat - you just can't argue with the maths.
However in Maiden/Novice Hurdles I usually like to assume (more so than on the flat) that the attempt to win, will do for one of them, and I would rather place lay one of the three. In this race, it would probably be yours - but the market currently hates it and I wouldn't place lay it at 1.70+
I probably won't play the race, so wish you well with your one.
Sustained support for Brentford and they have flip flopped,VE out as a result which can either be a good thing or an ominous sign,I hope it is the former,happened the other day when I expected one to be around 4s and it ended up winning at 8s,fingers crossed this is the same.
Have you checked out the price of Buxted Reel (3places) in the first at Wolverhampton
Opinion please,which should tell me a lot…..
7/4 ish a place ffs…
Opinion please,which should tell me a lot…..
7/4 ish a place ffs…
Unless it tears off in front and stretches them I can't see it being involved Quixall,entirely possible tbf in an apprentice race but not its usual way of running.
Quixall….ffs….Quixall was popular in some quarters….
Had his own fan club and a similar record to yourself,you should be flattered!! Joking aside,Mcain's one in the first at Hunt will hopefully give a good account and an idea of the stable form,overpriced imo but at 19/4 1/4 odds for 1st 2 seems best option.
Btw Quixall's trainer Ted Caine was a farmer more than a trainer but a shrewd man,Quixall used to get appearance money,at Haydock if memory serves,around £500 which was enough to leave a bit after exes.
Just watched the replay of the Musselburgh race…can’t say I’m impressed….could be wrong tho…..good luck but I couldn’t have it…
Wide open behind the front 2 now,just for interest had an ew Elmejor @ 35s 1st 3 and 16s 1st 4,was fair on flat and not much to beat for those places.
Flip flopped again Quixall so the market seems unsure!!
poast ya prophet tobymug..
oh,there is non to poast...silly me.
oh,there is non to poast...silly me.
I expect you are ew the fav in the first at Fakenham like your normal 1/10 shots that get stuffed?
its all about the pee hand hell..
meks nee diff how ewe do it.
meks nee diff how ewe do it.
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