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Affordability check trigger

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Replies: 137
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 07 Feb 23 12:45
TM, I don't know if you have read what Geoff Banks has had to say about the issue on twitter, but apparently he no longer has a "casino" on his website, and he's been asking why the big bookies haven't pushed back against the checks, perhaps through a legal challenge, for example, but maybe your theory would explain it.
By:
MythWA
When: 07 Feb 23 12:50
Asked my local Fred shop manager about AFCs told if customiser bets £500 A Day they have have a quiet word if £3k a week its the
Full Monty. How does that stack up to the on-line checks.
By:
casemoney
When: 07 Feb 23 12:54
Has anybody who lost large amounts of Money that they clearly  could not Afford ,ever been refunded the losses ?  Been loads of cases  of massive unchecked losses, 

in fact Encouraged by the Firm Losses ... The answer I believe is no ..
By:
The Management
When: 07 Feb 23 12:56
George - pretty much all of the evidence points to my theory being correct.

The horse racing industry and certainly betting on racing are (sadly imo) dying (much of it is self inflicted), I think it will all but die with our generation (quite literally as we die!). The future as far as the "bookmakers" are concerned is gaming. It's low cost, high margin, available 24/7, available absolutely everywhere and most crucially available to everybody (not just older men) - It's highly addictive, yet it;s attractive to women. The development of the technology means absolutely everybody is a potential "player".

It's massive and it poses a huge threat to traditional "gambling" and definetely to horse racing.
By:
The Management
When: 07 Feb 23 13:02
In a nutshell - (if the animal rights people don't get there first) the "bookmakers" via gaming (and the mortality of people of a certain age) will kill horse racing.

It's already at the stage where "bookmakers" only tolerate it because they can exploit it as a gateway.
By:
dave1357
When: 07 Feb 23 13:05
GEORGE.B • February 7, 2023 12:41 PM GMT
dave1357, run that one past me again, why are we seeing thousands of excess deaths


I've already answered that, the last time you asked.
By:
dave1357
When: 07 Feb 23 13:07
And if that was the thread about the chap dying, why would I get it removed? I was at the racecourse and commented due to that.
By:
dave1357
When: 07 Feb 23 13:11
in all probability betfair thought your lies were in bad taste.
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 07 Feb 23 13:16
Well can you answer it again please because someone got the thread removed.

I was basing it on your past history of getting my posts removed, the ones that had been directed at *YOU*.

You know the ones, where I exposed you as Dave the Labeller, and pointed out that you were the forum's number one narrative cucumber sucker.
By:
sixtwosix
When: 07 Feb 23 13:16
Many at Westminster want horse racing gone ....if they cant stop the racing taking place ....stopping the gambling that keeps the sport afloat will do the job nicely......
By:
CLYDEBANK29
When: 07 Feb 23 13:19

Feb 7, 2023 -- 12:07PM, The Management wrote:


Trident - my take would be this:Even though, (as I have said all along) the legislation was/is likely to be light-touch and frictionless (mostly due to the tax rake!) - the on-line slots/casino operators (masquerading as "bookmakers") obviously are against it. Hence all the alarmist hysteria and lies from them and their paid mouthpieces - because most of them stopped taking bets on horses a long time ago and proactively shifted their business into the much more lucrative and low-cost model of gaming.However it's difficult for them to mobilise an army of degenerate slot & casino game addicts to object or motivate them enough to write to their MP's. So in the short-term (and the absence of any leadership or guidance) and for financial reasons, the books have deliberately targeted horse bettors. I say "deliberately" but in fairness it might just be panic stricken incompetence - but I would opt for deliberate if forced to choose. Some of those horse bettors they have targeted are probably truly "problem gamblers" but a good number should probably never, ever have been impacted and would probably never, ever be impacted by the upcoming white paper. Either way those people are "outraged" and have been manipulated into arguing on behalf of the very "bookmakers" that have (deliberately imo) inflicted it upon them. If I had a pound for every slot/casino player that has written to his or her MP (remember one of the beautiful things about their addictive casino/slot games is the vast new female market/audience!) I think i'd be skint. But I wouldn't mind a pound for every horse bettor they have manipulated/conned into doing it.The bottom line is they don't want to take bets from horse bettors - gaming is much more lucrative and has a much, much bigger target audience. Sacrificing (or gambling with) horse bettors was probably a no-brainer.


interesting and plausible

By:
dave1357
When: 07 Feb 23 13:22
GEORGE.B • February 7, 2023 1:16 PM GMT
Well can you answer it again please


90% of excess deaths are people over age 60, who are likely not getting or not seeking timely health care.

total deaths uk 6th to 20th january: 48168, 60 or over 44015. Old people die in the winter and this increases when they don't get the right treatment.
By:
saddo
When: 07 Feb 23 13:28
'Likely' is a bit tenuous dave. Last year they tried saying people hadn't been getting statins and heart drugs during the lockdown years. Official numbers are out now and statin prescriptions actually increased during that time.
By:
dave1357
When: 07 Feb 23 13:30
I'm going to report that post George.B if that's what you want?  why don't you toddle back to your fantasy betting thread, where there is no chance whatsoever that you would be able to get those bets on.
By:
CLYDEBANK29
When: 07 Feb 23 13:38
Off topic

10% cancer cases are under 50, and they prolly have better survival rates.  Cancer is more common in women up to the age of 55.  Cancer is more common in men over 55

80% of heart disease deaths are people over 65.  Keep moving and eat well

90% of excess deaths over 60.  Sounds reasonable
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 07 Feb 23 13:40
Don't report it dave1357, I want everyone to see it, though obviously you have the right to reply.

As for my "fantasy betting threads", as my regular reader will testify, at the end of each thread I do publish a table of results which includes the P/L at Betfair SP after commission.

For example, last season's thread was +180 at the "fantasy" prices, +94 at BSP after commission.

The current one is +13 and -7.
By:
saddo
When: 07 Feb 23 13:40
Average age of covid death was 82 and we made great effort to save them. Now excess deaths of over 60s is accepted as reasonable, it's a funny old world.
By:
The Management
When: 07 Feb 23 13:43
George and dave - both forum contributors that I enjoy reading - when the topic is betting, racing, horses, etc.LoveCry
By:
dave1357
When: 07 Feb 23 13:44
You are obviously fine at picking horses, but there is no chance you would get bog and in all probability would be restricted to pennies on extra place races.

saddo who says it's reasonable?
By:
GEORGE.B
When: 07 Feb 23 13:54
saddo, here's the thing, in 2020 their own commissioned report told them that their lockdown policies would cost lives.

So at "best", *THEY* decided to play God, and sacrifice the lives of younger people in order to save the lives of "vulnerable" people. That's the best spin one could put on it.

And yet despite being in full knowledge of what would be the costs of their lockdown policies in 2020, they still went ahead and had another one.

And all the while, while they themselves, by their very actions eg car rides to test eyesight, parties, affairs, etc...told us that they had no fear of covid 19.

So what was really going on?

The threat of mandated jabs.
Care workers sacked.
Drs / nurses threatened with the sack.
This novel medical procedure forced upon children after they'd said it wouldn't be.
etc
By:
saddo
When: 07 Feb 23 13:58
I've always thought it was a giant cluster f*ck George. Blind panic took charge and not conspiracy, common sense was suspended for two years. I still believe that is probably true.
By:
CLYDEBANK29
When: 07 Feb 23 14:04

Feb 7, 2023 -- 1:40PM, saddo wrote:


Average age of covid death was 82 and we made great effort to save them. Now excess deaths of over 60s is accepted as reasonable, it's a funny old world.


I implied the statistic is reasonably what you might expect.

There is a big difference between 90% and average.

And fwiw I have always been of the belief that far more life will be lost because of the economic cost of lockdowns in the long term than those die directly from COVID

By:
CLYDEBANK29
When: 07 Feb 23 14:07
but that's not to say I believe in any of the conspiracy and vaccine nonsense that does the rounds.  Vaccines will have saved loads of lives both directly and indirectly.  It's locking down that I disagreed with.
By:
frog1000
When: 07 Feb 23 20:02

Feb 7, 2023 -- 12:56PM, The Management wrote:


George - pretty much all of the evidence points to my theory being correct.The horse racing industry and certainly betting on racing are (sadly imo) dying (much of it is self inflicted), I think it will all but die with our generation (quite literally as we die!). The future as far as the "bookmakers" are concerned is gaming. It's low cost, high margin, available 24/7, available absolutely everywhere and most crucially available to everybody (not just older men) - It's highly addictive, yet it;s attractive to women. The development of the technology means absolutely everybody is a potential "player".It's massive and it poses a huge threat to traditional "gambling" and definetely to horse racing.


Betting on racing in the UK is under pressure in the UK for three reasons:

1. The accuracy of the Betfair market meaning bookmakers can see who is beating BFSP at the click of button and ban them. Bookies also cannot take a view.
2. Those that run racing treat punters like dirt providing no weights, sectional timings or even accurate going readings.
3. The lax attitude of government to allowing street and online casino bets giving bookmakers easy profits so they can use racing as a lost leader with crazy offers like BOG and extra places.

Affordability checks are a red herring to the decline.

Other parts of the world where Betfair is weak (Australia) and does not exist (Hong Kong) racing on horse racing betting is at record levels. You can get a bet on in these countries and the information provided by the authorities is far better. There is also limited betting on casino games (none online?) and in the case of Australia the bookies have to take a decent bet.

By:
The Management
When: 08 Feb 23 13:37
I see that Paul Scully has moved on! - So probably even more delays to the white paper.

Not seen anything yet on who takes over the "gambling brief" from him - but whoever it is will be the 6th person to do so since the gambling review was announced. And people wonder why the govt can't get anything done! CryLaugh
By:
Trident
When: 09 Feb 23 08:31
I found out today their all Multiple reasons for the Affordability check trigger. But after a lot of work, I found out the main reason. It's a "Credit Check" I just wanted to let the forum know.
By:
dave1357
When: 09 Feb 23 08:54
that's interesting - quite a lot of older people don't borrow so their credit score declines. It is well worth using a credit card for shopping and online purchases, paying off the whole balance each month by direct debit.
By:
Brian
When: 09 Feb 23 08:59
I check my Credit Report occasionally and I have never seen a search by any gambling company (I onlu use exchanges)
By:
dave1357
When: 09 Feb 23 09:07
there is some sort of soft check that doesn't show up, I think.
By:
Trident
When: 09 Feb 23 09:08
quite a lot of older people don't borrow so their credit score declines Bingo!
By:
dave1357
When: 09 Feb 23 09:10
Soft inquiries do not affect credit scores and are not visible to potential lenders that may review your credit reports. They are visible to you and will stay on your credit reports for 12 to 24 months, depending on the type. The other type of inquiry is a “hard” inquiry.

So you should actually be able to see them Brian, but others don't.
By:
Trident
When: 09 Feb 23 09:21
I will share something with the forum, Poker related: 888 UK Limited ( Cosmos, Cval, R) Date 27Dec 2022 Reason For Credit Check Gambling Affordability Assessment
By:
Trident
When: 09 Feb 23 09:26
Just to clarify ^ Above was on my credit file.
By:
GoBallistic
When: 09 Feb 23 09:28
Would deserve a lol if it was indeed the case that not having / using a credit card or other loans would be used as evidence that a punter is betting more than they can afford
By:
sparrow
When: 09 Feb 23 09:30
So if you're laden with debt but pay it off regular then everything is ok. Beware of not borrowing money it seems.
By:
screaming from beneaththewaves
When: 09 Feb 23 10:30
Little chance of the jobless propunter obtaining a credit card.Sad
By:
The Knight
When: 09 Feb 23 10:32
sparrow...Yes, sadly in the mad, modern world, you are correct.

I am 63 and am financially secure and wealthy by the standards of most, but still take out loans (interest free) from time to time so as to retain my 999 out of 1000 credit rating.

When I was young, if you had loans it counted against you. But now it is the opposite.

I keep on and on and on about this, but until us older brigade come to realise that things are now run by the young FOR the young, using the standards (often low) OF the young, the madness will continue.

The young just don't realise that many older people have large sums behind them but keep their income low so as to avoid higher rate tax. Hence the affordability checks are geared towards income and credit ratings.

God knows how many older customers with money the bookies are losing because of their stupidity and fear of the gambling commission.
By:
dustybin
When: 09 Feb 23 11:21
It does have some unusual side effects using this metric, but it’s not a bad one.
To measure how reliable a person is and how competent with money they are it works quite well, but not perfect.

As Dave suggests, a credit card paid off in full is advisable (quite honestly I don’t know why people don’t have this setup already, buy everything through the CC and get extra protection on fraud and even make a bit of cash back , though this isn’t great these days still adds up)

It’s tru you can even have too good a score, MoneyBox on radio 4 have covered it several times where banks and card providers don’t want customers who they make so little from.
But I can’t see gambling turning their noses up at having too good a score.
By:
The Management
When: 09 Feb 23 12:04
For those of you (dusty) that are still too blinded by their political beliefs, to see that the current panic stricken ("intrusive and Draconian") mess has been inflicted pretty much single handedly by bookmakers:

Meanwhile, Gambling Commission chief executive Andrew Rhodes has claimed there has been a "significant amount of misinformation" about the regulator's position on affordability checks.

In a speech at the World Regulatory Briefing at the Ice gambling industry show in London he claimed the commission had not imposed affordability checks or set limits on what bettors should be allowed to spend.

He added: "What we have done is make it clear we do expect operators to consider a range of factors when assessing the risk for a consumer, including the financial situation for a consumer.

"It is for operators to set limits themselves based on their customer types, business and risks."
By:
dave1357
When: 09 Feb 23 12:12
What we have done is make it clear we do expect operators to consider a range of factors when assessing the risk for a consumer, including the financial situation for a consumer.

And what do they expect companies to do as a result of this expectation? Obviously ask for the information that they need to assess the financial situation.
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